Anii,t

Consum agregat (mil.USD)

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Total

y mediu
x mediu
covar(y,x)=
Sx=
Sy=
ry/x=
ry/x=

140
147
150
153
158
160
165
167
172
174
178
179
1943

161.92
188.00
216.545
17.1517
12.7098
0.9934
0.9934

Venit disponibil (mil.USD)

158
167
175
177
181
187
188
195
203
204
208
213
2256

Xi-Xmed
-30
-21
-13
-11
-7
-1
0
7
15
16
20
25
0

Yi-Ymed
-21.92
-14.92
-11.92
-8.92
-3.92
-1.92
3.08
5.08
10.08
12.08
16.08
17.08
1E-13

Column1
Column2
657.5000
313.2500
154.9167
98.0833
27.4167
1.9167
0.0000
35.5833
151.2500
193.3333
321.6667
427.0833
2382.0000

900
441
169
121
49
1
0
49
225
256
400
625
3236

Xi2
Yi2
Column3
XiYi
480.34028
24964
19600
22120
222.50694
27889
21609
24549
142.00694
30625
22500
26250
79.506944
31329
23409
27081
15.340278
32761
24964
28598
3.6736111
34969
25600
29920
9.5069444
35344
27225
31020
25.840278
38025
27889
32565
101.67361
41209
29584
34916
146.00694
41616
30276
35496
258.67361
43264
31684
37024
291.84028
45369
32041
38127
1776.9167
427364
316381
367666

12

2256

2256

427364

1943

2256

det=

38832

det_a=

913756
367666

427364

12

1943

2256

367666

det_b=

28584

a_estimat=
b_estimat=

23.53101
0.736094

Sa=

5.089974

tacalc=

Sb=

0.026972

tbcalc=

S2e=

2.354089
<=a<=
<=b<=

Yi_estimat
ei_estimat
139.83
146.46
152.35
153.82
156.76
161.18
161.92
167.07
172.96
173.69
176.64
180.32
1943.00

ei2
0.17
0.54
-2.35
-0.82
1.24
-1.18
3.08
-0.07
-0.96
0.31
1.36
-1.32
0.00

0.0276
0.2930
5.5105
0.6718
1.5277
1.3938
9.5069
0.0048
0.9179
0.0935
1.8536
1.7398
23.5409

Consum agregat
(mil.USD)

Anii,t
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Ymediu=

Venit disponibil
(mil.USD)
140
147
150
153
158
160
165
167
172
174
178
179

161.9167

Y_estimat
158
167
175
177
181
187
188
195
203
204
208
213

139.83
146.46
152.35
153.82
156.76
161.18
161.92
167.07
172.96
173.69
176.64
180.32

covar(y,x)=
ry/x=

216.5455
0.993354

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.993353829
R Square
0.98675183
Adjusted R Square
0.985427013
Standard Error
1.534304211
Observations
12
ANOVA
df
1
10
11

SS
MS
1753.375773 1753.376
23.54089411 2.354089
1776.916667

Coefficients
23.53100536
0.736093943

Standard Error
t Stat
5.089974015 4.623011
0.026971632 27.29141

Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable 1

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation

Predicted Y

Residuals

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

139.83
146.46
152.35
153.82
156.76
161.18
161.92
167.07
172.96
173.69
176.64
180.32

0.1662
0.5413
-2.3474
-0.8196
1.2360
-1.1806
3.0833
-0.0693
-0.9581
0.3058
1.3615
-1.3190

F
Significance F
744.8212
1.00993E-10

P-value
0.000946
1.01E-10

Lower 95% Upper 95%

12.1898365 34.87217
0.675997403 0.79619