Econo Me Tria

Indicadores económicos de coyuntura > Oferta y demanda global de bienes y servicios, base 2013 > Series Originales >
A precio
Unidad de medida:Millones de pesos a precios de 2013.
Periodicidad: Trimestral
1997/01
1997/02
1997/03
1997/04
1998/01
1998/02
1998/03
1998/04
1999/01
1999/02
1999/03
1999/04
2000/01
2000/02
2000/03
2000/04
2001/01
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2006/01
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2007/01
2007/02
2007/03
2007/04
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2008/03
2008/04
2009/01
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2009/03
2009/04
2010/01
2010/02
2010/03
2010/04
2011/01
2011/02
2011/03
2011/04
2012/01
2012/02
2012/03
2012/04
2013/01
2013/02
2013/03
2013/04
2014/01
2014/02
2014/03
2014/04
2015/01
2015/02
2015/03
2015/04
2016/01r/
2016/02
2016/03
2016/04
2017/01
2017/02
2017/03
2017/04
2018/01
2018/02
2018/03p/
Cifras preliminares: p/ A partir de 2018/03Cifras revisadas: r/ A partir de 2016/01

Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.
Fecha de consulta: 07/03/2019 17:37:40

DW corregido
> Oferta y demanda global de bienes y servicios, base 2013 > Series Originales > A precios constantes > Demanda > Valores absolutos
a precios de 2013.
Producto
Interno
Bruto, a
precios de
inversion tasa mercado
1991848.725 24.216667 10862932
2072015.272 22.703333 11460068.1
2301964.762 21.09 11408200.9
2316884.965 21.166667 11887380.1
2368174.314 20.816667 11827638
2260212.182 20.833333 12034464.2
2513002.684 30.07 11972371.6
2450289.249 36.846667 12139816.6
2535906.207 31.056667 12100154.5
2395245.483 23.34 12315219.1
2610863.689 23.59 12325229.1
2583020.593 20.52 12554685.8
2681753.714 17.556667 12725022
2560297.247 16.533333 12994568.9
2778376.738 16.456667 13008792.3
2634550.653 18.38 13003302.2
2523247.662 18.146667 12796119.5
2322266.32 14.143333 12967530.2
2566704.845 7.93 12857408.6
2467866.913 10.08 12901429.2
2341839.106 8.7033333 12415541.5
2371656.425 7.8 13112362.8
2499618.974 8.4733333 12889950.1
2442261.647 8.8233333 13084104.3
2460228.729 9.7566667 12803326.7
2379630.488 7.21 13182931.6
2466516.613 5.58 12954912.3
2450595.114 6.11 13305703.4
2580765.018 6.0566667 13252637.3
2556435.842 7.09 13732337.6
2610939.336 7.8433333 13438257.2
2700899.988 8.78 13872028.2
2680262.621 9.5333333 13354792.4
2723325.163 10.146667 14104834.7
2766145.765 9.8366667 13782142.6
2927996.026 9.01 14306520.4
2927578.28 7.9566667 14107961.1
2960383.583 7.6633333 14700503.8
3064764.473 7.5166667 14435867.2
3178539.568 7.6233333 14800896.8
3044760.996 7.6733333 14393731.5
3080037.3 7.7533333 14993341.6
3233092.761 7.78 14783297.4
3478904.947 7.93 15204933.4
3295109.851 7.9533333 14563429.2
3478572.872 8.0066667 15386331.9
3451517.842 8.6466667 14979493.1
3453148.939 8.8033333 15125056.5
2952023.131 7.9366667 13752157.5
2958142.086 5.7766667 14012946.5
3026830.477 4.9533333 14231940.4
3145264.039 5.05 14882949.1
3057152.799 5.04 14371712.2
3120014.805 5.0266667 14998393.2
3122127.235 4.9933333 14921449.7
3352429.885 4.94 15499623.7
3147467.223 4.89 14902786.2
3325754.714 4.8833333 15413082.4
3450025.243 4.8366667 15526005.7
3721348.797 4.81 16139460.1
3441812.756 4.7966667 15619690
3520178.043 4.7733333 16027316
3624173.044 4.8033333 15952743.5
3730758.84 4.8533333 16639145.1
3356467.689 4.7233333 15720266.2
3450701.27 4.3233333 16362706.7
3414595.877 4.2466667 16186052.6
3615449.265 3.85 16839722.8
3344810.928 3.8033333 16135622.7
3477406.7 3.69 16736982.8
3567822.519 3.3066667 16645034.5
3871476.973 3.3033333 17416978.9
3508441.895 3.3166667 16696943.7
3680940.69 3.31 17239319.5
3862905.878 3.3433333 17309689.9
3923481.676 3.4 17889470.6
3630770.764 3.8266667 17199206.2
3760319.817 4.1566667 17810988.7
3784599.68 4.69 17668867
3953494.267 5.6 18476232.8
3653859.942 6.5433333 17793290.3
3650173.673 7.0966667 18149091.7
3749720.64 7.3866667 17935776.2
3836751.181 7.4566667 18749848.4
3693674.262 7.8 18008915.8
3771204.878 7.9233333 18618588.2
3760367.504 8.1533333 18389170.2
8/03Cifras revisadas: r/ A partir de 2016/01

cionales de México.
nda > Valores absolutos
p 0.6836347954
710318.176 6.14797737 4033789.8

885463.025 5.56921136 3573699.55 Resumen
743181.756 6.74880883 4088337.06
784271.135 6.34639683 3701011.37 Estadísticas de la regresión
641245.819 6.60233568 3948679.3 Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.8443995156
967842.991 15.8276084 3745193.11 Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.713010542
732313.173 16.2897684 3955086.77 R^2 ajustado 0.7060951333
860803.218 5.86700324 3800953.52 Error típico 112683.961885455
661611.762 2.10858204 4043132.39 Observaciones 86
973390.533 7.63396388 3906116.86
798143.329 4.39305518 4128730.32 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
915910.959 3.52848067 4142201.98 Grados de libertad
726957.095 4.53098511 4295301.06 Regresión 2
1028068.45 5.15390472 4125252.8 Residuos 83
735155.64 7.12965005 4110039.14 Total 85
722177.165 5.58145913 3906609.69
597286.421 1.73764058 4219657.64 Coeficientes
979122.784 -1.7388748 3992353.79 Intercepción -152895.191946325
713178.171 4.65877607 4111657.27 Variable X 1 1750.944349892
654719.414 1.8122946 3595675.55 Variable X 2 0.239273426
770693.727 1.8500985 4624666.63
878272.119 3.14098193 3925882.64
733435.141 3.03066783 4272085.96
790613.688 3.72472899 3858577.71 Análisis de los residuales
697732.524 0.54000318 4430132.02
839718.411 0.65099313 3942601.53 Observación Pronóstico para Y
764398.534 2.29531784 4449274.6 1 823048.280298398
905452.929 1.87965807 4156395.44 2 711947.523021975
792135.077 2.94945192 4672373.67 3 837152.011706672
863270.842 2.99636263 4050353.32 4 743770.666655062
915971.009 3.41802442 4685167.98 5 803479.155157597
833833.41 3.53101983 3871391.22 6 770943.255323153
891004.374 3.62934828 4975033.94 7 821974.447503885
904385.924 2.90005228 4139586.83 8 766844.775481577
1036962.53 2.2853124 4884568.21 9 818210.957069191
925898.316 1.79711716 4327525.93 10 795101.417534848
958989.205 2.22387914 5055810.7 11 842692.251283381
1040943.25 2.27774535 4386091.3 12 844401.839062875
1083359.93 2.48467845 4932035.72 13 882789.711196893
871800.749 2.46175741 4275323.4 14 843192.379778144
998532.739 2.50757567 5153285.92 15 843011.574548301
1127472.09 2.47955155 4533327.41 16 791625.517376639
1268650.24 2.61132129 5098556.87 17 859799.260589292
916809.379 2.53210941 4168807.67 18 799324.305262769
1225921.12 2.56949126 5430264.91 19 839072.38817899
1073444.39 3.17303074 4460861.32 20 710627.642955443
1093571.25 2.89217114 4884553.8 21 956904.056650735
591330.363 1.91840168 3412142.6 22 791963.880850903
940036.357 0.35088517 4611493.1 23 874607.982255457
1004541.62 1.004203 4652202.63 24 776881.708219447
1076017.41 1.66372898 5153499.36 25 908063.188327531
906940.861 1.58764428 4197210.36 26 791604.436961761
1030038.78 1.5811473 5173390.63 27 915716.957604752
989176.552 1.5569291 4668026.29 28 844910.961160343
1218035.07 1.52638359 5298801.47 29 970243.989857434
855629.505 1.51284411 4306704.14 30 821493.186717592
1174036.6 1.54035918 5225019.18 31 974125.771832029
1176423.6 1.49825008 4989086.25 32 779608.468939763
1362791.5 1.50348637 5525342.41 33 1043853.00957762
897769.233 1.5083833 4586193.47 34 842675.762218672
1167235.08 1.4941651 5349152.4 35 1019853.63205978
1217656.85 1.54011658 4995912.66 36 885713.416602708
1253148.04 1.56960753 5733294.56 37 1060719.84484828
805991.133 1.40542579 4345167.63 38 900568.105707354
1156103.17 1.09429832 5615785.74 39 1031560.4244981
1055576.42 1.29108557 4999936.96 40 874386.48471762
1281112.71 0.9468309 5774374.04 41 1084539.81044262
873164.009 1.17133937 4623402.29 42 936151.146101625
1190777.57 1.08990899 5706109.7 43 1071626.25729483
1190546.3 0.78405427 5203050.69 44 849023.284697941
1432389.36 1.04278094 6037854.15 45 1150921.93394019
861765.527 1.05839306 4790090.89 46 920026.178130672
1282447.73 1.04261126 5824707.85 47 1020912.76022467
1346486.74 1.08050216 5524291.21 48 666898.872262108
1282664.81 1.114381 6055964.24 49 951126.941567358
948542.171 1.50230836 4969341.63 50 962011.573071908
1278198.59 1.54062418 6053012.95 51 1083113.35355202
1213914.21 1.84835803 5492655.39 52 854165.587438371
1366210.24 2.39375281 6397180.5 53 1087728.20999845
951113.698 2.71497848 5162294.69 54 966765.547566659
1152267.88 2.62341632 5984979.36 55 1117639.80178543
1254334.91 2.5351384 5528425.59 56 880233.567136005
1273311.68 2.40688431 6488327.71 57 1100010.13239274
1070737.65 2.70236321 5190866.99 58 1043483.92095498
1246080.63 2.59098193 6307066.74 59 1171804.93627495
1182240.63 2.73666697 5660855.5 60 947100.127197544
61 1129631.02838147
62 1045190.60390403
63 1221678.13448505
64 889248.77648801
65 1192729.15637386
66 1045717.47206815
67 1230416.9150754
68 955413.064849185
69 1214333.59380086
70 1093429.408648
71 1293628.70768131
72 995099.452847049
73 1242628.16380498
74 1170812.79128751
75 1298087.33857906
76 1038766.66338498
77 1298127.50087142
78 1164587.65263962
79 1381971.42987992
80 1087058.52125906
81 1283744.77927071
82 1174349.02500468
83 1403803.52930669
84 1093873.02345344
85 1360754.94098595
86 1206388.84973793
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
2618377831546.78 1.30919E+12 103.104615 3.172756E-23
1053907047094.83 12697675266
3672284878641.61
Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
93434.610995374 -1.636387098 0.10554517 -338732.8753 32942.4914 -338732.88 32942.4914
5064.7486114117 0.345711996 0.73043388 -8322.636935 11824.525635 -8322.6369 11824.5256
0.018115757 13.20802805 4.1788E-22 0.203241914 0.2753049379 0.20324191 0.27530494
Residuos
Residuos Ut-1 ut-ut-1 ut-ut-1)^2 Ut^2 -112730.1
-112730.103865206 12708076317 173515.502
173515.502455604 -112730.1039 286245.606 81936547138 30107629592 -93970.256
-93970.2557756945 173515.5025 -267485.76 71548630857 8830408971 40500.4684
40500.4683508065 -93970.25578 134470.724 18082375647 1640287937 -162233.34
-162233.335761122 40500.46835 -202733.8 41100995330 26319655232 196899.736
196899.736093206 -162233.3358 359133.072 128976563300 38769506074 -89661.274
-89661.2741992894 196899.7361 -286561.01 82117212620 8039144091 93958.4421
93958.4421275615 -89661.2742 183619.716 33716200224 8828188847 -156599.2
-156599.195024451 93958.44213 -250557.64 62779129535 24523307882 178289.116
178289.115781295 -156599.195 334888.311 112150180714 31787008806 -44548.922
-44548.9221087964 178289.1158 -222838.04 49656791131 1984606461 71509.1203
71509.1203487442 -44548.92211 116058.042 13469469219 5113554293 -155832.62
-155832.615758504 71509.12035 -227341.74 51684264976 24283804134 184876.074
184876.073626802 -155832.6158 340708.689 116082411023 34179162600 -107855.93
-107855.93435229 184876.0736 -292732.01 85692028495 11632902575 -69448.352
-69448.3519896477 -107855.9344 38407.5824 1475142383 4823073594 -262512.84
-262512.83972352 -69448.35199 -193064.49 37273896424 68912991020 179798.479
179798.479218744 -262512.8397 442311.319 195639302864 32327493129 -125894.22
-125894.216721727 179798.4792 -305692.7 93448024351 15849353804 -55908.229
-55908.2290784107 -125894.2167 69985.9876 4898038466 3125730079 -186210.33
-186210.329721579 -55908.22908 -130302.1 16978637432 34674286895 86308.2383
86308.2383045558 -186210.3297 272518.568 74266369919 7449111999 -141172.84
-141172.841103428 86308.2383 -227481.08 51747641489 19929771065 13731.9794
13731.9794404476 -141172.8411 154904.821 23995503428 188567259.35 -210330.66
-210330.664094494 13731.97944 -224062.64 50204068228 44238988258 48113.9743
48113.9742662511 -210330.6641 258444.638 66793631097 2314954520 -151318.42
-151318.423663502 48113.97427 -199432.4 39773281344 22897265340 60541.9675
60541.9674921029 -151318.4237 211860.391 44884825341 3665329828 -178108.91
-178108.912892199 60541.96749 -238650.88 56954242708 31722784852 41777.6555
41777.6555044536 -178108.9129 219886.568 48350102961 1745372499 -58154.763
-58154.7625788118 41777.6555 -99932.418 9986488184 3381976411 54224.9414
54224.941390121 -58154.76258 112379.704 12629197864 2940344269 -152848.64
-152848.635081263 54224.94139 -207073.58 42879466073 23362705246 61710.1622
61710.1621884607 -152848.6351 214558.797 46035477486 3808144117 17108.8999
17108.8998605285 61710.16219 -44601.262 1989272601 292714454.44 40184.8993
40184.8992547554 17108.89986 23075.9994 532501748 1614826128 -101730.64
-101730.640289576 40184.89925 -141915.54 20140020364 10349123174 140375.142
140375.142247174 -101730.6403 242105.783 58615209938 19705180561 51799.5101
51799.5100784602 140375.1422 -88575.632 7845642614 2683189244 -2585.7359
-2585.7359320659 51799.51008 -54385.246 2957754984 6686030.3104 -86007.071
-86007.0709600374 -2585.735932 -83421.335 6959119138 7397216255 191320.946
191320.945513739 -86007.07096 277328.016 76910828721 36603704192 197023.982
197023.981556204 191320.9455 5703.03604 32524620.102 38818449308 67786.0947
67786.0946721657 197023.9816 -129237.89 16702431406 4594954631 74999.1893
74999.1892778946 67786.09467 7213.09461 52028733.791 5624878392 153418.21
153418.210264114 74999.18928 78419.021 6149542852 23537147241 72658.4851
72658.4850684813 153418.2103 -80759.725 6522133214 5279255452 -75568.51
-75568.5096328117 72658.48507 -148226.99 21971241958 5710599648 -11090.585
-11090.5847204267 -75568.50963 64477.9249 4157402801 123001069.44 42530.0442
42530.0442255857 -11090.58472 53620.6289 2875171849 1808804662 -7095.9484
-7095.9483816044 42530.04423 -49625.993 2462739142 50352483.434 52775.2738
52775.2738066523 -7095.948382 59871.2222 3584563246 2785229525 -57689.433
-57689.4332243069 52775.27381 -110464.71 12202451499 3328070706 22411.0046
22411.0045977536 -57689.43322 80100.4378 6416080139 502253127.08 100395.27
100395.269728153 22411.0046 77984.2651 6081545608 10079210184 -24604.063
-24604.0626333613 100395.2697 -124999.33 15624833091 605359898.07 74026.4706
74026.47060923 -24604.06263 98630.5332 9727982088 5479918351 132939.679
132939.678616286 74026.47061 58913.208 3470766078 17672958151 190986.56
190986.559630175 132939.6786 58046.881 3369440395 36475865959 -49330.895
-49330.8946161896 190986.5596 -240317.45 57752478815 2433537164 37604.0554
37604.0553935545 -49330.89462 86934.95 7557685533 1414064982 172466.244
172466.243926933 37604.05539 134862.189 18187809896 29744605294 31469.9081
31469.9081155062 172466.2439 -140996.34 19879966712 990355116.8 -83257.644
-83257.6437275886 31469.90812 -114727.55 13162411152 6931835239 -36625.988
-36625.9881825859 -83257.64373 46631.6555 2174511299 1341463010 9858.94826
9858.9482571444 -36625.98818 46484.9364 2160849316 97198860.737 50695.7962
50695.7962059965 9858.948257 40836.8479 1667648150 2570063753 -82249.055
-82249.0553769225 50695.79621 -132944.85 17674333562 6764907110 -23556.028
-23556.0281884209 -82249.05538 58693.0272 3444871441 554886464 97116.8925
97116.8925033966 -23556.02819 120672.921 14561953788 9431690810 138760.648
138760.647547845 97116.8925 41643.755 1734202334 19254517308 -133333.93
-133333.926148 138760.6475 -272094.57 74035457035 17777935862 39819.5692
39819.5691626503 -133333.9261 173153.495 29982132938 1585598088 175673.951
175673.951254959 39819.56916 135854.382 18456413134 30861337150 -15422.532
-15422.5321033997 175673.9513 -191096.48 36517865952 237854496.48 -90224.492
-90224.4921807445 -15422.5321 -74801.96 5595333231 8140458989 -19928.912
-19928.9122331222 -90224.49218 70295.5799 4941468560 397161542.8 49326.5587
49326.5586578208 -19928.91223 69255.4709 4796320248 2433109389 -15761.191
-15761.190756619 49326.55866 -65087.749 4236415124 248415134.07 -135944.82
-135944.823562288 -15761.19076 -120183.63 14444105594 18480995053 -131476.9
-131476.900110208 -135944.8236 4467.92345 19962339.974 17286175263 79985.8829
79985.882909403 -131476.9001 211462.783 44716508602 6397741465 -130491.85
-130491.850809528 79985.88291 -210477.73 44300876391 17028123128 -23135.37
-23135.3700456554 -130491.8508 107356.481 11525413962 535245347.15 -114674.31
-114674.31133231 -23135.37005 -91538.941 8379377772 13150197680 -24148.221
-24148.220890047 -114674.3113 90526.0904 8194973051 583136572.15
2.634661E+12 1.053907E+12
dw= 2.4998985634
perior 95.0%
1997/01
1997/02
1997/03
1997/04
1998/01
1998/02
1998/03
1998/04
1999/01
1999/02
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Indicadores económicos de coyuntura > Oferta y demanda global de bienes y servicios, base 2013 > Series Originales > A precio
Periodicidad: Trimesinversion tasa

1997/01 1991848.725 24.216667
1997/02 2072015.272 22.703333
1997/03 2301964.762 21.09
1997/04 2316884.965 21.166667
1998/01 2368174.314 20.816667
1998/02 2260212.182 20.833333
1998/03 2513002.684 30.07
1998/04 2450289.249 36.846667
1999/01 2535906.207 31.056667
1999/02 2395245.483 23.34
1999/03 2610863.689 23.59
1999/04 2583020.593 20.52
2000/01 2681753.714 17.556667
2000/02 2560297.247 16.533333
2000/03 2778376.738 16.456667
2000/04 2634550.653 18.38
2001/01 2523247.662 18.146667
2001/02 2322266.32 14.143333
2001/03 2566704.845 7.93
2001/04 2467866.913 10.08
2002/01 2341839.106 8.7033333
2002/02 2371656.425 7.8
2002/03 2499618.974 8.4733333
2002/04 2442261.647 8.8233333
2003/01 2460228.729 9.7566667
2003/02 2379630.488 7.21
2003/03 2466516.613 5.58
2003/04 2450595.114 6.11
2004/01 2580765.018 6.0566667
2004/02 2556435.842 7.09
2004/03 2610939.336 7.8433333
2004/04 2700899.988 8.78
2005/01 2680262.621 9.5333333
2005/02 2723325.163 10.146667
2005/03 2766145.765 9.8366667
2005/04 2927996.026 9.01
2006/01 2927578.28 7.9566667
2006/02 2960383.583 7.6633333
2006/03 3064764.473 7.5166667
2006/04 3178539.568 7.6233333
2007/01 3044760.996 7.6733333
2007/02 3080037.3 7.7533333
2007/03 3233092.761 7.78
2007/04 3478904.947 7.93
2008/01 3295109.851 7.9533333
2008/02 3478572.872 8.0066667
2008/03 3451517.842 8.6466667
2008/04 3453148.939 8.8033333
2009/01 2952023.131 7.9366667
2009/02 2958142.086 5.7766667
2009/03 3026830.477 4.9533333
2009/04 3145264.039 5.05
2010/01 3057152.799 5.04
2010/02 3120014.805 5.0266667
2010/03 3122127.235 4.9933333
2010/04 3352429.885 4.94
2011/01 3147467.223 4.89
2011/02 3325754.714 4.8833333
2011/03 3450025.243 4.8366667
2011/04 3721348.797 4.81
2012/01 3441812.756 4.7966667
2012/02 3520178.043 4.7733333
2012/03 3624173.044 4.8033333
2012/04 3730758.84 4.8533333
2013/01 3356467.689 4.7233333
2013/02 3450701.27 4.3233333
2013/03 3414595.877 4.2466667
2013/04 3615449.265 3.85
2014/01 3344810.928 3.8033333
2014/02 3477406.7 3.69
2014/03 3567822.519 3.3066667
2014/04 3871476.973 3.3033333
2015/01 3508441.895 3.3166667
2015/02 3680940.69 3.31
2015/03 3862905.878 3.3433333
2015/04 3923481.676 3.4
2016/01r/ 3630770.764 3.8266667
2016/02 3760319.817 4.1566667
2016/03 3784599.68 4.69
2016/04 3953494.267 5.6
2017/01 3653859.942 6.5433333
2017/02 3650173.673 7.0966667
2017/03 3749720.64 7.3866667
2017/04 3836751.181 7.4566667
2018/01 3693674.262 7.8
2018/02 3771204.878 7.9233333
2018/03p/ 3760367.504 8.1533333


e 2013 > Series Originales > A precios constantes > Demanda > Valores absolutos
p 0.6836348
Producto
Interno
Bruto, a
precios de
mercado
10862932 Resumen
11460068.1 710318.176 6.14797737 4033789.8
11408200.9 885463.025 5.56921136 3573699.55 Estadísticas de la regresión
11887380.1 743181.756 6.74880883 4088337.06 Coeficiente d
11827638 784271.135 6.34639683 3701011.37 Coeficiente
12034464.2 641245.819 6.60233568 3948679.3 R^2 ajustado
11972371.6 967842.991 15.8276084 3745193.11 Error típico
12139816.6 732313.173 16.2897684 3955086.77 Observacione
12100154.5 860803.218 5.86700324 3800953.52
12315219.1 661611.762 2.10858204 4043132.39 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
12325229.1 973390.533 7.63396388 3906116.86 Grados de libertad
12554685.8 798143.329 4.39305518 4128730.32 Regresión
12725022 915910.959 3.52848067 4142201.98 Residuos
12994568.9 726957.095 4.53098511 4295301.06 Total
13008792.3 1028068.45 5.15390472 4125252.8
13003302.2 735155.64 7.12965005 4110039.14
12796119.5 722177.165 5.58145913 3906609.69 Intercepción
12967530.2 597286.421 1.73764058 4219657.64 Variable X 1
12857408.6 979122.784 -1.7388748 3992353.79 Variable X 2
12901429.2 713178.171 4.65877607 4111657.27
12415541.5 654719.414 1.8122946 3595675.55
13112362.8 770693.727 1.8500985 4624666.63
12889950.1 878272.119 3.14098193 3925882.64 Análisis de los residuales
13084104.3 733435.141 3.03066783 4272085.96
12803326.7 790613.688 3.72472899 3858577.71 Observación
13182931.6 697732.524 0.54000318 4430132.02 1
12954912.3 839718.411 0.65099313 3942601.53 2
13305703.4 764398.534 2.29531784 4449274.6 3
13252637.3 905452.929 1.87965807 4156395.44 4
13732337.6 792135.077 2.94945192 4672373.67 5
13438257.2 863270.842 2.99636263 4050353.32 6
13872028.2 915971.009 3.41802442 4685167.98 7
13354792.4 833833.41 3.53101983 3871391.22 8
14104834.7 891004.374 3.62934828 4975033.94 9
13782142.6 904385.924 2.90005228 4139586.83 10
14306520.4 1036962.53 2.2853124 4884568.21 11
14107961.1 925898.316 1.79711716 4327525.93 12
14700503.8 958989.205 2.22387914 5055810.7 13
14435867.2 1040943.25 2.27774535 4386091.3 14
14800896.8 1083359.93 2.48467845 4932035.72 15
14393731.5 871800.749 2.46175741 4275323.4 16
14993341.6 998532.739 2.50757567 5153285.92 17
14783297.4 1127472.09 2.47955155 4533327.41 18
15204933.4 1268650.24 2.61132129 5098556.87 19
14563429.2 916809.379 2.53210941 4168807.67 20
15386331.9 1225921.12 2.56949126 5430264.91 21
14979493.1 1073444.39 3.17303074 4460861.32 22
15125056.5 1093571.25 2.89217114 4884553.8 23
13752157.5 591330.363 1.91840168 3412142.6 24
14012946.5 940036.357 0.35088517 4611493.1 25
14231940.4 1004541.62 1.004203 4652202.63 26
14882949.1 1076017.41 1.66372898 5153499.36 27
14371712.2 906940.861 1.58764428 4197210.36 28
14998393.2 1030038.78 1.5811473 5173390.63 29
14921449.7 989176.552 1.5569291 4668026.29 30
15499623.7 1218035.07 1.52638359 5298801.47 31
14902786.2 855629.505 1.51284411 4306704.14 32
15413082.4 1174036.6 1.54035918 5225019.18 33
15526005.7 1176423.6 1.49825008 4989086.25 34
16139460.1 1362791.5 1.50348637 5525342.41 35
15619690 897769.233 1.5083833 4586193.47 36
16027316 1167235.08 1.4941651 5349152.4 37
15952743.5 1217656.85 1.54011658 4995912.66 38
16639145.1 1253148.04 1.56960753 5733294.56 39
15720266.2 805991.133 1.40542579 4345167.63 40
16362706.7 1156103.17 1.09429832 5615785.74 41
16186052.6 1055576.42 1.29108557 4999936.96 42
16839722.8 1281112.71 0.9468309 5774374.04 43
16135622.7 873164.009 1.17133937 4623402.29 44
16736982.8 1190777.57 1.08990899 5706109.7 45
16645034.5 1190546.3 0.78405427 5203050.69 46
17416978.9 1432389.36 1.04278094 6037854.15 47
16696943.7 861765.527 1.05839306 4790090.89 48
17239319.5 1282447.73 1.04261126 5824707.85 49
17309689.9 1346486.74 1.08050216 5524291.21 50
17889470.6 1282664.81 1.114381 6055964.24 51
17199206.2 948542.171 1.50230836 4969341.63 52
17810988.7 1278198.59 1.54062418 6053012.95 53
17668867 1213914.21 1.84835803 5492655.39 54
18476232.8 1366210.24 2.39375281 6397180.5 55
17793290.3 951113.698 2.71497848 5162294.69 56
18149091.7 1152267.88 2.62341632 5984979.36 57
17935776.2 1254334.91 2.5351384 5528425.59 58
18749848.4 1273311.68 2.40688431 6488327.71 59
18008915.8 1070737.65 2.70236321 5190866.99 60
18618588.2 1246080.63 2.59098193 6307066.74 61
18389170.2 1182240.63 2.73666697 5660855.5 62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
stadísticas de la regresión
0.84439952
0.71301054
0.70609513
112683.962
86
NÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de Promedio
cuadradosde los cuadrados
F Valor crítico de F
2 2.6184E+12 1.3092E+12 103.104615 3.1728E-23
83 1.0539E+12 1.2698E+10
85 3.6723E+12
Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%
-152895.19 93434.611 -1.6363871 0.10554517 -338732.88 32942.4914 -338732.8753 32942.4914
1750.94435 5064.74861 0.345712 0.73043388 -8322.6369 11824.5256 -8322.636935 11824.525635
0.23927343 0.01811576 13.208028 4.1788E-22 0.20324191 0.27530494 0.203241914 0.2753049379
nálisis de los residuales
Pronóstico para YResiduos ut ut-1 ut-2 PIB ut-3

823048.28 -112730.1 -112730.1 4033789.8038
711947.523 173515.502 173515.502 -112730.1 3573699.5545
837152.012 -93970.256 -93970.256 173515.502 -112730.1 4088337.0603
743770.667 40500.4684 40500.4684 -93970.256 173515.502 3701011.3736 -112730.1039
803479.155 -162233.34 -162233.34 40500.4684 -93970.256 3948679.3024 173515.50246
770943.255 196899.736 196899.736 -162233.34 40500.4684 3745193.1073 -93970.25578
821974.448 -89661.274 -89661.274 196899.736 -162233.34 3955086.7703 40500.468351
766844.775 93958.4421 93958.4421 -89661.274 196899.736 3800953.5223 -162233.3358
818210.957 -156599.2 -156599.2 93958.4421 -89661.274 4043132.3925 196899.73609
795101.418 178289.116 178289.116 -156599.2 93958.4421 3906116.8609 -89661.2742
842692.251 -44548.922 -44548.922 178289.116 -156599.2 4128730.3179 93958.442128
844401.839 71509.1203 71509.1203 -44548.922 178289.116 4142201.9754 -156599.195
882789.711 -155832.62 -155832.62 71509.1203 -44548.922 4295301.0606 178289.11578
843192.38 184876.074 184876.074 -155832.62 71509.1203 4125252.8038 -44548.92211
843011.575 -107855.93 -107855.93 184876.074 -155832.62 4110039.1405 71509.120349
791625.517 -69448.352 -69448.352 -107855.93 184876.074 3906609.6922 -155832.6158
859799.261 -262512.84 -262512.84 -69448.352 -107855.93 4219657.6426 184876.07363
799324.305 179798.479 179798.479 -262512.84 -69448.352 3992353.7949 -107855.9344
839072.388 -125894.22 -125894.22 179798.479 -262512.84 4111657.2744 -69448.35199
710627.643 -55908.229 -55908.229 -125894.22 179798.479 3595675.5516 -262512.8397
956904.057 -186210.33 -186210.33 -55908.229 -125894.22 4624666.6323 179798.47922
791963.881 86308.2383 86308.2383 -186210.33 -55908.229 3925882.6358 -125894.2167
874607.982 -141172.84 -141172.84 86308.2383 -186210.33 4272085.9591 -55908.22908
776881.708 13731.9794 13731.9794 -141172.84 86308.2383 3858577.7055 -186210.3297
908063.188 -210330.66 -210330.66 13731.9794 -141172.84 4430132.0151 86308.238305
791604.437 48113.9743 48113.9743 -210330.66 13731.9794 3942601.5335 -141172.8411
915716.958 -151318.42 -151318.42 48113.9743 -210330.66 4449274.5963 13731.97944
844910.961 60541.9675 60541.9675 -151318.42 48113.9743 4156395.4392 -210330.6641
970243.99 -178108.91 -178108.91 60541.9675 -151318.42 4672373.6707 48113.974266
821493.187 41777.6555 41777.6555 -178108.91 60541.9675 4050353.3165 -151318.4237
974125.772 -58154.763 -58154.763 41777.6555 -178108.91 4685167.9775 60541.967492
779608.469 54224.9414 54224.9414 -58154.763 41777.6555 3871391.2249 -178108.9129
1043853.01 -152848.64 -152848.64 54224.9414 -58154.763 4975033.9379 41777.655504
842675.762 61710.1622 61710.1622 -152848.64 54224.9414 4139586.8346 -58154.76258
1019853.63 17108.8999 17108.8999 61710.1622 -152848.64 4884568.2065 54224.94139
885713.417 40184.8993 40184.8993 17108.8999 61710.1622 4327525.9348 -152848.6351
1060719.84 -101730.64 -101730.64 40184.8993 17108.8999 5055810.7038 61710.162188
900568.106 140375.142 140375.142 -101730.64 40184.8993 4386091.3013 17108.899861
1031560.42 51799.5101 51799.5101 140375.142 -101730.64 4932035.7158 40184.899255
874386.485 -2585.7359 -2585.7359 51799.5101 140375.142 4275323.3974 -101730.6403
1084539.81 -86007.071 -86007.071 -2585.7359 51799.5101 5153285.9193 140375.14225
936151.146 191320.946 191320.946 -86007.071 -2585.7359 4533327.4134 51799.510078
1071626.26 197023.982 197023.982 191320.946 -86007.071 5098556.8749 -2585.735932
849023.285 67786.0947 67786.0947 197023.982 191320.946 4168807.6723 -86007.07096
1150921.93 74999.1893 74999.1893 67786.0947 197023.982 5430264.913 191320.94551
920026.178 153418.21 153418.21 74999.1893 67786.0947 4460861.3158 197023.98156
1020912.76 72658.4851 72658.4851 153418.21 74999.1893 4884553.7974 67786.094672
666898.872 -75568.51 -75568.51 72658.4851 153418.21 3412142.5992 74999.189278
951126.942 -11090.585 -11090.585 -75568.51 72658.4851 4611493.1009 153418.21026
962011.573 42530.0442 42530.0442 -11090.585 -75568.51 4652202.6294 72658.485068
1083113.35 -7095.9484 -7095.9484 42530.0442 -11090.585 5153499.3643 -75568.50963
854165.587 52775.2738 52775.2738 -7095.9484 42530.0442 4197210.361 -11090.58472
1087728.21 -57689.433 -57689.433 52775.2738 -7095.9484 5173390.6345 42530.044226
966765.548 22411.0046 22411.0046 -57689.433 52775.2738 4668026.2915 -7095.948382
1117639.8 100395.27 100395.27 22411.0046 -57689.433 5298801.4689 52775.273807
880233.567 -24604.063 -24604.063 100395.27 22411.0046 4306704.1358 -57689.43322
1100010.13 74026.4706 74026.4706 -24604.063 100395.27 5225019.1848 22411.004598
1043483.92 132939.679 132939.679 74026.4706 -24604.063 4989086.2536 100395.26973
1171804.94 190986.56 190986.56 132939.679 74026.4706 5525342.4064 -24604.06263
947100.127 -49330.895 -49330.895 190986.56 132939.679 4586193.4708 74026.470609
1129631.03 37604.0554 37604.0554 -49330.895 190986.56 5349152.3983 132939.67862
1045190.6 172466.244 172466.244 37604.0554 -49330.895 4995912.6575 190986.55963
1221678.13 31469.9081 31469.9081 172466.244 37604.0554 5733294.5579 -49330.89462
889248.776 -83257.644 -83257.644 31469.9081 172466.244 4345167.6334 37604.055394
1192729.16 -36625.988 -36625.988 -83257.644 31469.9081 5615785.7372 172466.24393
1045717.47 9858.94826 9858.94826 -36625.988 -83257.644 4999936.9557 31469.908116
1230416.92 50695.7962 50695.7962 9858.94826 -36625.988 5774374.0375 -83257.64373
955413.065 -82249.055 -82249.055 50695.7962 9858.94826 4623402.2949 -36625.98818
1214333.59 -23556.028 -23556.028 -82249.055 50695.7962 5706109.6952 9858.9482571
1093429.41 97116.8925 97116.8925 -23556.028 -82249.055 5203050.6945 50695.796206
1293628.71 138760.648 138760.648 97116.8925 -23556.028 6037854.151 -82249.05538
995099.453 -133333.93 -133333.93 138760.648 97116.8925 4790090.8878 -23556.02819
1242628.16 39819.5692 39819.5692 -133333.93 138760.648 5824707.8454 97116.892503
1170812.79 175673.951 175673.951 39819.5692 -133333.93 5524291.2108 138760.64755
1298087.34 -15422.532 -15422.532 175673.951 39819.5692 6055964.2406 -133333.9261
1038766.66 -90224.492 -90224.492 -15422.532 175673.951 4969341.6315 39819.569163
1298127.5 -19928.912 -19928.912 -90224.492 -15422.532 6053012.9483 175673.95125
1164587.65 49326.5587 49326.5587 -19928.912 -90224.492 5492655.3886 -15422.5321
1381971.43 -15761.191 -15761.191 49326.5587 -19928.912 6397180.4961 -90224.49218
1087058.52 -135944.82 -135944.82 -15761.191 49326.5587 5162294.6926 -19928.91223
1283744.78 -131476.9 -131476.9 -135944.82 -15761.191 5984979.3574 49326.558658
1174349.03 79985.8829 79985.8829 -131476.9 -135944.82 5528425.588 -15761.19076
1403803.53 -130491.85 -130491.85 79985.8829 -131476.9 6488327.7132 -135944.8236
1093873.02 -23135.37 -23135.37 -130491.85 79985.8829 5190866.9872 -131476.9001
1360754.94 -114674.31 -114674.31 -23135.37 -130491.85 6307066.7443 79985.882909
1206388.85 -24148.221 -24148.221 -114674.31 -23135.37 5660855.5029 -130491.8508
erior 95.0%
Resumen
Estadísticas de la regresión Estadistico de prueba

Coeficiente d 0.36329621 10.9546831
Coeficiente 0.13198413
R^2 ajustado 0.0874705
Error típico 105609.76
Observacione 83
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de Promedio
Regresión 4 1.3228E+11 3.307E+10 2.96502716 0.02461892
Residuos 78 8.6997E+11 1.1153E+10
Total 82 1.0022E+12
Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%

Intercepción -71252.268 78857.8795 -0.9035529 0.36901462 -228246.25 85741.7103
Variable X 1 -0.1513122 0.1122312 -1.348219 0.18149017 -0.3747474 0.07212293
Variable X 2 0.220796 0.11043799 1.99927577 0.04906129 0.00093085 0.44066116
Variable X 3 0.01495949 0.01639112 0.91265849 0.36423449 -0.0176727 0.04759169
Variable X 4 -0.1404238 0.11221955 -1.2513313 0.21455366 -0.3638358 0.08298813
Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
-228246.25 85741.7103
-0.3747474 0.07212293
0.00093085 0.44066116
-0.0176727 0.04759169
-0.3638358 0.08298813
Periodicidad: Trimesinversion tasa

1997/01 1991848.725 24.216667
1997/02 2072015.272 22.703333
1997/03 2301964.762 21.09
1997/04 2316884.965 21.166667
1998/01 2368174.314 20.816667
1998/02 2260212.182 20.833333
1998/03 2513002.684 30.07
1998/04 2450289.249 36.846667
1999/01 2535906.207 31.056667
1999/02 2395245.483 23.34
1999/03 2610863.689 23.59
1999/04 2583020.593 20.52
2000/01 2681753.714 17.556667
2000/02 2560297.247 16.533333
2000/03 2778376.738 16.456667
2000/04 2634550.653 18.38
2001/01 2523247.662 18.146667
2001/02 2322266.32 14.143333
2001/03 2566704.845 7.93
2001/04 2467866.913 10.08
2002/01 2341839.106 8.7033333
2002/02 2371656.425 7.8
2002/03 2499618.974 8.4733333
2002/04 2442261.647 8.8233333
2003/01 2460228.729 9.7566667
2003/02 2379630.488 7.21
2003/03 2466516.613 5.58
2003/04 2450595.114 6.11
2004/01 2580765.018 6.0566667
2004/02 2556435.842 7.09
2004/03 2610939.336 7.8433333
2004/04 2700899.988 8.78
2005/01 2680262.621 9.5333333
2005/02 2723325.163 10.146667
2005/03 2766145.765 9.8366667
2005/04 2927996.026 9.01
2006/01 2927578.28 7.9566667
2006/02 2960383.583 7.6633333
2006/03 3064764.473 7.5166667
2006/04 3178539.568 7.6233333
2007/01 3044760.996 7.6733333
2007/02 3080037.3 7.7533333
2007/03 3233092.761 7.78
2007/04 3478904.947 7.93
2008/01 3295109.851 7.9533333
2008/02 3478572.872 8.0066667
2008/03 3451517.842 8.6466667
2008/04 3453148.939 8.8033333
2009/01 2952023.131 7.9366667
2009/02 2958142.086 5.7766667
2009/03 3026830.477 4.9533333
2009/04 3145264.039 5.05
2010/01 3057152.799 5.04
2010/02 3120014.805 5.0266667
2010/03 3122127.235 4.9933333
2010/04 3352429.885 4.94
2011/01 3147467.223 4.89
2011/02 3325754.714 4.8833333
2011/03 3450025.243 4.8366667
2011/04 3721348.797 4.81
2012/01 3441812.756 4.7966667
2012/02 3520178.043 4.7733333
2012/03 3624173.044 4.8033333
2012/04 3730758.84 4.8533333
2013/01 3356467.689 4.7233333
2013/02 3450701.27 4.3233333
2013/03 3414595.877 4.2466667
2013/04 3615449.265 3.85
2014/01 3344810.928 3.8033333
2014/02 3477406.7 3.69
2014/03 3567822.519 3.3066667
2014/04 3871476.973 3.3033333
2015/01 3508441.895 3.3166667
2015/02 3680940.69 3.31
2015/03 3862905.878 3.3433333
2015/04 3923481.676 3.4
2016/01r/ 3630770.764 3.8266667
2016/02 3760319.817 4.1566667
2016/03 3784599.68 4.69
2016/04 3953494.267 5.6
2017/01 3653859.942 6.5433333
2017/02 3650173.673 7.0966667
2017/03 3749720.64 7.3866667
2017/04 3836751.181 7.4566667
2018/01 3693674.262 7.8
2018/02 3771204.878 7.9233333
2018/03p/ 3760367.504 8.1533333


e 2013 > Series Originales > A precios constantes > Demanda > Valores absolutos
p 0.6836348
Producto
Interno
Bruto, a
precios de
mercado
10862932
11460068.1 710318.176 6.14797737 4033789.8
11408200.9 885463.025 5.56921136 3573699.55
11887380.1 743181.756 6.74880883 4088337.06
11827638 784271.135 6.34639683 3701011.37
12034464.2 641245.819 6.60233568 3948679.3
11972371.6 967842.991 15.8276084 3745193.11
12139816.6 732313.173 16.2897684 3955086.77
12100154.5 860803.218 5.86700324 3800953.52
12315219.1 661611.762 2.10858204 4043132.39
12325229.1 973390.533 7.63396388 3906116.86
12554685.8 798143.329 4.39305518 4128730.32
12725022 915910.959 3.52848067 4142201.98
12994568.9 726957.095 4.53098511 4295301.06
13008792.3 1028068.45 5.15390472 4125252.8
13003302.2 735155.64 7.12965005 4110039.14
12796119.5 722177.165 5.58145913 3906609.69
12967530.2 597286.421 1.73764058 4219657.64
12857408.6 979122.784 -1.7388748 3992353.79
12901429.2 713178.171 4.65877607 4111657.27
12415541.5 654719.414 1.8122946 3595675.55
13112362.8 770693.727 1.8500985 4624666.63
12889950.1 878272.119 3.14098193 3925882.64
13084104.3 733435.141 3.03066783 4272085.96
12803326.7 790613.688 3.72472899 3858577.71
13182931.6 697732.524 0.54000318 4430132.02
12954912.3 839718.411 0.65099313 3942601.53
13305703.4 764398.534 2.29531784 4449274.6
13252637.3 905452.929 1.87965807 4156395.44
13732337.6 792135.077 2.94945192 4672373.67
13438257.2 863270.842 2.99636263 4050353.32
13872028.2 915971.009 3.41802442 4685167.98
13354792.4 833833.41 3.53101983 3871391.22
14104834.7 891004.374 3.62934828 4975033.94
13782142.6 904385.924 2.90005228 4139586.83
14306520.4 1036962.53 2.2853124 4884568.21
14107961.1 925898.316 1.79711716 4327525.93
14700503.8 958989.205 2.22387914 5055810.7
14435867.2 1040943.25 2.27774535 4386091.3
14800896.8 1083359.93 2.48467845 4932035.72
14393731.5 871800.749 2.46175741 4275323.4
14993341.6 998532.739 2.50757567 5153285.92
14783297.4 1127472.09 2.47955155 4533327.41
15204933.4 1268650.24 2.61132129 5098556.87
14563429.2 916809.379 2.53210941 4168807.67
15386331.9 1225921.12 2.56949126 5430264.91
14979493.1 1073444.39 3.17303074 4460861.32
15125056.5 1093571.25 2.89217114 4884553.8
13752157.5 591330.363 1.91840168 3412142.6
14012946.5 940036.357 0.35088517 4611493.1
14231940.4 1004541.62 1.004203 4652202.63
14882949.1 1076017.41 1.66372898 5153499.36
14371712.2 906940.861 1.58764428 4197210.36
14998393.2 1030038.78 1.5811473 5173390.63
14921449.7 989176.552 1.5569291 4668026.29
15499623.7 1218035.07 1.52638359 5298801.47
14902786.2 855629.505 1.51284411 4306704.14
15413082.4 1174036.6 1.54035918 5225019.18
15526005.7 1176423.6 1.49825008 4989086.25
16139460.1 1362791.5 1.50348637 5525342.41
15619690 897769.233 1.5083833 4586193.47
16027316 1167235.08 1.4941651 5349152.4
15952743.5 1217656.85 1.54011658 4995912.66
16639145.1 1253148.04 1.56960753 5733294.56
15720266.2 805991.133 1.40542579 4345167.63
16362706.7 1156103.17 1.09429832 5615785.74
16186052.6 1055576.42 1.29108557 4999936.96
16839722.8 1281112.71 0.9468309 5774374.04
16135622.7 873164.009 1.17133937 4623402.29
16736982.8 1190777.57 1.08990899 5706109.7
16645034.5 1190546.3 0.78405427 5203050.69
17416978.9 1432389.36 1.04278094 6037854.15
16696943.7 861765.527 1.05839306 4790090.89
17239319.5 1282447.73 1.04261126 5824707.85
17309689.9 1346486.74 1.08050216 5524291.21
17889470.6 1282664.81 1.114381 6055964.24
17199206.2 948542.171 1.50230836 4969341.63
17810988.7 1278198.59 1.54062418 6053012.95
17668867 1213914.21 1.84835803 5492655.39
18476232.8 1366210.24 2.39375281 6397180.5
17793290.3 951113.698 2.71497848 5162294.69
18149091.7 1152267.88 2.62341632 5984979.36
17935776.2 1254334.91 2.5351384 5528425.59
18749848.4 1273311.68 2.40688431 6488327.71
18008915.8 1070737.65 2.70236321 5190866.99
18618588.2 1246080.63 2.59098193 6307066.74
18389170.2 1182240.63 2.73666697 5660855.5
Resumen
Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.84439952
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.71301054
R^2 ajustado 0.70609513
Observaciones 86
Grados de libertad
Suma de Promedio
Regresión 2 2.6184E+12 1.3092E+12 103.104615 3.1728E-23
Residuos 83 1.0539E+12 1.2698E+10
Total 85 3.6723E+12
Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Intercepción -152895.19 93434.611 -1.6363871 0.10554517 -338732.88
Variable X 1 1750.94435 5064.74861 0.345712 0.73043388 -8322.6369
Variable X 2 0.23927343 0.01811576 13.208028 4.1788E-22 0.20324191
Análisis de los residuales
Observación Pronóstico para YResiduos ut x1

1 823048.28 -112730.1 -112730.1 6.14797737
2 711947.523 173515.502 173515.502 5.56921136
3 837152.012 -93970.256 -93970.256 6.74880883
4 743770.667 40500.4684 40500.4684 6.34639683
5 803479.155 -162233.34 -162233.34 6.60233568
6 770943.255 196899.736 196899.736 15.8276084
7 821974.448 -89661.274 -89661.274 16.2897684
8 766844.775 93958.4421 93958.4421 5.86700324
9 818210.957 -156599.2 -156599.2 2.10858204
10 795101.418 178289.116 178289.116 7.63396388
11 842692.251 -44548.922 -44548.922 4.39305518
12 844401.839 71509.1203 71509.1203 3.52848067
13 882789.711 -155832.62 -155832.62 4.53098511
14 843192.38 184876.074 184876.074 5.15390472
15 843011.575 -107855.93 -107855.93 7.12965005
16 791625.517 -69448.352 -69448.352 5.58145913
17 859799.261 -262512.84 -262512.84 1.73764058
18 799324.305 179798.479 179798.479 -1.7388748
19 839072.388 -125894.22 -125894.22 4.65877607
20 710627.643 -55908.229 -55908.229 1.8122946
21 956904.057 -186210.33 -186210.33 1.8500985
22 791963.881 86308.2383 86308.2383 3.14098193
23 874607.982 -141172.84 -141172.84 3.03066783
24 776881.708 13731.9794 13731.9794 3.72472899
25 908063.188 -210330.66 -210330.66 0.54000318
26 791604.437 48113.9743 48113.9743 0.65099313
27 915716.958 -151318.42 -151318.42 2.29531784
28 844910.961 60541.9675 60541.9675 1.87965807
29 970243.99 -178108.91 -178108.91 2.94945192
30 821493.187 41777.6555 41777.6555 2.99636263
31 974125.772 -58154.763 -58154.763 3.41802442
32 779608.469 54224.9414 54224.9414 3.53101983
33 1043853.01 -152848.64 -152848.64 3.62934828
34 842675.762 61710.1622 61710.1622 2.90005228
35 1019853.63 17108.8999 17108.8999 2.2853124
36 885713.417 40184.8993 40184.8993 1.79711716
37 1060719.84 -101730.64 -101730.64 2.22387914
38 900568.106 140375.142 140375.142 2.27774535
39 1031560.42 51799.5101 51799.5101 2.48467845
40 874386.485 -2585.7359 -2585.7359 2.46175741
41 1084539.81 -86007.071 -86007.071 2.50757567
42 936151.146 191320.946 191320.946 2.47955155
43 1071626.26 197023.982 197023.982 2.61132129
44 849023.285 67786.0947 67786.0947 2.53210941
45 1150921.93 74999.1893 74999.1893 2.56949126
46 920026.178 153418.21 153418.21 3.17303074
47 1020912.76 72658.4851 72658.4851 2.89217114
48 666898.872 -75568.51 -75568.51 1.91840168
49 951126.942 -11090.585 -11090.585 0.35088517
50 962011.573 42530.0442 42530.0442 1.004203
51 1083113.35 -7095.9484 -7095.9484 1.66372898
52 854165.587 52775.2738 52775.2738 1.58764428
53 1087728.21 -57689.433 -57689.433 1.5811473
54 966765.548 22411.0046 22411.0046 1.5569291
55 1117639.8 100395.27 100395.27 1.52638359
56 880233.567 -24604.063 -24604.063 1.51284411
57 1100010.13 74026.4706 74026.4706 1.54035918
58 1043483.92 132939.679 132939.679 1.49825008
59 1171804.94 190986.56 190986.56 1.50348637
60 947100.127 -49330.895 -49330.895 1.5083833
61 1129631.03 37604.0554 37604.0554 1.4941651
62 1045190.6 172466.244 172466.244 1.54011658
63 1221678.13 31469.9081 31469.9081 1.56960753
64 889248.776 -83257.644 -83257.644 1.40542579
65 1192729.16 -36625.988 -36625.988 1.09429832
66 1045717.47 9858.94826 9858.94826 1.29108557
67 1230416.92 50695.7962 50695.7962 0.9468309
68 955413.065 -82249.055 -82249.055 1.17133937
69 1214333.59 -23556.028 -23556.028 1.08990899
70 1093429.41 97116.8925 97116.8925 0.78405427
71 1293628.71 138760.648 138760.648 1.04278094
72 995099.453 -133333.93 -133333.93 1.05839306
73 1242628.16 39819.5692 39819.5692 1.04261126
74 1170812.79 175673.951 175673.951 1.08050216
75 1298087.34 -15422.532 -15422.532 1.114381
76 1038766.66 -90224.492 -90224.492 1.50230836
77 1298127.5 -19928.912 -19928.912 1.54062418
78 1164587.65 49326.5587 49326.5587 1.84835803
79 1381971.43 -15761.191 -15761.191 2.39375281
80 1087058.52 -135944.82 -135944.82 2.71497848
81 1283744.78 -131476.9 -131476.9 2.62341632
82 1174349.03 79985.8829 79985.8829 2.5351384
83 1403803.53 -130491.85 -130491.85 2.40688431
84 1093873.02 -23135.37 -23135.37 2.70236321
85 1360754.94 -114674.31 -114674.31 2.59098193
86 1206388.85 -24148.221 -24148.221 2.73666697
or crítico de F
Superior 95% Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%

32942.4914 -338732.8753 32942.4914
11824.5256 -8322.636935 11824.525635
0.27530494 0.203241914 0.2753049379
x2 x1^2 x2^2 x1x2

4033789.8 37.797625762 1.627146E+13 24799648.435 Resumen
3573699.55 31.016115194 1.277133E+13 19902688.163
4088337.06 45.546420649 1.67145E+13 27591405.26 Estadísticas de la regresión
3701011.37 40.276752735 1.369749E+13 23488086.852 Coeficiente d 0.33757727
3948679.3 43.590836378 1.559207E+13 26070506.231 Coeficiente 0.11395841
3745193.11 250.51318859 1.402647E+13 59277449.995 R^2 ajustado 0.05858081
3955086.77 265.35655352 1.564271E+13 64427447.369 Error típico 108039.661
3800953.52 34.421727008 1.444725E+13 22300206.627 Observacione 86
4043132.39 4.4461182101 1.634692E+13 8525276.3391
3906116.86 58.277404453 1.525775E+13 29819155.01 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
4128730.32 19.298933786 1.704641E+13 18137740.096 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
4142201.98 12.450175805 1.715784E+13 14615679.582 Regresión 5 1.201E+11
4295301.06 20.529826057 1.844961E+13 19461945.144 Residuos 80 9.3381E+11
4125252.8 26.562733824 1.701771E+13 21261159.881 Total 85 1.0539E+12
4110039.14 50.831909843 1.689242E+13 29303140.765
3906609.69 31.15268599 1.52616E+13 21804582.324 Coeficientes Error típico
4219657.64 3.019394784 1.780551E+13 7332248.3519 Intercepción -535435.45 567699.933
3992353.79 3.0236855335 1.593889E+13 -6942203.3646 Variable X 1 186564.365 70192.9551
4111657.27 21.704194494 1.690573E+13 19155290.529 Variable X 2 0.15851121 0.22096514
3595675.55 3.2844117019 1.292888E+13 6516423.3703 Variable X 3 -238.35554 887.154028
4624666.63 3.4228644502 2.138754E+13 8556088.7875 Variable X 4 -6.8475E-09 2.1542E-08
3925882.64 9.86576748 1.541255E+13 12331126.415 Variable X 5 -0.046145 0.0158345
4272085.96 9.1849475183 1.825072E+13 12947273.499
3858577.71 13.873606039 1.488862E+13 14372156.235
4430132.02 0.291603434 1.962607E+13 2392285.3743
3942601.53 0.4237920491 1.554411E+13 2566606.4938
4449274.6 5.2684839945 1.979604E+13 10212499.363
4156395.44 3.5331144482 1.727562E+13 7812602.2162
4672373.67 8.6992666436 2.183108E+13 13780941.506
4050353.32 8.9781890345 1.640536E+13 12136327.332
4685167.98 11.682890946 2.19508E+13 16014018.566
3871391.22 12.468101038 1.498767E+13 13669959.184
4975033.94 13.172168966 2.475096E+13 18056130.885
4139586.83 8.4103032041 1.713618E+13 12005018.222
4884568.21 5.2226527473 2.385901E+13 11162764.271
4327525.93 3.2296300874 1.872748E+13 7777071.1186
5055810.7 4.9456384501 2.556122E+13 11243511.984
4386091.3 5.1881238854 1.92378E+13 9990399.072
4932035.72 6.1736270229 2.432498E+13 12254522.881
4275323.4 6.0602495447 1.827839E+13 10524809.053
5153285.92 6.2879357409 2.655636E+13 12922254.392
4533327.41 6.1481759043 2.055106E+13 11240619.028
5098556.87 6.8189988893 2.599528E+13 13313970.125
4168807.67 6.4115780433 1.737896E+13 10555877.118
5430264.91 6.6022853386 2.948778E+13 13953018.237
4460861.32 10.068124066 1.989928E+13 14154450.074
4884553.8 8.364653879 2.385887E+13 14126965.504
3412142.6 3.6802650234 1.164272E+13 6545860.1103
4611493.1 0.1231204053 2.126587E+13 1618104.5587
4652202.63 1.0084236624 2.164299E+13 4671755.8306
5153499.36 2.7679941194 2.655856E+13 8574026.2416
4197210.36 2.5206143702 1.761657E+13 6663677.0353
5173390.63 2.5000267776 2.676397E+13 8179892.6227
4668026.29 2.4240282074 2.179047E+13 7267785.9503
5298801.47 2.3298468588 2.80773E+13 8088003.6
4306704.14 2.2886973035 1.85477E+13 6515371.9887
5225019.18 2.3727064153 2.730083E+13 8048406.2872
4989086.25 2.2447533097 2.489098E+13 7474898.8911
5525342.41 2.2604712737 3.052941E+13 8307277.0139
4586193.47 2.2752201822 2.103317E+13 6917737.6457
5349152.4 2.2325293404 2.861343E+13 7992516.818
4995912.66 2.3719590697 2.495914E+13 7694287.8994
5733294.56 2.463667807 3.287067E+13 8999022.3259
4345167.63 1.9752216597 1.888048E+13 6106810.6671
5615785.74 1.1974888053 3.153705E+13 6145344.8776
4999936.96 1.6669019437 2.499937E+13 6455346.444
5774374.04 0.8964887574 3.33434E+13 5467355.7798
4623402.29 1.3720359222 2.137585E+13 5415573.1363
5706109.7 1.1879016171 3.255969E+13 6219140.2825
5203050.69 0.6147411009 2.707174E+13 4079474.1228
6037854.15 1.0873920956 3.645568E+13 6296159.2467
4790090.89 1.1201958678 2.294497E+13 5069798.9487
5824707.85 1.0870382435 3.392722E+13 6072905.9971
5524291.21 1.167484919 3.051779E+13 5969008.589
6055964.24 1.2418450148 3.66747E+13 6748651.4908
4969341.63 2.2569304155 2.469436E+13 7465483.4882
6053012.95 2.3735228731 3.663897E+13 9325418.128
5492655.39 3.4164274212 3.016926E+13 10152393.715
6397180.5 5.7300525135 4.092392E+13 15313268.786
5162294.69 7.3711081422 2.664929E+13 14015518.993
5984979.36 6.8823131993 3.581998E+13 15701092.534
5528425.59 6.4269267175 3.056349E+13 14015324.011
6488327.71 5.7930920883 4.20984E+13 15616654.18
5190866.99 7.3027669135 2.69451E+13 14027607.969
6307066.74 6.7131873578 3.977909E+13 16341495.961
5660855.5 7.4893461111 3.204529E+13 15491876.283
r^2 0.11395841
n*R^2 9.80042348
Promedio de los cuadrados

2.402E+10 2.05784314 0.07937003
1.1673E+10
Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
-0.9431663 0.34843551 -1665194.3 594323.425 -1665194.3 594323.425
2.65787877 0.00949236 46875.9329 326252.798 46875.9329 326252.798
0.71735845 0.47524236 -0.2812234 0.59824585 -0.2812234 0.59824585
-0.2686744 0.78887193 -2003.8483 1527.13724 -2003.8483 1527.13724
-0.3178653 0.75141538 -4.9718E-08 3.6023E-08 -4.9718E-08 3.6023E-08
-2.9142068 0.00462247 -0.0776566 -0.0146333 -0.0776566 -0.0146333
LN(y) LN(x1) LN(x2) LNx3 LNx4
6.91046161 5.59471138 6.94793707 2.0898868 3.07375756
7.22748456 6.97821374 8.16394095 3.07657466 2.19589035
5.15971026 5.29330482 6.3403593 1.39475844 0.52117192
6.04570412 5.37063803 6.95368421 1.92454058 2.00390948
6.52206044 6.54391185 7.73368357 2.71164374 1.91294412
6.57392874 5.28826703 6.61606519 2.02669983 2.80432961 LN(y)
6.90975927 6.60258789 8.2905435 2.8557228 2.38499423 03 Baja Califor 5.15971026
7.7329644 6.72743172 7.9956436 3.04495092 3.82783673 29 Tlaxcala 5.33396922
13.4422187 7.47760424 12.0434302 7.62536139 10.1690664 13 Hidalgo 6.06500075
6.50269409 5.70044357 6.95559261 2.62691245 2.46580877 27 Tabasco 6.28867978
9.99314936 7.1808312 9.36836924 4.93801442 6.06421535 05 Coahuila de 6.52206044
7.01909449 6.34212142 7.60240134 2.71151087 2.98224168 23 Quintana R 6.51872389
6.06500075 5.9348942 7.38274645 1.6540288 1.21817152 04 Campeche 6.04570412
8.61217532 7.64969262 9.09672365 3.81165003 4.49737337 02 Baja Califor 7.22748456
8.62353413 7.06731985 8.82600055 3.5821569 4.28190239 26 Sonora 6.99940787
8.84888387 6.9255952 8.54675199 3.60089488 4.20472247 07 Chiapas 6.90975927
7.28284434 5.80814249 7.84619882 2.49526944 3.17329251 10 Durango 6.50269409
7.33863274 5.60211882 7.068172 2.41332113 3.73542901 06 Colima 6.57392874
11.1769723 7.24494155 10.4166105 6.01986248 7.20061667
8.48808997 6.88038408 8.37701116 3.57358083 4.75577745
8.06900397 6.88550967 8.30622522 3.44345834 4.509991
7.80398044 6.13772705 7.85941315 2.91787883 3.84200818
6.51872389 6.07073773 7.21450441 2.32209356 1.93989208
7.38574878 6.02344759 7.63819824 2.49039158 3.0956681
7.10561302 6.80903931 7.89989532 2.9370963 2.83673654
6.99940787 7.03174126 8.05959233 3.32694068 2.31668522
6.28867978 5.86078622 7.30921237 2.41090124 1.75319188 18 Nayarit 7.33863274
7.18230424 6.67708346 7.84267147 3.08717133 3.06553815 08 Chihuahua 7.7329644
5.33396922 5.04985601 6.33150185 0.68208623 1.16844925 22 Querétaro 7.80398044
7.97482874 7.07072411 8.63834831 3.53628173 4.06900966 30 Veracruz de 7.97482874
8.02228029 6.82110747 8.14902387 3.02771532 3.21044035 16 Michoacán 8.84888387
7.08495038 5.41164605 6.54391185 1.94890566 3.38848357 15 México 8.62353413
14 Jalisco 8.61217532
21 Puebla 8.06900397
20 Oaxaca 8.48808997
11 Guanajuato 9.99314936
19 Nuevo León 11.1769723
09 Ciudad de 13.4422187
LN(x1) LN(x2) LNx3 LNx4
5.29330482 6.3403593 1.39475844 0.52117192
5.04985601 6.33150185 0.68208623 1.16844925
5.9348942 7.38274645 1.6540288 1.21817152
5.86078622 7.30921237 2.41090124 1.75319188
6.54391185 7.73368357 2.71164374 1.91294412
6.07073773 7.21450441 2.32209356 1.93989208
5.37063803 6.95368421 1.92454058 2.00390948
6.97821374 8.16394095 3.07657466 2.19589035
7.03174126 8.05959233 3.32694068 2.31668522
6.60258789 8.2905435 2.8557228 2.38499423
5.70044357 6.95559261 2.62691245 2.46580877
5.28826703 6.61606519 2.02669983 2.80432961
5.60211882 7.068172 2.41332113 3.73542901

6.72743172 7.9956436 3.04495092 3.82783673
6.13772705 7.85941315 2.91787883 3.84200818
7.07072411 8.63834831 3.53628173 4.06900966
6.9255952 8.54675199 3.60089488 4.20472247
7.06731985 8.82600055 3.5821569 4.28190239
7.64969262 9.09672365 3.81165003 4.49737337
6.88550967 8.30622522 3.44345834 4.509991 Resumen
6.88038408 8.37701116 3.57358083 4.75577745
7.1808312 9.36836924 4.93801442 6.06421535 Estadísticas de la regresión
7.24494155 10.4166105 6.01986248 7.20061667 Coeficiente d 0.98531729
7.47760424 12.0434302 7.62536139 10.1690664 Coeficiente 0.97085016
R^2 ajustado 0.95419312
Observacione 12
Grados de libertad
Regresión 4
Residuos 7
Total 11
Coeficientes
Intercepción 1.95577609
Variable X 1 0.45967608
Variable X 2 0.07628389
Variable X 3 -0.0003322
Variable X 4 0.57538387
lamda 3.23381948
Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F

4.1387616633 1.0346904158 58.2846451 1.8599E-05
0.1242665697 0.0177523671
4.263028233
Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

0.6919282487 2.82655911 0.02553187 0.31962578 3.59192641 0.31962578
0.2605783313 1.7640610176 0.12108218 -0.1564938 1.07584592 -0.1564938
0.2112028164 0.3611878456 0.72861405 -0.4231314 0.57569919 -0.4231314
0.1657599758 -0.0020042813 0.99845674 -0.3922923 0.39162783 -0.3922923
0.1102173697 5.2204463969 0.0012252 0.31476121 0.83600654 0.31476121
Resumen
Coeficiente d 0.9940285221
Coeficiente 0.9880927028
R^2 ajustado 0.9812885329
Observacione 12
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados
Regresión 4 33.3468318798
Residuos 7 0.4018556537
Total 11 33.7486875335
Superior 95.0% Coeficientes Error típico

3.59192641 Intercepción 4.1792319491 1.8908764114
1.07584592 Variable X 1 -0.3513897889 0.3261154711
0.57569919 Variable X 2 0.3971136729 0.4661083828
0.39162783 Variable X 3 0.7943257807 0.5077153224
0.83600654 Variable X 4 0.1018020061 0.2843056949
Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
8.33670797 145.2187 8.2133E-07
0.0574079505

Superior 95.0%
2.2102089401 0.06277788 -0.2919803 8.65044417 -0.2919803 8.65044417
-1.077501131 0.31698206 -1.1225303 0.41975076 -1.1225303 0.41975076
0.8519771099 0.42241444 -0.7050575 1.49928486 -0.7050575 1.49928486
1.5645101608 0.16167564 -0.4062302 1.99488175 -0.4062302 1.99488175
0.3580723424 0.73084354 -0.5704741 0.77407815 -0.5704741 0.77407815
LN(y) LN(x1) LN(x2) LNx3 LNx4
6.91046161 5.59471138 6.94793707 2.0898868 3.07375756
7.22748456 6.97821374 8.16394095 3.07657466 2.19589035
5.15971026 5.29330482 6.3403593 1.39475844 0.52117192
6.04570412 5.37063803 6.95368421 1.92454058 2.00390948
6.52206044 6.54391185 7.73368357 2.71164374 1.91294412
6.57392874 5.28826703 6.61606519 2.02669983 2.80432961
6.90975927 6.60258789 8.2905435 2.8557228 2.38499423
7.7329644 6.72743172 7.9956436 3.04495092 3.82783673
13.4422187 7.47760424 12.0434302 7.62536139 10.1690664
6.50269409 5.70044357 6.95559261 2.62691245 2.46580877
9.99314936 7.1808312 9.36836924 4.93801442 6.06421535
7.01909449 6.34212142 7.60240134 2.71151087 2.98224168
6.06500075 5.9348942 7.38274645 1.6540288 1.21817152
8.61217532 7.64969262 9.09672365 3.81165003 4.49737337
8.62353413 7.06731985 8.82600055 3.5821569 4.28190239
8.84888387 6.9255952 8.54675199 3.60089488 4.20472247
7.28284434 5.80814249 7.84619882 2.49526944 3.17329251
7.33863274 5.60211882 7.068172 2.41332113 3.73542901
11.1769723 7.24494155 10.4166105 6.01986248 7.20061667
8.48808997 6.88038408 8.37701116 3.57358083 4.75577745
8.06900397 6.88550967 8.30622522 3.44345834 4.509991
7.80398044 6.13772705 7.85941315 2.91787883 3.84200818
6.51872389 6.07073773 7.21450441 2.32209356 1.93989208
7.38574878 6.02344759 7.63819824 2.49039158 3.0956681
7.10561302 6.80903931 7.89989532 2.9370963 2.83673654
6.99940787 7.03174126 8.05959233 3.32694068 2.31668522
6.28867978 5.86078622 7.30921237 2.41090124 1.75319188
7.18230424 6.67708346 7.84267147 3.08717133 3.06553815
5.33396922 5.04985601 6.33150185 0.68208623 1.16844925
7.97482874 7.07072411 8.63834831 3.53628173 4.06900966
8.02228029 6.82110747 8.14902387 3.02771532 3.21044035
7.08495038 5.41164605 6.54391185 1.94890566 3.38848357
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.9841686479
Observaciones 32
Regresión 4 81.3632754458
Residuos 27 1.1375709233
Total 31 82.5008463691
Coeficientes Error típico

Intercepción 2.1595767254 0.6934502018
Variable X 1 0.0098621095 0.1083950148
Variable X 2 0.3849158537 0.1454567023
Variable X 3 0.1260247158 0.1440328101
Variable X 4 0.5620692847 0.0596800983
Observación Pronóstico para Y Residuos

1 6.8801656148 0.0302959987
2 6.9927939038 0.234690656
3 5.1209934533 0.0387168038
4 6.2580014875 -0.2122973655
5 6.6178721792 -0.0958117345
6 6.59000038 -0.0160716406
7 7.1162774544 -0.2065181847
8 7.8388219017 -0.1058575037
9 13.545732752 -0.1035140705
10 6.6101242599 -0.1074301706
11 9.867249759 0.1258995967
12 7.1663520587 -0.1472575721
13 5.9529887602 0.1120119885
14 8.7446895257 -0.1325142082
15 8.4847090591 0.1388250673
16 8.3348051482 0.5140787236
17 7.3350594529 -0.0522151153
18 7.339184919 -0.0005521784
19 11.0464425866 0.130529747
20 8.5753121687 -0.0872221973
21 8.3935684188 -0.3245644504
22 7.7725200282 0.0314604088
23 6.3794190642 0.1393048303
24 7.2128750702 0.1728737088
25 7.2321123746 -0.1264993528
26 7.0526037463 -0.0531958775
27 6.3200566055 -0.0313768213
28 7.3563001638 -0.1739959254
29 5.3891835551 -0.0552143362
30 8.2870704461 -0.3122417064
31 7.5495925849 0.4726877012
32 6.8819752038 0.2029751808
20.3408188614 482.78493938 1.09465596E-24
0.0421322564

Superior 95.0%
3.1142491846 0.0043341776 0.7367344398 3.58241901 0.73673444 3.58241901
0.0909830537 0.9281777033 -0.2125460898 0.23227031 -0.2125461 0.23227031
2.6462572541 0.0134095326 0.086463353 0.68336835 0.08646335 0.68336835
0.8749722767 0.3893062356 -0.1695061994 0.42155563 -0.1695062 0.42155563
9.4180355018 5.057448E-10 0.4396158378 0.68452273 0.43961584 0.68452273
RESIDUOS^2
0.0009178475
0.055079704
0.0014989909
0.0450701714
0.0091798885
0.0002582976
0.0426497606
0.0112058111
0.0107151628
0.0115412416
0.0158507085
0.0216847925
0.0125466856
0.0175600154
0.0192723993
0.264276934
0.0027264183
3.04901E-07
0.0170380149
0.0076077117
0.1053420825
0.0009897573
0.0194058357
0.0298853192
0.0160020863
0.0028298014
0.0009845049
0.0302745821
0.0030486229
0.0974948832
0.2234336628
0.041198924
1.1375709233
SUMA R^2 pi x1* x2*
1.13757092 0.02581916 5.59471138 6.94793707
0.03554909 1.54939837 6.97821374 8.16394095
0.04216679 5.29330482 6.3403593
1.26782907 5.37063803 6.95368421
0.25823131 6.54391185 7.73368357
0.00726594 5.28826703 6.61606519
1.19974264 6.60258789 8.2905435
0.31522075 6.72743172 7.9956436
perior 95.0% 0.30141875 7.47760424 12.0434302
0.32465644 5.70044357 6.95559261
0.44588224 7.1808312 9.36836924
0.60999569 6.34212142 7.60240134
0.3529397 5.9348942 7.38274645
0.49396524 7.64969262 9.09672365
0.54213479 7.06731985 8.82600055
7.43414034 6.9255952 8.54675199
0.07669446 5.80814249 7.84619882
8.5769E-06 5.60211882 7.068172
0.4792813 7.24494155 10.4166105
0.2140058 6.88038408 8.37701116
2.96328481 6.88550967 8.30622522
0.02784199 6.13772705 7.85941315
0.54588838 6.07073773 7.21450441
0.84067744 6.02344759 7.63819824
0.45014051 6.80903931 7.89989532
0.07960264 7.03174126 8.05959233
0.02769424 5.86078622 7.30921237
0.85162745 6.67708346 7.84267147
0.08575811 5.04985601 6.33150185
2.7425422 7.07072411 8.63834831
6.28521446 6.82110747 8.14902387
1.15893044 5.41164605 6.54391185
x3* x4* Resumen
2.0898868 3.07375756
3.07657466 2.19589035 Estadísticas de la regresión
1.39475844 0.52117192 Coeficiente d 0.3701517065
1.92454058 2.00390948 Coeficiente 0.1370122858
2.71164374 1.91294412 R^2 ajustado 0.0091622541
2.02669983 2.80432961 Error típico 1.6931470186
2.8557228 2.38499423 Observacione 32
3.04495092 3.82783673
7.62536139 10.1690664 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
2.62691245 2.46580877 Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados
4.93801442 6.06421535 Regresión 4 12.2887583285
2.71151087 2.98224168 Residuos 27 77.4021643181
1.6540288 1.21817152 Total 31 89.6909226465
3.81165003 4.49737337
3.5821569 4.28190239 Coeficientes Error típico
3.60089488 4.20472247 Intercepción -6.8182552749 5.7200864135
2.49526944 3.17329251 Variable X 1 1.5530911131 0.8941216687
2.41332113 3.73542901 Variable X 2 -0.0418488606 1.1998336791
6.01986248 7.20061667 Variable X 3 -0.985699894 1.1880883706
3.57358083 4.75577745 Variable X 4 0.357343175 0.4922852696
3.44345834 4.509991
2.91787883 3.84200818
2.32209356 1.93989208
2.49039158 3.0956681
2.9370963 2.83673654
3.32694068 2.31668522
2.41090124 1.75319188
3.08717133 3.06553815
0.68208623 1.16844925
3.53628173 4.06900966
3.02771532 3.21044035
1.94890566 3.38848357
Theta 6.14437916

3.0721895821 1.07166407 0.38981291
2.8667468266

Superior 95.0%
-1.1919846628 0.24363914 -18.554903 4.91839259 -18.554903 4.91839259
1.7370019847 0.09378426 -0.281495 3.38767724 -0.281495 3.38767724
-0.0348788847 0.9724329 -2.5037042 2.4200065 -2.5037042 2.4200065
-0.829652001 0.41401097 -3.4234559 1.45205608 -3.4234559 1.45205608
0.7258863855 0.47415413 -0.6527428 1.36742911 -0.6527428 1.36742911
Entidad POBREZA (y) PROM ESC (X1) ESP VIDA (X2)
Aguascalientes 28.2 9.7 75.9
Baja California 22.1 9.7 74.2
Baja California Sur 22.1 9.8 76.2
Campeche 43.8 9.1 75.4
Coahuila de Zaragoza
24.8 9.8 76
Colima 33.6 9.5 76.1
Chiapas 77.1 7.2 73
Chihuahua 30.8 9.4 73.5
Ciudad de México 27.9 11.1 76.2
Durango 36 9.1 76
Guanajuato 42.4 8.3 75.6
Guerrero 64.4 7.6 73.1
Hidalgo 50.6 8.7 74.6
Jalisco 31.8 9.2 75.7
México 47.9 9.5 75.4
Michoacán de
Ocampo
55.3 7.9 74.9
Morelos 49.5 9.2 75.9
Nayarit 37.5 9.1 75.4
Nuevo León 14.2 10.2 76.7
Oaxaca 70.4 7.5 73.2
Puebla 59.4 8.5 75
Querétaro 31.1 9.5 75.5
Quintana Roo 28.8 9.6 75.8
San Luis Potosí 45.5 8.8 74.9
Sinaloa 30.8 9.5 75.8
Sonora 27.9 10 75.5
Tabasco 50.9 9.3 74.9
Tamaulipas 32.2 9.4 76
Tlaxcala 53.9 9.2 75.4
Veracruz de Ignacio
de la Llave
62.2 8.2 74.2
Yucatán 41.9 8.8 75.6
Zacatecas 49 8.6 75.5
POBREZA= porcentaje de la población en situación de pobreza 2016, porcentaje

PROM ESC= años promedio de escolaridad 2015, promedio
ESP VIDA= esperanza de vida al nacer 2016, años
HOMICIDIOS= tasa de homicidios 2016, homicidios por cada 100 habitantes
DESEMPLEO= tasa de desocupación 2016, porcentaje
SV= satisfacción con la vida 2014, calificación promedio
DESEMPLEO (x4) SV (X5)
4 7.7 Resumen
2.6 8.3
3.7 7.8 Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.8433953821
4.4 8 Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.7113157705

4.1 7.8 R^2 ajustado 0.6803853173
3.1 7.9 Error típico 0.4666235127
3.2 8.3 Observaciones 32
5 8.4
4.5 8.2 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
4 7.9 Grados de libertad
2 7.7 Regresión 3
3.1 8 Residuos 28
3.7 7.8 Total 31
5.2 7.9
2.7 7.6 Coeficientes

2.6 7.7 Intercepción -34.0627120839
4 7.9 Variable X 1 0.4268983787
4.3 8.3 Variable X 2 0.1525470869
2 7.5 Variable X 3 1.316776674
3 7.6
4.5 8.3
3.2 8
2.4 8
3.7 7.9
5 8
7.4 7.9
4.6 8.3
4.1 7.8
3.6 7.7
2 8
2.8 8.1
0.95
FIV 3.4639924795
Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F

15.0220999279 5.0073666426 22.997263142 1.0341917943E-07
6.0966500721 0.2177375026
21.11875
Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%

7.3431069623 -4.6387329313 7.443605E-05 -49.1043848285 -19.021039339
0.100230903 4.2591492841 0.0002089967 0.2215846812 0.6322120762
0.0844245475 1.8069044058 0.0815353627 -0.0203887592 0.3254829331
0.3716839321 3.5427323066 0.0014104064 0.555416653 2.0781366949
ESP VIDA (X2) PROM ESC (X1) DESEMPLEO (x4)
75.9 9.7 4
74.2 9.7 2.6
76.2 9.8 4.6
75.4 9.1 3.7
76 9.8 4.4
76.1 9.5 4.1
73 7.2 3.1
73.5 9.4 3.2
76.2 11.1 5
76 9.1 4.5
75.6 8.3 4
73.1 7.6 2
74.6 8.7 3.1
75.7 9.2 3.7
75.4 9.5 5.2
Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0% 74.9 7.9 2.7
-49.104385 -19.021039 75.9 9.2 2.6
0.22158468 0.63221208 75.4 9.1 4
-0.0203888 0.32548293 76.7 10.2 4.3
0.55541665 2.07813669 73.2 7.5 2
75 8.5 3
75.5 9.5 4.5
75.8 9.6 3.2
74.9 8.8 2.4
75.8 9.5 3.7
75.5 10 5
74.9 9.3 7.4
76 9.4 4.6
75.4 9.2 4.1
74.2 8.2 3.6

75.6 8.8 2
75.5 8.6 2.8
SV (X5)
7.7
8.3 Resumen
8.3
7.8 Estadísticas de la regresión
8 Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.7335529

7.8 Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.5380998 FIV
7.9 R^2 ajustado 0.4886105
8.3 Error típico 0.6853691
8.4 Observaciones 32
8.2
7.9 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
7.7 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
8 Regresión 3 15.322225 5.10740832
7.8 Residuos 28 13.1524625 0.4697308
7.9 Total 31 28.4746875
7.6
7.7 Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t
7.9 Intercepción 72.443155 4.27695209 16.9380329
8.3 Variable X 1 0.920959 0.21623075 4.25914928
7.5 Variable X 2 0.0568452 0.13059052 0.43529383
7.6 Variable X 3 -0.72997 0.642335 -1.1364316
8.3
8
8
7.9
8
7.9
8.3
7.8
7.7
8
8.1
DESEMPLEO (x4)PROM ESC (X1)
4 9.7
2.6 9.7
4.6 9.8
3.7 9.1
4.4 9.8
2.16497005 4.1 9.5
3.1 7.2
3.2 9.4
5 11.1
4.5 9.1
4 8.3
F Valor crítico de F 2 7.6
10.8730538 6.5756E-05 3.1 8.7
3.7 9.2
5.2 9.5
2.7 7.9
Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0% 2.6 9.2
3.0141E-16 63.6822158 81.2040942 63.6822158 81.2040942 4 9.1
0.000209 0.47803042 1.36388763 0.47803042 1.36388763 4.3 10.2
0.66668625 -0.2106573 0.3243478 -0.2106573 0.3243478 2 7.5
0.26540913 -2.0457334 0.58579382 -2.0457334 0.58579382 3 8.5
4.5 9.5
3.2 9.6
2.4 8.8
3.7 9.5
5 10
7.4 9.3
4.6 9.4
4.1 9.2
3.6 8.2
2 8.8
2.8 8.6
ESP VIDA (X2) SV (X5)
75.9 7.7 Resumen
74.2 8.3
76 8 Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.31525487

76.1 7.8 R^2 ajustado 0.24188932
73 7.9 Error típico 0.98848329
76.2 8.4
76 8.2 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
75.6 7.9 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
73.1 7.7 Regresión 3 12.59591
74.6 8 Residuos 28 27.358778
75.7 7.8 Total 31 39.954688
75.4 7.9

75.9 7.7 Intercepción -10.632592 20.588554
75.4 7.9 Variable X 1 0.68455657 0.378856
76.7 8.3 Variable X 2 0.11824527 0.2716447
73.2 7.5 Variable X 3 -0.0961948 0.9473666
75 7.6
75.5 8.3
75.8 8
74.9 8
75.8 7.9
75.5 8
74.9 7.9
76 8.3
75.4 7.8
74.2 7.7
75.6 8
75.5 8.1
SV (X5) PROM ESC (X1)
7.7 9.7
8.3 9.7
8.3 9.8
7.8 9.1
FIV 1.46039738 8 9.8

7.8 9.5
7.9 7.2
8.3 9.4
8.4 11.1
8.2 9.1
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F 7.9 8.3
4.19863657 4.29704225 0.01295031 7.7 7.6
0.97709921 8 8.7
7.8 9.2
7.9 9.5

Superior 95.0% 7.6 7.9
-0.5164322 0.60960753 -52.806334 31.5411495 -52.806334 31.5411495 7.7 9.2
1.80690441 0.08153536 -0.0914948 1.4606079 -0.0914948 1.4606079 7.9 9.1
0.43529383 0.66668625 -0.4381937 0.67468426 -0.4381937 0.67468426 8.3 10.2
-0.1015392 0.91984612 -2.0367873 1.84439769 -2.0367873 1.84439769 7.5 7.5
7.6 8.5
8.3 9.5
8 9.6
8 8.8
7.9 9.5
8 10
7.9 9.3
8.3 9.4
7.8 9.2
7.7 8.2
8 8.8
8.1 8.6
ESP VIDA (X2)
DESEMPLEO (x4)
75.9 4 Resumen
74.2 2.6
76 4.4 Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.40813869

76.1 4.1 R^2 ajustado 0.34472498
73 3.1 Error típico 0.19714797
76.2 5
76 4.5 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
75.6 4 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
73.1 2 Regresión 3 0.75046501
74.6 3.1 Residuos 28 1.08828499
75.7 3.7 Total 31 1.83875
75.4 5.2

75.9 2.6 Intercepción 10.3764277 3.62998592
75.4 4 Variable X 1 0.23505175 0.06634759
76.7 4.3 Variable X 2 -0.0604005 0.05314925
73.2 2 Variable X 3 -0.0038265 0.03768461
75 3
75.5 4.5
75.8 3.2
74.9 2.4
75.8 3.7
75.5 5
74.9 7.4
76 4.6
75.4 4.1
74.2 3.6
75.6 2
75.5 2.8
1.68958501 FIV
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F

0.250155 6.43612675 0.00187524
0.03886732

Superior 95.0%
2.85853111 0.00794644 2.94073858 17.8121167 2.94073858 17.8121167
3.54273231 0.00141041 0.09914487 0.37095863 0.09914487 0.37095863
-1.1364316 0.26540913 -0.1692718 0.04847082 -0.1692718 0.04847082
-0.1015392 0.91984612 -0.0810199 0.07336696 -0.0810199 0.07336696
Periodicidad: Trimestral
1997/01
1997/02
1997/03
1997/04
1998/01
1998/02
1998/03
1998/04
1999/01
1999/02
1999/03
1999/04
2000/01
2000/02
2000/03
2000/04
2001/01
2001/02
2001/03
2001/04
2002/01
2002/02
2002/03
2002/04
2003/01
2003/02
2003/03
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2004/03
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2013/01
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2014/01
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2016/01r/
2016/02
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2016/04
2017/01
2017/02
2017/03
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2018/01
2018/02
2018/03p/


DW corregido
> Oferta y demanda global de bienes y servicios, base 2013 > Series Originales > A precios constantes > Demanda > Valores absolutos
a precios de 2013.
Producto
Interno
Bruto, a
precios de
inversion tasa mercado
1991848.725 24.216667 10862932
2072015.272 22.703333 11460068.1
2301964.762 21.09 11408200.9
2316884.965 21.166667 11887380.1
2368174.314 20.816667 11827638
2260212.182 20.833333 12034464.2
2513002.684 30.07 11972371.6
2450289.249 36.846667 12139816.6
2535906.207 31.056667 12100154.5
2395245.483 23.34 12315219.1
2610863.689 23.59 12325229.1
2583020.593 20.52 12554685.8
2681753.714 17.556667 12725022
2560297.247 16.533333 12994568.9
2778376.738 16.456667 13008792.3
2634550.653 18.38 13003302.2
2523247.662 18.146667 12796119.5
2322266.32 14.143333 12967530.2
2566704.845 7.93 12857408.6
2467866.913 10.08 12901429.2
2341839.106 8.7033333 12415541.5
2371656.425 7.8 13112362.8
2499618.974 8.4733333 12889950.1
2442261.647 8.8233333 13084104.3
2460228.729 9.7566667 12803326.7
2379630.488 7.21 13182931.6
2466516.613 5.58 12954912.3
2450595.114 6.11 13305703.4
2580765.018 6.0566667 13252637.3
2556435.842 7.09 13732337.6
2610939.336 7.8433333 13438257.2
2700899.988 8.78 13872028.2
2680262.621 9.5333333 13354792.4
2723325.163 10.146667 14104834.7
2766145.765 9.8366667 13782142.6
2927996.026 9.01 14306520.4
2927578.28 7.9566667 14107961.1
2960383.583 7.6633333 14700503.8
3064764.473 7.5166667 14435867.2
3178539.568 7.6233333 14800896.8
3044760.996 7.6733333 14393731.5
3080037.3 7.7533333 14993341.6
3233092.761 7.78 14783297.4
3478904.947 7.93 15204933.4
3295109.851 7.9533333 14563429.2
3478572.872 8.0066667 15386331.9
3451517.842 8.6466667 14979493.1
3453148.939 8.8033333 15125056.5
2952023.131 7.9366667 13752157.5
2958142.086 5.7766667 14012946.5
3026830.477 4.9533333 14231940.4
3145264.039 5.05 14882949.1
3057152.799 5.04 14371712.2
3120014.805 5.0266667 14998393.2
3122127.235 4.9933333 14921449.7
3352429.885 4.94 15499623.7
3147467.223 4.89 14902786.2
3325754.714 4.8833333 15413082.4
3450025.243 4.8366667 15526005.7
3721348.797 4.81 16139460.1
3441812.756 4.7966667 15619690
3520178.043 4.7733333 16027316
3624173.044 4.8033333 15952743.5
3730758.84 4.8533333 16639145.1
3356467.689 4.7233333 15720266.2
3450701.27 4.3233333 16362706.7
3414595.877 4.2466667 16186052.6
3615449.265 3.85 16839722.8
3344810.928 3.8033333 16135622.7
3477406.7 3.69 16736982.8
3567822.519 3.3066667 16645034.5
3871476.973 3.3033333 17416978.9
3508441.895 3.3166667 16696943.7
3680940.69 3.31 17239319.5
3862905.878 3.3433333 17309689.9
3923481.676 3.4 17889470.6
3630770.764 3.8266667 17199206.2
3760319.817 4.1566667 17810988.7
3784599.68 4.69 17668867
3953494.267 5.6 18476232.8
3653859.942 6.5433333 17793290.3
3650173.673 7.0966667 18149091.7
3749720.64 7.3866667 17935776.2
3836751.181 7.4566667 18749848.4
3693674.262 7.8 18008915.8
3771204.878 7.9233333 18618588.2
3760367.504 8.1533333 18389170.2
8/03Cifras revisadas: r/ A partir de 2016/01

cionales de México.
nda > Valores absolutos
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.9169295728
Error típico 153847.241395848
Observaciones 87
Regresión 2 22515493078178.9
Residuos 84 1988193789549.42
Total 86 24503686867728.3
Coeficientes Error típico

Intercepción -704365.258038357 188516.553294316
Variable X 1 884.6175672163 3203.2398200856
Variable X 2 0.2547438297 0.01123402
Observación Pronóstico para Y Residuos

1 2084322.12647696 -92473.4014769641
2 2235100.14323166 -163084.871231658
3 2220460.10316049 81504.6588395103
4 2342595.88417245 -25710.919172449
5 2327067.34431578 41106.9696842153
6 2379769.77883202 -119557.596832016
7 2372122.9825728 140879.701427205
8 2420773.316938 29515.9320619972
9 2405547.72329704 130358.483702959
10 2453507.78514214 -58262.3021421442
11 2456278.94080898 154584.748191024
12 2512015.83906349 71004.7539365073
13 2552786.52591225 128967.188087752
14 2620546.66642335 -60249.4194233525
15 2624102.15766759 154274.58033241
16 2624405.00735288 10145.6456471179
17 2571420.09232397 -48172.4303239691
18 2611544.48513696 -289278.165136961
19 2577995.27695487 -11290.4319548681
20 2591111.17051115 -123244.257511149
21 2466116.44404862 -124277.338048622
22 2642828.27044696 -271171.845446957
23 2586765.65047185 -87146.6764718476
24 2636534.86739125 -194273.220391249
25 2565834.138372 -105605.409372001
26 2660283.32926725 -280652.841267245
27 2600754.88423574 -134238.271235739
28 2690585.60285449 -239990.488854488
29 2677020.14973481 -96255.1317348061
30 2800134.96316946 -243699.121169462
31 2725886.18428746 -114946.84828746
32 2837215.26286268 -136315.274862679
33 2706119.04594016 -25856.4249401637
34 2897730.26495153 -174405.101951525
35 2815252.21874957 -49106.4537495724
36 2948102.95459363 -20106.9285936281
37 2896589.39250464 30988.8874953585
38 3047276.50136486 -86892.9183648555
39 2979732.21775648 85032.2552435184
40 3072815.62287686 105723.945123144
41 2969136.99010362 75624.0058963844
42 3121954.73604287 -41917.4360428676
43 3068470.86981995 164621.891180052
44 3176012.72140497 302892.225595026
45 3012614.12832945 282495.722670554
46 3222290.6817674 256282.190232595
47 3119217.18619504 332300.655804965
48 3156437.15019001 296711.788809985
49 2805932.93151247 146090.199487526
50 2870456.5390474 87685.5469525973
51 2925515.55990055 101314.917099454
52 3091441.50070808 53822.5382919232
53 2961198.21840446 95954.5805955357
54 3120829.53280487 -814.7278048745
55 3101199.18177618 20928.0532238223
56 3248438.25405337 103991.630946627
57 3096353.35575206 51113.8672479419
58 3226342.26022059 99412.4537794115
59 3255067.48942841 194957.753571593
60 3411317.63380481 310031.163195186
61 3278897.60464126 162915.151358736
62 3382717.16655492 137460.876445081
63 3363746.83663309 260426.207366913
64 3538647.63652049 192111.20347951
65 3304453.90211152 52013.7868884755
66 3467757.80945093 -17056.5394509304
67 3422688.44705301 -8092.5700530079
68 3588855.99710024 26593.2678997614
69 3409449.57067403 -64638.6426740293
70 3562542.08995963 -85135.3899596287
71 3538779.72218648 29042.7968135183
72 3735424.84447708 136052.128522924
73 3552012.11090956 -43570.2159095621
74 3690173.10954939 -9232.4195493916
75 3708129.01053419 154776.867465807
76 3855874.68281489 67606.9931851136
77 3680411.52769748 -49640.763697484
78 3836551.28583253 -76231.4688325259
79 3800818.45342913 -16218.7734291321
80 4007294.90162466 -53800.63462466
81 3834154.00903765 -180294.067037647
82 3925281.71505476 -275108.042054758
83 3871197.43782123 -121476.797821231
84 4078639.23172453 -241888.050724534
85 3890194.93162334 -196520.669623342
86 4045614.32212115 -274409.444121152
87 3987374.97442106 -227007.47042106
p

11257746539089.4 475.633066683 1.5400886245E-46
23668973685.1122
Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%

-3.7363576075 0.0003394651 -1079251.09830438 -329479.417772339
0.2761633898 0.7831008897 -5485.3761046474 7254.61123908
22.6761060948 1.45394483999049E-37 0.2324037489 0.2770839105
Ut-1 Ut-ut-1 (Ut-Ut-1)^2 Ut^2

8551329980.71979
-92473.4014769641 -70611.469754694 4985979660.91807 26596675224.6465
-163084.871231658 244589.530071168 59824038220.435 6643009412.54496
81504.6588395103 -107215.578011959 11495180168.4385 661051364.692207
-25710.919172449 66817.8888566643 4464630271.26154 1689782956.61899
41106.9696842153 -160664.566516231 25813102933.8484 14294018960.2468
-119557.596832016 260437.29825922 67827586324.562 19847090274.2183
140879.701427205 -111363.769365207 12401889127.2271 871190245.488437
29515.9320619972 100842.551640962 10169220221.4601 16993334273.3348
130358.483702959 -188620.785845104 35577800852.8245 3394495850.9025
-58262.3021421442 212847.050333168 45303866835.5301 23896444373.2822
154584.748191024 -83579.9942545164 6985615439.585 5041675081.58395
71004.7539365073 57962.4341512444 3359643772.73734 16632535603.2615
128967.188087752 -189216.607511104 35802924558.0112 3629992540.85104
-60249.4194233525 214523.999755762 46020546471.2104 23800646136.7412
154274.58033241 -144128.934685292 20773149813.5172 102934125.596882
10145.6456471179 -58318.075971087 3400997984.96947 2320583043.31766
-48172.4303239691 -241105.734812992 58131975359.7129 83681856825.007
-289278.165136961 277987.733182093 77277179799.7186 127473853.727508
-11290.4319548681 -111953.825556281 12533659056.6861 15189147009.4743
-123244.257511149 -1033.0805374738 1067255.39690712 15444856752.4516
-124277.338048622 -146894.507398335 21577996303.7994 73534169763.1085
-271171.845446957 184025.16897511 33865262816.3177 7594543220.08887
-87146.6764718476 -107126.543919401 11476096412.1154 37742084161.1867
-194273.220391249 88667.8110192474 7861980710.94497 11152502488.628
-105605.409372001 -175047.431895244 30641603413.1201 78766017311.3776
-280652.841267245 146414.570031506 21437226317.5108 18019913464.3599
-134238.271235739 -105752.217618749 11183531531.2832 57595434740.6161
-239990.488854488 143735.357119682 20659852886.3225 9265050385.28488
-96255.1317348061 -147443.989434656 21739730020.407 59389261658.7683
-243699.121169462 128752.272882002 16577147772.2815 13212777931.2204
-114946.84828746 -21368.4265752183 456609654.300497 18581854160.8877
-136315.274862679 110458.849922515 12201157526.2047 668554710.686321
-25856.4249401637 -148548.677011361 22066709441.8258 30417139586.7219
-174405.101951525 125298.648201953 15699751241.2367 2411443799.85889
-49106.4537495724 28999.5251559443 840972459.270245 404288577.46926
-20106.9285936281 51095.8160889866 2610782421.79954 960311148.199985
30988.8874953585 -117881.805860214 13896120152.8652 7550379261.96144
-86892.9183648555 171925.173608374 29558265320.2695 7230484431.79886
85032.2552435184 20691.6898796251 428146030.07458 11177552572.4015
105723.945123144 -30099.9392267591 906006341.454593 5718990267.81638
75624.0058963844 -117541.441939252 13815990573.1585 1757071444.4079
-41917.4360428676 206539.32722292 42658493689.6964 27100367055.697
164621.891180052 138270.334414973 19118685379.2286 91743700325.908
302892.225595026 -20396.5029244716 416017331.54798 79803833327.1587
282495.722670554 -26213.5324379588 687149282.875916 65680561030.4162
256282.190232595 76018.4655723693 5778807107.97749 110423725848.41
332300.655804965 -35588.8669949793 1266567453.98633 88037885618.8214
296711.788809985 -150621.58932246 22686863170.0238 21342346386.305
146090.199487526 -58404.6525349282 3411103437.72569 7688755144.37615
87685.5469525973 13629.3701468562 185759730.600014 10264712426.8691
101314.917099454 -47492.3788075303 2255526044.79795 2896865628.18554
53822.5382919232 42132.0423036125 1775108988.67339 9207281537.26515
95954.5805955357 -96769.3084004102 9364299048.29371 663781.396035679
-814.7278048745 21742.7810286968 472748526.861858 437983411.739138
20928.0532238223 83063.5777228046 6899557944.1124 10814259306.9394
103991.630946627 -52877.763698685 2796057893.77397 2612627425.04023
51113.8672479419 48298.5865314696 2332753460.93786 9882835966.44363
99412.4537794115 95545.2997921817 9128904312.37788 38008525677.6821
194957.753571593 115073.409623593 13241889602.3992 96119322152.1602
310031.163195186 -147116.01183645 21643120938.6625 26541346542.2399
162915.151358736 -25454.2749136556 647920111.379957 18895492553.0497
137460.876445081 122965.330921832 15120472608.7158 67821809483.5144
260426.207366913 -68315.0038874028 4666939756.13586 36906714502.3458
192111.20347951 -140097.416591035 19627286135.4819 2705434026.47975
52013.7868884755 -69070.326339406 4770709980.63204 290925538.041146
-17056.5394509304 8963.9693979225 80352747.3668913 65489690.0628406
-8092.5700530079 34685.8379527694 1203107354.48578 707201897.588482
26593.2678997614 -91231.9105737908 8323261506.94416 4178154126.74085
-64638.6426740293 -20496.7472855994 420116649.289725 7248034623.57805
-85135.3899596287 114178.186773147 13036658334.8036 843484046.751307
29042.7968135183 107009.331709405 11450997072.8936 18510181675.6181
136052.128522924 -179622.344432486 32264186619.4225 1898363714.40586
-43570.2159095621 34337.7963601705 1179084258.87254 85237570.7359883
-9232.4195493916 164009.287015198 26899046227.2337 23955878702.5279
154776.867465807 -87169.874280693 7598586982.11183 4570705527.532
67606.9931851136 -117247.756882598 13747036494.0007 2464205420.46945
-49640.763697484 -26590.7051350418 707065599.578741 5811236840.36437
-76231.4688325259 60012.6954033938 3601523609.58053 263048611.54552
-16218.7734291321 -37581.8611955279 1412396290.91993 2894508286.01617
-53800.63462466 -126493.432412987 16000588443.6188 32505950608.9754
-180294.067037647 -94813.9750171113 8989689858.5454 75684434803.2025
-275108.042054758 153631.244233527 23602559204.7417 14756612408.9002
-121476.797821231 -120411.252903304 14498869825.7433 58509829083.3149
-241888.050724534 45367.3811011924 2058199267.98083 38620373589.2067
-196520.669623342 -77888.7744978098 6066661192.77067 75300543022.8795
-274409.444121152 47401.9737000922 2246947110.66423 51532391626.9682
1257990670063.08 1988193789549.42
dw= 0.6327304092
p
Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

-1079251.098 -329479.42
-5485.376105 7254.61124
0.232403749 0.27708391

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Indicadores económicos de coyuntura > Oferta y demanda global de bienes y servicios, base 2013 > Series Originales >

Cifras preliminares: p/ A partir de 2018/03Cifras revisadas: r/ A partir de 2016/01

Fecha de consulta: 07/03/2019 17:37:40

8/03Cifras revisadas: r/ A partir de 2016/01

710318.176 6.14797737 4033789.8

Periodicidad: Trimesinversion tasa

Cifras preliminares: p/ A partir de 2018/03Cifras revisadas: r/ A partir de 2016/01

Fecha de consulta: 07/03/2019 17:37:40

nálisis de los residuales

Pronóstico para YResiduos ut ut-1 ut-2 PIB ut-3

Estadísticas de la regresión Estadistico de prueba

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%

Periodicidad: Trimesinversion tasa

Cifras preliminares: p/ A partir de 2018/03Cifras revisadas: r/ A partir de 2016/01

Fecha de consulta: 07/03/2019 17:37:40

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico para YResiduos ut x1

Superior 95% Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%

x2 x1^2 x2^2 x1x2

Promedio de los cuadrados

5.60211882 7.068172 2.41332113 3.73542901

Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F

Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Superior 95.0% Coeficientes Error típico

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Coeficientes Error típico

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico para Y Residuos

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

POBREZA= porcentaje de la población en situación de pobreza 2016, porcentaje

4.4 8 Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.7113157705

2.7 7.6 Coeficientes

Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F

Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%

74.2 8.2 3.6

8 Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.7335529

76 8 Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.31525487

74.9 7.6 Coeficientes Error típico

FIV 1.46039738 8 9.8

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

76 4.4 Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.40813869

74.9 2.7 Coeficientes Error típico

Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Cifras preliminares: p/ A partir de 2018/03Cifras revisadas: r/ A partir de 2016/01

Fecha de consulta: 07/03/2019 17:37:40

8/03Cifras revisadas: r/ A partir de 2016/01

Coeficientes Error típico

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico para Y Residuos

Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%

Ut-1 Ut-ut-1 (Ut-Ut-1)^2 Ut^2

Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

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