Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 4 Novembre 2017

Cari buxiti,

- Alcoa dovrebbe beneficiare dai prezzi di materiali bassi ma in prospettiva

in crescita. Inoltre leconomia mondiale si sta riprendendo, Trump aiuta
eccome (coi dazi sulla Cina, che nel frattempo limita pure la produzione
per limitare linquinamento ambientale e i suoi danni), il management e
sempre molto attento a costi e benefici, senza dimenticare che il P/E
attuale e intorno a 9,6 (bassissimo!).
http://bit.ly/2itdS5a
- Bank of America si approccia a un possibile reakout, a vedere le Moving
Average 50, 100 e 200.
http://bit.ly/2A4oEGf
- Questo autore confessa di essersi sbagliato su Apple e ritiene che anche
nello short term, Apple possa essere una buona scelta.
http://bit.ly/2haJsIs
Tra i fattori di crescita di Apple ci sono Apple Pay (che dovrebbe superare
Paypal da fine anno?), e lingresso nellentertainment con un tv-show
curato da Steven Stieplberg.
http://bit.ly/2zbFMKP
- Buy-the-dip per Facebook. Ottimo 3Q, buone prospettive di crescita, ma
gli azionisti sono rimasti impressi dal fatto che aumenteranno i costi della
security.
http://bit.ly/2hb6lLy
Secondo questo articolo, il rischio di regulation/governmental e basso, e
lautore rialza il TP a $195-210.
http://bit.ly/2zbBLZh
Si conferma lidea per cui Facebook ha pubblicato dati che porterebbero a
sostenere la crescita futura dellazienda.
http://bit.ly/2A64lYW
- Ferrari e lennesimo titolo che performa bene al Q3, ma che viene
lapidato dalla borsa. Fully-year revenue stimata a $3,4 miliardi, contro le
stime di $3,3 ed EBITDA a 41miliardi verso $950milioni attesi.
http://bit.ly/2xYNGWy
- Schizzo di Qualcomm a +13% dopo rumour che Broadcom potrebbe
commprarlo.
http://bit.ly/2zhtv9L

Page 1 of 9
 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 4 Novembre 2017
- Twitter ha corso per bene dopo gli earnings, ma ogni volta che incrocia la
resistenza di $20 non resiste e crolla. JPMorgan non ritiene gli earnings un
game-changer e ricorda come a Dicemrbe il titolo ceda in media un 11%.
Tempo di shortare?
http://bit.ly/2zhRgi2
- Boeing ottiene un nuovo concorrente dalla Cina: C919.
http://bit.ly/2zewTjJ
- Conferme su Mastercard, che beneficiera dello shift al cash-less.
http://bit.ly/2zd0sVc
- Qui, invece si dice che, se proprio proprio si dovesse scegliere, Visa
potrebbe essere una scelta migliore (ma entrambi hanno buoni basi).
http://bit.ly/2zbFSSH
- Tesla nei guai: a breve dovrebbe soffrire di un cash-crunch, senza poter
ricorrere a un capital raise.
http://bit.ly/2zcMT5S
- Google come consiglio per il lungo termine. Crescita delladvertising,
Youtube, cloud, oltre ad altre interessanti iniziative come gli smartphone
Pixel, Nest e Waymo.
http://bit.ly/2yt8MRk
E proprio Youtube potrebbe cominciare a essere monetizzato con
advertisement. 1,5 miliardi di utenti che guardano in media 60 minunti al
giorno.
http://bit.ly/2xZkajG
- Berkshire delude. Seppure gli earnings riguardino le azioni di classi A, le
conseguenze si vedono pure su quelle B disponibilil su Bux. EPS a $2094,
contro i $2951 attesi (quasi -30%!). Si conferma quanto detto in
precedenza sui miei post che il segmento insurance ha penalizzato molto
le revenues.
http://bit.ly/2Ajv2uj
E infatto linsurance e stato il tallone dAchille di Warren, a causa anche
dei terremoti in Messico.
http://bit.ly/2haVZvm
- Ed ecco un caso di crazy Mr. Market. Activision e stata protagonista di un
bel rally a inizio 2017 ma ha recentemente incocciato nella resistenza
intorno ai $63/65. Nonostante EPS e earnings positivi e unapertura in
verde, e riuscita a chiudere la giornata a -3,44%, confermando la
resistenza intorno ai $65.
http://bit.ly/2ziIDni

Page 2 of 9
 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 4 Novembre 2017
- Rilessione portfolio: come sapete, predico e pratico la differenziazione. Un
po di tech, un po di finanziario, un po di auto, un po di retail ecc.
Beh, se volete sapere un settore in cui non ficcare il naso, ce il media,
inteso come produzione di tv-show alla vecchia maniera. Titoli come Time
Warner, Comcast, Viacom, CBS e Fox sono massacrati.
A mio parere, tra i motivi principali vi e il cosiddetto chord-cutting.
http://bit.ly/2zvC5md
- Momento Bitcoin: sembra che il valore segua perfettamente la ratio di
Fibonacci. Il piu probabile adesso e un pullback fino a un massimo di
$4500. Per il dopo, ci si attenda una risalita e un obiettivo di circa $11892.
Da prendere con MOLTISSIO beneficio dinventario.
http://bit.ly/2iZi6FJ
- McDonalds ha recentemente alzato il dividendo del 7% e lautroe di
questo articolo prevede un aumento degli EPS del 25%, grazie anche al
piano di arrivare a un franchising al 90%. TP tra i $176 e i $188. E EPS a
%6,95 per il 2018.
http://bit.ly/2iua8At
- I dati del successo di Alibaba agli earnings Q3 2017.
http://bit.ly/2haXMAK
In questo articolo si parla di sistema di scelta titoli quantistici, che mostra
come Alibaba sia un titolo interessante destinato a sovraperformare. Le
cifre di crescita, di vendite eccetera sono gia ben conosciute, ma non tutti
sanno che Alibaba dovrebbe beneficiare dai dati sulla crescita del sistema
Cina: $5 trilioni di revenue annuali nel retail e ben l85% di queste non ha
luogo online.
http://bit.ly/2hE8Xyy
- Lo stesso sstema propone anche Intel. Titolo alquanto cheap e momentum
in aumento.
http://bit.ly/2zcN1EM
- Tra gli stock che stanno beneficiando degli sviluppi del Tax Bill, ce pure
Wal-Mart.
http://bit.ly/2iZd6AI
- Questo opinionista ritiene che Expedia sia una buona compagnia, ma che
sia troppo sopravvalutata, il che non la rende un buon investimento. Per
tale motivo (e anche per considerazioni personali), rimuovero a breve
Expedia e Priceline dagli spreadsheet di pre-market disponibili a breve.
P/E a oltre 40, profitability sotto pressione. Non dimentichiamo che, come
nel caso di TripAdvisor, una crescita delle revenues puo portare pure a

Page 3 of 9
 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 4 Novembre 2017
una correzione del 66%.
http://bit.ly/2zbCauL
- Consigli di acquisto di indici da Investing.com alle ore 16.

Page 4 of 9
 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 4 Novembre 2017

Momento Portfolio:
Performance (lorde, dunque occorre ancora dedurre le commissioni) nelle
ultime 3, 2 e 1 settimana:
1 sett 2 sett 3 sett
Alcoa -0.63% -1.69% -2.32%
alibaba 0.90% 5.82% 2.03%
berkshire hathaway B -0.31% -1.12% -0.37%
Nasdaq 100 1.09% 3.75% 2.96%
Dow 0.82% 1.14% 2.54%
S&P500 0.58% 0.89% 1.18%
DAX 1.88% 3.66% 3.65%
Baidu 2.17% -9.24% -11.47%
Bitcoin 18.01% 21.48%
Blackrock 1.44% 0.99% 0.24%
Boeing 0.96% -0.22% 0.77%
Nvidia 2.38% 6.14% 5.44%
Facebook -0.53% 4.47% 2.52%
Ferrari 0.21% 3.27% 0.53%
Mastercard 0.23% 2.56% 2.10%
McDonalds 1.46% 3.25% 2.21%
Oracle -0.99% 1.76%
Paypal 3.15% 5.14% 9.03%
Visa 1.20% 3.56% 2.83%
Wal-mart 3.14% 1.16% 4.60%

leva x2 leva x3 leva x4 leva x5

1 sett 1.86% 3.72% 5.57% 7.43% 9.29%
2 sett 2.84% 5.68% 8.52% 11.35% 14.19%
3 sett 1.58% 3.16% 4.75% 6.33% 7.91%

Alerts
Toccati i massimali a 52 settimane per Facebook, Wal-Mart, Pay-Pal, McDonalds,
Wal-Mart, Visa e Alibaba.
Volume di trading per Facebook piu del doppio della media mensile.
Trading ideas

Page 5 of 9
 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 4 Novembre 2017
- Alibaba dovrebbe essere in canale ascendente (il che sarebbe ovvio
comunque).
http://bit.ly/2zcKdVC
- Possibile breakout positivo del canale da parte di Nvidia.
http://bit.ly/2zgQy4J

Up/Downgrade

Da 24/7 Wall St.

Activision Blizzard Inc. (NASDAQ: ATVI) was up 0.2% at $65.45 ahead of earnings but was indicated
up 2.5% at $67.07 afterward. Jefferies reiterated Activision Blizzard as a Buy and raised its target to
$82 from $80. Wedbush Securities reiterated its Outperform rating with a $75 price target.
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) was up 0.7% at $168.11 ahead of earnings and was indicated up 4.2%
at $175.10 afterward, in a prior 52-week range of $104.08 to $169.94. The prior consensus target
price was $175.19. Apples target was raised to $195 from $175 at Sanford Bernstein and to $185
from $180 at Raymond James. Canaccord Genuity raised its target to $195 from $180, while
Citigroup raised its target to $200 from $170. RBC raised its target to $190 from $180, and Morgan
Stanley raised its target from $199 to $200.

Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ: SBUX) was down 0.5% at $54.87 ahead of earnings and was
indicated to open down another 1.3% at $54.15 Friday morning. Credit Suisse lowered its
target price to $54 from $56, Instinet lowered its target to $63 from $67 and BMO Capital
Markets cut its target to $52 from $56. Jefferies maintained its Buy rating and $65 target.
Starbucks has a 52-week range of $50.84 to $64.87, and the pre-earnings consensus analyst
price target was $63.98.

Twitter Inc. (NYSE: TWTR) was raised to Buy from Hold with a $25 price target (versus a
$19.71 prior close) at Argus. The independent research firm sees Twitter as increasing user
engagement and generating strong EBITDA growth, with a return to annual growth in
2018. Shares closed down 4.4% at $19.71 on Thursday but were indicated up 1.5% at
$19.99 on Friday. Twitter has a 52-week range of $14.12 to $21.96 a share.

Facebook Inc. (NASDAQ: FB) was up 1.4% at $182.66 ahead of earnings, but after initially trading
up to all-time highs its shares were last seen down 0.7% at $181.40 after analyzing higher costs.
Facebook was reiterated as Buy and the price target was raised to $225 from $215 at Jefferies.
Wedbush Securities reiterated its Outperform rating with a $230 price target. Credit Suisse
maintained its Outperform rating but lowered its target price to $230 from $235. the Shares had a
prior 52-week range of $113.55 to $182.90.

Page 6 of 9
 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 4 Novembre 2017

Da MarketBeat.com

Under Armour, Inc. (NYSE:UAA) was downgraded by analysts at Wedbush from a "hold"
rating to a "sell" rating. Previous closing price of $12.52. Read More.
Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ:FB) had its price target raised by analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald to
$220.00. They now have an "overweight" rating on the stock. 22.2% upside from the
previous close of $180.06. Read More.
Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ:FB) had its price target raised by analysts at Needham &
Company LLC from $185.00 to $215.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 19.4%
upside from the previous close of $180.06. Read More.
Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ:FB) had its price target lowered by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus
from $200.00 to $195.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 8.3% upside from the
previous close of $180.06. Read More.
Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ:FB) had its price target raised by analysts at Citigroup Inc. from
$200.00 to $210.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. They noted that the move
was a valuation call. 16.6% upside from the previous close of $180.06. Read More.
Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ:FB) had its price target raised by analysts at Barclays PLC to
$215.00. They now have an "overweight" rating on the stock. 19.4% upside from the
previous close of $180.06. Read More.
Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ:FB) had its price target raised by analysts at Jefferies Group LLC
to $225.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 25.0% upside from the previous
close of $180.06. Read More.
Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ:FB) had its price target raised by analysts at Royal Bank Of
Canada from $195.00 to $230.00. They now have an "outperform" rating on the stock.
27.7% upside from the previous close of $180.06. Read More.
GlaxoSmithKline plc (LON:GSK) had its price target lowered by analysts at Berenberg
Bank from GBX 1,835 ($24.21) to GBX 1,760 ($23.23). They now have a "buy" rating on the
stock. Read More.
The Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ:KHC) had its price target lowered by analysts at
Citigroup Inc. from $90.00 to $82.00. They now have a "neutral" rating on the stock. 6.0%
upside from the previous close of $77.33. Read More.
The Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ:KHC) had its price target lowered by analysts at
Susquehanna Bancshares Inc from $83.00 to $80.00. They now have a "neutral" rating on
the stock. 3.5% upside from the previous close of $77.33. Read More.
The Kraft Heinz Company (NASDAQ:KHC) had its price target lowered by analysts at BMO
Capital Markets to $82.00. They now have a "market perform" rating on the stock. 6.0%
upside from the previous close of $77.33. Read More.
QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ:QCOM) had its price target raised by analysts at Canaccord
Genuity from $70.00 to $76.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 49.0% upside from the
previous close of $51.01. Read More.
QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ:QCOM) had its price target raised by analysts at Sanford C.
Bernstein from $50.00 to $55.00. They now have a "market perform" rating on the stock. 7.8% upside
from the previous close of $51.01. Read More.

Page 7 of 9
 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 4 Novembre 2017
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) had its price target lowered by analysts at Royal Bank Of Canada from
$345.00 to $340.00. They now have a "sector perform" rating on the stock. 2.6% upside from the
previous close of $331.53. Read More.
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) had its price target lowered by analysts at Deutsche Bank AG from
$320.00 to $310.00. They now have a "hold" rating on the stock. 6.5% downside from the previous
close of $331.53. Read More.
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) was upgraded by analysts at Rosenblatt Securities from a
"neutral" rating to a "buy" rating. They now have a $180.00 price target on the stock, up
previously from $150.00. 7.1% upside from the previous close of $168.11. Read More.
BT Group PLC (NYSE:BT) was downgraded by analysts at Beaufort Securities to a "hold"
rating. They now have a GBX 265 ($3.50) price target on the stock, down previously from
GBX 340 ($4.49). 1501.2% upside from the previous close of $16.55. Read More.
BT Group plc (LON:BT.A) was downgraded by analysts at Beaufort Securities to a "hold"
rating. They now have a GBX 265 ($3.50) price target on the stock, down previously from
GBX 340 ($4.49). Read More.
Royal Dutch Shell PLC (NYSE:RDS.B) was downgraded by analysts at Societe Generale
from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating. Read More.
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) had its price target raised by analysts at Loop Capital to
$200.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 19.0% upside from the previous close
of $168.11. Read More.
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) had its price target raised by analysts at Royal Bank Of Canada
from $180.00 to $190.00. They now have an "outperform" rating on the stock. 13.0% upside
from the previous close of $168.11. Read More.
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) had its price target raised by analysts at BMO Capital Markets
to $195.00. They now have an "outperform" rating on the stock. 16.0% upside from the
previous close of $168.11. Read More.
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) had its price target raised by analysts at Needham & Company
LLC from $175.00 to $200.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 19.0% upside
from the previous close of $168.11. Read More.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) had its price target raised by analysts at
Needham & Company LLC from $190.00 to $215.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the
stock. 16.3% upside from the previous close of $184.81. Read More.
Salesforce.com Inc (NYSE:CRM) had its price target raised by analysts at BMO Capital
Markets to $112.00. They now have an "outperform" rating on the stock. 9.2% upside from
the previous close of $102.56. Read More.
easyJet plc (LON:EZJ) had its price target raised by analysts at Deutsche Bank AG from GBX
1,310 ($17.29) to GBX 1,460 ($19.27). They now have a "hold" rating on the stock. Read
More.

Insider sales:

Page 8 of 9
 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 4 Novembre 2017

Da Daily Trade Alert:

Page 9 of 9