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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 31 Gennaio 2018

Cari buxiti,

- Articolo interessante sui FAAMG, che sembrano essere battuti da MCBM


(McDonald’s, Caterpillar, Boeing e 3M), le cui performance hanno superato
il tech americano (vedere grafico per credere).
http://on.mktw.net/2BHpn0c

- Needham rialza il TP di Alphabet da $1150 a $1350 giustificato in base a un


aumento di profitability nel 2018.
http://bit.ly/2BJiGuS

- Deutsche Bank ritiene che le attese di Apple siano esagerate e considera il


titolo un HOLD con TP a $152 (-9%).
http://bit.ly/2BJiGuS
Articolo interessante su Apple: come saprete, l’esplosione degli ETF è una
delle altre forme di investimento passivo che va forte. Strategia che
presuppone che si investa in qualcosa senza attivamente cambiare,
aggiornare, aggiungere ecc e che si focalizza ovviamente su titoli a migliore
prospettiva di crescita, tra i quali, guarda caso, troviamo Apple, che ha
beneficiato non poco da questa strategia.
http://bit.ly/2rTCnAp
Altra riflessione interessante: Apple è la societá #1 per capitalizzazione sui
mercati, ma potrebbe venire presto detronata da Alphabet (vedasi google) a
cui basterebbe un +2,5% (o un -2,5% di apple) per superarla. Occhi puntati
sugli earnings!
http://bit.ly/2nuniAT
Statisticamente, il Q4 è quello in cui Apple va meglio. Questa volta il focus
potrebbe essere su quanto capitale rimpatriano e sull’aumento di dividendo.
La buona notizia è che ogni notizia negativa sembra essere pressoché giá
prezzata interamente.
Secondo questo articolo (e mi trova d’accordo), se anche ci fossero sorprese
negative e ci dovesse essere un dip, (1) il buy-back è un bel cuscinetto e (2) il
management si è giá dimostrato all’altezza di queste sfide.
http://bit.ly/2FyyWku
Altro downgrade per Apple da BMO Capital, da Outperform a Market Perform
e TP ribassato da $199 a $162.
http://bit.ly/2DRC9vn

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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 31 Gennaio 2018

- Dopo la seduta odierna (31/1/2018), Amazon ha sorpassato Apple come


azienda con piú alta capitalizzazione.
http://bit.ly/2nrR492

- GE potrebbe portare a un colpo di scena: il Dow Jones potrebbe mollarlo


dall’indice, secondo Deutsche Bank.
http://bit.ly/2BJbIG4

- Il tech ormai pesa per il 25% dell’S&P500, una proporzione storicamente


elevata (e rischiosa, specie in ragione dell’alta correlazione tra stock).
http://bit.ly/2E5kLX9

- A Piper Jaffray credono che a breve Amazon potrebbe subire un pullback da


circa 20%.
http://bit.ly/2nuxM29

- E proprio McDonald’s ha presentato boni risultati. Buona crescita potenziale


ma prezzo esagerato, secondo questo articolo.
http://bit.ly/2DQRAUo
Dividendo da $1.01.
http://bit.ly/2ErtznW
I dati: vendite a +5,5%, internazionale a +6% (contro l’atteso 5%), 1000
nuove aperture in programma.
http://bit.ly/2nuxM29

- Tra i top pick del 2018 di Goldman Sachs c’é Bank of America.
http://bit.ly/2nyXq67

- Tra le ragioni del crollo di Facebook, un apparente rallentamento degli


utenti: concretamente 50milioni di ore di video in meno.
http://bit.ly/2nmNfCk

Trading ideas

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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 31 Gennaio 2018

Alerts
Massimali per Amazon, Paypal e Boeing.
Volumi di negoziazione a oltre il doppio della media degli ultimi 30 giorni per
Boeing.

Up/Downgrade

Da 24/7 Wall St.


Adobe Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE) was reiterated as Buy and the price target was raised to
$234 from $195 (versus a $198.23 close) at Argus. Along with higher guidance, Argus thinks
that Adobe has positioned itself at the center of the digital video content and advertising
creation and management.

Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) was reiterated as Buy and the price target was raised
to $1,375 from $1,200 at B. Riley. Needham also raised its target price to $1,350 from
$1,150. Alphabet was also just featured as a company in which the price and analyst
action was indicating an overwhelming chance of very strong earnings.
Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) was reiterated as Buy and its price target was
raised to $1,600 from $1,250 at Needham. Amazon was just featured as a company in
which the recent trading and the analyst activity was indicating an overwhelming chance
of very strong earnings.

General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) was maintained as Hold but the price target was cut to $17
from $18 at Stifel. GE closed up 0.9% at $16.28 on Monday and was indicated down 0.7% at
$16.15 on Tuesday, compared with a $19.86 prior consensus analyst target price.
Yum! Brands Inc. (NYSE: YUM) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy with an $89 price target.
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) was downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO
Capital Markets, based on lower production expectations for the iPhone X and after government
inquiries ahead of the earnings report. Apple shares were indicated down 0.25% at $166.57,
after a 0.6% drop to $166.97 on Tuesday. Apple has a 52-week trading range of $127.01 to
$180.10 and a consensus analyst target price of $190.95.

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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 31 Gennaio 2018
FitBit Inc. (NYSE: FIT) was raised to Hold from Sell at Stifel, but the firm lowered its price
target to $5.50 from $6.00 (versus a $5.20 close).
McDonald’s Corp. (NYSE: MCD) was maintained as Hold at Independent Research but the
target price was raised to $185 from $175. BMO Capital Markets reiterated its Outperform rating
and raised its target to $190 from $175.

Nike Inc. (NYSE: NKE) was reiterated as Buy and the price target was raised to $78
from $74 (versus a $67.33 close) at Citigroup.

Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE) was down 3.13% at $37.80 on Tuesday after earnings and after
the Bezos, Buffett, Dimon health initiative. Credit Suisse reiterated its Neutral rating
and raised its target price to $39 from $37. Independent Research raised its target to
$40 from $39 with its Hold rating. BMO Capital Markets raised Pfizer’s target price to
$43 from $39, and Leerink raised its target to $38 from $35.

SAP SE (NYSE: SAP) was reiterated as Buy with a $130 price target (versus a $110.81
close) at Argus.

Da MarketBeat.com

 Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM) was downgraded by analysts at Instinet from a "buy" rating
to a "neutral" rating. current price of $85.05. Read More.
 Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM) was downgraded by analysts at Nomura from a "buy" rating
to a "neutral" rating. They now have a $89.00 price target on the stock. 4.6% upside
from the current price of $85.05. Read More.
 Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) is now covered by analysts at Citigroup Inc. They set a "buy"
rating and a $58.00 price target on the stock. 17.6% upside from the current price of
$49.34. Read More.
 Adobe Systems (NASDAQ:ADBE) had its price target raised by analysts at Argus from
$195.00 to $234.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 19.0% upside from the
current price of $196.71. Read More.
 Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) had its price target raised by analysts at Monness
Crespi & Hardt from $1,250.00 to $1,500.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock.
4.9% upside from the current price of $1,430.52. Read More.
 Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) had its price target raised by analysts at Needham &
Company LLC from $1,250.00 to $1,600.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock.
11.8% upside from the current price of $1,430.52. Read More.
 BT Group (LON:BT.A) had its price target lowered by analysts at Berenberg Bank from
GBX 325 ($4.56) to GBX 320 ($4.49). They now have a "hold" rating on the stock. Read
More.

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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 31 Gennaio 2018
 E*TRADE Financial (NASDAQ:ETFC) had its price target raised by analysts at Morgan
Stanley from $63.00 to $64.00. They now have an "overweight" rating on the stock.
21.3% upside from the current price of $52.77. Read More.
 Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) had its price target raised by analysts at B. Riley from
$1,200.00 to $1,375.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 16.4% upside from
the current price of $1,180.82. Read More.
 Hasbro (NASDAQ:HAS) had its price target lowered by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus from
$100.00 to $97.00. They now have a "hold" rating on the stock. 3.3% upside from the
current price of $93.88. Read More.
 Priceline Group (NASDAQ:PCLN) had its price target raised by analysts at Wells Fargo
& Co from $1,800.00 to $1,850.00. They now have a "market perform" rating on the
stock. 3.5% downside from the current price of $1,916.43. Read More.
 QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM) had its price target raised by analysts at Royal Bank of
Canada from $77.00 to $80.00. They now have an "outperform" rating on the stock.
19.2% upside from the current price of $67.12. Read More.
 Royal Dutch Shell (LON:RDSB) had its price target raised by analysts at Societe
Generale from GBX 2,660 ($37.35) to GBX 2,750 ($38.62). They now have a "hold"
rating on the stock. Read More.
 Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) had its price target raised by analysts at Morgan
Stanley from $61.00 to $63.00. They now have an "overweight" rating on the stock.
16.9% upside from the current price of $53.88. Read More.
 Vodafone Group (LON:VOD) had its price target raised by analysts at Berenberg Bank
from GBX 240 ($3.37) to GBX 253 ($3.55). They now have a "buy" rating on the
stock. Read More.
 American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) was upgraded by analysts at Sanford C.
Bernstein from a "market perform" rating to an "outperform" rating. They now have a
$62.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $52.59. 14.1% upside from the
current price of $54.33. Read More.
 Fitbit (NYSE:FIT) was upgraded by analysts at Stifel Nicolaus from a "sell" rating to a
"hold" rating. They now have a $5.50 price target on the stock, down previously from
$6.00. 5.6% upside from the current price of $5.21. Read More.
 Illumina (NASDAQ:ILMN) was upgraded by analysts at First Analysis from an "equal
weight" rating to an "overweight" rating. They now have a $277.00 price target on the
stock. 18.5% upside from the current price of $233.80. Read More.
 Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) was downgraded by analysts at BMO Capital Markets from an
"outperform" rating to a "market perform" rating. They now have a $195.00 price target
on the stock, up previously from $166.97. 16.8% upside from the current price of
$166.96. Read More.
 Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) had its price target lowered by analysts at Loop Capital from
$200.00 to $195.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 16.8% upside from the
current price of $166.96. Read More.
 Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS) had its price target raised by analysts at Loop Capital from
$106.00 to $108.00. They now have a "hold" rating on the stock. 1.1% downside from
the current price of $109.18. Read More.
 Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) had its price target raised by analysts at Aegis from $215.00
to $220.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 16.8% upside from the current
price of $188.29. Read More.

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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 31 Gennaio 2018
 Illumina (NASDAQ:ILMN) had its price target raised by analysts at Leerink Swann from
$250.00 to $276.00. They now have an "outperform" rating on the stock. 18.0% upside
from the current price of $233.80. Read More.
 Illumina (NASDAQ:ILMN) had its price target raised by analysts at Morgan Stanley from
$145.00 to $157.00. They now have an "underweight" rating on the stock. 32.8%
downside from the current price of $233.80. Read More.
 McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) had its price target raised by analysts at Telsey Advisory
Group from $180.00 to $190.00. They now have an "outperform" rating on the stock.
10.4% upside from the current price of $172.06. Read More.
 Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) had its price target raised by analysts at Leerink Swann from $35.00
to $38.00. They now have a "market perform" rating on the stock. 2.2% upside from the
current price of $37.20. Read More.
 Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) had its price target raised by analysts at Credit Suisse Group AG
from $37.00 to $39.00. They now have a "neutral" rating on the stock. 4.8% upside from
the current price of $37.20. Read More.
 Unilever (LON:ULVR) had its price target lowered by analysts at BNP Paribas from GBX
4,700 ($66.00) to GBX 4,600 ($64.60). They now have an "outperform" rating on the
stock. Read More.

Insider sales:

Da Daily Trade Alert:

 Intel (INTC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral by Citi


 Yum! Brands (YUM) downgraded by Nomura Instinet from Buy to Neutral
 Fitbit (FIT) upgraded by Stifel from Sell to Hold
 Apple (AAPL) downgraded by BMO Capital from Outperform to Market Perform

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