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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 3 Gennaio 2018

Cari buxiti,

- Rumours: c’è il 40% di possibilitá che Apple possa comprare Netflix secondo
questo post.
http://bit.ly/2AiUy1t
Momento negativo per Apple. Le previsioni di vendita dell’Iphone X sono
state ribassate da 50M a 30M, secondo il Taiwan’s Economic Daily.
http://bit.ly/2CBFIJc
E lo scandalo delle batterie, potrebbe tramutarsi in un’occasione di aumento
delle vendite, dato che Apple offrirá batterie di ricambio a $29.
http://bit.ly/2CyPTgN
Nonostante il calo di vendite (storia giá risentita in passato, tra l’altro), ci
sono buoni motivi per restare ottimisti, come: mac, iPads, lo smart speaker e
la riforma fiscale.
http://bit.ly/2DZXaDq
Il rimpatrio potrebbe portare a un bell’aumento di dividendo per il Q1 2018.
http://bit.ly/2Cw3cyN
Tra i cui principali beneficiari, dovrebbe esserci proprio Warren Buffet, che
ha recentemente aumentato la propria quota.
http://bit.ly/2CxTITt

- Intel viene rialzato da Mizuho con un BUY e un TP a $47 (attualmente a $46,


attenzione). Le prospettive per il 2018 restano positive. Speriamo!
http://bit.ly/2CzWHuA
In questo articolo si evidenzia come Intel sia una compagnia migliore di 5
anni fa, in quanto meno dipendente dal business PC (aperture a AI e self-
driving cars, per esempio).
http://bit.ly/2AgPKtw

- L’analista Mike Mayo (Wells fargo) rialza il TP di Bank of America a $35


(+17%). Valutazione non altissima, EPS promettenti.
http://bit.ly/2COCm2H

- S&P500: obiettivo $150 EPS e 3000 punti nel 2018, secondo Credit Suisse’s U.S. equity
strategy team.
http://bit.ly/2E1cHTC

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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 3 Gennaio 2018
- Oracle in ulteriori problemi (il 2018 e le sue prospettive si complicano), dato
che Amazon e SalesForce vogliono cancellare le loro rispettive partnership
con Oracle.
http://bit.ly/2CAFSjq
Ciononostante, Oracle ottiene un upgrade da Morgan Stanley (da Equal
Weight a Overweight). Attualmente 11 BUY, 15 OUTPERFORM, 11 HOLD e 1
SELL. TP medio a $55.
http://bit.ly/2ESg0h1

- Susqyehanna rialza il TP per Visa e Mastercard.


http://bit.ly/2CBgiuq

- Il browser di Alibaba prevale sul Chrome di Google nei mercati emergenti


(India 51%-30%).
http://bit.ly/2lNDM6g
Alibaba ha un margine di crescita del 32% secondo un’analisi DCF secondo i
parametri piú conservatori.
http://bit.ly/2CCjruU
Alibaba ha ancora ottimi margini di crescita. Il Retail initiative program
inizia, la crescita è attesa al 40% per il 2018
http://bit.ly/2AjcpoM
Alibaba dovrebbe soffrire un calo dell’EPS e un anno meno performante, ma
manitene buoni margini di crescita.
http://bit.ly/2E1s6TR

- Sembra che dopo il collasso, Alcoa possa tornare a essere un buon


investimento. Buoni dati tecnici a cui segue un buon sentimento degli
investitori. Nonostante la volatilitá, giocare di lungo termine sui prodotti che
produce Alcoa potrebbe essere una buona mossa.
http://bit.ly/2CiEMFx

- McDonald’s ottiene un buon giudizio da Namura: TP a $190 e miglior scelta


nel settore ristoranti per il 2018.
http://bit.ly/2CCFP7G
Altro upgrade da Suntrust, con TP da $175 a $205.
http://bit.ly/2CArh8y
L’uccello del malaugurio di turno, invece, nota come il debito sia aumentato e

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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 3 Gennaio 2018
i margini siano diminuiti i questi ultimi anni e come il prezzo conti giá buone
performance che potrebbero essere difficili da raggiungere.
http://bit.ly/2E1w7YC

- Interessante rapporto tra nvidia e le criptocurrencies (mai nascosto). In caso


di collasso a 0, Nvidia potrebbe subire una correzione del 3/4% che non
sembra moltissimo, ma considerando che si parla di un titolo di crescita,
costituirebbe un bel fallimento.
http://bit.ly/2CQ21YM
Interessante calcolo del valore in base ai suoi CPU, il cui totale dovrebbe
arrivare a circa $252-261.
http://bit.ly/2CAZBzt

- Bernstein downgrada Celgene a Market perform. Attualmente celgene


detiene 13 buy, 7 outperform, 12 hold e 1 underperform e un TP medio di
$125.
http://bit.ly/2COJfRv

- Elogio di Amazon: almeno metá degli shoppers inizia una ricerca di prodotto
oggigiorno da amazon.com e, grazie al dominio nella fase shippng, puó
imporre T&Cs restrittivi agli shoppers. Senza parlare dell’analytics dei
consumatori, dell’integrazione verticale dei dati, di Amazon Prime e Alexa.
http://bit.ly/2Cw4DgF
Con la linea “Basic Care”, Amazon entra ufficialmente (in punta di piedi)
nell’healthcare.
http://bit.ly/2Clh77n
Ulteriore elogio per Amazon, i cui utenti Prime sono cresciuti del 40%. Il
momentum per il 2018 rimane intatto e il TP viene rialzato a $1350 da GBH.
http://bit.ly/2EP7ZcJ
Sfruttando il momentum, Amazon sembra volersi espandere anche nell’AD e
rubare quote di mercato a Google e Facebook.
http://bit.ly/2qge7I4

- TP di Facebook per il 2018, secondo questo articolo, a $235,41.


http://bit.ly/2AgPKtw

- Valutazione Bitcoin perQ4 2018 a $50.000. Speriamo!


http://bit.ly/2E32AOj
Interessante metodo per valutare se il Bitcoin è in bolla o no: il NVT. Ovvero

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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 3 Gennaio 2018
il market cap diviso il numero di transazioni al giorno. Tra 30 e 95, siamo
nella normalitá. Il 19 dicembre, il BTC era a circa 70, quindi nella normalitá e
tutt’ora intorno ai 74. Conclusione: non bolla ma consolidazione.
Il BTC dovrebbe tornare a crescere, confermando i precedenti 4 casi,
soprattutto se la Sec approvasse in fretta un ETF basato sul bitcoin (possibile
a metá 2018, improbabile nel Q1 2018).
http://bit.ly/2CArHMa
E se pensate che il bitcoin sia cresciuto di piú nel 2017, vi sbagliate, perché si
trova in 14ima posizione. #1  Ripple.
http://bit.ly/2lPgXPj

- Strategia: nelle prossime 2 settimane potrebbe esserci un piccolo pullback,


ergo occorre tenere del cash liquido per comprare il dip.
http://bit.ly/2CyJkLm

- Macquarie rivaluta Netflix da Neutral a outperform e dice che l’unico


concorrente potenziale, potrebbe essere Disney tra 2 anni circa. Chissá che
fine ha fatto Roku nelle loro gerarchie.
http://bit.ly/2ClfNBm

- Parlando invece di Paypal, il recente crollo dovrebbe rappresentare solo un


profit taking e, mentre il balance sheet migliora, le aree di crescita potrebbero
essere ancora sottovalutate. TP per il 2018, sempre secondo questo articolo, a
$96. Attuale a $74.
http://bit.ly/2AgPKtw

- Previsioni 2018: Technology, Financials, Energy all’insú. Utilities all’ingiú.


http://bit.ly/2lSn8S5

Alerts

Alcoa, Google e Visa toccano i massimi a 52 settimane.


Crescita spropositata di Nvidia a oltre il 5% in una sola seduta.

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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 3 Gennaio 2018

Trading ideas
Apple potrebbe aver incocciato sul support.
http://bit.ly/2AiEsEP
Della stessa opinione anche questo schema.
http://bit.ly/2lQdH5z
Anche qui, tramite lo schema ABCD a farfalla.
http://bit.ly/2lRvIBd
Nvidia dovrebbe essere in fase bullish se si conferma il canale ascendente.
http://bit.ly/2ESbJdN

Il DAX potrebbe essere incappato nella linea di supporto.


http://bit.ly/2CyKkPC

Per chi ama il rischio, ecco Wal-Mart: la linea di reistenza a $100 è poco lontana e
dopo tanta consolidazione, potrebbe essere il momento di un breakout all’insú.
http://bit.ly/2lQEkHI
Opinione simile anche qui, dove si evidenzia il triangolo ascendente.
http://bit.ly/2CBcdY9

Alibaba dovrebbe incontrare la linea di supporto a $170.


http://bit.ly/2CAfZ3P

Usando il metodo wave.


Facebook dovrebbe iniziare la terza serie al rialzo, obiettivo i $200.
http://bit.ly/2CAjvLB
Amazon dovrebbe iniziare la quinta onda con obiettivo i $1250.
http://bit.ly/2CO7hMq
Mentre per McDonald’s, la situazione non è proprio rosea. La quinta onda (al
ribasso) e l’overbought non sono ottimi indizi.
http://bit.ly/2CLWeTN

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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 3 Gennaio 2018
Nonostante le analisi e i multipli, a un’attenta rilettura, McDonald’s resta pur
sempre un buon investimento con momentum per il 2018.
http://bit.ly/2lQabsT

Boeing riceve un ordine da 4 aerei da Air Maroc.


http://bit.ly/2CB0jg7
E per chi ha paura che sia troppo tardi per rincorrere Boeing, secondo quest’analisi,
ci sará ancora spazio per profitti nel 2018.
http://bit.ly/2AgPKtw

Paypal dovrebbe rispettare il canale e tornare a crescere.


http://bit.ly/2CD7wx2

Idem per Nvidia.


http://bit.ly/2lSoexb
Amazon in triangolo con possibile breakout all’insú.
http://bit.ly/2Ak9aNX
Conferma del breakout.
http://bit.ly/2ClC9Tk
Nvidia sembra aver superato (almeno temporaneamente) la linea di resistenza a
$199.
http://bit.ly/2lQcv2O
Visa ri-incontra la linea di resistenza a $114.
http://bit.ly/2CkY90K
Activision: come ripetuto varie volte nei mesi scorsi, il titolo no riesce a superare la
soglia dei $65 circa.
http://bit.ly/2qf55uA

Up/Downgrade

Da 24/7 Wall St.


Page 6 of 10
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 3 Gennaio 2018
 Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) was raised to Outperform from Neutral and the price
target was raised to $220 from $200 at Macquarie. This is a broad realignment of media
coverage citing gains ahead for Netflix. The 52-week range is $124.31 to $204.38, and
the consensus price target is $215.03.
 Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS) was raised to Outperform from Neutral and the price
target was raised to $125 from $112 (versus a $107.51 close) at Macquarie. The call is
bolstered by its capability for distribution ahead in a broad media realigment. Disney has
a 52-week range of $96.20 to $116.10 and a consensus analyst target of $112.11.
 Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) was downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at
JPMorgan.
 JPMorgan has made two changes to international pharmaceutical picks for 2018.
AstraZeneca PLC (NYSE: AZN) was raised to Overweight from Neutral.
 Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) was maintained as Sector Weight at KeyBanc Capital
Markets, noting lowered sales expectations for Model 3 deliveries. The firm also believes
that the Model 3 margin ramp will disappoint when investors will have to acknowledge
lower growth that is not priced into Tesla shares. The stock closed down 2.4% at $317.29
on Tuesday and was indicated down 0.5% more at $315.80 on Wednesday.
 Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) rose 1.3% to $29.90 on the first trading day of the
year, but shares were indicated to open down a few cents despite three different target
price hikes. Instinet raised its target to $37 from $30; Bernstein raised its target to $34
from $32; and Barclays raised its target to $35 from $28.
 International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) was raised to Outperform from
Sector Perform and the price target was raised to $180 from $160 (versus a $154.25
close) at RBC Capital Markets. Shares closed up 0.5% at $154.25 on Tuesday but were
indicated up 1.3% at $156.30 on Wednesday. IBM’s 52-week range is $139.13 to $182.79,
and it had a consensus target price of $163.74.
 Oracle Corp. (NYSE: ORCL) was raised to Overweight from Equal Weight with a $57
price target at Morgan Stanley. Oracle closed down 1.37% at $46.63 on Tuesday due to
reports that more tech competitors were building out their own database operations. Its
shares were indicated up about 1.4% at $47.28 on Wednesday on the heels of the
upgrade. The 52-week range is $38.38 to $53.14, and the consensus target price was
$55.74.
 Charles Schwab Corp. (NYSE: SCHW) was downgraded to Market Perform from
Outperform with a $48 price target (versus a $51.44 close) at JMP Securities.
 E*Trade Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: ETFC) was raised to Overweight from Equal Weight
at Morgan Stanley.
 Harley-Davidson Inc. (NYSE: HOG) was downgraded to Underperform from Neutral
with a $43 price target (versus a $52.06 close) at Longbow Research.

Da MarketBeat.com

 Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS) was upgraded by analysts at Macquarie from a "neutral" rating
to an "outperform" rating. They now have a $125.00 price target on the stock, up
previously from $112.00. 16.3% upside from the current price of $107.51. Read More.

Page 7 of 10
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 3 Gennaio 2018
 Illumina (NASDAQ:ILMN) was upgraded by analysts at Wells Fargo & Co from a
"market perform" rating to an "outperform" rating. They now have a $205.00 price target
on the stock. 6.2% downside from the current price of $218.49. Read More.
 Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) was downgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase &
Co. from an "overweight" rating to a "neutral" rating. current price of $139.72. Read
More.
 BAE Systems (LON:BA) had its price target raised by analysts at Credit Suisse Group
AG from GBX 605 ($8.09) to GBX 610 ($8.16). They now have a "neutral" rating on the
stock. Read More.
 Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) had its price target raised by analysts at Barclays PLC
from $28.00 to $35.00. They now have an "equal weight" rating on the stock. 18.6%
upside from the current price of $29.52. Read More.
 Citigroup (NYSE:C) had its price target raised by analysts at Barclays PLC from $76.00
to $93.00. They now have an "overweight" rating on the stock. 25.0% upside from the
current price of $74.41. Read More.
 Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS) had its price target raised by analysts at Barclays
PLC from $262.00 to $308.00. They now have an "equal weight" rating on the stock.
20.9% upside from the current price of $254.76. Read More.
 JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) had its price target raised by analysts at Barclays
PLC from $105.00 to $132.00. They now have an "overweight" rating on the stock.
23.4% upside from the current price of $106.94. Read More.
 Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) had its price target raised by analysts at Barclays PLC
from $52.00 to $62.00. They now have an "equal weight" rating on the stock. 18.2%
upside from the current price of $52.47. Read More.
 Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) had its price target raised by analysts at Loop Capital from
$237.00 to $241.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 19.7% upside from the
current price of $201.27. Read More.
 J Sainsbury (LON:SBRY) had its price target lowered by analysts at Deutsche Bank AG from
GBX 300 ($4.01) to GBX 260 ($3.48). They now have a "hold" rating on the stock. Read More.
 Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) was given a new $180.00 price target on by analysts at
Rosenblatt Securities on Tuesday. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 6.4%
upside from the current price of $169.23. This rating was viewed 177 times. Read More.
 AstraZeneca (NYSE:AZN) was upgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from a
"neutral" rating to an "overweight" rating on Friday. current price of $34.70. This rating
was viewed 145 times. Read More.
 Celgene (NASDAQ:CELG) was downgraded by analysts at Sanford C. Bernstein from
an "outperform" rating to a "market perform" rating on Wednesday. They now have a
$121.00 price target on the stock. 15.9% upside from the current price of $104.36. This
rating was viewed 261 times. Read More.
 Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) was given a new $100.00 price target on by analysts at
Royal Bank of Canada on Tuesday. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 16.9%
upside from the current price of $85.54. This rating was viewed 47 times. Read More.
 Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) was given a new $100.00 price target on by analysts at
Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. on Tuesday. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock.
16.9% upside from the current price of $85.54. This rating was viewed 38 times. Read
More.

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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 3 Gennaio 2018
 Visa (NYSE:V) had its price target raised by analysts at Susquehanna Bancshares Inc
from $126.00 to $148.00 on Thursday. 29.8% upside from the current price of $114.02.
This rating was viewed 54 times. Read More.
 AstraZeneca (NYSE:AZN) was upgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. from a
"neutral" rating to an "overweight" rating. current price of $34.11. Read More.
 Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS) was upgraded by analysts at Vertical Group from a
"hold" rating to a "buy" rating. current price of $256.50. Read More.
 General Motors (NYSE:GM) (TSE:GMM.U) had its price target raised by analysts at
Evercore ISI from $40.00 to $41.38. Read More.
 Celgene (NASDAQ:CELG) was downgraded by analysts at Sanford C. Bernstein from
an "outperform" rating to a "market perform" rating. current price of $106.97. Read More.
 Nike (NYSE:NKE) had its price target raised by analysts at DA Davidson from $68.00 to
$78.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 23.2% upside from the current price
of $63.29. Read More.
 Nike (NYSE:NKE) had its price target lowered by analysts at Canaccord Genuity from
$64.00 to $62.00. They now have a "hold" rating on the stock. 2.0% downside from the
current price of $63.29. Read More.
 Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RDS.A) was upgraded by analysts at Howard Weil to an
"outperform" rating on Friday. current price of $65.75. This rating was viewed 318
times. Read More.
 Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) was upgraded by analysts at Howard Weil from an
"outperform" rating to a "focus list" rating on Friday. current price of $83.97. This rating
was viewed 111 times. Read More.
 Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS) was upgraded by analysts at Rosenblatt Securities from a
"neutral" rating to a "buy" rating. They now have a $130.00 price target on the stock.
16.3% upside from the current price of $111.82. Read More.
 E*TRADE Financial (NASDAQ:ETFC) was upgraded by analysts at Morgan Stanley
from an "equal weight" rating to an "overweight" rating. They now have a $43.00 price
target on the stock. 13.7% downside from the current price of $49.82. Read More.
 Expedia (NASDAQ:EXPE) was upgraded by analysts at Bank of America Corp from a
"neutral" rating to a "buy" rating. current price of $121.42. Read More.
 International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) was upgraded by analysts at Royal
Bank of Canada from a "sector perform" rating to an "outperform" rating. They now have
a $180.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $160.00. They noted that the
move was a valuation call. 16.7% upside from the current price of $154.25. Read More.
 Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) was upgraded by analysts at Morgan Stanley from an "equal
weight" rating to an "overweight" rating. They now have a $57.00 price target on the
stock, up previously from $46.63. 22.2% upside from the current price of $46.63. Read
More.
 Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) was downgraded by analysts at JMP Securities from
an "outperform" rating to a "market perform" rating. current price of $51.44. Read More.
 Yum China (NYSE:YUMC) is now covered by analysts at Macquarie. They set an
"outperform" rating and a $55.00 price target on the stock. 35.4% upside from the
current price of $40.63. Read More.
 Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA) is now covered by analysts at Consumer Edge. They set an
"overweight" rating and a $4.50 price target on the stock. 14.8% upside from the current
price of $3.92. Read More.

Page 9 of 10
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 3 Gennaio 2018
 Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS) had its price target raised by analysts at Royal Bank of
Canada to $135.00. They now have a "top pick" rating on the stock. 20.7% upside from
the current price of $111.82. Read More.
 McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) had its price target raised by analysts at SunTrust Banks, Inc.
from $163.00 to $205.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 18.3% upside from
the current price of $173.22. Read More.

Insider sales:

 Monster Beverage Corporation (NASDAQ:MNST) Chairman Rodney C. Sacks sold


189,861 shares of the company's stock in a transaction on Tuesday, December 26th.
The stock was sold at an average price of $63.92, for a total transaction of
$12,135,915.12. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which can be
accessed through the SEC website. This trade was viewed 31 times. Read More.
 NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) Director Persis Drell sold 606 shares of the
company's stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, December 20th. The
stock was sold at an average price of $197.07, for a total value of $119,424.42.
Following the completion of the sale, the director now directly owns 26,104 shares of the
company's stock, valued at approximately $5,144,315.28. The sale was disclosed in a
filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this link.
This trade was viewed 74 times. Read More.

Da Daily Trade Alert:

 Netflix (NFLX) upgraded by Macquarie from Neutral to Outperform


 Disney (DIS) upgraded by Macquarie from Neutral to Outperform
 Expedia (EXPE) upgraded by BofA/Merrill from Neutral to Buy
 Disney (DIS) upgraded by Rosenblatt from Neutral to Buy
 Harley-Davidson (HOG) downgraded by Longbow from Neutral to
Underperform

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