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Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 29 Marzo 2018

Cari buxiti,

- Corto riassunto delle banche USA: JPMorgan (apparentemente) la migliore,


Wells Fargo in difficoltá e Bank of America in ripresa dopo alcuni anni un
pó in penombra.
https://bit.ly/2E5GMRr

- Per capire se Facebook ha smesso di cadere, Jim Cramer consiglia di


guardare i volumi e secondo lui il titolo dovrebbe essere rialzista ormai.
https://bit.ly/2GidjtQ
GBH vede un upside di oltre 40% per Facebook e mantiene il rating “Higly
attractive”, seppure serva tempo perché le cose si sistemino.
https://bit.ly/2E51DVi
Bank of America abbassa il TP a $210 (+31% potenziale upside).
https://bit.ly/2GCToox
Questo articolo propone di aspettare un crollo sui $145-150.
https://bit.ly/2GowPRj
Tra le chicche di Facebook, resta peró Whatsapp il cui potenziale enorme
potrebbe vederlo presto come un’app anche per processare pagamenti.
https://bit.ly/2GH6oK8
Buoni risultati il 28/3/2018, grazie al loro appello pubblico al semplificare
ulteriormente le loro impostazioni privacy.
https://bit.ly/2GiAyUp

- Articolo interessante che mostra come il P/E sia un indicatore incompleto e


inaffidabile. La soluzione sta nel flippare i due valori (ergo E/P) e rapportarlo
ai bond. Per esempio, se un titolo vale $100 e gli earnings sono a $5, l’E/P=
$5/$100=5% che puo’ essere meglio di un bond a 2%.
https://bit.ly/2E64Js2

- Wal-Mart è un BUY senza grosse pretese in un industry con pochi tesori


nascosti.
https://bit.ly/2pUoIFc
Page 1 of 13
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 29 Marzo 2018

- Brutte notizie per Oracle, considerato un SELL.


https://bit.ly/2E5pLHa

- Microsoft dalle buone prospettive: il cloud e il gaming dovrebbero essere tra


i principali motori di crescita.
https://bit.ly/2uvVsKf
Morgan Stanley rialza il TP a $130 (+49% di potenziale upside) grazie anche
ai margini in crescita che potrebbero portare a breve al trilione di
valutazione.
https://bit.ly/2GhCgFH

- Mastercard potrebbe essere un pó troppo caro, ma il business sottostante e


l’azienda restano solidi.
https://bit.ly/2GWgZOS

- Amazon diventa progressivamente piú rischiosa a causa dell’overvaluation.


https://bit.ly/2IgMsuB

- Si conferma la tesi per cui Alibaba sia sottovalutato. Il TP secondo questo


articolo è di $250 (potenziale +38%~).
https://bit.ly/2urM9Le

- Apple potrebbe risentire a breve del fatto che la vendita di Iphone stia
rallentando e che il mercato sembra saturarsi.
https://bit.ly/2GlVSo9
Parallelamente, Goldman Sachs taglia le previsioni di vendita da 54,7M di
unitá a 53M per il Q1 2018.
https://bit.ly/2GTB4VX

- Dropbox è un titolo troppo rischioso e valutato in maniera impercettibile.


https://bit.ly/2pOuF71

- Buone notizie per Nvidia per il quale gli analisti (tra cui Rosenblatt e Citi)
prevedono che la tempesta dovrebbe terminare a breve e che il -8% è
largamente eccessivo.
https://bit.ly/2uxg7xy

Page 2 of 13
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 29 Marzo 2018
- Secondo quest’articolo, Nvidia potrebbe aver corso un pó troppo e non essere
il titolo migliore e piú sicuro in cui entrare adesso.
https://bit.ly/2GJ3KTQ

- BOC Aviation compra 6 nuovi 787-9 da Boeing.


https://bit.ly/2usDZ5o
Barclays fissa il TP a $388.
https://bit.ly/2GSoHcF

- Nel settore dell’-e payment, Bernstein preferisce Mastercard e Visa


(entrambe outperform) e Paypal (competizione in aumento e +72% solo
l’anno scorso).
https://bit.ly/2GDX0H8

Trading ideas

- Breakout (finora e personalmente non) decisivo per Netflix.


https://bit.ly/2J2feQM
Continua l’ipotesi di breakout.
https://bit.ly/2GiraQB

- Facebook potrebbe rimbalzare dentro il proprio canale.


https://bit.ly/2GppNvm
Facebook sembrerebbe aver trovato un hammer (segno rialzista).
https://bit.ly/2GF7cyY
Apparente rimbalzo di Facebook sulla linea inferiore del suo canale.
https://bit.ly/2E2SkF7

- Nvidia dovrebbe aver toccato il margine basso del suo canale.


https://bit.ly/2GHd4rt

Page 3 of 13
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 29 Marzo 2018

Alerts

Up/Downgrade

Da 24/7 Wall St.


Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) was already rated as Buy at Goldman Sachs, but
the firm added it to the prized Conviction Buy list and raised its target price to $54
from $51 (versus a $43.07 close).
Nike Inc. (NYSE: NKE) was down 2.9% at $64.42 ahead of earnings and was last seen
trading up 4.2% at $67.21 after earnings. Credit Suisse maintained its Outperform
rating and $78 price target, but the firm trimmed earnings estimates for 2019 and
2020. Wedbush raised its price target to $75 from $74, and Raymond James raised
its target to $75 from $67. Jefferies raised its Nike target to $68 from $59.
Unilever PLC (NYSE: UL) was raised to Buy from Hold with a target price of $60
(versus a $52.57 close) at Argus.
American Express Co. (NYSE: AXP) was started with a Buy rating and assigned a
$111 price target at UBS in a larger mixed financial sector call. American Express
has a 52-week range of $75.51 to $102.39 and a consensus price target of $107.96.

AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) was raised to Buy from Hold with a $41 price target (versus a
$34.90 close) at HSBC. Shares closed up 0.6% on Tuesday despite a big market sell-
off, and the dividend yield is closer to 5.5% now. AT&T has a 52-week range of
$32.55 to $42.70 and a consensus price target of $40.71.

Page 4 of 13
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 29 Marzo 2018
Mastercard Inc. (NYSE: MA) was started as Outperform with a $207 price target at
Bernstein. Shares closed down 2.6% at $172.52 on Tuesday. The credit card
processing giant has a 52-week range of $111.01 to $183.73 and a consensus price
target of $194.70.
PayPal Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: PYPL) was started as Market Perform with an $82
price target at Bernstein. PayPal has a 52-week range of $42.06 to $86.32. The
consensus price target is $85.38.
Unilever N.V. (NYSE: UN) was raised to Buy from Neutral at UBS.

Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ) was raised to Buy from Hold with a $55
price target (versus a $47.31 close) at HSBC. The stock closed up 0.5% on Tuesday
despite the big sell-off. The 52-week range is $42.80 to $54.77 and the consensus
price target is $55.96. Verizon’s current yield is now 5%.

Visa Inc. (NYSE: V) was started as Outperform with a $143 price target at Bernstein.
Visa closed down 2.7% at $117.40 on Tuesday, and it has a 52-week range of $88.13
to $126.88.

Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) was started as Overweight with a $388 at Barclays, which
noted that the airline and aerospace defense giant will have cost containment into
strong orders. The shares closed down 0.3% at $320.02 on Wednesday but were
indicated up 0.9% at $322.95 on Thursday. Boeing has a 52-week range of $175.47
to $371.60 and a consensus price target of $386.83.
Harley-Davidson Inc. (NYSE: HOG) was raised to Neutral from Underperform at
Longbow Research. It closed up 1.57% at $42.68, and it has a 52-week range of
$41.33 to $62.95 and a consensus price target of $50.57.

Hasbro Inc. (NASDAQ: HAS) was maintained as Neutral and the price target was cut
to $92 from $103 at UBS. The stock closed down 0.3% at $83.82 on Wednesday, and
the toymaker has a 52-week range of $83.56 to $116.20 and a consensus price
target of $105.71.

Mattel Inc. (NASDAQ: MAT) was maintained as Buy but the price target was cut to
$16 from $18 at UBS. It has a 52-week range of $12.71 to $25.97 and a consensus
price target of $15.46.
Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ: SBUX) was downgraded to Neutral from Outperform and
the price target was cut to $56 from $70 (versus a $57.90 prior close) at Wedbush.
The firm cites slower 2018 acceleration and increasing risks in 2019.
Page 5 of 13
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 29 Marzo 2018

Da MarketBeat.com

 Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RDS.A) was upgraded by analysts at Societe


Generale from a "hold" rating to a "buy" rating. current price of $62.17. Read
More.
 Unilever (NYSE:UN) was upgraded by analysts at Argus from a "hold" rating
to a "buy" rating. They noted that the move was a valuation call. current price
of $53.78. Read More.
 Kingfisher (LON:KGF) had its price target lowered by analysts at Deutsche
Bank AG from GBX 345 ($4.77) to GBX 315 ($4.35). They now have a "hold"
rating on the stock. Read More.
 Nike (NYSE:NKE) had its price target raised by analysts at B. Riley from
$63.00 to $68.00. They now have a "neutral" rating on the stock. 3.0% upside
from the current price of $66.00. Read More.
 Deutsche Bank (FRA:DBK) was given a new €8.60 ($10.62) price target on
by analysts at Citigroup on Thursday. They now have a "sell" rating on the
stock. This rating was viewed 49 times. Read More.
 NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) had its price target raised by analysts at Argus from
$250.00 to $280.00 on Thursday. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock.
They noted that the move was a valuation call. 20.2% upside from the current
price of $232.97. This rating was viewed 80 times. Read More.
 QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM) is now covered by analysts at Morgan
Stanley on Monday. They set an "underweight" rating and a $55.00 price
target on the stock. 2.5% upside from the current price of $53.66. This rating
was viewed 79 times. Read More.
 Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) was upgraded by analysts at Raymond James Financial
from an "underperform" rating to a "market perform" rating. current price of
$51.10. Read More.
 Royal Bank of Scotland Group (LON:RBS) was upgraded by analysts at
Deutsche Bank AG to a "buy" rating. They now have a GBX 305 ($4.21) price
target on the stock, down previously from GBX 315 ($4.35). Read More.
 Adobe Systems (NASDAQ:ADBE) was downgraded by analysts at JMP
Securities from an "outperform" rating to a "market perform" rating. current
price of $222.30. Read More.

Page 6 of 13
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 29 Marzo 2018
 Celgene (NASDAQ:CELG) had its price target lowered by analysts at Goldman
Sachs from $97.00 to $85.00. They now have a "sell" rating on the stock. 1.1%
downside from the current price of $85.96. Read More.
 Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) had its price target lowered by analysts at Robert W.
Baird from $225.00 to $210.00. They now have an "outperform" rating on the
stock. 36.3% upside from the current price of $154.08. Read More.
 Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) had its price target raised by analysts at Robert W.
Baird to $62.00. They now have an "outperform" rating on the stock. 21.3%
upside from the current price of $51.10. Read More.
 Verizon Communications (NYSE:VZ) was upgraded by analysts at HSBC
Holdings plc from a "hold" rating to a "buy" rating. They now have a $55.00
price target on the stock. 13.4% upside from the current price of $48.51. Read
More.
 AT&T (NYSE:T) was upgraded by analysts at HSBC Holdings plc from a "hold"
rating to a "buy" rating. They now have a $41.00 price target on the stock, up
previously from $34.90. 14.7% upside from the current price of $35.74. Read
More.
 Barclays (LON:BARC) had its price target raised by analysts at Credit Suisse
Group AG from GBX 230 ($3.18) to GBX 240 ($3.32). They now have an
"outperform" rating on the stock. Read More.
 GlaxoSmithKline (LON:GSK) had its price target raised by analysts at
Berenberg Bank from GBX 1,705 ($23.56) to GBX 1,780 ($24.59). They now
have a "buy" rating on the stock. Read More.
 GlaxoSmithKline (LON:GSK) had its price target raised by analysts at Kepler
Capital Markets from GBX 1,360 ($18.79) to GBX 1,400 ($19.34). They now
have a "hold" rating on the stock. Read More.
 Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) had its price target raised by analysts at Citigroup
from $250.00 to $305.00. They now have a "neutral" rating on the stock. 7.4%
upside from the current price of $284.09. Read More.
 Repsol (OTCMKTS:REPYY) was upgraded by analysts at Citigroup from a
"neutral" rating to a "buy" rating. current price of $17.70. Read More.
 Allianz (OTCMKTS:AZSEY) was downgraded by analysts at JPMorgan Chase &
Co. from an "overweight" rating to a "neutral" rating. current price of
$22.57. Read More.
 Boeing (NYSE:BA) is now covered by analysts at Barclays. They set an
"overweight" rating and a $322.95 price target on the stock. 1.1% downside
from the current price of $326.58. Read More.
 E*TRADE Financial (NASDAQ:ETFC) had its price target raised by analysts at
JMP Securities from $58.00 to $60.00. They now have a "market outperform"

Page 7 of 13
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 29 Marzo 2018
rating on the stock. 10.5% upside from the current price of $54.31. Read
More.

Insider sales:

Patricia 2,704 Rea


Cross Bu shares 3/22/2 $492.4 d
Aviva (LON:AV) £13,736.32
(Insider y @ GBX 018 0 Mo
) 508 re

500
Rea
Jeffrey shares
Amazon.com (NASDA Se $788,925.0 3/21/2 Vie $1,544 d
A Wilke @
Q:AMZN) ll 0 018 w .29 Mo
(CEO) $1,577
re
.85

John 143
Rea
Victor shares
Salesforce.com (NYSE Se 3/22/2 Vie $116.5 d
Roos @ $17,144.27
:CRM) ll 018 w 5 Mo
(Directo $119.8
re
r) 9

Cynthia 1,980
Rea
G shares
Salesforce.com (NYSE Se $237,560.4 3/22/2 Vie $116.5 d
Robbins @
:CRM) ll 0 018 w 5 Mo
(Insider $119.9
re
) 8

Keith 10,000
Rea
Block shares
Salesforce.com (NYSE Se $1,200,100 3/22/2 Vie $116.5 d
(Vice @
:CRM) ll .00 018 w 5 Mo
Chairm $120.0
re
an) 1

Page 8 of 13
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 29 Marzo 2018
Iain 3,469 Rea
Mackay Se shares 3/21/2 $668.4 d
HSBC (LON:HSBA) £24,144.24
(Insider ll @ GBX 018 0 Mo
) 696 re

Mark J 16,844
Rea
Hawkin shares
Salesforce.com (NYSE Se $1,989,613 3/26/2 Vie $118.1 d
s @
:CRM) ll .28 018 w 1 Mo
(Insider $118.1
re
) 2

5,000
Rea
Marc shares
Salesforce.com (NYSE Se $581,050.0 3/23/2 Vie $118.1 d
Benioff @
:CRM) ll 0 018 w 1 Mo
(CEO) $116.2
re
1

5,000
Rea
Marc shares
Salesforce.com (NYSE Se $586,750.0 3/26/2 Vie $118.1 d
Benioff @
:CRM) ll 0 018 w 1 Mo
(CEO) $117.3
re
5

125,00
Rea
Dorian 0
Se $5,743,750 3/26/2 Vie d
Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) Daley shares $46.19
ll .00 018 w Mo
(EVP) @
re
$45.95

Stanley
1,980
J Rea
Palo Alto shares
Meresm Se $369,844.2 3/22/2 Vie $186.6 d
Networks (NYSE:PAN @
an ll 0 018 w 9 Mo
W) $186.7
(Directo re
9
r)

Facebook (NASDAQ:F Mark Se 152,70 $25,441,34 3/22/2 Vie $159.3 Rea


B) 0
Zuckerb ll 7.00 018 w 9 d
shares

Page 9 of 13
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 29 Marzo 2018
erg @ Mo
(CEO) $166.6 re
1

5,000
Marc Rea
shares
Salesforce.com (NYSE Benioff Se $566,050.0 3/28/2 Vie $112.8 d
@
:CRM) (Chairm ll 0 018 w 8 Mo
$113.2
an) re
1

Keith 10,000
Rea
Block shares
Salesforce.com (NYSE Se $1,185,700 3/27/2 Vie $112.8 d
(Vice @
:CRM) ll .00 018 w 8 Mo
Chairm $118.5
re
an) 7

140,20
Mark 0 Rea
Facebook (NASDAQ:F Zuckerb Se shares $21,527,71 3/28/2 Vie $157.7 d
B) erg ll @ 0.00 018 w 9 Mo
(CEO) $153.5 re
5

145,00
Mark 0 Rea
Facebook (NASDAQ:F Zuckerb Se shares $22,556,20 3/26/2 Vie $157.7 d
B) erg ll @ 0.00 018 w 9 Mo
(CEO) $155.5 re
6

Alexand 663 Rea


QUALCOMM (NASDA er H Se shares 3/27/2 Vie d
$37,519.17 $54.74
Q:QCOM) Rogers ll @ 018 w Mo
(EVP) $56.59 re

Ellen F 12,000 Rea


Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA Siminoff Se shares 3/26/2 Vie d
$45,600.00 $3.64
) (Directo ll @ 018 w Mo
r) $3.80 re

Page 10 of 13
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 29 Marzo 2018

 Salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM) CEO Marc Benioff sold 5,000 shares of the


business's stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, March 21st. The stock
was sold at an average price of $122.36, for a total value of $611,800.00. The
sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange
Commission, which is available through the SEC website. This trade was
viewed 47 times. Read More.
 Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) CEO Mark Zuckerberg sold 465,400 shares of the
business's stock in a transaction dated Friday, March 16th. The shares were
sold at an average price of $183.79, for a total value of $85,535,866.00. The
transaction was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is accessible
through this link. This trade was viewed 171 times. Read More.
 Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) COO Sheryl Sandberg sold 55,000 shares of the
business's stock in a transaction dated Thursday, March 15th. The shares
were sold at an average price of $183.13, for a total value of $10,072,150.00.
The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is accessible
through this link. This trade was viewed 52 times. Read More.
 Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) CEO Reed Hastings sold 75,271 shares of the
business's stock in a transaction dated Tuesday, March 20th. The shares were
sold at an average price of $316.98, for a total value of $23,859,401.58.
Following the sale, the chief executive officer now owns 75,271 shares of the
company's stock, valued at $23,859,401.58. The transaction was disclosed in
a legal filing with the SEC, which can be accessed through the SEC website.
This trade was viewed 129 times. Read More.

Dividendi
3-
Ann Year
Payo
Dividen ual Divid P/E Market
Company ut Industry
d Yield Pay end Ratio Cap
Ratio
out Growt
h
Rio
$2.9 56.18 5.30 METALS-NON
Tinto (NYSE: 5.67% N/A $68.03B
1 % % FERR
RIO)

Page 11 of 13
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 29 Marzo 2018
Ford
$0.6 38.71 6.30 AUTOS/TIRES
Motor (NYSE: 5.59% 5.67 $41.96B
0 % % /TRUCKS
F)
General
$1.5 24.32 8.20 AUTOS/TIRES
Motors (NYSE 4.28% -12.31 $49.35B
2 % % /TRUCKS
:GM)
Pfizer (NYSE: $1.3 45.95 7.20
3.92% 9.87 $205.31B DRUGS
PFE) 6 % %
The Coca-
$1.5 74.64 6.70
Cola (NYSE:K 3.67% 157.57 $180.58B BEVERAGES
6 % %
O)
Harley-
$1.4 39.26 9.90 AUTOS/TIRES
Davidson (NY 3.56% 13.94 $6.98B
8 % % /TRUCKS
SE:HOG)
Amgen (NASD $5.2 39.85 23.50
3.06% 67.02 $122.08B DRUGS
AQ:AMGN) 8 % %
Morgan 7.
$7.9 quarterl $0. 3/20/ 3/28/ 4/13/ Read
Stanley (NYSE: 65 $0.15
7 y 15 18 18 18 More
EDD) %

Ralph 1. -
$11 quarterl $0. 3/15/ 3/28/ 4/13/ Read
Lauren (NYSE:R 84 $0.50 198.
0.66 y 50 18 18 18 More
L) % 0%

3.
Xerox (NYSE:XR $29. quarterl $0. 158. 2/22/ 3/28/ 4/30/ Read
29 $0.25
X) 34 y 25 7% 18 18 18 More
%

Rio 56.1 $69.3 METALS-NON


5.79% $2.91 5.30% N/A
Tinto (NYSE:RIO) 8% 0B FERR

Ford 38.7 $43.0 AUTOS/TIRES/T


5.53% $0.60 6.30% 5.72
Motor (NYSE:F) 1% 3B RUCKS

General 24.3 - $50.5 AUTOS/TIRES/T


4.27% $1.52 8.20%
Motors (NYSE:GM) 2% 12.29 0B RUCKS

Page 12 of 13
Irrobuxtiamo la strategia – 29 Marzo 2018
45.9 $208.
Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) 3.83% $1.36 7.20% 10.12 DRUGS
5% 59B

The Coca- 74.6 161.0 $182.


3.59% $1.56 6.70% BEVERAGES
Cola (NYSE:KO) 4% 9 11B

Harley-
39.2 $7.14 AUTOS/TIRES/T
Davidson (NYSE:H 3.44% $1.48 9.90% 14.42
6% B RUCKS
OG)

Amgen (NASDAQ: 39.8 $126.


3.08% $5.28 23.50% 66.52 DRUGS
AMGN) 5% 24B

Da Daily Trade Alert:

 Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) upgraded by Societe Generale from Hold to Buy
 Cisco (CSCO) upgraded by Goldman Sachs from Buy to Conviction Buy
 UniCredit (UNCFF) upgraded by UBS from Neutral to Buy
 Intel (INTC) upgraded by Raymond James from Underperform to Market
Perform
 Adobe (ADBE) downgraded by JMP Securities from Outperform to Market
Perform
 Unilever (UN) upgraded by UBS from Neutral to Buy
 AT&T (T) upgraded by HSBC from Hold to Buy
 Verizon (VZ) upgraded by HSBC from Hold to Buy
 Harley-Davidson (HOG) upgraded by Longbow from Underperform to
Neutral
 Starbucks (SBUX) downgraded by Wedbush from Outperform to Neutral
 Allianz (AZSEY) downgraded by JPMorgan from Overweight to Neutral

Page 13 of 13