2004 [EEE Inerational Conference on Fletic Unity Deregulation, Restructuring and Power Technologies (DRPT2004) April 2008 Hong Kong.
Forecasting and Procurement of AGC Capacity Requirement in Electricity
Market Environment
Zhen Wang!, Xueshun Zhao, Fushuan Wer’, Degiang Gan’, Minxiang Huang’, Weizhen Sun?
(0: Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China:)
(2: The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China;)
G. Zhejiang Provincial Blectric Power Dispatching and
Abaract: Automatic generation control (AGC) Is ene of
the ancillary services (AS). IC plays an important role In
maintaining system frequency and scheduled tiedine
interchange power within specified domains. A new
famework for forecasting and procuring AGC capacity
a8 to well balance the economic efficiency and system
security inthe competitive electricity market environment
presented in this paper. First, the load deviation
percentage is obtained for each studied trading perid
bad of historical data and used Lo make a preliminary
tstimation of AGC capacity requirement, and then
stent model { developed to refine the
je relevant factors such as the
andard (CPS), units’ regulation
control performance
capabilites and load forecast errors into account. A
procuring mechaniimn of the AGC capacity is ext
presented by trading off betneen penalties for tetine
mas und costs of AGC capacity
1 numerical example based on 1
historical data of Zhejiang Provincial Eleetrcity Market
served for demonstrating the enential features of the
proposed model and method.
Kepwords: Eletielty market; _anellary servi
fuomatic generation control (AGC); forecasting and
Dracurement of AGC capacity
1. xrnopuerion
To optimize the allocations of resources, a regional
power system typically has encray exchange schedules
‘through te-lines with neighborhood systems. Since bulk
power systems must keep a continuous and near
instantaneous balance between generation and load,
automatic generation comrol (AGC), as one of ancillary
services (AS) is required to maintain system frequency
and ie-line interchange power within required limits].
Tn competitive electricity markets, accurate
forecasting and adequate procurement of the AGC
capacity requirement are important issues to be dealt
with, asi is required to maintain system security as well
as o accommodate economically efficient transactions in
‘4 posier system, Curious enough, litle abou it has been
done and reported in literature concering this topic. In
real work! power pools the operators” wisdom is
typically used to answer the above question, and the
AGC capacity requirement is generally specified to be
from 1% to.5% ofthe toil system load. For example, the
AGC capacity requirement in the PIM power pool is
0-7803-8237-404/S17.00020061EEE |
Communication Center, Hangzhou 310007, China)
specified 0 be 1% of system load while an AGC
‘capacity requirement table is empirially set up i the
New England power pool, ERCOT has developed and
used a similar method for detennining the amounts of
‘AGC regulating. capacity required(2). In CabTSO, the
Day Ahead Grid Resource Coordinators using a single
form in an Access Database can execute the
methodology to procure the required regulation
capacity[3}. One characterisic of these approaches is
that they are mainly based on rules of thumb by taking
account of reliability rules, and economic efficiency is
‘ot considered in the context of competitive electricity
‘markets. Thus a quantitative approach for determining
AGC capacity requirement with economic efficiency
taken into account is therefore of much interes
'A new framework to forecast and procure AGC
capacity 50 88 10 well Balance the economic efficiency
and system security in a competitive electricity market
tnviroament is presented in this paper. Firs, the load
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