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0-7803-8237-404517.00220041EEE 2004 IEEE Imerational Conference on Electric Uility Deregulation, Resivturing and Power Technologies (DRPT2004) April 2004 Hong Kon, STABILITY IMPACTS ON CROSS-BORDER ELECTRICITY TRADING WP. So TS. Chung CT. Tse EE Dept, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong sings to introduce competitive market structure with market transparency in order to avid ‘economic inefficiencies. Theoretically economists ‘expect competitive behaviour in the deregulated ectricty market would provide benefits on the ‘economic aspeets. However, i may ako generate technical preblems on the security and stay ofthe lnerconnected electvicity system. This paper Dretents some preliminary studies caried out 10 investigate possible stability problems after the ‘opening of electricity market in the region, Index Terms - Deregulation, Energy 7 Market Model, Stability Study 1. INTRODUCTION The existing Scheme of Control Agreements (SCA) beoween the local power companies and Govemment would expire in 2008 An interim review in 2004 might have fundamental and wide-ranging effets on Hong Kong's electricity industry. In view of the international treads and the problems encountered in several countries rently, itis not yet clear a6 to whether a power market structure i 0 be proposed, While the benefits of competition ate generally expected to allow a lowering of electricity prices from market operation, it could lead to general benefit for society in various and wide-ranging sectors, However, there has been a long-standing technical concer particularly on the system stability consequences that power system interconnection might cause greater nteregional power transfer and inevitably lead to significant stability problems A. Opporneiy of Mainland HKSAR Imcerregional Elect Liberalization would Rapid increase in demand for energy has gone with China's strong economic grow, Energy supply in South China provinces such as Guangdong is now in shortage and the demand is expected 10 be further increased. espe industrial and domestic sectors, Consequently, 315 ‘Guangdong is planned to be supplied in the near furse with electricity potential capacity or ‘generation options ftom neighbouring provinces. Hycro-clectricity resources have been exploited in Yunnan and Guangxi provinces tobe transmitted to Guangdong. Furthermore, enormous hydro-electric power would be provided ater the completion ofthe famous Three Gorges Project in Central China. 1 is thus quite attractive to impor electricity from ‘mainland due to the relatively more expensive generation cost in Hong Kong locally. Eleticity ‘ill increasingly be seen as a potential commodity to optimize resources allocation and help reduce cose. However, capable networks does not currently exist readily among provinces. due to political, technical, commercial and regulatory difficulties associated with transmiting electricity across emote provinces with long distance. H, BcoNoMIC CONCEPTS APPLIED To FLECTRICITY TRADING 1 useful at this point to recap the relevant concepts which are essential in our economic analyses A. Categories of dusries [A Sion canbe clasifedin one of four matket types: perfect competion: monoplisic ‘empeiton,oigpoly and monaply These ange fiom most competitive 10 leat competitive respectively. Perfect competion and monopoly ar the two extremes and very few fis «an be said 0 be either purely competitive o purely smonopalisic. However, to eter understand the ‘more realistic industry types its important to define tbe two execs fst Perfect competition is market smuctue in which there are many competing firms selling identical products or serves, ‘A monopoly isan industry with only one seller. The product which the firm sells typically has no 2004 IEEE International Conference on Electric Utility Deregulation, Restructuring and Power Technologies (DRPT2004) April 2004 Hong Keng close substitutes. Most monopoles are regulated by _govemment 1B. Society s Deadweight Lass Under Monopoly A natural monopoly is firm that ean produce a given level of output at a lower cost than n¥0 separate firms could produce that output. Ths is called subadiiviy and is represented mathematically below 6 < C1) + C2) The left side of the inequality represen the cost to the natural monopolist of producing @ given output, . The right side ofthe inequality epresents the cost of two separite firms producing that same ouput, where X¥Z-Y. In such a case itis most efficient forone firm to produce this product. This monopolist price is higher than in the perfectly competitive case since the monopolist is not a price taker and can set its output where ‘marginal revenue equals marginal cost. The natural monopolist’ average cos lies above marginal cost and subsequently the firm produces ata loss i it prices at mareinal cost In the perfectly competitive market, price is set equal to marginal cost and

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