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2004 IEEE Inernconal Conference on Flecuc Uliy Deregulation, Restrotring and Power Technologies (DRPT2004) April 2004 Hong Kong Optimal Zoning for Distribution Sector Under Deregulated Environment: A Case Study for the State of Madhya Pradesh, India Tripla Thakur, $.G. Deshmukh, S.C. Kaushik and S.C. Tripathi Abaraci~ The selection ofthe number and the location of ation Companies is one of the most sensitive decisions to be made during the reforms programme a8 the decision Is erucal for planners. and experts. This paper evolves the criteria of zoning for deciding the ses of Aistribution companies that “would result ia optimum Performance In the distribution sector. The paper presents fin overview of the ongoing Distributlon sector reforms in India and subsequently evolves 2 methodology ilustrated with a eae study onthe state of Madhya Pradesh, The work Involved en numbers, Energy and consumer categories. These parameters were used in Conjunction with weightings that were obtained. by ‘employing Delphi study to decide the optimal szing of Aistribation companies. The evolved methodology f exible and can be extended (0 include more parameters for pplication ia ther scenarios. Index Terms: Delphi study, Distribution Companies, methodology, parameters, optimum performance, sector reforms, weighting. Livrropucrion Power sector Reforms were introduced in India since 1991.Despite this the power supply position as on March 2002, indicated a peak deficit of 12.6% and energy deficit of 75% [I]. The Ministry of Power (MoP), India estimates that the additional capacity requirement to meet these shortages is about 10,000 MW every year. This translates iio an myestment of about USB10 billion per annum [2]. The primary reason forthe widening demand supply gap lies withthe distribution link. The generation ‘companies have not found it easy to recover their dues from their biggest buyers, maialy the State Electiity Boards (SEBs), SEBs suffer huge financial losses every year due to power thefl, ineffective practices of billingicollection and policies such as unmetered charges in agriculture (Nat rates charged based on pump capacities), and deteriorating O& M status. The result is :mounting T&D losses that have grown with time (Fig). “opla Thaker wih Come of Eorgy Sts, fan Ina of ‘esl (FT), Dendreon) ‘SiG Desh withthe Osparinnt of Mocha) Engrg Ian Inte "of Technology (UT) Del Ind fens esha tren). SC. Kaui ip wih Ceo of Borg Stic, idan Ia of Technolgy (IT) Deh edn ea ctaushiiess eet) SC. Toph i wth Cen of Eneray Sas laden Ise of ‘Techolgy fT), De nda 0-7803-8237-410481 7. 00020041EEE Appatently, the losses have reached an alarming Rs. 260 thousand Million (Rupees 47-US $1) [2] per year. This has adversely affected the confidence of the private investors and the existing generation companies. ‘Therefore privatization of distribution sector is reoeiving paramount attention [3]. The selection ofthe umber and the location ofthe new Distribution Company (Discom) is w of the most importance and sensitive decision to be ‘made during the reform prograrame. The paper endeavors to evolve the criterion for deciding the optimal size of Discom, The procedure is illustrated fora case pertaining to the state of Madhya Pradesh wherein the restructuring process has recently started. The study evolves criterion 19 ‘decide upon the Optimal Discom Sizes and spells out the implications on the total Discom Numbers that are likely to result in effective distribution of power in the state spue SERBS pa eo be 7 2 i pe me 3 bg a4 S228 R FEE 1 Pera oF SEs T.REFORMS IN DISTRIBUTION SECTOR The distribution system in India is characterized by ineficiency, low productivity, frequent interuption in supply and poor voltage. in addition the biggest fundamental issue hampering the vieblity of the Indian Power Sector is the sheer volume of T&D losses that mount 10 25%, a very high level by any standard. To ‘make the matter worse, indirect calculations show T&D losses to be much higher in the range of 40-50% (2) Commercial losses are approximately 2/3rd of the total Joss in distribution. These losses are due to rampant theft ‘and pilferage of electricity, meter tampering, unauthorized connections and unmetered supply. Almost all ‘commercial losses take place at 11 KV and below, This situation clearly shows that some fundamental changes ‘are imperative in the working ofthe power sector entities 451 2004 IEEE International Conference on Electric Utility Deregulation, Rest to realize the vision of “reliable, affordable and quality power forall by 2012” (4). IIL, STATUS OF DISTRIBUTION REFORMS ININDIA India has 28 states and the State Electricity Boards (SEBs) are responsible for distribution of power except for a few private players who mainly operate in ‘metropolitan cites catering the need of urban consumers, ‘The restructuring programme of SEBs stated with Orissa which was the frst stale not only in India but also in South Asia to implement a comprehensive power sector reforms programme in 1993. The restructuring programmed had the active involvement of roulilateral lending agencies like the World Bank, Department for Intemational Development, Government of UK (DFID) and the Asian Development Bank, and several lexding management consultants [5]. The experience of Orissa has ‘been important to other states in India, which are restructuring their SEBs more or less on the lines of Orissa. Delhi is another slate, which has completed one suecessful year under privatization. A close look at the performance of reforming states of Orissa, Andhra Pradesh, Haryana and Delhi reveals that financial performance of unbundled utilities has improved to certain extent. These states have taken up the installation of meters in a big way with the financial assistance from ‘World Bank and Power Finance cooperation (PFC), and with these measures, the revenue collection has improved. ‘To increase the pace of reforms further inthe distribution sector, i is required to resolve the issue of liabilities faced by the distribution companies in the transition period ike size of distribution companies, valuation of assets of the reforming uliliies and transfer of existing liabilities, The six main private distribution utilities in India, namely, BSES & TEC In Bombay, CESE in Calcutta, AEC in Ahmedabad, SEC in Surat and NPCL in Greater- ‘Noida are performing beter and caring profits. They are able to generate adequate intemal resources and are able to plough back resources into their organizations for furher growth, All these utilities are primarily catering to the urban areas, which have a large number of industrial consumers and few agricultural and sural consumers Electricity Act 2003 introduced in June 2003 has clearcut direction for promoting market based structure in the power sector. All the other states are in the process of initiating reforms, which will be facilitated by the Electricity Act 2003 (6) IV, Mopets ror RestRUCTURING IN DisTRIBUTION SECTOR ‘The regrouping of distribution system of SEBS ino more smaller entities has the following advantages ‘ It results into distribution zones of manageable sizes + Itallows for comparison of performance across the zones, and thus generates some level of competitive ‘ latroduction of more players could facilitate enhancing level of competition in supply of electricity in the medium to long term, 452 tuturing and Power Technologies (DRPT2004) April 2004 Hong Kong. *# It permits application of different models of different ‘zones - some zones may be conductive to higher degree of private participation than others Depending on the environmental constraints and timetable envisaged for the process, various ‘optionsimodels consistent with the objectives of the site e possible, each having varying degree of private sector pancipaton. Broadly, these models can be divided into three categories: Category 1, Models that do not involve private participation. © Commerciaization of existing SEB's Distribution by municipal undertakings/ocel govemment bodies Distribution cooperatives (including supply cooperatives, consumer organizations, ele.) Category 2. Models for which private association is limited 1 providing technical ‘managerial inputs. ‘Contracting of services Management contract Leasing Category 3. Models for which fi ‘managerial inputs are available

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