Sei sulla pagina 1di 6
Borrett PaArtnersuip, Lrp. kiawir riaza OMAMA.WEDRASKA 08101 Sous 1B. Borvare. Oremus Parres Soorr Baxoiro July 12, 1866 First Half Performance During the first half of 1966, the Dow-Jones Industrial Average (hereinafter called the "Dow") declined from 968. 26 to 870.10. If one had owned the Dow during this perlod, dividends of approxtmately 14.70 would have been received, reducing the overall loss of the Dow to about 8.7%. It is my objective and my hope (but not my prediction|) that we achieve over a long period of time, an average yearly advantage of ten percentage points - relative to the Dow. During the first half we did considerably better than expected with an overall gain of approximately 8.2%. Such results should be regarded as decidedly abnormal, I have previously complimented partners onthe good-natured tolerance they display in shrugging off such unexpected positive variances. The nature of our business Is such that, over the years, we will not disappoint the many of you who must also desire a test of your capacity for tolerance of negative variances. The following summarizes the year-by-year performance of the Dow, the performance of the Partnership before allocation to the general partner, and the results for Mmited partners: Overall Results Partnership Limited Partners’ Year From Dow (1) _Results (2) Results (3) 1957 = 8.4% +10. 4% + 9.3% 1988 438.5 440.9 432.2 1959 +20.0 425.9 +20.9 1960 - 6.2 422.8 +18.6 1961 “422.4 445.8 +35.9 1962 - 7.6 413.9 +119 1963 +20.6 +38.7 +30.5 1964 +16.7 427.8 422.3 1965 414.2 44702 +36.8° Firat half 1966 - 87 + 8.2 U7 Cumulative results +1411 +1028, 7 4641.5 + Annual compounded rate 8.7 29.0 23.5 “2+ (1) Based on yearly changes in the value of the Dow plus dividends that would have been received through ownership of the Dow during that year. The table includes all complete yeare of partnership activity. (2) For 1957-61 consists of combined results of all predecessor limited partnerships operating throughout the entire year after all expenses ee —_————— partner. (3) For 1957-61 computed on the basié of the preceding column of partner- ship results allowing for allocation to the general partner based upon the present partnership agreement, but before monthly withdrawals by lmited partners. Even Samson gets clipped occasionally. If you had Invested $100,000 on January 1 equally among - the world's largest auto company (General Motors); "the world's largest oil company (Standard of New Jersey): the world's largest retailing company (Seara Roebuck); the world's largest chemical company (duPont); the world's largest steel company (U. 5. Steel); the world's largest stockhold: a b, © 4 e f er-owned insurance company (Aetna); g. the world's largest public utility (American Telephone & Telegraph); hh. the world's largest bank (Bank of America); your total portfolio (including dividends received) would have been worth $83, 370 on June 30 for a loss of 16.6%. The total market value on January 1 of these eight giants was well over $100 billion, Every one of them wae selling lower on June 30. Investment Companies On the next page we bring up to date our regular comparison with the resulte of the two largest open-end investment companies (mutual funds) that follow a policy of being, typically, 95-100% invested in common stocks, and the two Jargest diversified closed-end investment companies. Mass Inv. Investors Limitec Year Trust (1) Stock (1) Lehman (2) Tri-Cont. (2) Dow Partner 1997 -11.4% 12.4% 11% 2.4% - 0.4% + 9.37 1958 442.7 447.5 +40.0 +33.2 +30.5 442.2 agne +90 410.3 +o + B.4 +20.0 420.9 19%. > 1.0 - 0.6 + 2.5 + 2.8 - 6.2 418.6 1961 +25.6 424.0 +23.6 #22.5 422.4 $35.9 1962 > 9.8 713.4 14.4 10.0 77.6 +118 1953 +20.0 +16.5 423.7 +187 #20.6 +30.5 1964 +15.9 414.3 +14.0 413.6 +18.7 422.3 1965 +10.2 + 9.8 +19.0 +11 414.2 +36.8 First half 1966 - 7.8 - 72.8 - 1.0 - 5.2 - 8.7 chy Cumulative results +118.1 +106.3 +142.8 4126.9 +1411 $641.5, Annual compounded 8.6 1.9 9.8 9.0 9.7 23.5 (1) Computed from changes in asset value plus any distributions to holders of record during year. (2) | However, I believe that cons From 1966 Moody's Bank & Finance Manual for 1957-1965. for first half of 1966. Estimated Proponents of institutional investing frequently cite Its conservative nature. If "conservative" {s interpreted to mean “productive of results varying only Slightly from average experience" I,believe the characterization te proper. Such results are almost bound to flow from wide diversifleation Among high Brade Securities. Since, over a long period, “average experience" is likely to be good experience, there is nothing wrong with the typical investor utilizing this form of investment medium. > ervatism is more properly interpreted to mean “subject to Substantially less temporary or permanent shrinkage in value than Hee ccuy ciloelinply,hasinoilbeen achieved Waele? re ceraisiiine four largest funds (presently managing over $5 billion) illustrates. Specifically, the Dow declined in 1957, 1960, 1962 and the firetshalf of 1966. Cumulating the shrinkage in the Dow during the three full year periods produces a decline of 20.6%. "Following a similar technique for the feur largest funds produces declines of 9.7%, 20.9%, 22.3 Je and 24.6%. Including the interim performance for the first half of 1966 results ina decline in the Dew of 27 5% and forthe + funds declines of 14.4%, 23.1%, 27.1% and 30.6%, Such funds (and I believe heir results are quite typical of institutional experience in comonn stocks) Seem to meet the first definition of conservatism but not the second one,

Potrebbero piacerti anche

  • 1969 01 22
    1969 01 22
    Documento9 pagine
    1969 01 22
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1968 01 24
    1968 01 24
    Documento7 pagine
    1968 01 24
    Alex Putuhena
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1967 07 12
    1967 07 12
    Documento4 pagine
    1967 07 12
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1967 11 01
    1967 11 01
    Documento2 pagine
    1967 11 01
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1968 07 11
    1968 07 11
    Documento5 pagine
    1968 07 11
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1968 11 01
    1968 11 01
    Documento2 pagine
    1968 11 01
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1969 05 29
    1969 05 29
    Documento4 pagine
    1969 05 29
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1967 10 09
    1967 10 09
    Documento6 pagine
    1967 10 09
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1967 01 25
    1967 01 25
    Documento11 pagine
    1967 01 25
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1965 11 01
    1965 11 01
    Documento2 pagine
    1965 11 01
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1966 01 20
    1966 01 20
    Documento14 pagine
    1966 01 20
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1964 01 18
    1964 01 18
    Documento15 pagine
    1964 01 18
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1966 11 01
    1966 11 01
    Documento3 pagine
    1966 11 01
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1965 07 09
    1965 07 09
    Documento5 pagine
    1965 07 09
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1965 01 18
    1965 01 18
    Documento14 pagine
    1965 01 18
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1964 07 08
    1964 07 08
    Documento5 pagine
    1964 07 08
    valueinvestinghq
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1963 01 18
    1963 01 18
    Documento13 pagine
    1963 01 18
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1962 12 24
    1962 12 24
    Documento2 pagine
    1962 12 24
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1961 07 22
    1961 07 22
    Documento3 pagine
    1961 07 22
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1963 11 06
    1963 11 06
    Documento2 pagine
    1963 11 06
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1963 12 26
    1963 12 26
    Documento2 pagine
    1963 12 26
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1963 07 10
    1963 07 10
    Documento7 pagine
    1963 07 10
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1962 07 06
    1962 07 06
    Documento7 pagine
    1962 07 06
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1961 01 30
    1961 01 30
    Documento8 pagine
    1961 01 30
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1959 02 11
    1959 02 11
    Documento4 pagine
    1959 02 11
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1960 02 20
    1960 02 20
    Documento3 pagine
    1960 02 20
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora
  • 1962 01 24
    1962 01 24
    Documento11 pagine
    1962 01 24
    neo269
    Nessuna valutazione finora