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& ∋())∗+&,−( +./∗&)0 ∗1234&5(1 ./2∗)∗11&6(1 ∗5 4∗) 1∗ 67&1 4&).34∗.1 ∗ 2./8&5 75&
)∗+&,−( +./∗&) 9()2∗ (7 /−(
(.1 :∗50 ∋(/1.6∗)∗5 ;7∗ ∗ 2∗/8&5 75& )∗+&,−( +./∗&) 9()2∗ 7 1∗<&0 & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗
&5:&1 = ;7&1∗ 75& )∗2& ∗12∗ ∋&1(0 ;7∗ )∗2& 1∗).& ∗11&> ∀7&+ & )∗2& ;7∗ 5∗+8() 6∗1∋)∗4∗ &
)∗+&,−( +./∗&) ∗/2)∗ ∗ >
? <712&5∗/2∗ .11( ;7∗ & )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 4&. /(1 6.Α∗)
∗<&5 ∗ 67&1 4&).34∗.1 #5 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) ;7∗ &1 )∗+&∋.(/& = 6& 1∗≅7./2∗
9()5&Β
Yi = α + βX i + ε i
∗12∗ 5(6∗+(0 α ∗ β 1−( ∋(/12&/2∗1 ∗ ε = 75& 4&).34∗+ &+∗&2Χ).& 6∗ 5=6.& Α∗)(
&1 ( ;7∗ 1.≅/.9.∋& ∗12∗ 5(6∗+(>
&)& ∗/2∗/6∗) 5∗+8()0 4&5(1 & 75 ∗∆∗5Ε+( &5(1 6&) 4&+()∗1
∗<&5 ∗ 67&1 4&).34∗.1 &+∗&2Χ).&1 ;7∗ 5(6∗+&5 67&1 ∋&)&∋2∗)Φ12.∋&1 6∗ 75& Ε(Ε7+&,−(
(6∗).&5 1∗) Ε∗1( ∗ &+27)& 6(1 ./6.4Φ67(1 6∗ 75 Ε&Φ1 7 ∗/2−( +7∋)( :)72( ∗ ≅&12(1 ∋(5
Ε)(Ε&≅&/6& 6∗ ∗5Ε)∗1&1 6∗ 75 6&6( 1∗2() 7 ;7&+;7∗) (72)& ∋(.1& (/1.6∗)∗ ( 1∗≅7./2∗
5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(Β
Yi = 5 + 2 X i + ε i 0 (/6∗ ε 2∗5 6∗14.( Ε&6)−( .≅7&+ &
∗12∗ 5(6∗+(0 α = 5 ∗ β = 2 ε = 75& 4&).34∗+ &+∗&2Χ).& 6∗ 5=6.& Α∗)( ∗ 6∗14.( Ε&6)−(
.≅7&+ &
;7∗ 1.≅/.9.∋& ( 5(6∗+(>
&)& 4∗) 1∗7 1.≅/.9.∋&6(0 4&5(1 ∋(/1.6∗)&) ( ∋&1( ∗5 ;7∗ = .≅7&+ &
∀7&/6( 4&+∗ 0 ( 4&+() 6∗ 9.∋&Β
Y = 5+ 2+ε = 7+ε
= .≅7&+ & 5&.1 &+≅75& ∋(.1&
∀7&/6( 9() .≅7&+ & 0 = 75& 4&).34∗+ &+∗&2Χ).& ;7∗ &1175∗ 4&+()∗1 &( )∗6() 6∗ = 75&
4&).34∗+ &+∗&2Χ).& 6∗ 5=6.& ∗ 6∗14.( Ε&6)−( .≅7&+ & Γ= ( 5∗15( 6∗14.( Ε&6)−( 6&
4&).34∗+ ε Η
.57+∗. /( ∆∋∗+ 4&+()∗1 Ε&)& 75& 4&).34∗+ &+∗&2Χ).& /()5&+ 6∗ 5=6.& ∗ 6∗14.( Ε&6)−(
.≅7&+ &
∃
1 4&+()∗1 6∗ 4&).&5 ∗5 2()/( 6∗12∗ 4&+() 5=6.( ≅)&,&1 Ν 4&).34∗+ ε 0 &+∗&2Χ).& (6∗5(1
Ε∗/1&) ;7∗ ∗ ≅7&)6&5 75& )∗+&,−( ;7&1∗ +./∗&)
)∗+&,−( 1Χ /−( = Ε∗)9∗.2&5∗/2∗ +./∗&)
6∗4.6( Ν Ε)∗1∗/,& 6∗11& 4&).34∗+ ε 0 ;7∗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& 2(6&1 &1 6∗5&.1 ./2∗)9∗)Ο/∋.&1 /( 4&+()
6∗ ;7∗ /−( 1−( ∗∆Ε+.∋&6&1 Ε∗+& 4&).34∗+
4&).34∗+ ε Ε(6∗ 1∗) 4.12& ∋(5( ( ∗))( ;7∗ 1∗ ∋(5∗2∗ ;7&/6( 1∗ &Ε)(∆.5& & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗
∗ Ε() 75& )∗2& 7.2&1 4∗Α∗1 &∋&:& 1∗/6( ∋8&5&6&0 )∗&+5∗/2∗0 6∗ ∗))(
11.50 1∗ ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Yi = 5 + 2 X i + ε i )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&) &6∗;7&6&5∗/2∗ ( ∋(/<7/2(
9()5&6( Ε() 2(6&1 &1 Ε(Ε7+&,Μ∗1 6∗ 4&+()∗1 6∗ 0 1&:∗5(1 ;7∗0 Ε&)& ∋&6& 4&+() 6∗ 0 2∗5(1
∋(5( ∋&+∋7+&) & 5=6.& 6& ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗ Ε(Ε7+&,−( 6∗ 4&+()∗1 6∗
∗Ε∗2./6(Β & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ ∗ = Ε)&2.∋&5∗/2∗ 75& )∗2& 1 Ε&)∗1 ()6∗/&6(1 Γ0Η 1Χ /−(
1∗ ∋(5Ε()2&5 ∗∆&2&5∗/2∗ ∋(5( 75& )∗2& Ε() ∋&71& 6& 4&).34∗+ &+∗&2Χ).& ε
∗12∗ 5(6(0 (1 Ε&)∗1 ()6∗/&6(1 Γ0Η 4−( 1∗ 1.27&) ∗5 2()/( 6& )∗2& Yi = 5 + 2 X i
#&
(/2./7∗5(1 ∋(5 ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( 6( ∗∆∗5Ε+( &/2∗).() &:∗5(1 ;7∗ /& Ε(Ε7+&,−(0
4∗).9.∋&Θ1∗ ;7∗ ∗ 1∗ )∗+&∋.(/&5 Ε()Β
Yi = 5 + 2 X i + ε i
%
b=
[(X − X )× (Y − Y )]
i i
(X − X )
2
i
a = Y − bX
7 1∗<&0 & Ε&)2.) 6(1 4&+()∗1 6∗ ∗ Ε∗)2∗/∋∗/2∗1 Ν &5(12)&0 (:2∗5(1 (1 4&+()∗1 6∗ ∗
6∗1∋).2(1 &∋.5&
Ε&)2.) 6∗+∗10 ∋(/12)7Φ5(1 & )∗2& Yˆi = a + bX i
∆∗∋72&/6( ∗12∗ Ε)(∋∗6.5∗/2( /( ∗∆∋∗+ Ε&)& & &5(12)& 6( ∀7&6)( 0 (:2∗5(1Β
a = 3,71
b = 2,33
≅)39.∋( &:&.∆( )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& (1 )∗17+2&6(1 (:2.6(1Β
1 Ε(/2(1 ∗5 &Α7+ ∗1∋7)( 1−( (1 6&6(1 (:1∗)4&6(1 /& &5(12)& −( (1 Ε&)∗1 ()6∗/&6(1
∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗1 Ν &5(12)& 6( ∀7&6)(
)∗2& +&)&/<& ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗ Ν )∗2& ϑ)∗&+Κ ? & )∗2&
;7∗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& & Ε(Ε7+&,−( ./2∗.)& )&2&Θ1∗ 6& )∗2& Yi = 5 + 2 X i
Χ ;7∗ ∗12& )∗2& /Χ1 /−( ∋(/8∗∋∗5(1 −( ∋(/8∗∋∗5(1 2(6& & Ε(Ε7+&,−( 12&5(1
Ε)(∋7)&/6( Ε() 75& )∗2& ;7∗ 1.5:(+.Α∗ & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ ∗ .6∗&+ 1∗).& ∋8∗≅&) )∗&+5∗/2∗
/& )∗2& +&)&/<&0 ;7∗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& &6∗;7&6&5∗/2∗ 2(6& & Ε(Ε7+&,−(
(
(/276(0 2∗/6( 6.1Ε(/Φ4∗+ &Ε∗/&1 75& &5(12)& 6∗ Ε&)∗1 Γ0Η0 & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( ;7∗
∋&+∋7+&5(10 6∗ 2&+ 9()5& ;7∗ (1 6∗14.(1 6∗ ∗12.5&2.4& ∋(5∗2.6(1 1∗ ∋(5Ε()2∗5 1∗≅7/6( &
∋(/6.,−( 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(10 9(. & )∗2& &Α7+
∃ ∗
#+
≅()&0 &+≅7/1 ∋(5∗/23).(1 &6.∋.(/&.10 ;7∗ 9.∋&)&5 .5Ε+Φ∋.2(1 &( +(/≅( 6( ∗∆∗5Ε+(
5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 9&Α &+≅75&1 ∋(/1.6∗)&,Μ∗1 −( ∗+&1Β
• E (ε i ) = 0
• V (ε i ) = σ 2
• cov(ε i , ε j ) = 0 0 Ε&)& i ≠ j
∗1Ε(12&Β /−(0 ∗5 ∋(/∋7)1(1 &:∗)2(1 & ∋&/6.6&2(1 6∗ 2(6&1 &1 3)∗&10 /−( 83 5&.()∗1
∋(:)&/,&1 1(:)∗ 2&.1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 ∗∆∗)∋Φ∋.( 1.5Ε+∗15∗/2∗ 6.Α ;7∗ ∗+&1 9()&5 &2∗/6.6&1 ∗
Ε)(/2( (11( 2)&:&+8( = 1Χ &Ε+.∋&) &1 9Χ)57+&1 Ε&)& &∋8&) a ∗ b Χ &1 5∗/∋.(/∗. Ε();7∗0
1∗ & ;7∗12−( 9&+&) ;7&+;7∗) ∋(.1& & )∗1Ε∗.2(0 &Φ 4(∋Ο1 /−( Ε)∗∋.1&5 9.∋&) Ε)∗(∋7Ε&6(10
&∋8&/6( ;7∗ = 75& ϑ∋(.1& 6∗ (72)( 57/6(Κ ? 1Χ ∋&+∋7+&) /()5&+5∗/2∗ (1 ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗1 ∗
0 ∗ Ε)(/2(
& 4∗)6&6∗0 &1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 &∋.5& &Ε)∗1∗/2&6&1 /∗5 1−( .5Ε()2&/2∗1 Ε&)& ( ∋3+∋7+( ϑ2ΦΕ.∋(Κ
6∗ ϑ&Κ ∗ ϑ:Κ Γ∋8&5&6( 6∗ 5=2(6( 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1Η +&1 1−( .5Ε()2&/2∗1 Ε&)&
)∗&+.Α&)5(1 2∗12∗1 6∗ 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 ∗ 6∗2∗)5./&)5(1 ./2∗)4&+(1 6∗ ∋(/9.&/,& Ε&)& &1
∗12.5&2.4&1 6(1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 ∗)4∗5 2&5:=5 Ε&)& ∗1276&)5(1 &1 Ε)(Ε).∗6&6∗1 6(1
∗12.5&6()∗1 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1
)
% −
.
!
7Ε(/8& ;7∗ & )∗2& +&)&/<& 6& 9.≅7)& &:&.∆( 1∗<& & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Γ(7 1∗<&0 & )∗2& ;7∗
)∗Ε)∗1∗/2& & )∗+&,−( +./∗&) ∗∆.12∗/2∗ /& Ε(Ε7+&,−( 6∗ 4&+()∗1 Γ0ΗΗ
,
/
&)& & /(11& &5(12)& ΓΕ(/2(1 &Α7.1 6& 9.≅7)& &∋.5&Η0 (:1∗)4∗ ;7∗ 83 6.4∗)1(1 4&+()∗1 6∗
Ε∗1( Ε&)& & &+27)& .≅7&+ & 0!
11.50 /( /(11( ≅)7Ε( 6∗ Ε∗11(&1 Ε∗1;7.1&6&10 83 ∋./∋( ∋(5 &+27)& 6∗ 0!5 #5& 6∗+&1
2∗5 Ε∗1( 0 Π≅
(72)& 2∗5 0 Π≅ Γ∗12∗1 6(.1 Ε).5∗.)(1 4&+()∗1 ∗12−( 1(:)∗Ε(12(1 /&
9.≅7)& &∋.5&Η #5& 2∗)∋∗.)& 2∗5 %0% Π≅
;7&)2& 2∗5 0% Π≅ & ;7./2& 2∗5 !0%
(5 /(11( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)0 ;7∗)∗5(1 6.Α∗) ;7∗0 Ε&)& ∋&6& 4&+() 6∗ Γ&+27)&Η0
(1 4&+()∗1 6∗ ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗1 ΓΕ∗1(Η ϑ≅.)&5Κ ∗5 2()/( 6& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( ∗12∗ 5(6(0
∋(/1.6∗)&/6( 2(6&1 &1 Ε∗11(&1 ∋(5 &+27)& 0! 50 ∗+&1 2Ο50 ∗5 5=6.&0 75 Ε∗1( 6∗ ! Π≅
&)& 75& 6&6& &5(12)&0 (:2∗)∗5(1 Ε(/2(1 ;7∗ /−( /∗∋∗11&).&5∗/2∗ 9.∋&5 1(:)∗ & )∗2& 6∗
)∗≅)∗11−( +∗1 Ε(6∗5 Ε∗)9∗.2&5∗/2∗ ∋&.) 9()& 6& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Ε() ∋&71& 6∗ 75 ∗))(
&+∗&2Χ).( Γ ε Η ∗ 9&2(0 Ε&)& ( ∗∆∗5Ε+( &∋.5&0 /∗/875& 6&1 ∋./∋( Ε∗11(&1 ∋(5 &+27)& 6∗
0! 2./8& Ε∗1( ∗∆&2&5∗/2∗ .≅7&+ & ! Π≅
)∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( 1Χ /(1 ./9()5& 4&+()∗1
5=6.(10 ∗5 2()/( 6(1 ;7&.1 ≅.)&5 (1 4&+()∗1 6& Ε(Ε7+&,−(
.Α∗/6( 6∗ (72)( 5(6(Β ( ;7∗ & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( ./6.∋&0 /( ∋&1( 6∗ X = 1,86 = ;7∗0 1∗
2.4=11∗5(1 &∋∗11( & 2(6& & Ε(Ε7+&,−( 6∗ Ε∗11(&1 ∋(5 0! 5 6∗ &+27)&0 ( Ε∗1( 6∗ 2&.1
Ε∗11(&1 2∗).& 5=6.& ! Π≅ ∗ 4&).ς/∋.& .≅7&+ & σ 2
11.50 ;7&/6( & &+27)& ΓΩ Η 4&+∗ 0!0 (1 4&+()∗1 6∗ Ε∗1( ≅.)&5 ∗5 2()/( 6∗ ! ( ∋&1(
6∗12& &5(12)&0 ∗+∗1 9()&5 .≅7&.1 & 0Ξ 0Ξ %0% 0%Ξ !0% 1 4&+()∗1 6∗ Ε∗1(
∗12−( 6.1Ε∗)1(1 ∗5 2()/( 6∗ ! Π≅
∀7&/6( &9.)5&5(1 ;7∗ & 4&).34∗+ ε 2∗5 4&).ς/∋.& ∋(/12&/2∗0 ;7∗)∗5(1 6.Α∗) ;7∗0 1∗
Ε76=11∗5(1 &/&+.1&) 2(6& & Ε(Ε7+&,−( 6∗ Ε∗11(&1 ∋(5 &+27)& 6∗ 0! 50 (1 Ε∗1(1 6∗12&1
Ε∗11(&1 2∗).& 5=6.& ! Π≅ ∗ 4&).ς/∋.& σ 2
76∗5(1 6∗ Ε(/2(
)∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Ε&11& Ε∗+( Ε(/2( Γ0%Ξ !Η 7 1∗<&0 Y = 84 Π≅
;7&/6( X = 1,90 5
11.50 ;7&/6( X = 1,90 50 2∗5(1 ;7∗ (1 4&+()∗1 6∗ 4−( ≅.)&) ∗5 2()/( 6∗ ! Π≅ +∗1
∗12&)−( 6.1Ε∗)1(1 ∗5 2()/( 6∗ ! Π≅0 2&5:=5 ∋(5 4&).ς/∋.& σ 2 ΓΕ(.1 & 4&).ς/∋.& =
∋(/1.6∗)&6& ∋(/12&/2∗Η ∗/6( &∋∗11( Ν 2(6& & Ε(Ε7+&,−( 6∗ Ε∗11(&1 ∋(5 &+27)& 0% 50
4∗).9.∋&)Φ&5(1 ;7∗ ( Ε∗1( 6∗12&1 Ε∗11(&1 2∗5 5=6.& ! Π≅ ∗ 4&).ς/∋.& σ 2
&11.5 Ε() 6.&/2∗ 7 1∗<&0 Ε&)& ;7&+;7∗) 4&+() 6∗ ;7∗ &6(2&)5(10 (1 4&+()∗1 6∗
∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗1 2∗)−( 4&).ς/∋.& σ 2 ∗ 5=6.& 6&6& Ε∗+& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
Ε)(:+∗5& = ;7∗0 ∗5 ≅∗)&+0 2∗5(1 &∋∗11( &Ε∗/&1 & 75& &5(12)& −( ∋(/8∗∋∗5(1 &
)∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( −( ∋(/8∗∋∗5(1 & )∗2& +&)&/<& 6& .≅7)& ∗12∗ ∋&1(0 2∗/2&)∗5(1
∗/∋(/2)&) 75& )∗2& ;7∗0 ∋(/1.6∗)&/6( &Ε∗/&1 & &5(12)& ;7∗ 2∗5(1 Ν 6.1Ε(1.,−(0 1∗<& &
5∗+8() ∗12.5&2.4& Ε&)& & )∗2& )∗&+ 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( &)& 2&/2(0 4(+2∗5(1 &( /(11( 6.&≅)&5& 6∗
6.1Ε∗)1−(
0
∗1∗/8∗. 67&1 )∗2&1 Γ75& 4∗)6∗ ∗ 75& 4∗)5∗+8&Η ;7∗ Ε(6∗).&5 )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&) & )∗+&,−( +./∗&)
∗/2)∗ Ε∗1( ∗ &+27)& ∀7&+ 6∗+&1 ∗1∋(+8∗)>
4∗)6∗>
4∗)5∗+8&> ∗/875&> ∗)3 ;7∗ ∗∆.12∗
(72)& )∗2& ;7∗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& 5∗+8() & )∗+&,−( +./∗&) ∗/2)∗ Ε∗1( ∗ &+27)&>
∗5:)∗5Θ1∗ 6∗ ;7∗ ∗12&5(1 Ε)(∋7)&/6(0 & Ε&)2.) 6& &5(12)& ∋(/8∗∋.6& Γ4&+()∗1 6(1 Ε(/2(1
&Α7.1 6& 9.≅7)& &∋.5&Η0 ∗/∋(/2)&) 75& ∗12.5&2.4& Ε&)& & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
5=2(6( ;7∗ ∗12&5(1 ∗1276&/6( Ε&)& ∗/∋(/2)&) & 5∗+8() )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( = ∋8&5&6( 6∗
5=2(6(1 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1
97/,−( 6∗ Ε).5∗.)( ≅)&7 ;7∗ Ε)∗2∗/6∗5(1 ∗/∋(/2)&) =
6& 9()5&Β
Yˆi = a + bX i
b=
[(X − X )× (Y − Y )]
i i
(X − X )
2
i
a = Y − bX
∗5:)∗5Θ1∗ 6∗ ;7∗ & )∗2& +&)&/<& Γ.≅7)& Η = & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( ;7∗ /Χ1 /−( ∋(/8∗∋∗5(1
∗ ;7∗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& &6∗;7&6&5∗/2∗ & Ε(Ε7+&,−(
)∗2& 4∗)5∗+8& 6& .≅7)& = & )∗2& (:2.6&0
& Ε&)2.) 6(1 4&+()∗1 Ε∗1;7.1&6(1 ΓΕ(/2(1 &Α7.1 6& 5∗15& .≅7)& Η0 /75& 2∗/2&2.4& 6∗
&Ε)(∆.5&) & )∗&+ )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Γ)∗2& +&)&/<&Η +&1 Ε(6∗5 1∗) .≅7&.1 (7 /−(
&5(1 .6∗/2.9.∋&) 2(6(1 (1 ∗+∗5∗/2(1 & ;7∗ 2∗5(1 /(1 )∗9∗).6( &)& 2&/2(0 4&5(1 /(1
∋(/∋∗/2)&) /( Ε(/2( ∗5 ;7∗ & &+27)& 4&+∗ 0%! ΓΕ(/2( 6∗12&∋&6(0 /& .≅7)& 0 ∋(5 ( ∋Φ)∋7+(
4∗)5∗+8(Η
& 9.≅7)& &:&.∆(0 2∗5(1 &Ε∗/&1 ∗12∗ Ε(/2(Β
&)& & &+27)& 0%! 5 ΓΩ0%!Η0 ( Ε∗1( (:2.6( = 6∗ %0 Π≅ 12∗ = ( 4&+() 6∗
X = 1,98 Y = 97,41
&)& ∗12∗ 4&+() 6∗ Γ0%!Η /(11& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( ∋&+∋7+&6& Γ)∗2& 4∗)5∗+8&Η ./6.∋& ;7∗ &
∗12.5&2.4& 6( 4&+() 6∗ = %0% Π≅
b=
[(X − X )× (Y − Y )]
i i
(X − X )
2
i
a = Y − bX
7 1∗<&0 & Ε&)2.) 6(1 4&+()∗1 6∗ ∗ 6& &5(12)&0 (:2∗5(1 (1 4&+()∗1 6∗ ∗ 6∗1∋).2(1
&∋.5&
Ε&)2.) 6∗+∗10 ∋(/12)7Φ5(1 & )∗2& Yˆi = a + bX i 0 ;7∗ = & )∗2& 4∗)5∗+8& 6& .≅7)&
&)& )∗1(+4∗) &+≅7/1 Ε)(:+∗5&1 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)0 Ε(6∗ 1∗) Λ2.+ ∋(/8∗∋∗) &+≅75&1
.≅7&+6&6∗1 ∗/4(+4∗/6( 1(5&2Χ).(10 )∗175.6&1 /( ;7&6)( &:&.∆(Β
1
∀2
#
3
[(X ) ( )]
n n
i − X × Yi − Y = ( X i × Yi ) − n X Y
i =1 i =1
(X ) = (X ) − n X
n n
2 2
−X
2
i i
i =1 i =1
(Y − Y ) = (Y ) − nY
n n
2 2 2
i i
i =1 i =1
+≅7/1 +.4)(1 2∗/2&5 1.5Ε+.9.∋&) 75 Ε(7∋( & ∗1∋).2& &)& 2&/2(0 ∗+∗1 )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&5 Ε() +∗2)&
5./Λ1∋7+& & 6.9∗)∗/,& ∗/2)∗ 75& 4&).34∗+ ∗ 17& 5=6.&
∆∗5Ε+(Β
∃
2= &;7. 6∗. )∗17+2&6(1 Ε)(/2(10 1Χ Ε&)& ;7∗ Ε76=11∗5(1 ∗/2)&) ∗5 ∋(/2&2( ∋(5 (1
∋(/∋∗.2(1 ∗/4(+4.6(1 /& )∗≅)∗11−(
≅()& 4&5(10 6∗ 9&2(0 9&Α∗) ∋(/2&1
&)& Ε)&2.∋&)0 4&5(1 ∋&+∋7+&) & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Ε&)& ( ∋&1( 6(1 ;7&2)( &+7/(1 ;7∗ 9.Α∗)&5
&1 Ε)(4&1 6∗ 9Φ1.∋& ∗ 5&2∗532.∋& Γ∗∆∗5Ε+( 72.+.Α&6( /( 2ΧΕ.∋( 6∗ ∋())∗+&,−(Η &5(1
∋(/1.6∗)&) ;7∗ ∗12∗1 &+7/(1 1−( 75& &5(12)& 6∗ 75 ∋(/<7/2( 5&.() 6∗ ∗1276&/2∗1 ;7∗ 1∗
17:5∗2∗)&5 Ν 2&+ Ε)(4&
1 /(2&1 6∗11∗1 &+7/(1 1−(Β
+7/( (2& 6∗ 5&2∗532.∋& (2& 6∗ 9Φ1.∋&
(X ) (Y )
!
!
=6.& 0
12&5(1 17Ε(/6( ;7∗ & Ε(Ε7+&,−( 6∗ /(2&1 6∗ 9Φ1.∋& 6& ;7&+ 9()&5 2.)&6&1 &1 /(2&1 &∋.5&
Ε(6∗ 1∗) 6∗1∋).2& 1∗≅7/6( ( 1∗≅7./2∗ 5(6∗+(Β
Yi = α + βX i + ε i
7 1∗<&0 ∗12&5(1 17Ε(/6( ;7∗ ∗∆.12∗ 75& )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ &1 /(2&1 6∗ 5&2∗532.∋& ∗ 9Φ1.∋&
Ε&)∋∗+& ε = 75 ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).( /≅+(:& 2(6&1 (72)&1 4&).34∗.1 Γ6.12./2&1 6& /(2& ∗5
5&2∗532.∋&Η ;7∗ ./9+7∗/∋.&5 /& /(2& 6∗ 9Φ1.∋&
Ε&)2.) 6∗12∗1 4&+()∗1 6∗ /(2&10 ∋(/12)7Φ5(1 ( ;7&6)( &:&.∆(Β
%
+7/( X Y X−X Y −Y (X − X )× (Y − Y ) (X − X ) (Y − Y )
2 2
Θ0 Θ 0 0
Θ0 0
! 0 0
! 0 0 0
11 , ∃∋
&5(1 ∋&+∋7+&) (1 ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗1 a ∗ b
b=
[(X − X )× (Y − Y )]
i i
(X − X )
2
i
8
b= ≅ 0,23
35
a = Y − bX
8
a =7− × 6,5 ≅ 5,51
35
& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( ∗12.5&6& Γϑ∋&+∋7+&6&ΚΗ 9.∋&Β
Yˆ = 5,51 + 0,23 X
∗Ε&)∗ ;7∗ /−( 1&:∗5(1 1∗ ∗12& = & )∗&+ )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( &10 & Ε&)2.) 6(1 4&+()∗1 6∗
/(11& &5(12)&0 ∗12& = & /(11& ∗12.5&2.4& Ε&)& & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( ? 75& )∗2& 2&+ ;7∗ &
1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 6∗14.(1 = 5Φ/.5&
∗5:)&/6( ;7∗ ( 6∗14.( ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗ Ν
6.9∗)∗/,& ∗/2)∗ 4&+() (:1∗)4&6( Γ Y Η ∗ 17& ∗12.5&2.4& Γ Ŷ Η
2&:∗+& &:&.∆( 5(12)& (1 4&+()∗1 ∗12.5&6(1 6& /(2& 6∗ 9Φ1.∋&0 6&6(1 (1 4&+()∗1 6& /(2& 6∗
5&2∗532.∋&
+7/( (2& 6∗ 5&2∗532.∋& (2& 6∗ 9Φ1.∋& (2& 6∗ 9Φ1.∋& ∗12.5&6&
(X ) (:1∗)4&6& (Y ) ()
Ŷ
0%
0!%
! 0
! 0!
+(2&/6( ∗12∗1 4&+()∗1 /75 ≅)39.∋(0 9.∋&5(1 ∋(5Β
∋
)∗2& ∗5 4∗)5∗+8( = 2&+ ;7∗ & 1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 6∗14.(1 ∗5 )∗+&,−( Ν1 /(2&1 6∗
9Φ1.∋& )∗&+5∗/2∗ (:2.6&1 = 5Φ/.5& ? & /(11& )∗2& ∗12.5&6& Γϑ∋&+∋7+&6&ΚΗ
5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( =Β
Yi = α + βX i + ε i
(5( /−( 2∗5(1 &∋∗11( Ν Ε(Ε7+&,−( ./2∗.)&0 /−( 1&:∗5(1 ;7&.1 (1 4&+()∗1 6∗ α ∗ β
∗5(1 ∋(/6.,Μ∗1 &Ε∗/&1 6∗ ∗12.53Θ+(1 Γ(:2∗/6( a ∗ b Η
(5 .11(0 & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( ∗12.5&6& =Β
Yˆi = a + bX i
7 1∗<&0 a ∗ b 1−( ∗12.5&6()∗1 Ε&)& α ∗ β −( ∗12.5&6()∗1 /−( 4.∋.&6(1 12( Ε();7∗0
(:∗6∗∋.6&1 &+≅75&1 ∋(/6.,Μ∗1 Γ&;7∗+&1 ;7∗ ./6.∋&5(1 &/2∗).()5∗/2∗Β E (ε i ) = 0 Ξ
V (ε i ) = σ 2 ∗ cov(ε i , ε j ) = 0 0 Ε&)& i ≠ j Η0 = Ε(11Φ4∗+ 6∗5(/12)&) ;7∗Β
E (b) = β ∗
E (a) = α
(
.5(1 ;7∗ 75& 6&1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 6( 5(6∗+( = ;7∗ & 4&).ς/∋.& 6(1 ∗))(1 1∗<& ∋(/12&/2∗
Γ8(5(∋∗6&12.∋.&Η ∗ & 4&).ς/∋.& 6(1 ∗))(1 /−( = ∋(/12&/2∗0 2∗5(1 & 8∗2∗)(∋∗6&12.∋.6&6∗
3 ;
;7∗ &1 6.12).:7.,Μ∗1 6∗ > Ε&)& &1 9.+.&.1 ∗ 1−( &Ε)(∆.5&6&5∗/2∗ /()5&.10 ∋(5 5=6.&1 ∗
/&27)&+ 6( 4&+() 6& ∋(5Ε)& ∋(/12&/2∗ /& /(2& 9.1∋&+Β > #5& &4&+.&,−( ∗12&2Φ12.∋& 5(12)(7
(5 :&1∗ /&1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1 &∋.5& ∗ ∋(/1.6∗)&/6(Θ1∗ ;7∗ ΓΗ Ω 0% ∗ Γ0 Η Ω 0 0
∗5 ;7∗ ΓΑΗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& & 97/,−( 6∗ 6.12).:7.,−( &∋757+&6& 6& 6.12).:7.,−( /()5&+ Ε&6)−(0
<7+≅7∗ (1 .2∗51
Η () )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 (:2=5Θ1∗ 75 5(6∗+( /& 9()5&
∗5 ;7∗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& ( 4&+() 5=6.( 6& 6.12).:7.,−( 6∗ ∗5 97/,−( 6∗ ΓΕ&)& & 9.+.&+ Η
(7 ΓΕ&)& & 9.+.&+ Η0 ( ;7∗ Ε∗)5.2∗ ∋(/∋+7.) ;7∗ & ∋())∗+&,−( +./∗&) ∗/2)∗ ∗ Α = .≅7&+ &
Θ0
∗1(+7,−(Β
Η 9&2( 6∗ ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ &/≅7+&) 6& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( 1∗) .≅7&+ & Θ0 /−( Ε∗)5.2∗ ∋(/∋+7.)
;7∗ ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ ∋())∗+&,−( 2&5:=5 1∗<& .≅7&+ & Θ0
1 67&1 ≅)&/6∗Α&1 /−( Ε)∗∋.1&5
/∗∋∗11&).&5∗/2∗ ∋(./∋.6.)
−( 2∗5(1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1 Ε&)& ∋&+∋7+&) ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ ∋())∗+&,−( +./∗&)
3
)
(5 :&1∗ /&1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1 &∋.5&0 ∗ ∋(/1.6∗)&/6(Θ1∗ ;7∗ Γ0 Η Ω 0%%!0 ∗5 ;7∗ ΓΑΗ
)∗Ε)∗1∗/2& & 97/,−( 6∗ 6.12).:7.,−( &∋757+&6& 6& 6.12).:7.,−( /()5&+ Ε&6)−(0 <7+≅7∗ ( .2∗5
17:1∗;7∗/2∗
∗+( 5=2(6( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗10 (:2=5Θ1∗ 75 5(6∗+( +./∗&) /& 9()5& Ρ Ω Ζ !∆0
∗5 ;7∗ Ρ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& & ;7&/2.6&6∗ 5=6.& 6∗ .))∗≅7+&).6&6∗1 ∗/∋(/2)&6&1 Ε() Ε)(∋∗11( ∗5
97/,−( 6∗ ∆ Ω Γ1∗ ( Ε)(∋∗11( 9() 6( 2.Ε(
Η (7 ∆ Ω Γ1∗ ( Ε)(∋∗11( 9() 6( 2.Ε( Η
∗1(+7,−(Β
Ρ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& & 5=6.& 6∗ .))∗≅7+&).6&6∗1 Ε() Ε)(∋∗11(
Ρ Ω 0 Ε&)& ∆ Ω ∗ Ρ Ω 0 Ε&)& ∆ Ω
(2∗ ;7∗ 1Χ 2∗5(1 6(.1 Ε(/2(1 6( 6.&≅)&5& 6∗ 6.1Ε∗)1−( (.1 Ε(/2(1 6∗9./∗5 75& )∗2&
11.50 /& 5./8& (Ε./.−(0 /−( 2∗5(1 75 Ε)(:+∗5& 6∗ ∗12&2Φ12.∋&0 /−( 1∗ 2)&2& 6∗ 75&
)∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) ? 5&.1 75 Ε)(:+∗5& 6∗ ≅∗(5∗2).& &/&+Φ2.∋&Β 6&6(1 6(.1 Ε(/2(10 6∗4∗5(1
6∗2∗)5./&) & ∗;7&,−( 6& )∗2& ;7∗ Ε&11& Ε() &5:(1
∗5(1Β
Ρ Ω 0 Ε&)& ∆ Ω Β
Ρ Ω 0 Ε&)& ∆ Ω Β
∗;7&,−( 9.∋&Β
,
∀7∗ )∗&+5∗/2∗ ∋(./∋.6∗ ∋(5 & ∗;7&,−( 9()/∗∋.6& /( .2∗5 () ∗11∗ 5(2.4(0 ( .2∗5 9(. 6&6(
∋(5(
3
!∀#
∗1(+7,−(Β
&)& 9&∋.+.2&) (1 ∋3+∋7+(10 4&5(1 6.4.6.) (1 4&+()∗1 6∗ Ε() 0 ∋).&/6( & 4&).34∗+ Ρ
1 4&+()∗1 6∗ Ρ 9.∋&5Β
0 !0
&5(1 2&5:=5 6∗9./.) & 4&).34∗+ ]2]0 ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗ &( 2∗5Ε( ∗5 &/(1 &)& ( &/( 6∗
0 2 Ω &)& ( &/( 6∗ 0 2 Ω 0 ∗ &11.5 Ε() 6.&/2∗
1 4&+()∗1 6∗ ]2] 1−(Β
0 0
)∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( 2∗5 ( 1∗≅7./2∗ 9()5&2(Β
∗<&5 ;7∗Β
/
! ∀ !# ∃ ∀ # ∀ !#
&5(1 ∋&+∋7+&) &1 Ε&)∋∗+&1 ;7∗ ∗/2)&5 /& 9Χ)57+& 6∗ ]:]Β
Θ0 Θ
! Θ
(2&+ %
11.5Β
0
9.≅7)& &∋.5& ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗ & 75 6.&≅)&5& 6∗ 6.1Ε∗)1−( ∗/2)∗ & 4&).34∗+ Γ≅&12( Ε∗)∋∗/27&+
∋(5 1&Λ6∗Η ∗ Γ)∗/6& :)72& 9&5.+.&)0 ∗5 [ 5.+Η0 (:2.6& ∋(5 :&1∗ ∗5 75& &5(12)& 6∗
9&5Φ+.&1 (5 )∗1Ε∗.2( &( &<712∗ 6∗ 75 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 /& 9()5&
0 ∗5 ;7∗ = ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).( ∗ ∗ 1−( (1 ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗1 6( 5(6∗+(0 9()&5
(:2.6(1 (1 1∗≅7./2∗1 )∗17+2&6(1
∗1(+7,−(Β
∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ &/≅7+&) 6& )∗2& = Θ0
11.50 &75∗/2&/6( ∗5 Γ5.+ )∗&.1Η0 1∗)3 6.5./7Φ6(
∗5Β
6∗2&+8∗ = ( 1∗≅7./2∗ Σ ∗123 ∗∆Ε)∗11( ∗5 [ 0
11.50 1∗ ( 4&+() 0 1∗ )∗9∗).11∗ &
∆0 )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&).&0 6∗ 9&2(0 [ 0
(/276(0 0 1∗ )∗9∗)∗ & 0 ;7∗ ∗123 ∗∆Ε)∗11( ∗5 Ε()∋∗/2&≅∗50 ∗ /−( ∗5 5.+ )∗&.1 7 1∗<&0
( .2∗5 2∗/2(7 ./67Α.) ( ∋&/6.6&2( & ∗))(0 5.127)&/6( &1 7/.6&6∗1 6∗ ∆ ∗
∗175./6(Β 75 &75∗/2( 6∗ )∗&.1 /& )∗/6& :)72& )∗17+2& ∗5 75& )∗67,−( 6∗ 0
Ε(/2(1 /( ≅&12( Ε∗)∋∗/27&+ ∋(5 1&Λ6∗
3
Y
i =1
i = 100 Ξ X
i =1
i = 60 Ξ X i × Yi = 650 Ξ (X )
i =1
i
2
= 400 Ξ (Y )
i =1
i
2
= 1080
#2.+.Α&/6( & ∗;7&,−( 6& )∗2& (:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(10 2∗5Θ1∗ ;7∗0 ∋&1(
8&<& 75 ≅&12( &/7&+ ∋(5 Ε)(Ε&≅&/6& 6∗ ! 5.+ )∗&.10 & Ε)∗4.1−( 6( +7∋)( :)72( &/7&+0 ∗5
5.+ )∗&.10 1∗)3 6∗Β
&Η !
:Η 0
∋Η
6Η !0
∗Η !
1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 ;7∗ ( ∗/7/∋.&6( 6.11∗ ;7∗ 9()&5 (:∗6∗∋.6&1 1−( &;7∗+&1 ;7∗ ./6.∋&5(1
&/2∗).()5∗/2∗ Θ E (ε i ) = 0 Ξ V (ε i ) = σ 2 ∗ cov(ε i , ε j ) = 0 0 Ε&)& i ≠ j
b=
[(X − X )× (Y − Y )]
i i
(X − X )
2
i
b=
(X Y ) − n X Y
i i
(X ) − n X
2 2
i
650 − 10 × 6 × 10
b=
400 − 10 × 6 2
650 − 600 50
b= = = 1,25
400 − 360 40
( 4&+() 6∗ a 9.∋&Β
a = Y − bX
100 60
a= − 1,25 × = 10 − 7,5 = 2,5
10 10
()2&/2(0 ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( =Β
Yˆi = a + bX i
Yi = 160 Ξ
i =1
X i = 100 Ξ
i =1
X i × Yi = 1900 Ξ ( X i )2
i =1
= 1200 Ξ (Y )
i =1
i
2
= 3060
#2.+.Α&/6( & ∗;7&,−( 6& )∗2& (:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(10 (:2∗4∗Θ1∗0 Ε&)&
75 6∗2∗)5./&6( ≅&12( ∗5 Ε∗1;7.1& ∗ 6∗1∗/4(+4.5∗/2(0 75& Ε)∗4.1−( 6∗ &∋)=1∋.5( /&1
4∗/6&1 /( 4&+() 6∗ % 5.+ )∗&.1 4&+() ;7∗ 1∗ ∋(/1.6∗)(7 Ε&)& ( ≅&12( ∋(5 Ε∗1;7.1& ∗
6∗1∗/4(+4.5∗/2(0 ∗5 5.+ )∗&.10 9(.Β
&Η
:Η 0
∋Η 0
6Η 0
∗Η 0
∃
&)& ∋&+∋7+&) & Ε)∗4.1−(0 Ε)∗∋.1&5(1 ∗/∋(/2)&) (1 4&+()∗1 6∗ a ∗ b 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗
)∗≅)∗11−(
b=
[(X − X )× (Y − Y )]
i i
(X − X )
2
i
b=
(X Y ) − n X Y
i i
(X ) − n X
2 2
i
1.900 − 10 × 16 × 10 300
b= = = 1,5
1.200 − 10 × 10 2 200
( 4&+() 6∗ a 9.∋&Β
a = Y − bX
160 100
a= − 1,5 × = 16 − 15 = 1
10 10
()2&/2(0 ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( =Β
Yˆi = a + bX i
Yˆi = 1 + 1,5 X i
19 = 1 + 1,5 × X i
18
Xi = = 12
1,5
3
%
10 10 10 10 10
C i = 90 0
i =1
Yi = 100 0
i =1
Yi Ci = 1.100 0
i =1
Yi = 1.250 0
i =1
2
C
i =1
i
2
= 1.010
&5(1 ∗/∋(/2)&) (1 4&+()∗1 6∗ ∗
b=
[(X − X )× (Y − Y )]
i i
(X − X )
2
i
b=
(X Y ) − n X Y i i
(X ) − n X
2 2
i
b=
(Y C ) − nCY
i i
(Y ) − nY
2 2
i
1.100 − 10 × 9 × 10 200
b= = = 0,8
1.250 − 10 × 10 2 250
11.50 & ∗12.5&2.4& Ε&)& ( Ε&)ς5∗2)( β = .≅7&+ & 0!
+∗2)& ∗123 ∗))&6&
a = Y − bX
Χ ;7∗ &;7.0 ∗5 4∗Α 6∗ 2∗5(1 ∗ ∗5 4∗Α 6∗ 2∗5(1
a = C − bY
a = 9 − 0,8 × 10 = 1
∗12.5&2.4& 6( Ε&)ς5∗2)( α = .≅7&+ &
+∗2)& ∗123 ∗))&6&
∋
∗ Ε&)& 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( &/( & Ε)∗4.1−( 6∗ ∋(/175( 9() 6∗ :.+8Μ∗10 ∗/2−( & )∗/6&
∋(/1.6∗)&6& 9(.Β
C = a + bY
10 = 1 + 0,8Y
Y=
(10 − 1) = 11,25
0,8
+∗2)&
2&5:=5 ∗123 ∗))&6&
Yi = 2.500
i =1
X
i =1
i = 400
#2.+.Α&/6( & ∗;7&,−( 6& )∗2& (:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(10 ∋&1( & ∗5Ε)∗1&
&+5∗<∗ (:2∗) ∗5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( &/( 75 +7∋)( :)72( 6∗ 5.+ )∗&.10 6∗4∗ &Ε)∗1∗/2&) 75
2(2&+ 6∗ ≅&12(1 ∋(5 Ε)(Ε&≅&/6&0 ∗5 5.+ )∗&.10 6∗Β
&Η
:Η !
∋Η
6Η
∗Η
(
Y i
2.500
Y= i =1
= = 250
10 10
10
X i
400
X = i =1
= = 40
10 10
&:∗5(1 ;7∗ & ∗12.5&2.4& 6∗ α = 6&6& Ε()Β
a = Y − bX
150 = Y − b X
150 = 250 − b × 40 b = 2,5
)∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( 9.∋&Β
Yˆi = a + bX i
Ci = 800
i =1
Yi = 1.000
i =1
Yi C i = 83.600
i =1
Yi = 105.000
i =1
2
C
i =1
i
2
= 67.240
∗;7&,−( 6& )∗2& &<712&6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 ∗/∋(/2)&6& 9(.Β
&Η Cˆ i = 20 + 0,60 × Yi
:Η Cˆ i = 10 + 0,70 × Yi
∋Η Cˆ i = 8 + 0,72 × Yi
6Η Cˆ i = 6 + 0,74 × Yi
)
∗Η Cˆ i = 4 + 0,76 × Yi
Χ1 2∗5(1 )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&6( (1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6( 5(6∗+( Ε() α ∗ β )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&5(1 17&1
∗12.5&2.4&1 Ε() a ∗ b
(.1 :∗50 /∗12∗ ∗∆∗)∋Φ∋.( (1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 ∗12−( 1∗/6( ∋8&5&6(1 6∗ a ∗ b &5(1 ∋8&5&)
17&1 ∗12.5&2.4&1 6∗ â ∗ b̂
72)& 576&/,& /(1 /(5∗1 = & ;7∗ 1∗≅7∗ ∗)&+5∗/2∗ ∋8&5&5(1 & 4&).34∗+ ./6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗
6∗ ∗ & 6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗ 6∗
;7. ∗+&1 9()&5 2)(∋&6&10 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&5∗/2∗0 Ε() ∗
bˆ =
[(Y − Y )× (C − C )]
i i
(Y − Y )
2
i
bˆ =
(Y × C ) − n × Y × C
i i
(Y ) − nY
2 2
i
83.600 − 10 × 100 × 80
bˆ = = 0,72
105.000 − 10 × 100 2
∋(5 .11( <3 63 Ε&)& 5&)∋&) & +∗2)&
3 4
,
10 10 10 10 10
Yi = 180 Ξ
i =1
X i = 100 Ξ
i =1
X iYi = 1.912 Ξ
i =1
X i = 1.080 Ξ
i =1
2
Y
i =1
i
2
= 3.440
#2.+.Α&/6( & ∗;7&,−( 6& )∗2& (:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(10 2∗5Θ1∗ ;7∗ 1∗ &
∗5Ε)∗1& &+5∗<&) 75 &∋)=1∋.5( /( 9&27)&5∗/2(0 ∗5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( &/(0 6∗ [ 0
6∗4∗)3 &Ε)∗1∗/2&)0 /∗12∗ Ε∗)Φ(6(0 75 2(2&+ ∗5 ≅&12(1 ∋(5 Ε7:+.∋.6&6∗ 6∗
Γ
Η [ 0
ΓΗ [ !0
ΓΗ [ 0
ΓΗ [ 0
ΓΗ [ 0
3
&5(1 5&.1 )&Ε.6&5∗/2∗>
1912 − 1800
b= = 1,4
1080 − 1000
a = 18 − 1,4 × 10 = 4
(6∗+(Β
Yˆ = 4 + 1,4 X
25 = 4 + 1,4 X X = 15
3
/
3
∃ %
&
3 ;
(
11.50 & )∗2& (:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 9.∋&Β
(
&)& Ρ ∗12.5&6( ∗5 0 2∗5(1Β
)
%∗
3 7
∃0
&)& ∗12.5&) & )∗∋∗.2& 2).:723).& ∗5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( &/( ∋(5 :&1∗ /( ∋(5Ε()2&5∗/2(
17≅∗).6( Ε∗+( ≅)39.∋(0 &6(2(7Θ1∗ ( 5(6∗+( Yt = α + βt + ε t Ξ = 0 0 0 1∗/6( Yt = ln(RTt )
Ρ2 = +/ Γ2Η0 ∗5 ;7∗ 2 = & )∗∋∗.2& 2).:723).& /( &/( Γ%%!+2Η ∗5 :.+8Μ∗1 6∗ )∗&.1 ∗ +/ (
+(≅&).25( /∗Ε∗).&/( Γ ln e = Η α ∗ β 1−( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1 ∗ ε t ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).(
∋(5 &1 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 ∋(/1.6∗)&6&1 Ε&)& ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1
#2.+.Α&/6( ( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(10 ∋(5 :&1∗ /&1 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 6∗ %%% & !0
(:2∗4∗Θ1∗ Ε&)& & ∗12.5&2.4& 6∗ β ( 4&+() 6∗ 00 1&:∗/6(Θ1∗ ;7∗Β
10
Y t = 39,0
t =1
Ε)∗4.1−( 6& )∗∋∗.2& 2).:723).& Ε&)& %0 ∗5 :.+8Μ∗1 6∗ )∗&.10 ∗5 97/,−( 6& ∗;7&,−(
(:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 = .≅7&+ &
Γ
Η ∗0 !
ΓΗ ∗0
ΓΗ ∗0
ΓΗ ∗0
ΓΗ ∗0
3
%)
5=6.& 6∗ Ρ Ε(6∗ 1∗) ∋&+∋7+&6& & Ε&)2.) 6( 1(5&2Χ).( 9()/∗∋.6(Β
%)
5=6.& 6∗ = .≅7&+ & 0 Γ5=6.& 6(1 /Λ5∗)(1 /&27)&.1 6∗ &2= Η
∃
!
!
(≅(Β
(
()2&/2(Β
,−∀./ #
&:∗5(1 ;7∗Β
./ 0 122
(≅(Β
(5 :&1∗ /∗11&1 ./9()5&,Μ∗10 & )∗2& 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 ;7∗ 5∗+8() ∗∆Ε+.∋& & )∗+&,−(
∗/2)∗ ( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ &/(1 6∗ ∗1276( ∗ & /(2& 6( 2∗12∗ 6∗ ./≅+Ο1 = .≅7&+ &Β
Γ
Η Ω 0 Ζ 0 ∆
ΓΗ Ω 0 Ζ 0∆
∃
ΓΗ Ω 0% Ζ 0 ∆
ΓΗ Ω 0 Ζ 0%∆
ΓΗ Ω 0 Ζ 0∆
&1 ;7∗12Μ∗1 &/2∗).()∗10 ( ∗/7/∋.&6( 1∗5Ε)∗ 9()/∗∋.& 6.4∗)1(1 1(5&2Χ).(10 Ε&)& 9&∋.+.2&) (
2)&:&+8( :)&,&+ 12( /−( &∋(/2∗∋∗7 /∗12& ;7∗12−( 7 1∗<&0 Ε&)& ∋&+∋7+&) & )∗2& 6∗
)∗≅)∗11−(0 Ε)∗∋.1&)Φ&5(1 9&Α∗) 2(6&1 &1 ∋(/2&1 /& 5−(0 ( ;7∗ 2(5& 57.2( 2∗5Ε(
&+4∗Α Ε() ∗12∗ 5(2.4( & ;7∗12−( &Ε)∗1∗/2∗ &+2∗)/&2.4&1 57.2( 6.9∗)∗/2∗1 ∗/2)∗ 1.
:1∗)4∗5 ;7∗0 Ε&)& ;7&+;7∗) 4&+() 6∗ ∗/2)∗ ∗ 0 ∃ /−( 17Ε∗)& Υ3 Ε(6∗5(1 6∗1∋&)2&)
&1 &+2∗)/&2.4&1 0 0 0 ;7∗ Ε)∗4Ο∗5 4&+()∗1 &+2(1 Ε&)& ∃ Γ57.2( 17Ε∗).()∗1 & Η0 5∗15(
;7&/6( = :&.∆(
&)& 1∗ 2∗) 75& .6=.&0 ∋(/1.6∗)∗ & +∗2)& ∗ 9.Α∗)5(1 .≅7&+ & 0 ∃ 1∗)3 &Ε)(∆.5&6&5∗/2∗
.≅7&+ & 0 &+≅( 2(2&+5∗/2∗ ./∋(5Ε&2Φ4∗+ ∋(5 & 2&:∗+& 9()/∗∋.6&
.∋&5(1 ∗/2)∗ &1 &+2∗)/&2.4&1
∗ &)& ∗1∋(+8∗) ∗/2)∗ &5:&10 4&5(1 2)&:&+8&) ∋(5 (1
4&+()∗1 ∗∆2)∗5(1 6∗ ∀7&/6( = .≅7&+ & 0 &1 )∗2&1 6&1 +∗2)&1
∗ Ε)∗4Ο∗5 (1 1∗≅7./2∗1
4&+()∗1 Ε&)& ∃Β
∗2)&
Β !0
∗2)& Β 0!%
:1∗)4∗5 ;7∗ ( 4&+() 6&
∗2)& = 57.2( 5&.1 Ε)Χ∆.5( 6(1 4&+()∗1 ;7∗ ∃ )∗&+5∗/2∗
&1175∗0 ;7&/6( = .≅7&+ & Υ3 63 Ε&)& 5&)∋&) +∗2)&
∗ 4(∋Ο &./6& 9.∋&) ∗5 6Λ4.6&0 Ε(6∗ 9&Α∗) ( 5∗15( 2∗12∗ Ε&)& .≅7&+ & ∗12∗ ∋&1(0 &1
∗12.5&2.4&1 1∗).&5Β
∗2)&
Β %0
∗2)& Β !0!
(4&5∗/2∗0 & ∗12.5&2.4& 6& +∗2)& 9(. :∗5 5∗+8()
3 7
∃∃
72)& ;7∗12−( ;7∗ /−( 9()/∗∋∗7 1(5&2Χ).(1
4&/2&≅∗5 &≅()& = ;7∗ (1 /Λ5∗)(1
∗/4(+4.6(1 1−( Ε∗;7∗/(1 Γ.12( /−( ∗4.2& ( 2)&:&+8( :)&,&+0 5&1 Ε∗+( 5∗/(1 6∗.∆& &1 ∋(/2&1
75 Ε(7;7./8( 5&.1 2)&/;∴.+&1Η
&5(1 6&) /Λ5∗)(1 Ε&)& (1 5∗1∗1 6( &/( Γ Ε&)& <&/∗.)(0 Ε&)& 9∗4∗)∗.)(0 ∗ &11.5 Ε()
6.&/2∗Η
&)& 9&∋.+.2&) &./6& 5&.1 /(11(1 ∋3+∋7+(10 4&5(1 ./6.∋&) & 6∗5&/6& ∗5 5.+ 7/.6&6∗1
Σ Ρ ΣΡ
2(2&+
∗5(1Β
X i = 21
= 1 + 4 + 9 + 16 + 25 + 36 = 91
2
X i
XY = 225
21
X = = 3,5
6
∃%
75
Y= = 0
6
(≅(Β
b=
[(X − X )× (Y − Y )]
i i
(X − X )
2
i
b=
XY − n × X × Y =
225 − 6 × 3,5 × 12,5
= −2,14
X − nX
2 2
91 − 6 × 3,5 2
a = Y − bX
a = 12,5 + 2,14 × 3,5 =
∗12∗ 5(6(0 ;7&/6( X = 7 0 & ∗12.5&2.4& 6& 6∗5&/6& 9.∋&Β
Ŷ = 20 − 2,14 × 7 = 0
3 7
X φ (X )
0 0
0 0%
0 0!
0 0%
&Η 0
:Η 0%
∋Η 0%
6Η 0!
∗Η 0%
∃∋
&)& 75 6&6( 4&+() X i 0 Yi = 6&6( Ε()Β
Yi = α + β X i + ε
∗1Ε∗)&/,& 6∗ 9.∋&Β
E (Yi ) = E (α + β X i + ε ) = E (α ) + E (β X i ) + E (ε )
(5( & ∗1Ε∗)&/,& 6∗ ε = .≅7&+ & Α∗)( ∗ (1 6∗5&.1 2∗)5(1 1−( ∋(/12&/2∗10 9.∋&5(1 ∋(5Β
E (Yi ) = α + β X i
12( ∗;7.4&+∗ & 6.Α∗) ;7∗ & 5=6.& 6∗ ∗123 <712&5∗/2∗ 1(:)∗ & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
Yi = α + β X i + ε
V (Yi ) = V (α ) + V (β X i ) + V (ε )
4&).ς/∋.& 6∗ ε = .≅7&+ & % Γ6&6& /( ∗∆∗)∋Φ∋.(Η 1 6∗5&.1 2∗)5(1 1−( ∋(/12&/2∗1 Γ4&).ς/∋.&
Α∗)(Η
V (Yi ) = V (ε ) = 9
12( ∗;7.4&+∗ & 6.Α∗) ;7∗ & 4&).ς/∋.& 6∗ 0 Ε&)& 75 4&+() 6∗ 6&6(0 = .≅7&+ Ν 4&).ς/∋.& 6&
4&).34∗+ ε
11.50 & 4&).34∗+ ≅.)& ∗5 2()/( 6∗ 17& 5=6.& ∋(5 4&).ς/∋.& % (5( ( ∗∆∗)∋Φ∋.( 6.11∗ ;7∗
ε 2∗5 6.12).:7.,−( /()5&+0 (1 4&+()∗1 6∗ ≅.)&5 ∗5 2()/( 6∗ 17& 5=6.& 1∗≅7/6( 75&
6.12).:7.,−( /()5&+ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& %
(12&)Φ&5(1 6∗ 1&:∗) ( Ε∗)∋∗/27&+ 6∗ 4&+()∗1 6∗ ;7∗ ∗123 & 75& 6.12ς/∋.& 6∗0 /( 53∆.5(0
0 6& 5=6.& )∗∋.1&)Φ&5(1 ∋(/17+2&) & 2&:∗+& 6∗ 3)∗&1 6& 4&).34∗+ /()5&+ Ε&)& ( 4&+()
α + βX i + 0
(/276(0 & 2&:∗+& 9()/∗∋.6& /( ∗∆∗)∋Φ∋.( = 1Χ Ε&)& & 4&).34∗+ )∗67Α.6& ΓΩ Ε&6)−(Η
)∗∋.1&5(1 72.+.Α&) & 4&).34∗+ )∗67Α.6&Β
Yi − E (Yi )
Z=
σ
&:∗5(1 ;7∗ & 4&).ς/∋.& = %
σ 2 = 9σ = 3
α + βX i + 1,5 − α + βX i 1,5
Z= = = 0,5
3 3
()2&/2(0 ∋(/17+2&5(1 & 2&:∗+& Ε&)& ( 4&+() 0
& 2&:∗+&0 2∗5(1 ;7∗ %0α 6(1 4&+()∗1 6∗ γ 1−( 5∗/()∗1 (7 .≅7&.1 & 0
∃(
()2&/2(0 0%α 6(1 4&+()∗1 1−( 17Ε∗).()∗1 & 0 (5( & 4&).34∗+ /()5&+ 2∗5 97/,−(
6∗/1.6&6∗ 6∗ Ε)(:&:.+.6&6∗ 1.5=2).∋&0 0%α 6(1 4&+()∗1 1−( ./9∗).()∗1 & Θ0
∗11∗ 5(6(0
&Η Ρ Ω Ι Ι Σ
:Η Ρ Ω Ι Σ
∋Η Ρ Ω Σ
6Η Ρ Ω Ζ Σ
∃)
∗Η Ρ Ω Ι Ζ Σ
3
β=
(X Y ) − n X Y
i i
=
140 − 5 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 8 140 − 120 20
= = =2
(X ) − n X 55 − 5 ⋅ 3 2 55 − 45
2
2 10
i
α = Y − bX = 8 − 2⋅3 = 2
11.50 Ρ Ω δ Ζ β ΣΩΖ∆
3 ;
η3 (72)( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +.≅∗.)&5∗/2∗ 6.9∗)∗/2∗ 6( ;7∗ 4.5(1 &2= &;7.0 ∗5 ;7∗ 1∗ 9&Α
∋(5 ;7∗ & )∗2& Ε&11∗ Ε∗+& ().≅∗5 12∗ 1∗≅7/6( 5(6∗+( = 71&6( ∗5 ∋&1(1 ∗∆∋∗Ε∋.(/&.10
;7&/6( 83 &+≅75& )&Α−( 2∗Χ).∋& ;7∗ /(1 ./6.;7∗ 1∗) ∗11∗ ( 5(6∗+( 5&.1 &6∗;7&6(
&5(1 4∗) ∋(5( 9.∋&).& ∗12∗ 1∗≅7/6( 5(6∗+(0 Ε() 5∗.( 6( ∗∆∗)∋Φ∋.( & 1∗≅7.)
/( Λ5∗)( 6∗ .5Χ4∗.1
9∗)2&6(1 ΓΗ ∗/6.6(1 ΓΗ
(/1.6∗)&/6( &1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1 6( 2∗∆2(0 <7+≅7∗ ( .2∗5 17:1∗;∴∗/2∗
∗12.5&2.4& 6( 4&+() 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ α 6& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Y = αX 0 ∗5 ;7∗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& (
/Λ5∗)( ∗1Ε∗)&6( 6∗ .5Χ4∗.1 4∗/6.6(1 Ε&)& 75& ;7&/2.6&6∗ 6∗ .5Χ4∗.1 (9∗)2&6(10 =
17Ε∗).() & 0 ∗ ./9∗).() & 0
∗<& a & ∗12.5&2.4& 6∗ α ∗<& Ŷ & ∗12.5&2.4& 6∗ Y &6(1 (1 4&+()∗1 6∗ X 0 &1 ∗12.5&2.4&1
6∗ Y 9.∋&5Β
∃,
Yˆ = aX
6∗14.( 9.∋&Β
e = Y − Yˆ
e = Y − aX
(5&/6( (1 ;7&6)&6(1 6∗ 2(6(1 (1 6∗14.(10 /75 ∋(/<7/2( 6∗
(:1∗)4&,Μ∗1Β
2
e 2
= (Y − aX )
;7∗)∗5(1 &∋8&) ( 4&+() 6∗ ;7∗ 5./.5.Α& ∗12& 1(5& ? Ε(11Φ4∗+ 6∗5(/12)&) ;7∗ &
∗12.5&2.4& 6∗ ;7∗ 5./.5.Α& & 1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 6∗14.(1 = 6&6& Ε()Β
a=
( XY )
(X ) 2
#
#
(6∗+(Β Y = αX + ε
∗12.5&2.4& 6∗ α = 6&6& Ε()Β
a=
( XY )
(X ) 2
a=
( XY )
(X ) 2
2.250.000
a= ≅ 0,242
9.312.500
2∗5 ∋())∗2(
3
∃/
;7.0 ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ &/≅7+&) 6& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( ∗123 1∗/6( ∋8&5&6( 6∗ β Γ;7&/6(0 /(
∗∆∗)∋Φ∋.( &/2∗).()0 9(. ∋8&5&6( 6∗ α Η
)&2&Θ1∗ 6∗ &Ε+.∋&,−( 6.)∗2& 6& 9Χ)57+& ∗1276&6&
3 4
#5 2∗12∗ 6∗ 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 57.2( ∋(575 = &;7∗+∗ ;7∗ 2∗12& & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /7+& 6∗ ;7∗ (
∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ β 6& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( = /7+( &1( & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /7+& 1∗<& 4∗)6&6∗.)&0 2∗5(1 ;7∗
& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( = 8().Α(/2&+
∗+∗5:)&/6( ( 1.≅/.9.∋&6( 6& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( &)& ∋&6& 4&+() 6∗ /Χ1 2∗5(1 75& 17:Θ
Ε(Ε7+&,−( 6∗ 4&+()∗1 6∗ ∋(5 5=6.& 6&6& Ε∗+& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( ∗ 4&).ς/∋.& σ 2
∗ & )∗2& = 8().Α(/2&+0 ∗/2−( 2(6&1 &1 17:ΘΕ(Ε7+&,Μ∗1 2∗)−( & 5∗15& 5=6.&
7+& Ε&11&6& /Χ1 4.5(1 75& 9∗))&5∗/2& Ε&)& 2∗12&) 1∗ & 5=6.& 6∗ 6.9∗)∗/2∗1 Ε(Ε7+&,Μ∗1
1−( .≅7&.1 ∗/2)∗ 1. 12& 9∗))&5∗/2& ∗)& & &/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.&
(5( 2∗12&) & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ 6∗ β 1∗) .≅7&+ & Α∗)( ∗;7.4&+∗ & 2∗12&) & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ 6∗ &1 4&)&.1
Ε(Ε7+&,Μ∗1 2Ο5 & 5∗15& 5=6.&0 ∗/2−( Ε(6∗5(1 71&) & &/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& Ε&)& .11(
&5(1 4∗) ∋(5( 9.∋&
∀7&/6( 72.+.Α&5(1 & )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)0 (:2∗5(1 Yˆi 0 ;7∗ = 75& ∗12.5&2.4& Ε&)& Y
6.9∗)∗/,& ∗/2)∗ ∗12&1 67&1 ≅)&/6∗Α&1 = ( 6∗14.(
ei = Yi − Yˆi
∗&))&/<&/6( (1 2∗)5(1Β
Yi = ei + Yˆi
%0
(Y − Y ) = (e + Yˆ − Y )
i
2
i i
2
(Y − Y ) = e + (Yˆ − Y ) + 2 × e × (Yˆ − Y )
i
2
i
2
i
2
i i
) = e + (Yˆ − Y )
(Yi −Y
2
i
2
i
2
[ (
+ 2 × ei × Yˆi − Y )]
? Ε(11Φ4∗+ 6∗5(/12)&) ;7∗ [e × (Yˆ − Y )] = 0
i i
()2&/2(Β
(Y i −Y ) = e + (Yˆ − Y )
2
i
2
i
2
(Y )
2
• i −Y 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 2(2&+ Γ∀(2&+Η
•
2
e i 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 Γ∀∗1Φ67(1Η
(Yˆ − Y )
2
• i 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Γ∀∗≅)∗11−(Η Ι
∋())∗1Ε(/6∗ Ν (5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6( 6∗ 2)&2&5∗/2(10 4.12& /& &7+& Ε&11&6&
()2&/2(Β
SQTotal = SQ Re gressao + SQ Re siduos
? Ε(11Φ4∗+ 6∗5(/12)&) ;7∗Β
SQ Re gressao = b × X − X Y − Y [( )( )]
/6∗ = & ∗12.5&2.4& 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ &/≅7+&) 6& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
Φ
SQTotal = SQ Re gressao + SQ Re siduos
SQ Re gressao = b × X − X Y − Y [( )( )]
%
&5(1 ∋&+∋7+&) ∋&6& 75 6∗12∗1 4&+()∗1 Ε&)& &;7∗+∗1 &+7/(1 ;7∗ 9.Α∗)&5 &1 Ε)(4&1 6∗ 9Φ1.∋&
∗ 5&2∗532.∋&
+7/( (2& 6∗ 5&2∗532.∋& (2& 6∗ 9Φ1.∋&
(X ) (Y )
!
!
=6.& 0
∗12& &7+& 9.Α∗5(1 ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) Ε&)&0 & Ε&)2.) 6&1 /(2&1 6∗ 5&2∗532.∋&0
∗12.5&) &1 /(2&1 6∗ 9Φ1.∋& )∗17+2&6( 9(.Β
(Y ) ()
Ŷ
0% 0% 0%
0!% 0 0
0 0 0
! 0! 0 0
0! 0!!
(Y i −Y ) = e + (Yˆ − Y )
2
i
2
i
2
7 &./6&Β
SQTotal = SQ Re gressao + SQ Re siduos
%
&/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.&0 &Ε+.∋&6& Ν )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(0 1∗)4∗ Ε&)& 2∗12&) & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ 6∗ ;7∗ β =
.≅7&+ & Α∗)(
.5(1 ;7∗0 Ε&)& ∋&6& 4&+() 6∗ 0 /Χ1 2∗5(1 75& Ε(Ε7+&,−( 6∗ 4&+()∗1 6∗ ;7∗ ≅.)& ∗5
2()/( 6& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( &1( & )∗2& 1∗<& 8().Α(/2&+0 2(6&1 &1 Ε(Ε7+&,Μ∗1 6∗ 4&+()∗1 6∗
≅.)&)−( ∗5 2()/( 6( 5∗15( 4&+() (6&1 ∗+&1 2∗)−( & 5∗15& 5=6.&
(≅(0 &1 1(5&1 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6∗ 6∗14.(10 &∋.5& 6∗9./.6&10 Ε(6∗5 1∗) 71&6&1 Ε&)& 2∗12&) &
8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ 6∗ ;7∗ ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ β = .≅7&+ & Α∗)(
8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /7+& Γ β = 0 Η /&6& 5&.1 = ;7∗ 17Ε() ;7∗ & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( = 8().Α(/2&+ 7
1∗<&0 = & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ 6∗ ;7∗ 2(6&1 &1 17:ΘΕ(Ε7+&,Μ∗1 6∗ Ε)(4=50 /& 4∗)6&6∗0 6∗ 75& Λ/.∋&
Ε(Ε7+&,−( Γ(7 1∗<&0 &Ε)∗1∗/2&5 5∗15& 5=6.& ∗ 5∗15& 4&).ς/∋.&Η 4.5(1 /& &7+& Ε&11&6&
;7∗ & &/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& Ε(6∗ 1∗) 72.+.Α&6& <712&5∗/2∗ Ε&)& .11( &12& ∋&+∋7+&) &
∗12&2Φ12.∋& 0 ∋(5 :&1∗ /(1 ;7&6)&6(1 5=6.(1
( ∋&1( 6& )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)0 2∗5(1Β
(Y )
2
• i −Y SQTotal n − 1 ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
(Yˆ − Y )
2
• i SQ Re gressao 1 ≅)&7 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
&)& ( ∋&1( 6(1 &+7/(1 ;7∗ 9.Α∗)&5 &1 Ε)(4&1 6∗ 9Φ1.∋& ∗ 5&2∗532.∋&0 2∗5(1Β
2 2
QMTotal = =
4 −1 3
%∃
0,1686
QM Re siduos = = 0!
4−2
1,8286
QM Re gressao = = 1,8286
1
& ∗12&2Φ12.∋& 9.∋&Β
QM Re gressao 1,8286
F _ teste = = = 0
QM Re siduos 0,0842
∃ 4∀
1 1(5&1 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 1∗)4∗5 Ε&)& 6∗9./.) 75& ≅)&/6∗Α& ∋(/8∗∋.6& ∋(5( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗
6∗2∗)5./&,−( 6& )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)
+∗ = 6&6( Ε()Β
SQ Re gressao
r2 =
SQTotal
12& ≅)&/6∗Α&0 /( ∋&1( 6( 5(6∗+( Yi = α + β X i + ε i 0 = .≅7&+ &( ;7&6)&6( 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗
∋())∗+&,−( +./∗&)0 ∗1276&6( /& &7+& Ε&11&6&
∗ & 1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 9() Ε∗;7∗/&0 6∗ 2&+ 9()5& ;7∗ r 2 1∗ &Ε)(∆.5∗ 6∗ 0
.12( 1.≅/.9.∋& ;7∗ &1 6.9∗)∗/,&1 ∗/2)∗ (1 4&+()∗1 (:1∗)4&6(1 Γ Yi Η ∗ & 5=6.& Γ Y Η 1−( ;7&1∗
2(2&+5∗/2∗ ∗∆Ε+.∋&6(1 Ε∗+& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
∗ & 1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 9() ≅)&/6∗0 6∗ 2&+ 9()5& ;7∗ r 2 1∗ &Ε)(∆.5∗ 6∗ Α∗)(0
.12( 1.≅/.9.∋& ;7∗ & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Ε(7∋( ∗∆Ε+.∋& 1(:)∗ &1 6.9∗)∗/,&1 ∗/2)∗ (1 4&+()∗1
(:1∗)4&6(1 ∗ & 5=6.& 7 1∗<&0 = Ε∗)∋& 6∗ 2∗5Ε( 9.∋&) ∋&+∋7+&/6( )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( 1∗ ∗+& =
75 ∗12.5&6() )7.5
(5( ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ ∋())∗+&,−( ΓΗ &1175∗ 4&+()∗1 ∗/2)∗ Θ ∗ 0 ∗/2−( ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗
6∗2∗)5./&,−( ΓΗ &1175∗ 4&+()∗1 ∗/2)∗ ∗
Yi = 100 Ξ
i =1
X i = 60 Ξ
i =1
X i × Yi = 650 Ξ ( X i )2 = 400 Ξ (Yi )2 = 1080
i =1 i =1
%%
5 4∗Α 6∗ 72.+.Α&) ( 2∗)5( ϑ1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1Κ0 & ;7∗12−( ∗123 72.+.Α&/6( ϑ4&).&,−(Κ
11.50 9&Α∗/6( & ∋())∗1Ε(/6Ο/∋.& 6(1 2∗)5(1 6& ;7∗12−( ∋(5 &;7∗+∗1 ;7∗ /Χ1 4.5(1Β
Θ (5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 2(2&+Β 4&).&,−( 2(2&+
Θ (5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1Β 4&).&,−( )∗1.67&+
Θ (5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6& )∗≅)∗11−(Β 4&).&,−( ∗∆Ε+.∋&6& Γ(7 1∗<&0 = & Ε&)2∗ 6& 4&).&,−( 2(2&+
;7∗ = ∗∆Ε+.∋&6& Ε∗+( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(Η
4&).&,−( 2(2&+ 9.∋&Β
(
SQTotal = Yi − Y )
2
(
SQTotal = Yi − Y ) = Y
2
i
2
− nY
2
SQTotal = 1.080 − 10 × 10 2 = 80
()2&/2( & +∗2)& ∗123 ∗))&6&
[(
SQ Re gressao = b × X − X Y − Y )( )]
#2.+.Α&/6( &1 2)&/19()5&,Μ∗1 4.12&1Β
S Re gressao = b × ( ( XY ) − n X Y )
S Re gressao = b × ( ( XY ) − n X Y )
%∋
Ci = 800
i =1
Yi = 1.000
i =1
Yi Ci = 83.600
i =1
Yi = 105.000
i =1
2
C
i =1
i
2
= 67.240
%(
3
Χ1 2∗5(1 )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&6( (1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6( 5(6∗+( Ε() α ∗ β )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&5(1 17&1
∗12.5&2.4&1 Ε() a ∗ b
(.1 :∗50 /∗12∗ ∗∆∗)∋Φ∋.( (1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 ∗12−( 1∗/6( ∋8&5&6(1 6∗ a ∗ b &5(1 ∋8&5&)
17&1 ∗12.5&2.4&1 6∗ â ∗ b̂
SQTotal = Ci − C ( )
2
(C ) − nC
n
2 2
Ω i
i =1
()2&/2(Β
(C ) − nC
n
2
SQTotal = = 67.240 − 10 × 80 2 = 3.240
2
i
i =1
SQ Re gressao = bˆ × ( (YC ) − n × Y × C )
SQ Re gressao = bˆ × (83.600 − 10 × 100 × 80)
(≅(Β
SQ Re gressao = 0,72 × (83.600 − 10 × 100 × 80 ) = 2.592
() 9.50 ∋8∗≅&5(1 &Β
SQ Re gressao
r2 =
SQTotal
2.592
r2 = = 0,80
3.240
3 ;
%)
;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 = .≅7&+ & Γ6&6( /( ∗/7/∋.&6(Η
SQ Re siduos
QM Re siduos = = 36
18
SQ Re siduos = 18 × 36 = !
(≅(Β
X = 648
(5 .11( <3 Ε(6∗5(1 5&)∋&) & +∗2)&
;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 = Γ6&6( /( ∗/7/∋.&6(Η ()2&/2(0 Ω
%,
1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 2(2&+ = 6∗ ! Γ6&6( ∗/7/∋.&6(Η ()2&/2(0 & 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6&
)∗≅)∗11−( =Β
SQ Re gressao = SQTotal − SQ Re siduos
SQ Re gressao = 2826 − 648 = !
∗12&2Φ12.∋& 9.∋&Β
QM Re gressao SQ Re gressao / 1 2178
F _ teste = = = = 0
QM Re siduos 36 36
3 ;
(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ ())∗+&,−(
./∗&) 6∗ ∗&)1(/ ∗/2)∗ (1 6∗1∗5Ε∗/8(1 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&6(1
&+7/(1 ∗5 67&1 &4&+.&,Μ∗1 /&∋.(/&.1 = .≅7&+ & 0! ∗11∗ ∋&1(0 ∋(/∋+7.Θ1∗ ;7∗ & Ε)(Ε(),−(
6& 4&).&:.+.6&6∗ /(1 )∗17+2&6(1 6∗ 75& 6&1 &4&+.&,Μ∗1 ∗∆Ε+.∋&6& Ε∗+& )∗+&,−( +./∗&) ∗/2)∗
∗+&1 =
Γ
Η 0α
ΓΗ %0α
ΓΗ 0α
ΓΗ !0α
ΓΗ %0!α
∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( = ( ;7&6)&6( 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ ∋())∗+&,−(
r 2 = 0,844 2 = 0
3 4
%/
SQ Re gressao
r2 =
SQTotal
SQ Re gressao
0,25 =
SQTotal
SQ Re gressao = SQtotal × 0,25
∗5:)&/6( ;7∗Β
SQTotal = SQ Re gressao + SQ Re siduos
(≅(Β
SQ Re siduos = 0,75 × SQTotal
∗12&2Φ12.∋& 9.∋&Β
∋0
).5∗.)( .2∗5
SQ Re gressao = QM Re gressao / 1
SQ Re gressao = 56.000
∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( 9.∋&Β
SQ Re gressao 56.000
r2 = = Ω 0
SQTotal 88.480
()2&/2(0 α 6& 4&).&,−( = ∗∆Ε+.∋&6& Ε∗+& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( 7 1∗<&0 ( 5(6∗+( 6∗
)∗≅)∗11−( ∗∆Ε+.∋& α 6& 4&).&:.+.6&6∗ 2(2&+ Ε).5∗.)( .2∗5 ∗123 ∋∗)2(
∗≅7/6( .2∗5
SQ Re siduos = SQTotal − SQ Re gressao
SQ Re siduos = 88.480 − 56.000 = 32.480
∗12&2Φ12.∋& 9.∋&Β
QM Re gressao SQ Re gressao / 1 56.000
F _ teste = = = =
QM Re siduos SQ Re siduos /(60 − 2) 32.480 / 58
1∗≅7/6( .2∗5 2&5:=5 ∗123 ∋∗)2(
3 4Ι
5:()& ∗12& ./9()5&,−( /−( 2∗/8& 1.6( /∗∋∗113).& Ε&)& )∗1(+4∗) & ;7∗12−(0 4&5(1 9&+&)
1(:)∗ ( 1.≅0 ;7∗ &Ε&)∗∋∗ /& 2&:∗+&
4&+() 6∗ 1.≅ /&6& 5&.1 = ;7∗ ( 4&+() 6∗1∋).2.4( 6( 2∗12∗ 6∗ 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 Ε&)& β = 0 7 1∗<&0
= & Ε)(:&:.+.6&6∗ 6∗ 75& 4&).34∗+ ∋(5 6.12).:7.,−( 0 ∋(5 ≅)&7 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ /(
/75∗)&6() ∗ ! /( 6∗/(5./&6()0 &1175.) 4&+()∗1 5&.()∗1 ;7∗ Γ;7∗ = & ∗12&2Φ12.∋&
2∗12∗Η
∋
(X )
n
2
i −X = 414
i =1
(Y )
n
2
i −Y = 359
i =1
(X )
n
i − X × Yi = 345
i =1
3
( ∋&1( 6( 5(6∗+( 717&+ 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)0 ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( = .≅7&+ &(
;7&6)&6( 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ ∋())∗+&,−(
;7. & ;7∗12−( ∗∆Ε+()& (72)& .≅7&+6&6∗ ∗/4(+4∗/6( 1(5&2Χ).(1
/75∗)&6() 6& 9Χ)57+& 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ ∋())∗+&,−( =Β
[(X ) ( )]
n
i − X × Yi − Y
i =1
[(X ) ( ) ]
n
i − X × Yi − X i − X × Y
i =1
[( ) ] [( ) ]
n n
Ω X i − X × Yi − X i − X × Y
i =1 i =1
[( ) ] [( )]
n n
Ω X i − X × Yi − Y X i − X
i =1 i =1
∋
QM Re gressao A
F _ calculado = = A = 67 × 36 =
QM Re siduos 67
SQTotal − SQ Re gressao = SQ Re siduos
5363 − 2412 = B
B = %
:1Β Ε&)& ∗12& ;7∗12−(0 &:∗)2&0 /−( ∋(/12& ( ≅&:&).2( (9.∋.&+ /( 1.2∗ 6& :&/∋& ∗ 4(∋Ο1
&∋8&)∗5 &+≅75 ∗))( /& 5./8& )∗1(+7,−(0 = 1Χ 9&+&)
)∗&.1 Ε() 5Ο1 ./4∗12.≅&6() Ε(127+& ;7∗ ( 1&+3).( 6 6& <Θ=1.5& 1∗∋)∗23).& 6& .=1.5& 9.)5&
6∗ ∋./∋( 1∗∋)∗23).&1 ./.∋.&/2∗1 ∗5 ∋&6& 75 6∗ 2)Ο1 2.Ε(1 6∗ 9.)5&0 &/(2&/6( ( 1&+3).( ∗5
(:∗6∗∋∗ ( 5(6∗+( +./∗&) 6 ( ∋ ( 76 , i=1, 2, 3; j=1 ...5. ∗12& ∗∆Ε)∗11−( µ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&
75& 5=6.& Ε(Ε7+&∋.(/&+0 α. = ( ∗9∗.2( 9.∆( 6& 9.)5& i ∗ (1 ε.< 1−( ∗))(1 /−( ∋())∗+&∋.(/&6(1
∋(5 6.12).:7.,−( /()5&+0 5=6.& Α∗)( ∗ 4&).ς/∋.& ∋(/12&/2∗ ∗12∗ ∋(/2∗∆2( (:2=5 & 2&:∗+&
6∗ &/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& 1∗≅7./2∗Β
11./&+∗ & (Ε,−( ;7∗ 63 ( 4&+() 6& ∗12&2Φ12.∋& /∗∋∗113).& Ε&)& 2∗12&) & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ 6∗ ;7∗ (1
∗9∗.2(1 6&1 9.)5&1 1∗<&5 .≅7&.1
&Η 0
:Η 0
∋Η 0
6Η 0
∗Η 0!
3
∋%
).5∗.)( ∋&+∋7+&5(1 (1 ;7&6)&6(1 5=6.(10 6.4.6./6( &1 1(5&1 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 Ε∗+(1 ≅)&71 6∗
+.:∗)6&6∗Β
(/2∗
∀ ∀ ΓΩ∀⊥
Η
(6∗+( ! %
∗1Φ67(1 !
∗12&2Φ12.∋& = .≅7&+ Ν )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ ( ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6( 5(6∗+( ∗ ( ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1
)
)∗1Φ67(1Β
8 9
+
3
=< % ( ∗
:2∗/8& & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 6∗ Ρ ∗5 Σ
;#
=< % ( %
>#
=< ( ∗
?#
=< (
≅#
=< % ( %
Α#
3
%
∀ #
∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ ϑ&Κ = 6&6( Ε()Β
∋∋
∗ ++
% ∃
% % ∃
%
3
).5∗.)( ∋&+∋7+&5(1 & 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 2(2&+ Γ∀ΗΒ
ΒΧ/ ∀ # :∗)
:+%∗
∋&+∋7+&6&1Β
.
:∗)
3 4
∋(
3
&:∗5(1 ;7∗ ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ ∋())∗+&,−( +./∗&) ∗/2)∗ &1 4&).34∗.1 = /7+(0 Ε(.1 /−( ∗∆.12∗
Ε
)∗+&,−( +./∗&)
11.5Β
.
2&5:=5 4&+∗ Α∗)(Β
&1 2&+ ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ = .≅7&+ Ν 6.4.1−( ∗/2)∗ & 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
ΒΧ∆
Γ∀Η ∗ & 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 2(2&+ Γ∀ΗΒ
Φ ΒΧ∆
ΒΧ/
&:∗5(1 &./6& ;7∗ & 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 2(2&+ Γ∀Η = .≅7&+ Ν 1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1
ΒΧ/ ( ΒΧΓ
ΒΧΓ ΒΧ/
∀7∗)∗5(1 ∋&+∋7+&) ( ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1 6∗14.(10 (7 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 &5(1 ∋8&5&) 6∗ ∀
+∗ = 6&6( Ε∗+& 1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 6∗14.(1 Γ∀Η0 6.4.6.6( Ε() ϑ/ Ι Κ0 ;7∗ = (
ΒΧΓ
)∗1Ε∗∋2.4( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
Χ∆Γ
ΒΧ/
Χ∆Γ
∀Η #
Χ∆Γ
:1∗)4∗ ;7∗ & ∗∆Ε)∗11−( &∋.5& = ;7&1∗ .≅7&+ Ν 4&).ς/∋.& &5(12)&+ 6∗ Ρ
4&).ς/∋.& &5(12)&+
6∗ Ρ = .≅7&+ &Β
∋)
∀Η #
Ι1
(5 :&1∗ /∗11&1 ./9()5&,Μ∗10 <7+≅7∗ (1 Ε)Χ∆.5(1 .2∗/10 )∗+&2.4(1 & ∋())∗+&,−(0 )∗≅)∗11−( ∗
6.12).:7.,Μ∗1 ∋(/<7/2&1
∗1(+7,−(Β
Η
8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ 6∗ /()5&+.6&6∗ 6(1 ∗))(1 &+∗&2Χ).(1 /−( 2∗5 ./9+7Ο/∋.& /( ∋3+∋7+( 6(1
∗12.5&6()∗1 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1
&)& ∋&+∋7+&) (1 ∗12.5&6()∗10 ( Ε)(∋∗6.5∗/2( = ( 1∗≅7./2∗Β
• 5(/2&5(1 & ∗∆Ε)∗11−( ;7∗ 9()/∗∋∗ & 1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 6∗14.(1
∋,
. ∗)%∗ 9 +)
Η ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( = ( ;7&6)&6( 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ ∋())∗+&,−(Β
3 Ι
9.≅7)& &∋.5& ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗ & 75 6.&≅)&5& 6∗ 6.1Ε∗)1−( ∗/2)∗ & 4&).34∗+ Γ≅&12( Ε∗)∋∗/27&+
∋(5 1&Λ6∗Η ∗ Γ)∗/6& :)72& 9&5.+.&)0 ∗5 [ 5.+Η0 (:2.6& ∋(5 :&1∗ ∗5 75& &5(12)& 6∗
9&5Φ+.&1 (5 )∗1Ε∗.2( &( &<712∗ 6∗ 75 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 /& 9()5&
0 ∗5 ;7∗ = ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).( ∗ ∗ 1−( (1 ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗1 6( 5(6∗+(0 9()&5
(:2.6(1 (1 1∗≅7./2∗1 )∗17+2&6(1
∋/
∗1(+7,−(
&:∗5(1 ;7∗ ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ ∋())∗+&,−( = /∗≅&2.4(0 Ε(.1 ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ &/≅7+&) = /∗≅&2.4(
7 1∗<&0 & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ Ε∗)∋∗/27&+ 6∗ ≅&12( ∋(5 1&Λ6∗ ∗ )∗/6& 9&5.+.&) = ./4∗)1& Γ;7&/6(
75& &75∗/2&0 & (72)& 6.5./7.Η 11( 2&5:=5 Ε(6∗ 1∗) Ε∗)∋∗:.6( Ε∗+( 6.&≅)&5& 6∗
6.1Ε∗)1−(Β Ε(/2(1 5&.1 & 6.)∗.2& 6( 6.&≅)&5& Γ4&+()∗1 ≅)&/6∗1 6∗ ]∆]Η ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗5 &
4&+()∗1 5∗/()∗1 6∗ ]] 4&+()∗1 5&.1 & ∗1;7∗)6& ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗5 & 4&+()∗1 ≅)&/6∗1 6∗ ]]
( ∗/2&/2(0 ∋(5( 9(. 5&.() ;7∗ 00 .11( 1.≅/.9.∋& ;7∗ ( 5Χ67+( 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗
∋())∗+&,−( = 5&.() ;7∗ 0!
(X )
n
2
i −X = 414
i =1
(Y )
n
2
i −Y = 359
i =1
(X )
n
i − X × Yi = 345
i =1
(0
345
r 2 = 0,83 ×
359
ϑ0!Κ ∗123 1∗/6( 57+2.Ε+.∋&6( Ε() 75 /Λ5∗)( 5∗/() ;7∗ (6& 4∗Α ;7∗ 57+2.Ε+.∋&5(1
75 /Λ5∗)( Ε() (72)( ;7∗ 1∗<& 5∗/() ;7∗ 0 ( /Λ5∗)( ().≅./&+ 6.5./7.
(≅(0 & )∗1Ε(12&
Ε)(∋7)&6& 1∗)3 5∗/() ;7∗ 0!
Λ/.∋& (Ε,−( = & +∗2)&
3 ;
&∗
1 ∋(/12&/2∗1 & ∗ : 1−( &1 ∗12.5&2.4&1 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6∗ ∗ 0 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&5∗/2∗
11./&+∗ & (Ε,−( ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗ Ν ∗12.5&2.4& /−(Θ4.∗Α&6& 6& 4&).ς/∋.& )∗1.67&+
&Η 0
:Η 0
∋Η 0
6Η 0
∗Η 0
3
).5∗.)( ∋&+∋7+&5(1 & 5=6.& 6∗ Ρ ∗ & 5=6.& 6∗ ΣΒ
∃
(
∃ ∃ ∃
∃ ∃ ∃
) +
ΒΓΧ ∗
;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1 6∗14.(1 9.∋&Β
Χ∆Γ
3 4
∗1(+7,−(Β
∀7∗5 = /∗≅&2.4( = ( ∀
? ∗+∗ ;7∗5 ./6.∋& & ∗∆.12Ο/∋.& 6∗ )∗+&,−(
./4∗)1& ∗/2)∗ Ε)∗,( ∗ ;7&/2.6&6∗
Υ3 ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( = 1∗5Ε)∗ Ε(1.2.4(0 ∗ ./6.∋& ( ;7&/2( 6& 4&).&,−( 2(2&+ =
∗∆Ε+.∋&6& Ε∗+( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
&:&).2(Β ∗))&6(
(∃
∗/2)( 6( 5(6∗+( ≅∗)&+ 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)0 1∗ &1175.)5(1 ;7∗ (1 4&+()∗1 6∗ Σ 1−( 9.∆(10 ∗
72.+.Α&/6( &1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 +.12&6&1 /& Ε3≅./& 0 Ε(6∗5(1 ∋8∗≅&) &( 1∗≅7./2∗Β
ϑ∀#
ϑ∀#
ϑ∀# Κ ( Λ
ΜΝΟ ∀ #
ΜΝΟ∀ #
&5(1 6&) 75& /(,−( 6∗ (/6∗ 4Ο5 &+≅7/1 6∗11∗1 )∗17+2&6(10 5&1 & +∗.27)& /−( =
(:).≅&2Χ).& (∋Ο Ε(6∗ 2)&/;7.+&5∗/2∗ 9.∋&) 1Χ ∋(5 (1 )∗17+2&6(1 &∋.5&
Π ∋ ( Θ ( 7
7Ε(/6( ;7∗ (1 Σ. 1−( 9.∆(10 6&6(10 2∗5(1Β
( ( Ρ (
+=5 6.11(Β
( ( Ρ (
Ε+.∋&/6( & 4&).ς/∋.& 6(1 6(.1 +&6(1Β
ϑ∀#
∀7∗ = ( Ε).5∗.)( )∗17+2&6( &Ε)∗1∗/2&6(
9Χ)57+& 6∗ ϑ:Κ =Β
Σ Σ
∗2&+8&/6( .11(Β
( ( Ρ (
ϑ∀# ϑ Κ ( ( Ρ( Λ
ϑ∀ # ϑ∀ #
ϑ∀
#
ϑ∀# ( Ρ(
∀ # ∀ # ∀ #
(%
ϑ∀# ( Ρ(
∀ # ∀ # ∀ #
ϑ∀#
∀ #
ϑ∀#
12∗ 9(. ( 1∗≅7/6( )∗17+2&6( &Ε)∗1∗/2&6(
&:∗5(1 2&5:=5 ;7∗Β
ϑ∀#
( ∃
ϑ∀# Κ ( Λ
∀7∗ = ( 2∗)∋∗.)( )∗17+2&6( &Ε)∗1∗/2&6(
(50 4&5(1 Ε&)&) Ε() &;7.0 <3 2.4∗5(1 75& /(,−( 6∗ (/6∗ 4Ο5 (1 )∗17+2&6(1 5&.1
.5Ε()2&/2∗1
()6∗/&6(1 ΓΣ0ΡΗ0 /−( 1&:∗5(1 ( 4&+() 6∗ /2−( 17:12.27Φ5(1 Ε() 1∗7 ∗12.5&6()0 ;7∗ = &
7.2( :∗5 ∀7&/6( 9&Α∗5(1 75& &5(12)&≅∗5 ∗ (:2∗5(1 75 ∋(/<7/2( 6∗ ϑ/Κ Ε&)∗1
Ι Χ∆: .0Ι
1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1
∀#
Ι
Ι
Ι ∀# Κ ( Λ Ι
∋(/9.&/,& 1(:)∗ ∋ ∗ Θ
(6∗5(1 71&) &1 4&).ς/∋.&1 &∋.5& Ε&)& 2∗12&) 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 ∗ 6∗2∗)5./&) ./2∗)4&+(1 6∗
(∋
(5( ( ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 2∗5
≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗0 71&5(1 & 6.12).:7.,−(
∋(5 6(.1 ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
&Η 0%
:Η 0
∋Η 0
((
6Η 0%
∗Η 0
2∗12∗ 5&.1 ∋(575 1(:)∗ ( 4&+() 6∗ β ∋(/1.12∗ /& 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ 6∗ ;7∗ β Ω &1( )∗<∗.2∗5(1
∗12& 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /7+&0 ∋(/∋+7Φ5(1 ;7∗ 83 )∗≅)∗11−( 6∗ 1(:)∗ 12∗ Ε)(∋∗6.5∗/2( 1∗)4∗ Ε&)&
4∗).9.∋&)5(1 & ;7&+.6&6∗ 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
Υ3 4.5(1 75 5(6( 6∗ 9&Α∗) .11( (. Ε() 5∗.( 6& &/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& 6& )∗≅)∗11−(0
72.+.Α&/6( & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ ( ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6& )∗≅)∗11−( ∗ ( ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1
(.1 :∗50 ∗∆.12∗ (72)& 9()5& 6∗ 9&ΑΟΘ+(0 ;7∗ &∋&:&5(1 6∗ ∗1276&) &)& ( 2∗12∗ 6∗ β 0
2&5:=5 Ε(6∗5(1 72.+.Α&) & 6.12).:7.,−( 0 ∋(5 n − 2 ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
;7∗12−( /−( Ε∗6.7 Ε&)& 9&Α∗)5(1 ( 2∗12∗ ∋(5Ε+∗2( )∗∋.1&5(1 &Ε∗/&1 ∋&+∋7+&) ( ΕΘ4&+()
Υ3 4.5(10 /& &7+& 6∗ 2∗12∗ 6∗ 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗10 ;7∗ ( ΕΘ4&+() = & Ε)(:&:.+.6&6∗ 6∗ (:2∗)5(1 4&+()∗1
2−( ∗∆2)∗5(1 ;7&/2( & ∗12&2Φ12.∋& 2∗12∗
∗12&2Φ12.∋& 2∗12∗ ;7∗ ∗1276&5(1 /&;7∗+& &7+&0
;7&/6( /−( 1∗ ∋(/8∗∋∗ & 4&).ς/∋.& 6( Ε&)ς5∗2)(0 9(.Β
X −µ
t _ teste =
sX
()
#2.+.Α&/6(Θ1∗ & 6.12).:7.,−( ∋(5 n − 2 ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ 2&5:=5 = Ε(11Φ4∗+ 6∗2∗)5./&)
./2∗)4&+(1 6∗ ∋(/9.&/,& Ε&)& β
;7∗12−( <3 9()/∗∋∗7 ( ./2∗)4&+( 6∗ ∋(/9.&/,& Ε)(/2( Υ3 1&:∗5(1 ;7∗0 ∋(5 ∋(/9.&/,& 6∗
% α0 β ∗123 ∗/2)∗ 0 ∗ 0! :1∗)4∗5 ;7∗ = 75 ./2∗)4&+( ;7∗ ∋(/2∗5Ε+& 4&+()∗1
Ε)Χ∆.5(1 6∗ Α∗)( Γ2&/2( /∗≅&2.4(1 ;7&/2( Ε(1.2.4(1Η &+()∗1 Ε(1.2.4(1 Ε&)& β ./6.∋&5
)∗+&,−( 6.)∗2& &+()∗1 /∗≅&2.4(1 Ε&)& β ./6.∋&5 )∗+&,−( ./4∗)1& )&0 1∗ & &5(12)& /−( =
∋&Ε&Α /∗5 6∗ /(1 6&) 75& 5&.() 1∗≅7)&/,& ;7&/2( &( 1./&+ 6∗ β Γ1∗ Ε(1.2.4( (7 /∗≅&2.4(Η0
.11( = 75 9()2∗ 1./&+ 6∗ ;7∗ /−( ∗∆.12∗ )∗+&,−( +./∗&) ∗/2)∗ &1 4&).34∗.1 ∗1276&6&1 () .11(0 &
&+2∗)/&2.4& ∗123 ∋())∗2&
∗<&5(1 (1 ∗))(1 6&1 6∗5&.1 &+2∗)/&2.4&1
+∗2)& ϑ
Κ 9&+& ∗5 ./2∗)∋∗Ε2( /2∗)∋∗Ε2( /&6& 5&.1 = ;7∗ ( Ε(/2( ∗5 ;7∗ & )∗2& 6∗
)∗≅)∗11−( ∋()2& ( ∗.∆( ∗).& ( 4&+() 6∗ α &:∗) &Ε∗/&1 ( ./2∗)4&+( 6∗ ∋(/9.&/,& Ε&)& β
/−( &<76& ∗5 /&6& /& 6∗2∗)5./&,−( 6( 4&+() 6∗ α
&+2∗)/&2.4& ϑΚ &9.)5& ;7∗ ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ &/≅7+&) = /∗≅&2.4( (5( <3 6.11∗5(10 /−( 2∗5(1
1∗≅7)&/,& /∗5 ;7&/2( &( 1./&+ 6∗ β
&9.)5&2.4& ϑΚ /(1 6.Α ;7∗ & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ &1 4&).34∗.1 = /−( +./∗&) (50 ∋&1( β 1∗<&
)∗&+5∗/2∗ Α∗)(0 .11( 1.≅/.9.∋& ;7∗ /−( 83 )∗+&,−( +./∗&) &1 /−( 1.≅/.9.∋& ;7∗ ∗∆.12& (72)(
2.Ε( 6∗ )∗+&,−( Γ∋(5( ;7&6)32.∋&0 ∗∆Ε(/∗/∋.&+0 +(≅&)Φ25.∋& ∗2∋Η
&9.)5&2.4& ϑΚ 6.Α ;7∗ & 4&).34∗+ 6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗ &1175∗ &Ε∗/&1 4&+()∗1 /∗≅&2.4(1 −( 83
;7&+;7∗) ./9()5&,−( 1(:)∗ (1 4&+()∗1 &1175.6(1 Ε∗+&1 4&).34∗.1 ∗5 ;7∗12−( Γ1∗<& &
6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗ (7 ./6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗Η
3
∃ −
&
! Κ
(,
ς ( ς
7:12.27./6( ( 4&+() 6∗ Β
ς ∀ # ( ς
ς ( ∀ς #
∗5:)&/6( ;7∗ ς = & ∗12.5&2.4& 6( 4&+() 6∗ Ρ0 ;7&/6( Σ 4&+∗ ς &+ 4&+() ∋&. 1(:)∗ & )∗2&
6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( ∋&+∋7+&6& 7 1∗<&0 = 75& ∗12.5&2.4& 6& ∗1Ε∗)&/,& 6∗ Ρ0 ;7&/6( Σ 4&+∗ ς
5 (72)&1 Ε&+&4)&1Β &;7. ∗12&5(1 2)&:&+8&/6( ∋(5 ( Ε)∗6.2() 6( 4&+() ∗1Ε∗)&6( Γς Η
#5& 4∗Α ∋&+∋7+&6( ( 4&+() ς 0 ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗ Ν ∗12.5&2.4& 6∗ Ρ ;7&/6( Σ 4&+∗ ς 0 Ε(6∗5(1
∀ς #
1(5& 6&1 4&).ς/∋.&1 )∗17+2&6( 9./&+ 1∗)3Β
ϑ∀0# ∃ Κ ( (
Λ
+&)(0 1∗ /−( 1(7:∗)5(1 ( 4&+() 6∗ 0 17:12.27Φ5(1 Ε() Ι 0 1∗7 ∗12.5&6()Β
∀ς #
Ι∀0# Ι ∃ Κ ( (
Λ
Φ Ε(6∗5(1 ∗12&:∗+∗∋∗) ./2∗)4&+(1 6∗ ∋(/9.&/,& Ε&)& & /(11& Ε)∗4.1−(0 &11.5Β
(/
ς Ψ Τ ∃ Ι∀0#
/6∗ Τ = ( 4&+() 6& 6.12).:7.,−( 0 ∋(5
≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗0 Ε&)& ( /Φ4∗+ 6∗ ∋(/9.&/,&
∗12&:∗+∗∋.6(
∗<&5 ;7∗ &≅()& /−( ∗12&5(1 5&.1 ∋(/1.6∗)&/6( ( 4&+() ∗1Ε∗)&6( 12&5(1 ∋(/1.6∗)&/6(
75& 6∗2∗)5./&6& (:1∗)4&,−( ./6.4.67&+ Γς Η0 ;7∗ 2&5:=5 2∗5 75& 6.1Ε∗)1−( ∗5 2()/( 6&
)∗2&
.11( 17)≅∗ 75 )∗17+2&6( ./2∗)∗11&/2∗
∗1Ε∗)&6( Χ ( ;7∗ 576& 6∗ 75 ∋&1( Ε&)& ( (72)( = ;7∗ 1(5&5(1 ( 4&+() ( 97/6(0
4&).ς/∋.& 6( ∗))( 6( Ε)∗6.2() Γ(:1∗)4&,−( ./6.4.67&+Η = 57.2( 1.5.+&) Ν 4&).ς/∋.& 6( 4&+()
;7&/6( ∋(/1.6∗)&5(1 75& (:1∗)4&,−( ./6.4.67&+0 ∗12&5(1 &6.∋.(/&/6( & 4&).ς/∋.& 6&
Ε)ΧΕ).& (:1∗)4&,−( ./6.4.67&+0 ;7∗ 1∗ 6.1Ε∗)1& ∗5 2()/( 6& )∗2& )∗&+ 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
∗<&5(1 75& ;7∗12−( & )∗1Ε∗.2(
∋ ( Θ ( 7
(/1.6∗)∗ ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)
Η % Ρ
(/6∗ = 75& )∗&+.Α&,−( 6∗ 75& 4&).34∗+ )∗1Ε(12& 0 = 75& )∗&+.Α&,−( 6∗ 75& 4&).34∗+
∗∆Χ≅∗/& 0 (1 7 1−( ∗))(1 &+∗&2Χ).(1 /−(Θ(:1∗)434∗.10 /−( ∋())∗+&∋.(/&6(10 ∋(5 5=6.&
/7+& ∗ 4&).ς/∋.& ∋(/12&/2∗ ( Ε)(∋∗11( 6∗ ∗12.5&,−( 4.& ( 5=2(6( 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1
Ζ ∀ #
;7&6)&6(1 &1 4&).34∗.1 9()&5 ∋()).≅.6&1 Ε∗+& 5=6.&0 Ε)(67Α./6( & ∗;7&,−( 6∗ &<712∗
Ζ
/6∗
4&).ς/∋.& 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ Ζ 9(. ∗12.5&6& ∗5 0 ∗))( 5=6.( ;7&6)32.∋( 6& )∗≅)∗11−(
4&+∗
3
)0
∗Ε&)∗5 ;7∗ ( ∗/7/∋.&6( /−( ∗12&:∗+∗∋∗7 6.9∗)∗/,& ∗/2)∗ (1 1Φ5:(+(1 Ε&)& &1 )∗&+.Α&,Μ∗1
6∗ Ρ ∗ 1∗71 Ε)∗6.2()∗1
&/2∗/6( & 1.5:(+(≅.& 6( ∗/7/∋.&6(0 4&5(1 71&) ]Ρ]0 6∗ &≅()& ∗5 6.&/2∗0 ∋(5( ( Ε)∗6.2()
6& 4&).34∗+ 6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗0 6&6( Ε∗+& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
&5(1 71&) & 1∗≅7./2∗ /(2&,−(Β
∀7&2)( 6&1 ∋./∋( &+2∗)/&2.4&1 1∗ )∗9∗)∗5 & Ε)∗6.,Μ∗1 Ε&)& Σ Ω
7&1 6∗+&1 9&+&5 ∗5 Ε)∗6.2() 6( 4&+() ∗1Ε∗)&6( ∗ &1 (72)&1 67&1 9&+&5 ∗5 Ε)∗6.2() 6&
(:1∗)4&,−( ./6.4.67&+ &5(1 ∋(5∗,&) ∋(5 ( Ε)∗6.2() 6( 4&+() ∗1Ε∗)&6(
Ζ ∀ #
∀7&/6( Σ Ω 0 ( 4&+() ∗1Ε∗)&6( Ε&)& ]Ρ] = 6&6( Ε∗+& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( ∋&+∋7+&6&
∃ ∀% #
∃ Φ %
Ε)∗6.2() 6( 4&+() ∗1Ε∗)&6( =
+=5 6.11(0 1∗ ∋(/1.6∗)&)5(1 2(6&1 &1 &5(12)&1 Ε(11Φ4∗.10 2∗)∗5(1 ( 1∗≅7./2∗
)∗2& 6∗
)∗≅)∗11−( ∋&+∋7+&6& 576& 6∗ 75& &5(12)& Ε&)& (72)& 7 1∗<&0 & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
∋&+∋7+&6& 4&).& 1 4&+()∗1 ∗1Ε∗)&6(1 6∗ Ρ0 Ε&)& 6&6( Σ0 4&).&5 ∗5(1 75& 4&).34∗+
∀ς #
&∗+&2Χ).& ;7∗ &Ε)∗1∗/2& & 1∗≅7./2∗ 4&).ς/∋.&Β
∃ Κ ( Λ
/6∗Β
• ]/] = ( 2&5&/8( 6& &5(12)&
• ΣΠ = ( 4&+() 6∗ Σ Ε&)& ( ;7&+ 1∗ 6∗1∗<& ∋&+∋7+&) ( Ε)∗6.2() 6( 4&+() ∗1Ε∗)&6( 6∗ Ρ
(5( /−( ∋(/8∗∋∗5(1 0 17:12.27Φ5(1 Ε() 1∗7 ∗12.5&6()0 ;7∗ = ( ∗))( 5=6.( ;7&6)32.∋(0
1 6∗5&.1 2∗)5(1 9()&5 6∗9./.6(1 /( ∗/7/∋.&6(
∀ς #
∗ ;7∗ 4&+∗
∃Κ ( Λ
Χ ;7∗ /−( 1&:∗5(1 ;7&/2( 4&+∗ & 1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 6∗14.(1 Ε&)& Σ
&1 1&:∗5(1 ;7∗ & 4&).ς/∋.& ∗12.5&6& 6∗ [ = 0 11& 4&).ς/∋.& = ∋&+∋7+&6& 6( 1∗≅7./2∗
5(6(Β
)
ϑ∀ Ζ #
(5( /−( ∋(/8∗∋∗5(1 0 17:12.27Φ5(1 Ε() 1∗7 ∗12.5&6() ΓΗ0 (:2∗/6( & 4&).ς/∋.&
∗12.5&6& 6∗ Ζ Β
+
∀ς #
≅()& Ε(6∗5(1 4(+2&) (/6∗ 2Φ/8&5(1 Ε&)&6(Β
∃Κ ( Λ
∀% #
7:12.27./6( (1 4&+()∗1 6&6(1 /( ∗/7/∋.&6(Β
(
∀% #
7:12.27./6( & 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 6∗14.(1 Ε&)& ΣΒ
(
+
∗175./6(0 ( Ε)∗6.2() 6( 4&+() ∗1Ε∗)&6( 6∗ Ρ ΓΕ&)& Σ Ω Η = .≅7&+ & ∗ 2∗5 4&).ς/∋.& 0
3 7
∗<&5 ;7∗ & &+2∗)/&2.4& ]6] ∗))& &( 2)&Α∗) 4&).ς/∋.& Γ∗5 4∗Α 6∗ 0 Η
∗11∗ ∋&1(0 & Λ/.∋& 576&/,& (∋())∗ /& 4&).ς/∋.& 11( Ε();7∗0 &+=5 6∗ ∋(/1.6∗)&)5(1 ;7∗ &
Ε)ΧΕ).& 6.1Ε∗)1−( 6∗ Ρ ∗5 2()/( 6& )∗2& Ρ 4&).& ∗5 2()/( 6& )∗2& ∋(5 4&).ς/∋.&
)∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Ε(6∗).& 576&) 6∗ &5(12)& Ε&)& &5(12)&0 2∗5(1 ;7∗ ∋(/1.6∗)&) 2&5:=5 &
∗12∗ 5(6(0 ;7&/6( /(1 )∗9∗).)5(1 Ν 4&).ς/∋.& 6( Ε)∗6.2() 6∗ 75& (:1∗)4&,−( ./6.4.67&+0 &
∀ς #
9Χ)57+& 6& 4&).ς/∋.& 9.∋&Β
Ι ∃ Κ ( (
Λ
∀% #
Κ ( ( Λ∃
+
4&).ς/∋.& Ε&11& Ε&)& 0 &Φ ( ∗))( 6&1 &+2∗)/&2.4&1 ]&] ∗ ]∗]
)
∀7&/2( Ν &+2∗)/&2.4& ]∋]0 & ∋(4&).ς/∋.& ∗/2)∗ &1 4&).34∗.1 &+∗&2Χ).&1 ∗+∗/∋&6&1 = /7+&
∋ ( Θ ( 7
(/1.6∗)∗ ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)
Η % ∴
/6∗ (1 )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&5 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 6& 4&).34∗+ )∗1Ε(12& ]0 (1 )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&5 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1
6& 4&).34∗+ ∗∆Χ≅∗/& 0 ∋ ∗ Θ 1−( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1 ∗ (1 7 1−( ∗))(1 /−(
∋())∗+&∋.(/&6(1 ∋(5 5=6.& /7+& ∗ 4&).ς/∋.& ∋(/12&/2∗ &)2∗ 6& 2&:∗+& 6∗ &/3+.1∗ 6∗
4&).ς/∋.& = 6&6& &:&.∆( &:∗Θ1∗ ;7∗ & 5=6.& 6(1 4&+()∗1 6& 4&).34∗+ ∗∆Χ≅∗/& = ∗ ;7∗ &
&Η 0
:Η 0
∋Η 0
6Η 0
∗Η 0
∗12.5&6() 6∗ = .≅7&+ &( ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 Γ1 Ω ∀∗1Η0 ;7∗ Ε() 17& 4∗Α =
.≅7&+ Ν 6.4.1−( ∗/2)∗ & 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 ∗ ( )∗1Ε∗∋2.4( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗
∗+
+.:∗)6&6∗Β
Ι %∗
∗<& ς ( Ε)∗6.2() 6∗ ς +
∀⊥ #
4&).ς/∋.& 6( Ε)∗6.2() ./6.4.67&+ 9.∋&Β
Κ ( ( Λ
1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 6∗14.(1 6∗ Σ ∗5 )∗+&,−( Ν 17& 5=6.& = .≅7&+ & .∋&5(1
∀⊥ #
∋(5Β
Κ ( ( Λ
:
)∃
/Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ 2(2&+ = .≅7&+ &Β Ζ ! Ω % 11∗ /Λ5∗)(0 Ε() 17& 4∗Α0
) Φ
∋())∗1Ε(/6∗ & 0 (/6∗ ]/] = ( 2&5&/8( 6& &5(12)&
∀⊥ #
≅()& 17:12.27Φ5(1 ∗11∗ )∗17+2&6( /( ∋3+∋7+( 6& 4&).ς/∋.& 6( Ε)∗6.2()Β
Κ ( ( Λ
:
Κ ( ( Λ ∃ %∗
:
∀ ( ( # ∃ %∗ ++
3
% ?Λ16
5 2ΧΕ.∋( &/2∗).() /Χ1 ∗1276&5(1 ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 #5& ∋&)&∋2∗)Φ12.∋&
5&)∋&/2∗ 6∗12∗ = ;7∗ 2Φ/8&5(1 75& Λ/.∋& 4&).34∗+ 6.2& ϑ./6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗Κ
∋ ( Θ ( 7
5(6∗+( ∗)&Β
4&).34∗+ ϑΡΚ = ∋8&5&6& 6∗ 6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗
4&).34∗+ ϑΣΚ = ./6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗0 1∗71 4&+()∗1 1−(
∋(/1.6∗)&6(1 6&6(10 9()/∗∋.6(10 ∗ & Ε&)2.) 6∗+∗1 ∋&+∋7+&5(1 Ρ
∗12∗ /(4( 2ΧΕ.∋( 4∗)∗5(1 75 5(6∗+( ∗5 ;7∗ 83 5&.1 6∗ 75& 4&).34∗+ ./6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗
.6∗.& ≅∗)&+ 6( 5(6∗+( = ∗∆&2&5∗/2∗ & 5∗15& 6∗ &/2∗1 Χ 576& 75 Ε(7∋( & 5&2∗532.∋&
∗/4(+4.6&0 Ε(.1 &≅()& 2∗5(1 ;7∗ +.6&) ∋(5 5&.1 4&).34∗.1 &)& 6&) ∋(/2& 6.11(0 2∗5(1 ;7∗
71&) ∗;7&,Μ∗1 ∗/4(+4∗/6( 5&2).Α∗1
)%
_Τ ( _ ( _ (
(11( 5(6∗+( ∋(5 4&).34∗.1 = &11.5Β
βΤ ( β ( β
1 4&+()∗1 ∗12.5&6(1 6∗ Ρ 9.∋&5Β
χ
6∗14.( = & 6.9∗)∗/,& ∗/2)∗ ( 4∗)6&6∗.)( 4&+() 6∗ Ρ ∗ 17& ∗12.5&2.4&Β
( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(10 ;7∗)∗5(1 5./.5.Α&) & 1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1
6∗14.(1Β
χ
Ω Ξ
∀ βΤ β β #
&)& (:2∗) (1 ∗12.5&6()∗1 ;7∗ 5./.5.Α&5 & 1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 6∗14.(10 & ≅∗/2∗
6∗).4& ∗5 )∗+&,−( & ∋&6& ∗12.5&6()0 ∗ .≅7&+& & Α∗)(
)∋
5&2).Α ϑΚ .)3 6∗1.≅/&) (1 ϑ/Κ 4&+()∗1 6∗ ΡΒ
γ ϕ
:
φ ι
φ:ι
:
ε
η
5&2).Α κ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& (1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1Β
ΘΤ
κ λΘ µ
Θ
5&2).Α )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& (1 ∗))(1 &+∗&2Χ).(1Β
)(
7
7
γ:ϕ
φ : ι
φ ι
:
ε7
η
5&2).Α )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& &1 4&).34∗.1 ./6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗1Β
γ ϕ
φ Σ Σ ι
: : :
ε
η
&)& 9.∋&) ∋+&)(0 4&5(1 &/&+.1&) & 1∗≅7/6& ∋(+7/&Β
• )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& ( Ε).5∗.)( 4&+() 6& 4&).34∗+
• )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& ( 1∗≅7/6( 4&+() 6& 4&).34∗+
•
)∗Ε)∗1∗/2& ( ∗/=1.5( 4&+() 6& 4&).34∗+
(6∗ Ε&)∗∋∗) ∗12)&/8( & Ε).5∗.)& ∋(+7/& 1∗) 2(6& Ε)∗∗/∋8.6& ∋(5 ϑΚ0 5&1 .11( 4&. 9.∋&)
∋+&)( ∗5 1∗≅7.6&
κ ( ν
&Φ ;7∗ /(11( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( 9.∋& &11.5Β
&)& ∋&6& 4&+() 6∗ ϑ.Κ0 ∗12&5(1 ∗5 75 ∗+∗5∗/2( &5(12)&+ 7 1∗<&0 Ε&)& ∋&6& 4&+() 6∗ ϑ.Κ0
_Τ ( _ ( _ (
2∗)∗5(1Β
≅()& (:1∗)4∗5 ;7∗ & 5&2).Α 57+2.Ε+.∋& κ &)& ;7&+;7∗) +./8& ;7∗ (+8&)5(10 _Τ 0 ;7∗ =
75 6(1 ∗+∗5∗/2(1 6∗ κ0 1∗5Ε)∗ 6∗4∗ 1∗) 57+2.Ε+.∋&6( Ε() ∗<&5 ∗5 4∗)5∗+8(Β
ο_Τ ( _ ( _ ( 7
0 /& (:2∗/,−( 6& +./8& ϑ.Κ0 ;7∗5 = ;7∗ 57+2.Ε+.∋& _Τ >
∀7∗5 9&Α .11( = ( ∗+∗5∗/2( 6∗ ;7∗ (∋7Ε& & Ε).5∗.)& Ε(1.,−( 6& +./8& ϑ.Κ
∗)2(>
))
βΤ
λβ µ
β
1∗<& π & 5&2).Α 6(1 ∗12.5&6()∗1 6∗ ΡΒ
γ
ϕ
π φ : ι
φ:ι
:
ε
η
./&+5∗/2∗0 1∗<& 0 & 5&2).Α 6(1 ∗12.5&6()∗1 6(1 6∗14.(1Β
0
0
γ:ϕ
0φ : ι
φ ι
:
ε0
η
π
∗;7&,−( ;7∗ )∗+&∋.(/& 2&.1 5&2).Α∗1 =Β
0 π
1 6∗14.(1 ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗5 Ν1 6.9∗)∗/,&1 ∗/2)∗ (1 4&+()∗1 6∗ Ρ ∗ 17&1 ∗12.5&2.4&1Β
0
0 θ0
1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 6∗14.(1 9.∋&Β
∀ #θ ∃ ∀ #
/6∗ & +./8& )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& & 5&2).Α 2)&/1Ε(12&
∀ θ θ θ # ∃ ∀ #
∀ θ θ θ θ ( θ θ #
≅()& /(2∗5 ;7∗ θ = 2)&/1Ε(12& 6& 5&2).Α θ θ
&5(1 &/&+.1&) ( Ε).5∗.)( Ε)(672(
),
θ ρ 5&2).Α ∆ /
Β 5&2).Α / ∆
σΒ 5&2).Α ∆
(/2./7&/6(Β
ρ 5&2).Α ∆
(≅(0 ( Ε)(672( σ 1∗)3 75& 5&2).Α ∆ 7 1∗<&0 1∗)3 75 /Λ5∗)( )∗&+
(5 75& &/3+.1∗ 1.5.+&)0 6∗1∋(:).5(1 ;7∗ θ θ 2&5:=5 = 75 /Λ5∗)( )∗&+
(≅(Β θ θ θ
)&10 67&1 5&2).Α∗1 ∆ ∗5 ;7∗ 75& = & 2)&/1Ε(12& 6& (72)& 1−( .≅7&.1 ∗/2)∗ 1.
∀ θ θ θ ( θ θ #
11.50 & 1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 6∗14.(1 9.∋&Β
∀τ θ # θ ρ 5&2).Α ∆ /
Ε)(672( 6&1 67&1 5&2).Α∗1 &∋.5&0 ∗/2−( 1∗)3 ∆ / (/2./7&/6(Β
•
• Β 5&2).Α / ∆
∀τ θ # θ ( ∀τ θ # θ
∀τ θ # ∃ ∀ θ θ #
∀ θ θ #
(≅(Β
θ θ
∀7∗ = ∗∆&2&5∗/2∗ ( 5∗15( 1.12∗5& 6∗ ∗;7&,Μ∗1 ;7∗ (:2.4∗5(1 &/2∗1
)/
&5(1 ∋8∗∋&)>
∗∗1∋)∗4∗/6( &1 5&2).Α∗1Β
∴ γ ϕ ∴ βΤ
:
λ ∴
µ ∃ φ ι λ ∴
µ ∃ υ ϖ ∃ λβ µ
φ :ι ∴
∴
∴
β
:
ε
η
&5(1 2∗12&)>
)&:&+8&/6( ∋(5 & Ε).5∗.)& +./8&Β
βΤ ( β ( β
∀7∗ = ∗∆&2&5∗/2∗ & Ε).5∗.)& ∗;7&,−( 6( 1.12∗5& & ;7∗ ∋8∗≅&5(1
θ θ
≅)&/6∗ 4&/2&≅∗5 6( 1.12∗5& 5&2).∋.&+
7.2( :∗5
≅()& Ε)∗∋.1&5(1 )∗1(+4∗) ( 1.12∗5& &)& 2&/2(0 .1(+&5(1 & 5&2).Α &12&
? ;7∗ ∗+∗ 4&+∗ Ε&)& ;7&+;7∗) /Λ5∗)( 6∗ 4&).34∗.1 ./6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗1
∀ θ #ω ∃ ∀ θ #
Η
Φ
Μ
#
,0
)∗17+2&/6( (1 Ε(/2(1Β ΓΣ0 Ρ0 Η0 ΓΣ0 Ρ0 Η0 0 ΓΣ/0 Ρ/0 /Η0 Ε(6∗/6( 1∗) 6∗1∋).2& Ε∗+&
∗∆Ε)∗11−(Β
4&+.&/6( ∗5 97/,−( 6∗ 4&+()∗1 &2).:7Φ6(1 & Σ ∗ Ρ0 9&+&/6(Θ1∗ 6∗ 75 Ε+&/( 6∗ 5Φ/.5(
;7&6)&6( 6∗ &<712&5∗/2( 6∗ 6&6(10 &1 ∗;7&,Μ∗1 /()5&.1 ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗1 &( Ε+&/( 6∗
Β Τ ( ξ (
5Φ/.5( ;7&6)&6( 1−( 6&6&1 Ε()Β
Γ Η Β Τ
( (
Γ Η Β Τ ( (
Γ Η Β Τ ( (
/6.∋&/6( Ε() Θ ∗)6&6∗.)( ∗ Θ &+1(0 2∗5(1 & (Ε,−( ∋())∗2& ∋(5( 1∗/6(Β
&Η 0 0
:Η 0 0
∋Η 0 0
6Η 0 0
∗Η 0 0
12& ;7∗12−( ∋(:)& ∗∆&2&5∗/2∗ ( ;7∗ 9.Α∗5(1 /& Ε&)2∗ 2∗Χ).∋& 6& &7+& )∗17+2&6( ;7∗
βΤ ( β ( β ∀δ#
(:2.4∗5(1 9(.Β
∀ # βΤ ( β ( β ∀δδ#
∀ # βΤ ( β ( β ∀δδδ#
Β
Τ ( ( ∀δ#
/2−(0 &6&Ε2&/6( /(11& /(5∗/∋+&27)&0 ( )∗17+2&6( Ε&11& & 1∗)Β
,
∗12& ∗∆Ε)∗11−( ( +(≅ = 2(5&6( /& :&1∗ /∗Ε∗).&/&0 ∋ Θ } 1−( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1
∗ Ο| (1 1−( ∗))(1 /−( ∋())∗+&∋.(/&6(10 /()5&+5∗/2∗ 6.12).:7Φ6(1 ∋(5 5=6.& Α∗)( ∗ 4&).ς/∋.&
∋(/12&/2∗
+≅7/1 )∗17+2&6(1 6( &<712∗ 6∗11∗ 5(6∗+( Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1
;7&6)&6(1 1−( &Ε)∗1∗/2&6(1 & 1∗≅7.)Β
11./&+∗ & (Ε,−( ;7∗ 63 & ∗12.5&2.4& 6& 4&).&,−( ∗1Ε∗)&6& ∗5 +(≅ ΓΗ 6∗∋())∗/2∗ 6(
6∗∋)=1∋.5( 6∗ 67&1 7/.6&6∗1 /( +(≅ ΓΗ ∗ 6( &75∗/2( 6∗ 75& 7/.6&6∗ /( +(≅ ΓΗ
&Η 0%
:Η 0!
∋Η 0
6Η 0
∗Η 0
3
,
3 7
&/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& 6& )∗≅)∗11−( 5Λ+2.Ε+& = :&12&/2∗ 1.5.+&) Ν &/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& 6&
)∗≅)∗11−( 1.5Ε+∗10 ∗1276&6& ∗5 2ΧΕ.∋( &/2∗).()
Φ Η Γ∀Η = 6&6& Ε()Β
Ω Ξ
∀ θ θ θ ( θ θ #
.∋& &11.5Β
∀ #
Φ Γ∀Η ∋(/2./7& 1∗/6(Β
∀ ( #
∗1∗/4(+4∗/6(Β
(
(
1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Γ∀Η ∋(/2./7& 1∗/6(Β
Ω Ξ
−( 4∗)∗5(1 ∋(5( ∗1∋)∗4∗) 2&.1 ≅)&/6∗Α&1 /& 9()5& 5&2).∋.&+0 Ε(.1 /−( = ∋(:)&6( /&1
Ε)(4&1 6∗ ∋(/∋7)1(1
;7∗ Ε)∗∋.1&5(1 &Ε)∗/6∗) 6∗ /(4.6&6∗ = & ;7&/2.6&6∗ 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ &11(∋.&6( &
,∃
ΒΧ∆ 2∗5 ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ /6∗ ϑΕΚ = ( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 & 1∗)∗5
∗12.5&6(1 & &7+& Ε&11&6&0 /& )∗≅)∗11−( 1.5Ε+∗10 2Φ/8&5(1 &Ε∗/&1 6(.1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 Γ∋ Θ#
() .11( ∀ 2./8& ≅)&7 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
./&+5∗/2∗0 Ε&)& ∋&+∋7+&) ( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ 6∗ ∀0 :&12& 9&Α∗) & 6.9∗)∗/,&
∗/2)∗ (1 6(.1 &/2∗).()∗1
(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
(6∗+( 6∗ ∗≅)∗11−(
∀
# ∀ # ∀
#
(2&+
∗1Φ67(1
Χ∆∆
∗12&2Φ12.∋& Ε&)& ( 2∗12∗ ∋(/2./7& 1∗/6(Β
8
Χ∆.
/6∗Β
• Χ∆∆Β ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
• Χ∆.Β ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1
4&).34∗.1 Γ_ _ ∴ : _
Η 1−( 2(6(1 .≅7&.1 & Α∗)( ∗ )∗<∗.2&)5(1 & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /7+&0 ∗/2−( =
∗12&2Φ12.∋& /(1 Ε∗)5.2∗ 2∗12&) & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /7+& 6∗ ;7∗ (1 ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗1 ;7∗ 57+2.Ε+.∋&5 &1
ΒΧ∆
∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( ∋(/2./7& 1∗/6(Β
.
ΒΧ/
+∗ /(1 ./6.∋& ( ;7&/2( 6& 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 2(2&+ = ∗∆Ε+.∋&6& Ε∗+( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
,%
3
∗<&5Β
Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 Γ∋ Θ Η
Θ ]Ε]Β & ;7&/2.6&6∗ 6∗ Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 & 1∗)∗5 ∗12.5&6(1 ∗12& ;7∗12−(0 2∗5(1 2)Ο1
ΒΧ∆
∗5(1Β
.
ΒΧ/
ΒΧ∆
ΒΧ/
ΒΧ∆ ΒΧ/
(≅(Β
∗<&5Β
;7&6)&6( 5=6.( = 6&6( Ε∗+& )∗1Ε∗∋2.4& 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6.4.6.6& Ε∗+( /Λ5∗)( 6∗
%
1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 2∗5
≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ (5( & &5(12)& 2∗5
7 1∗<&0 ∀ 2∗5 ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
2&5&/8( Γ
%Η ∗ 1−( 2)Ο1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 & 1∗)∗5 ∗12.5&6(1 Γ %Η0 9.∋&5(1 ∋(5Β
% %
,∋
() 9.50 ( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗6&6∗ 6∗ ∀ = 6&6( Ε∗+& 6.9∗)∗/,& ∗/2)∗ (1 4&+()∗1
&∋.5&Β
8
Χ∆. ΒΧ. ∃ ΒΧ/
8 +
;7∗12−( 9(. &/7+&6& Ε() /−( ∗12&) Ε)∗4.12& /( ∗6.2&+ 6( ∋(/∋7)1(
3
&Η
:Η
∋Η 0
6Η
∗Η
3
∗<&5 ∀ ∗ ∀0 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&5∗/2∗0 & 1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( ∗ &
1(5& 6(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1
∗<&5 ∀ ∗ ∀ (1 ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗1 ;7&6)&6(1 5=6.(1
Τ 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6∗ 5(6∗+( &11(∋.&5(1 ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗0 (/6∗ ]Ε] = &
;7&/2.6&6∗ 6∗ Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 ∗12.5&6(1
∗12∗ ∋&1(0 2∗5(1 75 ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ Ε&)& ∋&6& 75 6(1 2)Ο1 )∗≅)∗11()∗10 5&.1 ( 2∗)5(
,(
Χ∆∆
∗12&2Φ12.∋& 2∗12∗ = 6&6& Ε∗+& )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ (1 ;7&6)&6(1 5=6.(1Β
8
Χ∆.
ΒΧ∆ ∀ #
8
ΒΧ. ∀
#
%) %
8 ∗∗&
∗&) ∀+ +#
3 4
∋ ( Θ ( ( 7
∗∆∗5Ε+(0 ∗5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( Ε&Φ10 &6(2(7Θ1∗ ( 5(6∗+(
Ε&)& &4&+.&) & 6∗5&/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& 6∗ 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( Ε)(672(0 ∋(5 :&1∗ ∗5 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1
/(1 Λ+2.5(1 6∗Α &/(1 &6(1Β
• Α. Ω +/Γ∀.Η0 ∗5 ;7∗ +/ = ( +(≅&).25( /∗Ε∗).&/( Γ+/Γ∗Η ΩΗ ∗ ∀. 75 Φ/6.∋∗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&/6(
& 6∗5&/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& 6( Ε)(672( /( &/( .Ξ
• ∆. Ω +/Γ.Η0 ∗5 ;7∗ . = ( Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗ Ε)∗,( 6( Ε)(672( /( &/( .Ξ
• . Ω +/Γ.Η0 ∗5 ;7∗ . = & )∗/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& 6( Ε&Φ1 /( &/( .Ξ
• ∋ Θ 1−( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1Ξ
• 7 = ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).( ∋(5 &1 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 ∋(/1.6∗)&6&1 Ε&)& ( 5(6∗+( 6∗
)∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 5Λ+2.Ε+&
(/1.6∗)&/6( & ∗;7&,−( 6( Ε+&/( (:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 Ε&)& ∗11∗
Ε&Φ10 ( 4&+() 6& Ε)∗4.1−( ∗5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( &/( 6( Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗ 6∗5&/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& ∀ 6(
Ε)(672( &/&+.1&6( ∗5 97/,−( 6( Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗ Ε)∗,( ∗ 75& )∗/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& Γ∀ Τ Η Ε(6∗
1∗) (:2.6( Ε∗+& 9Χ)57+&Β
&Η
,)
03
Χ Τ
∼ ∃ . Τ5
+
:Η
Χ
∼ ωΤ ∃ . ωΤ5
03
∋Η
Χ Τ
∼ ∃ . ωΤ5
+
6Η
Χ
∼Τ ∃ . Τ5
+
∗Η
Χ
∼ ωΤ ∃ . Τ5
3
,− Χ + ,− ∼ ( &∗ ,− .
0 3 ∃ 0 Τ5
Χ
0 Τ∃
∗5:)&/6( ;7∗Β 0
∼ ∗ ;7∗ 0
.
0 3 ∃ . Τ5
Χ
∼Τ
03
Χ
∼Τ ∃ . ωΤ5
3 4
∋ ( Θ ( ( 7
∗∆∗5Ε+(0 ∗5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( Ε&Φ10 &6(2(7Θ1∗ ( 5(6∗+(
Ε&)& &4&+.&) & 6∗5&/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& 6∗ 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( Ε)(672(0 ∋(5 :&1∗ ∗5 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1
/(1 Λ+2.5(1 6∗Α &/(1 &6(1Β
,,
(5 )∗+&,−( Ν ∗;7&,−( 6( Ε+&/( &<712&6( Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 ∗
∋(/1.6∗)&/6( ( ;7&6)( 6∗ &/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗0 = ∋())∗2( &9.)5&) ;7∗Β
&Η ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( ΓΗ 6& )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 5Λ+2.Ε+& = ./9∗).() & %α
:Η &)& ( 2∗12∗ 6∗ 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ 6∗ ∗∆.12Ο/∋.& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(0 2∗5Θ1∗ ;7∗ ( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗
+.:∗)6&6∗ & ∋(/1.6∗)&) )∗9∗)∗/2∗ Ν 4&).&,−( )∗1.67&+ = %
∋Η (5( /& )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗10 ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( ΓΗ 6& )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)
5Λ+2.Ε+& = .≅7&+ &( ;7(∋.∗/2∗ 6& 6.4.1−( 6& 4&).&,−( )∗1.67&+ Ε∗+& 4&).&,−( ∗∆Ε+.∋&6& Ε∗+&
)∗≅)∗11−(
6Η
)∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ ( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ )∗9∗)∗/2∗ Ν 4&).&,−( )∗1.67&+ ∗ ( /Λ5∗)(
6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ )∗9∗)∗/2∗ Ν 4&).&,−( ∗∆Ε+.∋&6& Ε∗+& )∗≅)∗11−( = 0
∗Η 4&+() 6& ∗12&2Φ12.∋& Γ ∋&+∋7+&6(Η 72.+.Α&6( Ε&)& ∋(5Ε&)&,−( ∋(5 ( 2&:∗+&6( Γ4&).34∗+
! Υ 41 ∗<&5 ∀0 ∀ ∗ ∀0 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&5∗/2∗0 & 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1
2(2&+ Γ4&).&,−( 2(2&+Η0 & 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6( 5(6∗+( Γ4&).&,−( ∗∆Ε+.∋&6&Η ∗ & 1(5& 6∗
;7&6)&6(1 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 Γ4&).&,−( )∗1.67&+Η
,/
! 4 Υ 41 (5( 4.5(1 &∋.5&0 ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( 9(. 6&6( Ε∗+&
)∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ & 4&).&,−( ∗∆Ε+.∋&6& ∗ & 4&).&,−( 2(2&+
! 7 Υ 41 ∗<& ]/] ( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 ∗ ]Ε] ( /Λ5∗)( 6∗
Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 & 1∗)∗5 ∗12.5&6(1
∗5(1Β
Θ &).&,−( 2(2&+Β
)
1 ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ &11(∋.&6(1 1−(Β
! ; Υ 41
/Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ )∗9∗)∗/2∗ Ν 4&).&,−( )∗1.67&+ =
/Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ )∗9∗)∗/2∗ Ν 4&).&,−( ∗∆Ε+.∋&6& =
&
)∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ &5:(1 =Β
%
! Υ 41 ∗<& ∀ ( ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 ∗<& ∀ (
;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
1 ;7&6)&6(1 5=6.(1 1−( (:2.6(1 & Ε&)2.) 6&1 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&1 1(5&1 6∗ ;7&6)&6(10 6.4.6.6&1
Ε∗+(1 /Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
/0
∗∗
Χ∆∆ %
+
Χ∆.
&
%
∗12&2Φ12.∋& = 6&6& Ε∗+& )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ ∗12∗1 6(.1 ;7&6)&6(1 5=6.(1Β
8 +
3 ;
∗12& ∗∆Ε)∗11−( ( +(≅ = 2(5&6( /& :&1∗ /∗Ε∗).&/&0 ∋ Θ } 1−( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1
∗ Ο| (1 1−( ∗))(1 /−( ∋())∗+&∋.(/&6(10 /()5&+5∗/2∗ 6.12).:7Φ6(1 ∋(5 5=6.& Α∗)( ∗ 4&).ς/∋.&
∋(/12&/2∗
+≅7/1 )∗17+2&6(1 6( &<712∗ 6∗11∗ 5(6∗+( Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1
;7&6)&6(1 1−( &Ε)∗1∗/2&6(1 & 1∗≅7.)Β
11./&+∗ & (Ε,−( ;7∗ 63 ( 4&+() 6& ∗12&2Φ12.∋& /∗∋∗113).& Ε&)& ( 2∗12∗ 6& 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗
&Η 0
:Η 0
∋Η 0
6Η
∗Η 0
/
3
∗<&5Β
• ∀Β 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 2(2&+Ξ
• ∀Β 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
• ∀Β 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1
• ∀Β ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 2(2&+
• ∀Β ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(
• ∀Β ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1
5 Γ
Τ 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( &11(∋.&5(1 ΕΘ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗0 ∗5 ;7∗
]Ε] = & ;7&/2.6&6∗ 6∗ Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 & 1∗)∗5 ∗12.5&6(1 ( Ε)∗1∗/2∗ ∋&1(0 1−( 2)Ο1
ΒΧ∆
Ε&)ς5∗2)(1
Χ∆∆
%
5 Γ
Η
∗11& 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 &11(∋.&5(1 /ΘΕ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗0 (/6∗ ]/] = ( 2&5&/8( 6&
&5(12)& ∗ ]Ε] = ( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 ∗12.5&6(1
& % +
∗11∗ ∋&1(Β
ΒΧ. +
./&+5∗/2∗0 2∗5(1Β
Χ∆.
+
Η
12&2Φ12.∋& 2∗12∗ = 6&6& Ε∗+& )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ (1 6(.1 ;7&6)&6(1 5=6.(1Β
8
3 ;
/
Ρ
(/6∗ ,− )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& ( +(≅&).25( /∗Ε∗).&/( ∗0 ∋(5 :&1∗ ∗5 0 {| = 75 Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗
∋(/175( Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2&0 ∼| = ( ;7(∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 75 Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗ Ε)∗,( 6( 4∗1273).( Ε∗+( Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗
∋712( 6∗ 4.6&0 .| = & )∗/6& )∗&+ Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2&0 ∋ Θ 1 −( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1 ∗ (1 7| 1−(
6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6&
)∗&+.Α&,Μ∗1 ./6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗1 6∗ 75& 4&).34∗+ &+∗&2Χ).& /()5&+ ∋(5 5=6.& Α∗)( ∗ 4&).ς/∋.&
6∗ ∼| ∗ .| ;7∗ 6∗12∗ 5(6( 1−( 2)&2&6&1 ∋(5( 9.∆&1
1 ∗12.5&2.4&1 6(1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(10 6∗ 1∗71
&<712∗ 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 9(. +∗4&6( & ∗9∗.2( ∋(/6.∋.(/&+5∗/2∗ Ν1 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1
6∗14.(1 Ε&6)−( :∗5 ∋(5( Ε&)2∗ 6& 2&:∗+& 6∗ &/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& 1−( 6&6(1 & 1∗≅7.)Β
Τ ρ Θ
11./&+∗ & (Ε,−( ;7∗ 63 ( 4&+() 6& ∗12&2Φ12.∋& &11(∋.&6& &( 2∗12∗ 6∗
ρ Θ Νν
∋(/2)& & &+2∗)/&2.4&
&Η⊥
:Η
∋Η
6Η
∗Η ⊥
3
;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6( 5(6∗+( Γ∀Η = .≅7&+ Ν 6.4.1−( ∗/2)∗ & 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6(
5(6∗+( Γ∀Η ∗ ( )∗1Ε∗∋2.4( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
/∃
/Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ 6∗ ∀ = .≅7&+ & ΕΘ0 (/6∗ ]Ε] = & ;7&/2.6&6∗ 6∗
Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 ( Ε)∗1∗/2∗ ∋&1(0 1−( 2)Ο1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(1
(≅(0 ∀ 2∗5 ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
Χ∆∆
;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 Γ∀Η = .≅7&+ Ν 6.4.1−( ∗/2)∗ & 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6(1
)∗1Φ67(1 Γ∀Η ∗ ( )∗1Ε∗∋2.4( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
/Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ 6∗ ∀ = .≅7&+ & /ΘΕ0 (/6∗ ]/] = ( 2&5&/8( 6& &5(12)& ∗
]Ε] = & ;7&/2.6&6∗ 6∗ Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 ( Ε)∗1∗/2∗ ∋&1(0 1−( 2)Ο1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 ∗ & &5(12)& 2∗5
&
2&5&/8(
(≅(0 ∀ 2∗5 ΘΩ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
Χ∆Γ
&
∗12&2Φ12.∋& 2∗12∗ = & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ (1 6(.1 ;7&6)&6(1 5=6.(1 ∋&+∋7+&6(1 &∋.5&Β
8
3 7
Ρ
(/6∗ ,− )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& ( +(≅&).25( /∗Ε∗).&/( ∗0 ∋(5 :&1∗ ∗5 0 {| = 75 Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗
∋(/175( Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2&0 ∼| = ( ;7(∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 75 Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗ Ε)∗,( 6( 4∗1273).( Ε∗+( Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗
∋712( 6∗ 4.6&0 .| = & )∗/6& )∗&+ Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2&0 ∋ Θ 1 −( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1 ∗ (1 7| 1−(
6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6&
)∗&+.Α&,Μ∗1 ./6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗1 6∗ 75& 4&).34∗+ &+∗&2Χ).& /()5&+ ∋(5 5=6.& Α∗)( ∗ 4&).ς/∋.&
6∗ ∼| ∗ .| ;7∗ 6∗12∗ 5(6( 1−( 2)&2&6&1 ∋(5( 9.∆&1
1 ∗12.5&2.4&1 6(1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(10 6∗ 1∗71
&<712∗ 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 9(. +∗4&6( & ∗9∗.2( ∋(/6.∋.(/&+5∗/2∗ Ν1 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1
6∗14.(1 Ε&6)−( :∗5 ∋(5( Ε&)2∗ 6& 2&:∗+& 6∗ &/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& 1−( 6&6(1 & 1∗≅7.)Β
/%
11./&+∗ & (Ε,−( ;7∗ 63 ( 4&+() 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( 6( &<712∗ 6& )∗≅)∗11−(
+./∗&) 5Λ+2.Ε+&
&Η 0%!
:Η 0%
∋Η 0!
6Η 0%
∗Η 0!%
3
Λ+2.5& 2&:∗+& 6( ∗/7/∋.&6( /(1 9()/∗∋∗7 &1 1∗≅7./2∗1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1Β
• (5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6( 5(6∗+(Β ∀ Ω 0
• (5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6(1 6∗14.(1Β ∀ Ω 0
∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( = .≅7&+ Ν )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ ∀ ∗ ∀Β
. )∗&
&
3 ;
3
(5( 2∗5(1 2)Ο1 4&).34∗.1 ./6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗10 ∗/2−( & ;7&/2.6&6∗ 6∗ Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 ΓΕΗ 6(
5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( = Γ75 Ε&)& ∋&6& 4&).34∗+0 5&.1 75 2∗)5( ./6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗Η
/∋
+ %
;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Γ∀Η 2∗5 ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ .≅7&+ &Β
;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 2(2&+ 2∗5
≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗0 (/6∗ ]/] = ( 2&5&/8( 6& &5(12)&
+ %
6.9∗)∗/,& ∗/2)∗ &1 67&1 ;7&/2.&1 &∋.5& ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗ &( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗
% %
&11(∋.&6( &( ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1 Γ∀Η
Χ∆∆
;7&6)&6( 5=6.( 6(1 )∗1Φ67(1
8
Χ∆.
&6& ;7&6)&6( 5=6.( = .≅7&+ Ν ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗ 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6.4.6.6& Ε∗+( /Λ5∗)(
ΒΧ∆ %
6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗Β
8
ΒΧ.
/6∗ ∀ ∗ ∀ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&5 & 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6( 5(6∗+( ∗ & 1(5& 6∗ ;7&6)&6(1 6(1
)∗1Φ67(1
ΒΧ∆ %
(/2./7&/6(Β
%
ΒΧ.
% ΒΧ∆
ΒΧ. ∃
%
ΒΧ. ΒΧ∆
% ∃ %
+
ΒΧ. ΒΧ∆
+
7:12.27./6( ( 4&+() 6∗ ∀Β
/(
3
3
75 2∗12∗ 6∗ 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗10 2∗5(1Β
• 1∗ ( ΕΘ4&+() 9() 5&.() ;7∗ ( /Φ4∗+ 6∗ 1.≅/.9.∋ς/∋.&0 ∗/2−( /−( )∗<∗.2&5(1 & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗
/7+&
• 1∗ ( ΕΘ4&+() 9() 5∗/() ;7∗ ( /Φ4∗+ 6∗ 1.≅/.9.∋ς/∋.&0 ∗/2−( )∗<∗.2&5(1 & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /7+&
∋(/12&/2∗ ΘΤ 2∗5 ΕΘ4&+() 57.2( ∗+∗4&6( Γ0%Η &+ 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /−( 1∗)3 )∗<∗.2&6& Ε&)&
/∗/875 6(1 /Φ4∗.1 6∗ 1.≅/.9.∋ς/∋.& 5∗/∋.(/&6(1 /&1 &+2∗)/&2.4&1 Γα0 α ∗ αΗ (6∗5(1
6∗1∋&)2&) &1 &+2∗)/&2.4&1 ;7∗ 6.Α∗5 ( ∋(/2)3).( 6.11(Β
/)
3 4
( 4&+()ΘΕ Ω 0
! Υ 41 ∗<&5 ;7∗ ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ = .≅7&+ & 0
(≅(0
3
/,
! 7 Υ 41 ∀7&/6( ( /Φ4∗+ 6∗ 1.≅/.9.∋ς/∋.& = 5&.() ;7∗ ( ΕΘ4&+()0 )∗<∗.2&5(1
& 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /7+&
(≅(0 1∗ ( /Φ4∗+ 6∗ 1.≅/.9.∋ς/∋.& 9() 5&.() ;7∗ 00 )∗<∗.2&5(1 & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗
/7+& () (72)( +&6(0 ;7&/6( ( /Φ4∗+ 6∗ 1.≅/.9.∋ς/∋.& = 5∗/() ;7∗ ( ΕΘ4&+()0 &∋∗.2&5(1 &
8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /7+&
& 1.27&,−( +.5.2∗0 ;7&/6( ( /Φ4∗+ 6∗ 1.≅/.9.∋ς/∋.& = .≅7&+ &( ΕΘ4&+()0 & ∗12&2Φ12.∋& 2∗12∗ ∋&.
6∗/2)( 6& )∗≅.−( ∋)Φ2.∋&0 ∗ )∗<∗.2&5(1 & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /7+& ∗12∗ 5(6(0 )∗&+5∗/2∗0 ( 5∗/()
/Φ4∗+ 6∗ 1.≅/.9.∋ς/∋.& ;7∗ )∗17+2& ∗5 )∗<∗.,−( 6& 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /7+& = 0
)∗≅)∗11−( 5Λ+2.Ε+& Γ∗ /−( &Ε∗/&1 Σ Η ∗∆Ε+.∋& % 0α 6& 1(5& ∗ ;7&6)&6(1 2(2&+
! 4 Υ 41 ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( ./6.∋& ;7∗ ( 5(6∗+( 6∗
! ; Υ 41 −( 9()&5 6&6&1 ;7&.1;7∗) ./9()5&,Μ∗1 ;7∗ /(1 Ε∗)5.2&5
∋&+∋7+&) &1 Ε)(:&:.+.6&6∗1 6(1 6(.1 2.Ε(1 6∗ ∗))(
! Υ 41
8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /7+& Ε&)& Θ = & 6∗ ;7∗ ∗+∗ 4&+∗ ∗ )∗<∗.2&5(1 &
8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ /7+&0 ∗/2−( = Ε();7∗ (1 6&6(1 /(1 ./6.∋&5 ;7∗ Θ 6∗4∗ 1∗) 6.9∗)∗/2∗ 6∗ ∗ =
6.9∗)∗/2∗ 6∗ 0 /−( Ε(6∗5(1 6.Α∗) ;7∗ /−( ∗∆Ε+.∋& Ρ
3 7
//
;7∗ &1 6.12).:7.,Μ∗1 6∗ > Ε&)& &1 9.+.&.1 ∗ 1−( &Ε)(∆.5&6&5∗/2∗ /()5&.10 ∋(5 5=6.&1 ∗
∗ 6∗14.(1 Ε&6)−( ∗ 0 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&5∗/2∗0 ∗5 ;7∗
(5 :&1∗ /&1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1 &∋.5& ∗ ∋(/1.6∗)&/6(Θ1∗ ;7∗ ΓΗ Ω 0% ∗ Γ0 Η Ω 0 0
∗5 ;7∗ ΓΑΗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& & 97/,−( 6∗ 6.12).:7.,−( &∋757+&6& 6& 6.12).:7.,−( /()5&+ Ε&6)−(0
<7+≅7∗ (1 .2∗51
Η () )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 (:2=5Θ1∗ 75 5(6∗+( /& 9()5&
∗5 ;7∗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& ( 4&+() 5=6.( 6& 6.12).:7.,−( 6∗ ∗5 97/,−( 6∗ ΓΕ&)& & 9.+.&+ Η
(7 ΓΕ&)& & 9.+.&+ Η0 ( ;7∗ Ε∗)5.2∗ ∋(/∋+7.) ;7∗ & ∋())∗+&,−( +./∗&) ∗/2)∗ ∗ Α = .≅7&+ &
Θ0
(5 :&1∗ /&1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1 &∋.5&0 ∗ ∋(/1.6∗)&/6(Θ1∗ ;7∗ Γ0 Η Ω 0%%!0 ∗5 ;7∗ ΓΑΗ
)∗Ε)∗1∗/2& & 97/,−( 6∗ 6.12).:7.,−( &∋757+&6& 6& 6.12).:7.,−( /()5&+ Ε&6)−(0 <7+≅7∗ ( .2∗5
17:1∗;7∗/2∗
∗+( 5=2(6( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗10 (:2=5Θ1∗ 75 5(6∗+( +./∗&) /& 9()5& Ρ Ω Ζ !∆0
∗5 ;7∗ Ρ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& & ;7&/2.6&6∗ 5=6.& 6∗ .))∗≅7+&).6&6∗1 ∗/∋(/2)&6&1 Ε() Ε)(∋∗11( ∗5
97/,−( 6∗ ∆ Ω Γ1∗ ( Ε)(∋∗11( 9() 6( 2.Ε(
Η (7 ∆ Ω Γ1∗ ( Ε)(∋∗11( 9() 6( 2.Ε( Η
00
!∀#
9.≅7)& &∋.5& ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗ & 75 6.&≅)&5& 6∗ 6.1Ε∗)1−( ∗/2)∗ & 4&).34∗+ Γ≅&12( Ε∗)∋∗/27&+
∋(5 1&Λ6∗Η ∗ Γ)∗/6& :)72& 9&5.+.&)0 ∗5 [ 5.+Η0 (:2.6& ∋(5 :&1∗ ∗5 75& &5(12)& 6∗
9&5Φ+.&1 (5 )∗1Ε∗.2( &( &<712∗ 6∗ 75 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 /& 9()5&
0 ∗5 ;7∗ = ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).( ∗ ∗ 1−( (1 ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗1 6( 5(6∗+(0 9()&5
(:2.6(1 (1 1∗≅7./2∗1 )∗17+2&6(1
0
&<712&6( Ω 0!
Yi = 100 Ξ
i =1
X i = 60 Ξ
i =1
X i × Yi = 650 Ξ ( X i )2 = 400 Ξ (Yi )2
i =1 i =1
= 1080
#2.+.Α&/6( & ∗;7&,−( 6& )∗2& (:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(10 2∗5Θ1∗ ;7∗0 ∋&1(
8&<& 75 ≅&12( &/7&+ ∋(5 Ε)(Ε&≅&/6& 6∗ ! 5.+ )∗&.10 & Ε)∗4.1−( 6( +7∋)( :)72( &/7&+0 ∗5
5.+ )∗&.10 1∗)3 6∗Β
&Η !
:Η 0
∋Η
6Η !0
∗Η !
5 ) 74 00( 9<44:
#5& ∗5Ε)∗1&0 ∋(5 9./&+.6&6∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&) & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ ≅&12(1 &/7&.1 ∗5 Ε∗1;7.1& ∗
6∗1∗/4(+4.5∗/2( ΓΗ0 ∗5 5.+8&)∗1 6∗ )∗&.10 ∗ ( &∋)=1∋.5( &/7&+ /&1 4∗/6&1 ΓΗ0 2&5:=5 ∗5
5.+8&)∗1 6∗ )∗&.10 (Ε2(7 Ε() 72.+.Α&) ( 5(6∗+( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 Yi = α + βX i + ε i 0 ∗5 ;7∗ Yi =
( &∋)=1∋.5( /&1 4∗/6&1 /( &/( . ∗ ε i ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).( ∋(5 &1 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1
∋(/1.6∗)&6&1 Ε&)& & )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 Γ α ∗ β 1−( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1Η
(/1.6∗)(70 Ε&)& ( ∗1276(0 &1 1∗≅7./2∗1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1 )∗9∗)∗/2∗1 Ν1 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 /(1 Λ+2.5(1
&/(1 6& ∗5Ε)∗1&Β
10 10 10 10
Y
i =1
i = 160 Ξ X
i =1
i = 100 Ξ X i × Yi = 1900 Ξ (X )
i =1
i
2
= 1200 Ξ (Y )
i =1
i
2
= 3060
#2.+.Α&/6( & ∗;7&,−( 6& )∗2& (:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(10 (:2∗4∗Θ1∗0 Ε&)&
75 6∗2∗)5./&6( ≅&12( ∗5 Ε∗1;7.1& ∗ 6∗1∗/4(+4.5∗/2(0 75& Ε)∗4.1−( 6∗ &∋)=1∋.5( /&1
0
4∗/6&1 /( 4&+() 6∗ % 5.+ )∗&.1 4&+() ;7∗ 1∗ ∋(/1.6∗)(7 Ε&)& ( ≅&12( ∋(5 Ε∗1;7.1& ∗
6∗1∗/4(+4.5∗/2(0 ∗5 5.+ )∗&.10 9(.Β
&Η
:Η 0
∋Η 0
6Η 0
∗Η 0
5 , <= 6 00( 9<44:
5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( Ε&Φ10 6∗1∗<&Θ1∗ 6∗2∗)5./&) & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ & )∗/6& 6.1Ε(/Φ4∗+ ΓΗ0 ∗5
:.+8Μ∗1 6∗ 6Χ+&)∗10 ∗ ( ∋(/175( ΓΗ0 2&5:=5 ∗5 :.+8Μ∗1 6∗ 6Χ+&)∗1 (. 72.+.Α&6( ( 5(6∗+(
+./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 Ci = α + βYi + ε i 0 ∗5 ;7∗ . = ( ∋(/175( /( &/( .0 Ρ. = ( 4&+() 6& )∗/6&
6.1Ε(/Φ4∗+ /( &/( . ∗ ε i ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).( ∋(5 &1 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 Ε&)& & )∗≅)∗11−(
+./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗10 α ∗ β 1−( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(10 ∋7<&1 ∗12.5&2.4&1 9()&5 (:2.6&1
&2)&4=1 6( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 &)& (:2∗/,−( 6∗12& )∗+&,−( ∋(/1.6∗)(7Θ1∗
&./6& &1 1∗≅7./2∗1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1 ∋(+8.6&1 &2)&4=1 6& (:1∗)4&,−( /(1 Λ+2.5(1 &/(1Β
10 10 10 10 10
C i = 90 0
i =1
Yi = 100 0
i =1
Yi Ci = 1.100 0
i =1
Yi = 1.250 0
i =1
2
C
i =1
i
2
= 1.010
0∃
Yi = 2.500
i =1
X
i =1
i = 400
#2.+.Α&/6( & ∗;7&,−( 6& )∗2& (:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(10 ∋&1( & ∗5Ε)∗1&
&+5∗<∗ (:2∗) ∗5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( &/( 75 +7∋)( :)72( 6∗ 5.+ )∗&.10 6∗4∗ &Ε)∗1∗/2&) 75
2(2&+ 6∗ ≅&12(1 ∋(5 Ε)(Ε&≅&/6&0 ∗5 5.+ )∗&.10 6∗Β
&Η
:Η !
∋Η
6Η
∗Η
5 0 ;86?
800∋ 9<44:
&)& )∗1(+4∗) Ν ;7∗12−( 1∗≅7./2∗0 ∋(/1.6∗)∗ ;7∗ 9(. )∗&+.Α&6( 75 ∗1276( ∗5 75 Ε&Φ1 ∋(5 &
9./&+.6&6∗ 6∗ 1∗ 6∗2∗)5./&) & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ & ∗/6& .1Ε(/Φ4∗+ ΓΗ0 ∗5 5.+8Μ∗1 6∗ 6Χ+&)∗10 ∗
( ∋(/175( ΓΗ0 2&5:=5 ∗5 5.+8Μ∗1 6∗ 6Χ+&)∗1
&:∗Θ1∗ ;7∗ 9(. 72.+.Α&6( ( 5(6∗+( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 Ci = a + bYi + ei 0 ∗5 ;7∗ . = ( ∋(/175(
/( &/( .0 Ρ. = & )∗/6& 6.1Ε(/Φ4∗+ /( &/( β.χ ∗ ei ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).( ∋(5 &1 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1
∋(/1.6∗)&6&1 Ε&)& & )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1
12∗ ∗1276( &Ε)∗1∗/2(7 &1 1∗≅7./2∗1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1 ∋(+8.6&1 &2)&4=1 6& (:1∗)4&,−( /(1
Λ+2.5(1 &/(1Β
10 10 10 10 10
= 800 = 1.000 = 83.600 = 105.000 = 67.240
2 2
C
i =1
i Y
i =1
i Y C
i =1
i i Y
i =1
i C
i =1
i
∗;7&,−( 6& )∗2& &<712&6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 ∗/∋(/2)&6& 9(.Β
&Η Cˆ i = 20 + 0,60 × Yi
:Η Cˆ i = 10 + 0,70 × Yi
∋Η Cˆ i = 8 + 0,72 × Yi
6Η Cˆ i = 6 + 0,74 × Yi
∗Η Cˆ i = 4 + 0,76 × Yi
5 1Β 6Χ 00/ 9<44:
5 75& 6∗2∗)5./&6& ∗5Ε)∗1& = )∗&+.Α&6( 75 ∗1276( 1(:)∗ & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ (1 ≅&12(1 ∋(5
Ε7:+.∋.6&6∗0 ∗5 [ 00 ∗ ( &∋)=1∋.5( /( 9&27)&5∗/2( &/7&+0 ∗5 [ 0 (.
∗1∋(+8.6( Ε&)& &/3+.1∗ ( 5(6∗+( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 Ρ. Ω δ Ζ εΣ. Ζ φ.0 1∗/6( ;7∗ Ρ. = ( &∋)=1∋.5(
/( 9&27)&5∗/2( 6( &/( .0 Σ. )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& (1 ≅&12(1 ∋(5 Ε7:+.∋.6&6∗ /( &/( . ∗ φ. = ( ∗))(
&+∗&2Χ).( ∋(5 &1 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 ∋(/1.6∗)&6&1 Ε&)& & )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 Γδ ∗ ε
1−( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1 Η &)& (:2∗/,−( 6&1 ∗12.5&2.4&1 6∗ δ ∗ ε 72.+.Α(7Θ1∗ (
0%
5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 ∋(5 :&1∗ /&1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1 6(1 Λ+2.5(1 &/(1 6&
∗5Ε)∗1&0 (7 1∗<&Β
10 10 10 10 10
Yi = 180 Ξ
i =1
X i = 100 Ξ
i =1
X iYi = 1.912 Ξ
i =1
X i = 1.080 Ξ
i =1
2
Y
i =1
i
2
= 3.440
#2.+.Α&/6( & ∗;7&,−( 6& )∗2& (:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(10 2∗5Θ1∗ ;7∗ 1∗ &
∗5Ε)∗1& &+5∗<&) 75 &∋)=1∋.5( /( 9&27)&5∗/2(0 ∗5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( &/(0 6∗ [ 0
6∗4∗)3 &Ε)∗1∗/2&)0 /∗12∗ Ε∗)Φ(6(0 75 2(2&+ ∗5 ≅&12(1 ∋(5 Ε7:+.∋.6&6∗ 6∗
Γ
Η [ 0
ΓΗ [ !0
ΓΗ [ 0
ΓΗ [ 0
ΓΗ [ 0
5 1Β 6 00/ 9<44:
(/1.6∗)∗ ;7∗ 9(. (:2.6( &2)&4=1 6( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 ( &<712&5∗/2( 6(
5(6∗+( Yi = α + βX i + ε i 0 ∗5 ;7∗ . ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗ & .Θ=1.5& (:1∗)4&,−(0 α ∗ ε 1−(
Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1 ∗ ε i ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).(0 ∋(5 &1 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 ∋(/1.6∗)&6&1
Ε&)& & )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 (. 72.+.Α&6& 75& &5(12)& &+∗&2Χ).& ∋(5 Ε&)∗1 6∗
(:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 ΓΣ.0 Ρ.Η0 . = 0 0 0 0 Ξ (:2∗/6(Θ1∗ Ε&)& & ∗12.5&2.4& 6∗ β ( 4&+() 6∗ 0
4&+() 6& 5=6.& 6&1 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 Σ. 9(. .≅7&+ & ∗ 6∗ Ρ. .≅7&+ &
4&+() ∗/∋(/2)&6( 6& ∗12.5&2.4& 6∗ α 9(. .≅7&+ &
Γ
Η
ΓΗ
ΓΗ
ΓΗ
ΓΗ
5 ∃ 1Β 6 00/ 9<44:
(/1.6∗)∗ ;7∗ 9(. (:2.6( &2)&4=1 6( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 ( &<712&5∗/2( 6(
5(6∗+( Yi = α + βX i + ε i 0 ∗5 ;7∗ . ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗ & .Θ=1.5& (:1∗)4&,−(0 α ∗ ε 1−(
Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1 ∗ ε i ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).(0 ∋(5 &1 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 ∋(/1.6∗)&6&1
Ε&)& & )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 (. 72.+.Α&6& 75& &5(12)& &+∗&2Χ).& ∋(5 Ε&)∗1 6∗
(:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 ΓΣ.0 Ρ.Η0 . = 0 0 0 0 Ξ (:2∗/6(Θ1∗ Ε&)& & ∗12.5&2.4& 6∗ β ( 4&+() 6∗ 0
4&+() 6& 5=6.& 6&1 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 Σ. 9(. .≅7&+ & ∗ 6∗ Ρ. .≅7&+ &
#2.+.Α&/6( & ∗;7&,−( 6& )∗2& (:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(10 2∗5Θ1∗ ;7∗ Ε&)&
75 4&+() ∗12.5&6( 6∗ Ε&)& Ρ0 ( 4&+() ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗ 6∗ Σ =
Γ
Η
0∋
ΓΗ
ΓΗ
ΓΗ !
ΓΗ
5 % <= 6 00/ 9<44:
≅)39.∋( &:&.∆( 6∗5(/12)& & ∗4(+7,−( 6& )∗∋∗.2& 2).:723).& &/7&+ /( ∗12&6( 6∗ −( &7+(
6∗16∗ %%%0 ∋(5 (1 4&+()∗1 &))∗∋&6&6(1 ∗5 :.+8Μ∗1 6∗ )∗&.1
&)& ∗12.5&) & )∗∋∗.2& 2).:723).& ∗5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( &/( ∋(5 :&1∗ /( ∋(5Ε()2&5∗/2(
17≅∗).6( Ε∗+( ≅)39.∋(0 &6(2(7Θ1∗ ( 5(6∗+( Yt = α + βt + ε t Ξ = 0 0 0 1∗/6( Yt = ln(RTt )
Ρ2 = +/ Γ2Η0 ∗5 ;7∗ 2 = & )∗∋∗.2& 2).:723).& /( &/( Γ%%!+2Η ∗5 :.+8Μ∗1 6∗ )∗&.1 ∗ +/ (
+(≅&).25( /∗Ε∗).&/( Γ ln e = Η α ∗ β 1−( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1 ∗ ε t ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).(
∋(5 &1 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 ∋(/1.6∗)&6&1 Ε&)& ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1
#2.+.Α&/6( ( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(10 ∋(5 :&1∗ /&1 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 6∗ %%% & !0
(:2∗4∗Θ1∗ Ε&)& & ∗12.5&2.4& 6∗ β ( 4&+() 6∗ 00 1&:∗/6(Θ1∗ ;7∗Β
10
Y t = 39,0
t =1
Ε)∗4.1−( 6& )∗∋∗.2& 2).:723).& Ε&)& %0 ∗5 :.+8Μ∗1 6∗ )∗&.10 ∗5 97/,−( 6& ∗;7&,−(
(:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 = .≅7&+ &
Γ
Η ∗0 !
ΓΗ ∗0
ΓΗ ∗0
ΓΗ ∗0
0(
ΓΗ ∗0
5 ∋ ?6 00∋ 94:
(/1.6∗)∗ (1 6&6(1 &5(12)&.1 6∗ 75 ∗1276( 6& )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ ( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ &/(1 ;7∗ (1
∋&/6.6&2(1 & ∗5Ε)∗≅(1 ∗5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( :&/∋( ∋(5∗)∋.&+ ∗1276&)&5 ./≅+Ο1 /& 9&∋7+6&6∗
∗ &1 /(2&1 (:2.6&1 ∗5 75 2∗12∗ 6∗ Ε)(9.∋.Ο/∋.& /∗11& +Φ/≅7&
(5 :&1∗ /∗11&1 ./9()5&,Μ∗10 & )∗2& 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 ;7∗ 5∗+8() ∗∆Ε+.∋& & )∗+&,−(
∗/2)∗ ( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ &/(1 6∗ ∗1276( ∗ & /(2& 6( 2∗12∗ 6∗ ./≅+Ο1 = .≅7&+ &Β
Γ
Η Ω 0 Ζ 0 ∆
ΓΗ Ω 0 Ζ 0∆
ΓΗ Ω 0% Ζ 0 ∆
ΓΗ Ω 0 Ζ 0%∆
ΓΗ Ω 0 Ζ 0∆
5 ( 617 00, 94:
2&:∗+& &:&.∆( 5(12)& &1 6∗5&/6&1 ;7∗ (∋())∗)&5 /75& 6∗2∗)5./&6& Ε)(67,−(
0)
ΓΗ
ΓΗ
ΓΗ
ΓΗ !
5 ) <= ? 00∋ 9<:
(/1.6∗)∗ ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)
Yi = α + β X i + ε 0 Ω 0 0 0
X φ(X )
0 0
0 0%
0 0!
0 0%
&Η 0
:Η 0%
∋Η 0%
6Η 0!
∗Η 0%
5 , ?6 00( 9<:
(5 ( (:<∗2.4( 6∗ ∗12.5&)Θ1∗ ( 5(6∗+( Ρ Ω δ Ζ β Σ0 9(. )∗2.)&6& 75& &5(12)& ∋(5 ∋./∋(
Ε&)∗1 6∗ (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 ΓΣ0ΡΗ0 (:2∗/6(Θ1∗ (1 1∗≅7./2∗1 )∗17+2&6(1Β
∗11∗ 5(6(0
&Η Ρ Ω Ι Ι Σ
:Η Ρ Ω Ι Σ
∋Η Ρ Ω Σ
6Η Ρ Ω Ζ Σ
0,
∗Η Ρ Ω Ι Ζ Σ
5 / 14≅800, 946:
#5& &≅Ο/∋.& 6∗ 6∗1∗/4(+4.5∗/2( 7):&/( 6.47+≅(7 (1 6&6(1 &Ε)∗1∗/2&6(1 /& 2&:∗+&
& 1∗≅7.)0 &∋∗)∋& 6(1 /Λ5∗)(1 6∗ .5Χ4∗.1 (9∗)2&6(1 ΓΗ ∗ 4∗/6.6(1 ΓΗ ∗5 6∗2∗)5./&6(
57/.∋ΦΕ.(0 /(1 &/(1 6∗ &
/( Λ5∗)( 6∗ .5Χ4∗.1
9∗)2&6(1 ΓΗ ∗/6.6(1 ΓΗ
(/1.6∗)&/6( &1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1 6( 2∗∆2(0 <7+≅7∗ ( .2∗5 17:1∗;∴∗/2∗
∗12.5&2.4& 6( 4&+() 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ α 6& )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Y = αX 0 ∗5 ;7∗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& (
/Λ5∗)( ∗1Ε∗)&6( 6∗ .5Χ4∗.1 4∗/6.6(1 Ε&)& 75& ;7&/2.6&6∗ 6∗ .5Χ4∗.1 (9∗)2&6(10 =
17Ε∗).() & 0 ∗ ./9∗).() & 0
5 0 ?6 ;∆ 00∋ 94:
( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( Y = βX + ε 0 ( ∗12.5&6() 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6∗ β =Β
Yi = 100 Ξ
i =1
X i = 60 Ξ
i =1
X i × Yi = 650 Ξ ( X i )2 = 400 Ξ (Yi )2 = 1080
i =1 i =1
0/
:Η 6.4.6./6( & 4&).&,−( )∗1.67&+ Ε∗+& 4&).&,−( 2(2&+0 (:2∗5(1 ( ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗ ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗
6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−(Ξ
∋Η ( 4&+() 6& ∗12&2Φ12.∋& /∗∋∗113).& Ε&)& ( 2∗12∗ 6& ∗∆.12Ο/∋.& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( = .≅7&+ &(
∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6& 6.4.1−( 6& 4&).&,−( ∗∆Ε+.∋&6& Ε∗+& 4&).&,−( )∗1.67&+
6Η & 4&).&,−( )∗1.67&+ &Ε)∗1∗/2& 75 4&+() .≅7&+ & 0
∗Η & 4&).&,−( 2(2&+ &Ε)∗1∗/2& 75 4&+() .≅7&+ & 0
ι :1∗)4&,−(Β ∋(/1.6∗)∗ ;7∗ 4(∋Ο <3 1&:∗ ;7∗ (1 ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗1 ∗ 1−( 6&6(1 Ε()Β a = 2,5 Ξ
b = 1,25 0 ∋(/9()5∗ ∋3+∋7+(1 6& ∀7∗12−( ϕ
5 ;86? 1 00∋ 9<44:
&)& )∗1(+4∗) Ν ;7∗12−( 1∗≅7./2∗0 ∋(/1.6∗)∗ ;7∗ 9(. )∗&+.Α&6( 75 ∗1276( ∗5 75 Ε&Φ1 ∋(5 &
9./&+.6&6∗ 6∗ 1∗ 6∗2∗)5./&) & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ & ∗/6& .1Ε(/Φ4∗+ ΓΗ0 ∗5 5.+8Μ∗1 6∗ 6Χ+&)∗10 ∗
( ∋(/175( ΓΗ0 2&5:=5 ∗5 5.+8Μ∗1 6∗ 6Χ+&)∗1
&:∗Θ1∗ ;7∗ 9(. 72.+.Α&6( ( 5(6∗+( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 C i = a + bYi + ei 0 ∗5 ;7∗ . = ( ∋(/175(
/( &/( .0 Ρ. = & )∗/6& 6.1Ε(/Φ4∗+ /( &/( β.χ ∗ ei ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).( ∋(5 &1 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1
∋(/1.6∗)&6&1 Ε&)& & )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1
12∗ ∗1276( &Ε)∗1∗/2(7 &1 1∗≅7./2∗1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1 ∋(+8.6&1 &2)&4=1 6& (:1∗)4&,−( /(1
Λ+2.5(1 &/(1Β
10 10 10 10 10
Ci = 800
i =1
Yi = 1.000
i =1
Yi Ci = 83.600
i =1
Yi = 105.000
i =1
2
C
i =1
i
2
= 67.240
0
6&6(1 1(:)∗ ( Ε)∗,( 6& 4∗/6&0 ∗5 [ 00 ( 2&5&/8( 6( 2∗))∗/(0 ∗5 50 ∗ & 6.12ς/∋.&
&( ∋∗/2)( 6& ∋.6&6∗0 ∗5 Π5 ).5∗.)&5∗/2∗ (:2∗4∗Θ1∗ ( 5(6∗+( ∋(5 &Ε∗/&1 & 4&).34∗+
2&5&/8( 6( 2∗))∗/(0 0 ∋(5( ∗∆Ε+.∋&2.4& 6( Ε)∗,( 6∗ 4∗/6& 1 Ε)./∋.Ε&.1 ;7&/2.2&2.4(1
)∗+&2.4(1 & ∗11∗ 5(6∗+( 9()&5 ∋&+∋7+&6(1 ∋(5(Β
(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ ())∗+&,−(
./∗&) 6∗ ∗&)1(/ ∗/2)∗ (1 6∗1∗5Ε∗/8(1 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&6(1
&+7/(1 ∗5 67&1 &4&+.&,Μ∗1 /&∋.(/&.1 = .≅7&+ & 0! ∗11∗ ∋&1(0 ∋(/∋+7.Θ1∗ ;7∗ & Ε)(Ε(),−(
6& 4&).&:.+.6&6∗ /(1 )∗17+2&6(1 6∗ 75& 6&1 &4&+.&,Μ∗1 ∗∆Ε+.∋&6& Ε∗+& )∗+&,−( +./∗&) ∗/2)∗
∗+&1 =
Γ
Η 0α
ΓΗ %0α
ΓΗ 0α
ΓΗ !0α
ΓΗ %0!α
5 ∋ 617 00, 94:
#5 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 6∗ ∗5 0 ∋(5 75& 4&).34∗+ ∗∆Ε+.∋&2.4& ∗ ( 2∗)5(
∋(/12&/2∗0 9(. ∗12.5&6( ∋(5 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗10 ≅∗)&/6( 75 6∗ 0 ( 2∗12∗ 6∗ 4&+.6&6∗
6( 5(6∗+(0 ( Θ∋&+∋7+&6( (7 Θ(:1∗)4&6( = .≅7&+ &
Γ
Η
ΓΗ
ΓΗ
ΓΗ
ΓΗ
5 ( 7; 00,8 94 Α Φ #:
#5 ∗∆Ε∗).5∗/2( 9(. )∗&+.Α&6( ∋(5 ( (:<∗2.4( 6∗ ∗12.5&) ( Ε)∗,( 6∗ 75& &,−(0 6&6( ( 1∗7
4&+() Ε&2).5(/.&+0 &5:(1 ∗5 )∗&.1
#5& &5(12)& 6∗ &,Μ∗1 /∗≅(∋.&6&1 )∗∋∗/2∗5∗/2∗ 9()/∗∋∗7 6&6(1 1(:)∗ ( Ε)∗,( ∗ ( 4&+()
Ε&2).5(/.&+ Ε() &,−(
Ε+.∋(7Θ1∗ ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 Y = α + βX + ε
+≅7/1 )∗17+2&6(1 6& 2&:∗+& 6& &/3+.1∗ 6& 4&).ς/∋.&0 (:2.6& & Ε&)2.) 6(1 6&6(1 6∗11& &5(12)&0
∗12−( &Ε)∗1∗/2&6(1 & 1∗≅7.)
(X )
n
2
i −X = 414
i =1
(Y )
n
2
i −Y = 359
i =1
(X )
n
i − X × Yi = 345
i =1
)∗&.1 Ε() 5Ο1 ./4∗12.≅&6() Ε(127+& ;7∗ ( 1&+3).( 6 6& <Θ=1.5& 1∗∋)∗23).& 6& .=1.5& 9.)5&
6∗ ∋./∋( 1∗∋)∗23).&1 ./.∋.&/2∗1 ∗5 ∋&6& 75 6∗ 2)Ο1 2.Ε(1 6∗ 9.)5&0 &/(2&/6( ( 1&+3).( ∗5
(:∗6∗∋∗ ( 5(6∗+( +./∗&) 6 ( ∋ ( 76 , i=1, 2, 3; j=1 ...5. ∗12& ∗∆Ε)∗11−( µ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&
75& 5=6.& Ε(Ε7+&∋.(/&+0 α. = ( ∗9∗.2( 9.∆( 6& 9.)5& i ∗ (1 ε.< 1−( ∗))(1 /−( ∋())∗+&∋.(/&6(1
∋(5 6.12).:7.,−( /()5&+0 5=6.& Α∗)( ∗ 4&).ς/∋.& ∋(/12&/2∗ ∗12∗ ∋(/2∗∆2( (:2=5 & 2&:∗+&
6∗ &/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& 1∗≅7./2∗Β
∃
11./&+∗ & (Ε,−( ;7∗ 63 ( 4&+() 6& ∗12&2Φ12.∋& /∗∋∗113).& Ε&)& 2∗12&) & 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ 6∗ ;7∗ (1
∗9∗.2(1 6&1 9.)5&1 1∗<&5 .≅7&.1
&Η 0
:Η 0
∋Η 0
6Η 0
∗Η 0!
5 ∃0 6<1≅ Β 00 9<:
Ε&)2.) 6∗ 75& &5(12)& &+∗&2Χ).& 1.5Ε+∗1 9()5&6& Ε() (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 6&1 4&).34∗.1 Σ ∗ Ρ
∋&+∋7+(7Θ1∗
++
∗
∀ #
∀ # :∗)
∀ #∀ # :
=< % ( ∗
:2∗/8& & )∗2& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 6∗ Ρ ∗5 Σ
;#
=< % ( %
>#
=< ( ∗
?#
%
=< (
≅#
=< % ( %
Α#
5 ∃ 6<1≅ Β 00 9<:
(5 (1 6&6(1 6& ;7∗12−( &/2∗).()0 ∋&+∋7+∗ ( 4&+() 5&.1 Ε)Χ∆.5( 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗
6∗2∗)5./&,−( 6& )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 6∗ Σ ∗5 Ρ
&Η 0
:Η 0!
∋Η 0!
6Η 0%
∗Η 0!!
5 ∃ 1 0 946:
#5 &/&+.12& ∗1276(7 & )∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ ( 5(/2&/2∗ 6∗ 5.+ )∗&.1 6.1Ε(/Φ4∗.1 Ε&)&
./4∗12.5∗/2(1 /&1 +(∋&+.6&6∗1 ∗ & )∗1Ε∗∋2.4& ;7&/2.& 6∗ 5.+ )∗&.1 ./6∗4.6&5∗/2∗ 72.+.Α&6(1
Ε∗+(1 ≅∗12()∗1 ΕΛ:+.∋(1 )∗1Ε(/134∗.1 ()&5 ∋(/1.6∗)&6&1 &1 1∗≅7./2∗1 ∗12&2Φ12.∋&1
6∗1∋).2.4&1 &∋∗)∋& 6∗11&1 4&).34∗.1
(5 :&1∗ /∗11&1 ./9()5&,Μ∗10 <7+≅7∗ (1 Ε)Χ∆.5(1 .2∗/10 )∗+&2.4(1 & ∋())∗+&,−(0 )∗≅)∗11−( ∗
6.12).:7.,Μ∗1 ∋(/<7/2&1
∋
9.≅7)& &∋.5& ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗ & 75 6.&≅)&5& 6∗ 6.1Ε∗)1−( ∗/2)∗ & 4&).34∗+ Γ≅&12( Ε∗)∋∗/27&+
∋(5 1&Λ6∗Η ∗ Γ)∗/6& :)72& 9&5.+.&)0 ∗5 [ 5.+Η0 (:2.6& ∋(5 :&1∗ ∗5 75& &5(12)& 6∗
9&5Φ+.&1 (5 )∗1Ε∗.2( &( &<712∗ 6∗ 75 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗1 /& 9()5&
0 ∗5 ;7∗ = ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).( ∗ ∗ 1−( (1 ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗1 6( 5(6∗+(0 9()&5
(:2.6(1 (1 1∗≅7./2∗1 )∗17+2&6(1
(
(X )
n
2
i −X = 414
i =1
(Y )
n
2
i −Y = 359
i =1
(X )
n
i − X × Yi = 345
i =1
&∗
)
1 ∋(/12&/2∗1 & ∗ : 1−( &1 ∗12.5&2.4&1 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 6∗ ∗ 0 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&5∗/2∗
11./&+∗ & (Ε,−( ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗ Ν ∗12.5&2.4& /−(Θ4.∗Α&6& 6& 4&).ς/∋.& )∗1.67&+
&Η 0
:Η 0
∋Η 0
6Η 0
∗Η 0
&Η 0%
:Η 0
,
∋Η 0
6Η 0%
∗Η 0
∋ ( Θ ( 7
(/1.6∗)∗ ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)
Η % Ρ
(/6∗ = 75& )∗&+.Α&,−( 6∗ 75& 4&).34∗+ )∗1Ε(12& 0 = 75& )∗&+.Α&,−( 6∗ 75& 4&).34∗+
∗∆Χ≅∗/& 0 (1 7 1−( ∗))(1 &+∗&2Χ).(1 /−(Θ(:1∗)434∗.10 /−( ∋())∗+&∋.(/&6(10 ∋(5 5=6.&
/7+& ∗ 4&).ς/∋.& ∋(/12&/2∗ ( Ε)(∋∗11( 6∗ ∗12.5&,−( 4.& ( 5=2(6( 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1
Ζ ∀ #
;7&6)&6(1 &1 4&).34∗.1 9()&5 ∋()).≅.6&1 Ε∗+& 5=6.&0 Ε)(67Α./6( & ∗;7&,−( 6∗ &<712∗
Ζ
/6∗
4&).ς/∋.& 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ Ζ 9(. ∗12.5&6& ∗5 0 ∗))( 5=6.( ;7&6)32.∋( 6& )∗≅)∗11−(
4&+∗
∋ ( Θ ( 7
(/1.6∗)∗ ( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)
Η % ∴
/
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5Φ/.5( ;7&6)&6( 1−( 6&6&1 Ε()Β
Γ Η Β Τ
( (
Γ Η Β Τ ( (
Γ Η Β Τ ( (
/6.∋&/6( Ε() Θ ∗)6&6∗.)( ∗ Θ &+1(0 2∗5(1 & (Ε,−( ∋())∗2& ∋(5( 1∗/6(Β
&Η 0 0
:Η 0 0
∋Η 0 0
6Η 0 0
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5 %∃ 74 00 9<:
;7∗12−( :&1∗.&Θ1∗ /( ∗/7/∋.&6( 1∗≅7./2∗Β
#5 ./4∗12.≅&6() ∗123 ./2∗)∗11&6( ∗5 ∗1276&) & 97/,−( ∋(/175( 6∗ 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( 1∗2()
6& ∗∋(/(5.& (5 :&1∗ ∗5 1∗7 ∋(/8∗∋.5∗/2( 6∗ ∗().& ∋(/κ5.∋& Ε(127+& ;7∗ ( ∋(/175(
ΓΗ 6∗ ./2∗)∗11∗ 6∗4∗ 4&).&) ∋(5 & )∗/6& )∗&+ Ε∗)∋&Ε.2& 6( Ε&Φ1 ΓΗ ∗ ∋(5 75 )∗+&2.4( 6∗
0
Ε)∗,(1 ΓΗ 6( 1∗2() ∗12∗ ∋(/2∗∆2( (:1∗)4& 75& 1=).∗ 6∗ (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 /∗11&1 4&).34∗.1
&( +(/≅( 6( 2∗5Ε(0 (:2∗/6( 75& 1∗;∴Ο/∋.& 6∗ )∗&+.Α&,Μ∗1 20 2 ∗ 2 ;7∗ 1&2.19&Α∗5 (
∗12& ∗∆Ε)∗11−( ( +(≅ = 2(5&6( /& :&1∗ /∗Ε∗).&/&0 ∋ Θ } 1−( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1
∗ Ο| (1 1−( ∗))(1 /−( ∋())∗+&∋.(/&6(10 /()5&+5∗/2∗ 6.12).:7Φ6(1 ∋(5 5=6.& Α∗)( ∗ 4&).ς/∋.&
∋(/12&/2∗
+≅7/1 )∗17+2&6(1 6( &<712∗ 6∗11∗ 5(6∗+( Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1
;7&6)&6(1 1−( &Ε)∗1∗/2&6(1 & 1∗≅7.)Β
11./&+∗ & (Ε,−( ;7∗ 63 & ∗12.5&2.4& 6& 4&).&,−( ∗1Ε∗)&6& ∗5 +(≅ ΓΗ 6∗∋())∗/2∗ 6(
6∗∋)=1∋.5( 6∗ 67&1 7/.6&6∗1 /( +(≅ ΓΗ ∗ 6( &75∗/2( 6∗ 75& 7/.6&6∗ /( +(≅ ΓΗ
&Η 0%
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(/1.6∗)∗ &1 1∗≅7./2∗1 ./9()5&,Μ∗1 Ε&)& )∗1(+4∗) &1 ;7∗12−(
#5& 6&1 Ε)./∋.Ε&.1 &Ε+.∋&,Μ∗1 6& ∋(/(5∗2).& 2∗5 1.6( 17& 72.+.Α&,−( /& (:2∗/,−( 6∗
5(6∗+(1 ;7∗ ∗∆Ε+.∋&5 & Ε)(∋7)& 6∗ Ε)(672(1 /(1 6.4∗)1(1 1∗2()∗1 6& ∋(/(5.& ()
∋ ( Θ ( ( 7
∗∆∗5Ε+(0 ∗5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( Ε&Φ10 &6(2(7Θ1∗ ( 5(6∗+(
Ε&)& &4&+.&) & 6∗5&/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& 6∗ 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( Ε)(672(0 ∋(5 :&1∗ ∗5 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1
/(1 Λ+2.5(1 6∗Α &/(1 &6(1Β
• Α. Ω +/Γ∀.Η0 ∗5 ;7∗ +/ = ( +(≅&).25( /∗Ε∗).&/( Γ+/Γ∗Η ΩΗ ∗ ∀. 75 Φ/6.∋∗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&/6(
& 6∗5&/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& 6( Ε)(672( /( &/( .Ξ
• ∆. Ω +/Γ.Η0 ∗5 ;7∗ . = ( Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗ Ε)∗,( 6( Ε)(672( /( &/( .Ξ
• . Ω +/Γ.Η0 ∗5 ;7∗ . = & )∗/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& 6( Ε&Φ1 /( &/( .Ξ
• ∋ Θ 1−( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1Ξ
• 7 = ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).( ∋(5 &1 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 ∋(/1.6∗)&6&1 Ε&)& ( 5(6∗+( 6∗
)∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 5Λ+2.Ε+&
(/1.6∗)&/6( & ∗;7&,−( 6( Ε+&/( (:2.6& Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 Ε&)& ∗11∗
Ε&Φ10 ( 4&+() 6& Ε)∗4.1−( ∗5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( &/( 6( Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗ 6∗5&/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& ∀ 6(
Ε)(672( &/&+.1&6( ∗5 97/,−( 6( Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗ Ε)∗,( ∗ 75& )∗/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& Γ∀ Τ Η Ε(6∗
1∗) (:2.6( Ε∗+& 9Χ)57+&Β
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5 %) ο ∃
∋ ( Θ ( ( 7
∗∆∗5Ε+(0 ∗5 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( Ε&Φ10 &6(2(7Θ1∗ ( 5(6∗+(
Ε&)& &4&+.&) & 6∗5&/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& 6∗ 75 6∗2∗)5./&6( Ε)(672(0 ∋(5 :&1∗ ∗5 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1
/(1 Λ+2.5(1 6∗Α &/(1 &6(1Β
• Α. Ω +/Γ∀.Η0 ∗5 ;7∗ +/ = ( +(≅&).25( /∗Ε∗).&/( Γ+/Γ∗Η ΩΗ ∗ ∀. 75 Φ/6.∋∗ )∗Ε)∗1∗/2&/6(
& 6∗5&/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& 6( Ε)(672( /( &/( .Ξ
• ∆. Ω +/Γ.Η0 ∗5 ;7∗ . = ( Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗ Ε)∗,( 6( Ε)(672( /( &/( .Ξ
• . Ω +/Γ.Η0 ∗5 ;7∗ . = & )∗/6& Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& 6( Ε&Φ1 /( &/( .Ξ
• ∋ Θ 1−( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1Ξ
• 7 = ( ∗))( &+∗&2Χ).( ∋(5 &1 )∗1Ε∗∋2.4&1 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗1 ∋(/1.6∗)&6&1 Ε&)& ( 5(6∗+( 6∗
)∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 5Λ+2.Ε+&
∃
(5 )∗+&,−( Ν ∗;7&,−( 6( Ε+&/( &<712&6( Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6(1 5Φ/.5(1 ;7&6)&6(1 ∗
∋(/1.6∗)&/6( ( ;7&6)( 6∗ &/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& ∋())∗1Ε(/6∗/2∗0 = ∋())∗2( &9.)5&) ;7∗Β
&Η ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( ΓΗ 6& )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 5Λ+2.Ε+& = ./9∗).() & %α
:Η &)& ( 2∗12∗ 6∗ 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗ 6∗ ∗∆.12Ο/∋.& 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−(0 2∗5Θ1∗ ;7∗ ( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗
+.:∗)6&6∗ & ∋(/1.6∗)&) )∗9∗)∗/2∗ Ν 4&).&,−( )∗1.67&+ = %
∋Η (5( /& )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 1.5Ε+∗10 ( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( ΓΗ 6& )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&)
5Λ+2.Ε+& = .≅7&+ &( ;7(∋.∗/2∗ 6& 6.4.1−( 6& 4&).&,−( )∗1.67&+ Ε∗+& 4&).&,−( ∗∆Ε+.∋&6& Ε∗+&
)∗≅)∗11−(
6Η
)∗+&,−( ∗/2)∗ ( /Λ5∗)( 6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ )∗9∗)∗/2∗ Ν 4&).&,−( )∗1.67&+ ∗ ( /Λ5∗)(
6∗ ≅)&71 6∗ +.:∗)6&6∗ )∗9∗)∗/2∗ Ν 4&).&,−( ∗∆Ε+.∋&6& Ε∗+& )∗≅)∗11−( = 0
∗Η 4&+() 6& ∗12&2Φ12.∋& Γ ∋&+∋7+&6(Η 72.+.Α&6( Ε&)& ∋(5Ε&)&,−( ∋(5 ( 2&:∗+&6( Γ4&).34∗+
∗12& ∗∆Ε)∗11−( ( +(≅ = 2(5&6( /& :&1∗ /∗Ε∗).&/&0 ∋ Θ } 1−( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1
∗ Ο| (1 1−( ∗))(1 /−( ∋())∗+&∋.(/&6(10 /()5&+5∗/2∗ 6.12).:7Φ6(1 ∋(5 5=6.& Α∗)( ∗ 4&).ς/∋.&
∋(/12&/2∗
+≅7/1 )∗17+2&6(1 6( &<712∗ 6∗11∗ 5(6∗+( Ε∗+( 5=2(6( 6∗ 5Φ/.5(1
;7&6)&6(1 1−( &Ε)∗1∗/2&6(1 & 1∗≅7.)Β
11./&+∗ & (Ε,−( ;7∗ 63 ( 4&+() 6& ∗12&2Φ12.∋& /∗∋∗113).& Ε&)& ( 2∗12∗ 6& 8.ΕΧ2∗1∗
&Η 0
%
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5 %/ ?;4 00 9<:
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(5 ( (:<∗2.4( 6∗ &4&+.&) (1 ∗9∗.2(1 6&1 4&).34∗.1 Ε)∗,( ∗ )∗/6& /( ∋(/175( Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2& 6(
1∗2() 2Ο∆2.+ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&6( Ε&Φ10 &<712(7Θ1∗0 72.+.Α&/6(Θ1∗ Ε&)& ∗11∗ 9.5 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 6∗
Ρ
(/6∗ ,− )∗Ε)∗1∗/2& ( +(≅&).25( /∗Ε∗).&/( ∗0 ∋(5 :&1∗ ∗5 0 {| = 75 Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗
∋(/175( Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2&0 ∼| = ( ;7(∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 75 Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗ Ε)∗,( 6( 4∗1273).( Ε∗+( Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗
∋712( 6∗ 4.6&0 .| = & )∗/6& )∗&+ Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2&0 ∋ Θ 1 −( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1 ∗ (1 7| 1−(
6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6&
)∗&+.Α&,Μ∗1 ./6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗1 6∗ 75& 4&).34∗+ &+∗&2Χ).& /()5&+ ∋(5 5=6.& Α∗)( ∗ 4&).ς/∋.&
6∗ ∼| ∗ .| ;7∗ 6∗12∗ 5(6( 1−( 2)&2&6&1 ∋(5( 9.∆&1
1 ∗12.5&2.4&1 6(1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(10 6∗ 1∗71
&<712∗ 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 9(. +∗4&6( & ∗9∗.2( ∋(/6.∋.(/&+5∗/2∗ Ν1 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1
6∗14.(1 Ε&6)−( :∗5 ∋(5( Ε&)2∗ 6& 2&:∗+& 6∗ &/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& 1−( 6&6(1 & 1∗≅7.)Β
Τ ρ Θ
11./&+∗ & (Ε,−( ;7∗ 63 ( 4&+() 6& ∗12&2Φ12.∋& &11(∋.&6& &( 2∗12∗ 6∗
ρ Θ Νν
∋(/2)& & &+2∗)/&2.4&
&Η⊥
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∋(/175( Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2&0 ∼| = ( ;7(∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 75 Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗ Ε)∗,( 6( 4∗1273).( Ε∗+( Φ/6.∋∗ 6∗
∋712( 6∗ 4.6&0 .| = & )∗/6& )∗&+ Ε∗) ∋&Ε.2&0 ∋ Θ 1 −( Ε&)ς5∗2)(1 6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6(1 ∗ (1 7| 1−(
6∗1∋(/8∗∋.6&
)∗&+.Α&,Μ∗1 ./6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗1 6∗ 75& 4&).34∗+ &+∗&2Χ).& /()5&+ ∋(5 5=6.& Α∗)( ∗ 4&).ς/∋.&
6∗ ∼| ∗ .| ;7∗ 6∗12∗ 5(6( 1−( 2)&2&6&1 ∋(5( 9.∆&1
1 ∗12.5&2.4&1 6(1 Ε&)ς5∗2)(10 6∗ 1∗71
&<712∗ 6( 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 9(. +∗4&6( & ∗9∗.2( ∋(/6.∋.(/&+5∗/2∗ Ν1 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1
6∗14.(1 Ε&6)−( :∗5 ∋(5( Ε&)2∗ 6& 2&:∗+& 6∗ &/3+.1∗ 6∗ 4&).ς/∋.& 1−( 6&6(1 & 1∗≅7.)Β
11./&+∗ & (Ε,−( ;7∗ 63 ( 4&+() 6( ∋(∗9.∋.∗/2∗ 6∗ 6∗2∗)5./&,−( 6( &<712∗ 6& )∗≅)∗11−(
+./∗&) 5Λ+2.Ε+&
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4&).34∗+ 6∗Ε∗/6∗/2∗0 4&).34∗.1 ∗∆Ε+.∋&2.4&1 ∗ ∋(5 :&1∗ ∗5 (:1∗)4&,Μ∗1 9()/∗∋∗7 &
./9()5&,−( 6∗ ;7∗ ( 4&+() 6& ∗12&2Φ12.∋& 0 72.+.Α&6& Ε&)& 4∗).9.∋&) & ∗∆.12Ο/∋.& 6& )∗≅)∗11−( =
.≅7&+ &
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&Η %α
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9&5.+.&)0 &<712(7Θ1∗ ( 1∗≅7./2∗ 5(6∗+( 6∗ )∗≅)∗11−( +./∗&) 5Λ+2.Ε+& Ω ε Ζ ε∆ Ζ ε∆ Ζ
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6( )∗9).≅∗)&/2∗ ∗5 )∗&.10 ∆0 & 2∗5Ε∗)&27)& ∗5 ( ∗0 ∆0 & )∗/6& 9&5.+.&) ∗5 )∗&.10 Ε()
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