Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Resumen
Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.67641823
Coeficiente d 0.45754162
R^2 ajustado 0.4480248
Error típico 0.09709489
Observacione 59
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
Regresión 1 0.45324366 0.45324366 48.0771853017391 4.1019E-09
Residuos 57 0.53736276 0.00942742
Total 58 0.99060642
Resumen
Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente d 0.61852799
Coeficiente d 0.38257687
R^2 ajustado 0.37174489
Error típico 0.04730041
Observacione 59
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
Regresión 1 0.07902064 0.07902064 35.3191852253699 1.78307E-07
Residuos 57 0.12752776 0.00223733
Total 58 0.2065484
Resumen
Interpretación: En el c
beta de 1.30, el cual p
Estadísticas de la regresión indica que es un beta a
Coeficiente d 0.57277695 esta por encima del pr
Coeficiente d 0.32807343
R^2 ajustado 0.31628525
Error típico 0.10265187
Observacione 59
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
Regresión 1 0.29326336 0.29326336 27.8306981583879 2.13206E-06
Residuos 57 0.60063212 0.01053741
Total 58 0.89389548
Beta Portafolio
Acciones Capital Pesos Beta
F 18,000.00 33.33% 1.62
ABT 18,000.00 33.33% 0.67
DAL 18,000.00 33.33% 1.3
Total 54,000.00 100.00% 1.20
Interpretación : En el caso del cálculo del Beta de los 3 portafolios se tiene 1.2 , el cual
podemos ver que es >1, esto nos indica que es un beta agresivo, lo cual el portafolio es más
volatil que el mercado en general. Esto implica que sus rendimientos podrían ser mayores
en momentos de crecimiento económico, pero también podrían caer más bruscamente en
periodos de recesión.
S&P
Rendimiento 0.89%
Varianza 0.00294144
desviacion estandar 5.42%
covarianza
correlacion
Beta
Rentabilidad Desvia
Fecha
Sep-18 S&P F ABT DAL Fecha
Oct-18 -6.94% 3.24% -6.03% -5.36% Sep-18
Nov-18 1.79% 0.30% 7.85% 10.93% Oct-18
Dec-18 -9.18% -18.70% -2.32% -17.29% Nov-18
Jan-19 7.87% 15.03% 0.90% -0.94% Dec-18
Feb-19 2.97% 1.40% 6.85% 0.30% Jan-19
Mar-19 1.79% 0.11% 2.99% 4.90% Feb-19
Apr-19 3.93% 19.02% -0.48% 12.86% Mar-19
May-19 -6.58% -7.44% -3.92% -11.65% Apr-19
Jun-19 6.89% 7.46% 10.47% 10.86% May-19
Jul-19 1.31% -6.84% 3.57% 7.56% Jun-19
Aug-19 -1.81% -2.34% -1.68% -4.60% Jul-19
Sep-19 1.72% -0.11% -1.93% -0.45% Aug-19
Oct-19 2.04% -6.22% -0.07% -4.37% Sep-19
Nov-19 3.40% 7.20% 2.61% 4.82% Oct-19
Dec-19 2.86% 2.65% 1.65% 2.04% Nov-19
Jan-20 -0.16% -5.16% 0.32% -4.69% Dec-19
Feb-20 -8.41% -19.75% -11.23% -17.24% Jan-20
Mar-20 -12.51% -30.60% 2.44% -37.73% Feb-20
Apr-20 12.68% 5.38% 16.70% -9.18% Mar-20
May-20 4.53% 12.18% 3.51% -2.70% Apr-20
Jun-20 1.84% 6.48% -3.68% 11.27% May-20
Jul-20 5.51% 8.72% 10.07% -10.98% Jun-20
Aug-20 7.01% 3.18% 9.20% 23.55% Jul-20
Sep-20 -3.92% -2.35% -0.58% -0.88% Aug-20
Oct-20 -2.77% 16.07% -3.42% 0.20% Sep-20
Nov-20 10.75% 17.46% 3.30% 31.36% Oct-20
Dec-20 3.71% -3.19% 1.17% -0.10% Nov-20
Jan-21 -1.11% 19.80% 12.88% -5.60% Dec-20
Feb-21 2.61% 11.11% -2.69% 26.29% Jan-21
Mar-21 4.24% 4.70% 0.05% 0.71% Feb-21
Apr-21 5.24% -5.80% 0.20% -2.82% Mar-21
May-21 0.55% 25.91% -2.50% 1.62% Apr-21
Jun-21 2.22% 2.27% -0.62% -9.27% May-21
Jul-21 2.27% -6.12% 4.36% -7.77% Jun-21
Aug-21 2.90% -6.59% 4.85% 1.35% Jul-21
Sep-21 -4.76% 8.67% -6.52% 5.37% Aug-21
Oct-21 6.91% 20.62% 9.11% -8.17% Sep-21
Nov-21 -0.83% 12.35% -2.04% -7.49% Oct-21
Dec-21 4.36% 8.78% 11.90% 7.96% Nov-21
Jan-22 -5.26% -2.26% -9.44% 1.56% Dec-21
Feb-22 -3.14% -13.05% -5.03% 0.58% Jan-22
Mar-22 3.58% -3.70% -1.87% -0.88% Feb-22
Apr-22 -8.80% -16.26% -4.11% 8.74% Mar-22
May-22 0.01% -2.75% 3.90% -3.11% Apr-22
Jun-22 -8.39% -18.64% -7.50% -30.51% May-22
Jul-22 9.11% 31.99% 0.17% 9.77% Jun-22
Aug-22 -4.24% 3.74% -5.27% -2.30% Jul-22
Sep-22 -9.34% -25.78% -5.74% -9.69% Aug-22
Oct-22 7.99% 19.38% 2.25% 20.92% Sep-22
Nov-22 5.38% 3.96% 9.25% 4.24% Oct-22
Dec-22 -5.90% -15.46% 2.05% -7.10% Nov-22
Jan-23 6.18% 16.17% 0.69% 18.99% Dec-22
Feb-23 -2.61% -10.66% -7.57% -1.94% Jan-23
Mar-23 3.51% 10.97% -0.45% -8.92% Feb-23
Apr-23 1.46% -5.71% 9.10% -1.75% Mar-23
May-23 0.25% 2.27% -7.21% 5.89% Apr-23
Jun-23 6.47% 26.08% 6.88% 30.86% May-23
Jul-23 3.11% -12.69% 2.12% -2.69% Jun-23
Aug-23 -1.77% -7.18% -7.13% -7.11% Jul-23
Aug-23
Suma 52.54% 99.30% 52.36% 20.23%
pro.ponder 0.89% 1.68% 0.89% 0.34%
ABT
20.00%
Interpretación: En el caso de la acción ABT se tiene un beta
de 0.67, el cual podemos ver que es <1, esto nos indica que 15.00%
es un beta defensivo, con una volatilidad baja que esta por
debajo del promedio del mercado. 10.00%
f(x) = 0.674783660295966 x + 0.0028652
5.00%
0.00%
-15.00% -10.00% -5.00% 0.00%
-5.00%
-10.00%
-15.00%
Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
-0.00963106 0.01536146
0.44741832 0.902149
20.00%
f(x) = 1.29993961743411 x10.00%
− 0.008146395
0.00%
-15.00% -10.00% -5.00% 0.00%
-10.00%
-20.00%
-30.00%
-40.00%
-50.00%
0.00%
-15.00% -10.00% -5.00% 0.00%
-10.00%
-20.00%
-30.00%
-40.00%
-50.00%
Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
-0.03526592 0.01897313
0.80650892 1.79337031
Fecha
S&P F ABT DAL Sep-18 S&P F
-7.83% 2.35% -6.92% -6.25% Oct-18 0.61% 0.06%
0.90% -0.59% 6.96% 10.04% Nov-18 0.01% 0.00%
-10.07% -19.59% -3.21% -18.18% Dec-18 1.01% 3.84%
6.98% 14.14% 0.01% -1.83% Jan-19 0.49% 2.00%
2.08% 0.50% 5.96% -0.59% Feb-19 0.04% 0.00%
0.90% -0.78% 2.10% 4.01% Mar-19 0.01% 0.01%
3.04% 18.13% -1.37% 11.97% Apr-19 0.09% 3.29%
-7.47% -8.33% -4.81% -12.54% May-19 0.56% 0.69%
6.00% 6.57% 9.58% 9.97% Jun-19 0.36% 0.43%
0.42% -7.73% 2.68% 6.67% Jul-19 0.00% 0.60%
-2.70% -3.23% -2.57% -5.49% Aug-19 0.07% 0.10%
0.83% -1.00% -2.82% -1.34% Sep-19 0.01% 0.01%
1.15% -7.11% -0.96% -5.27% Oct-19 0.01% 0.51%
2.51% 6.31% 1.72% 3.93% Nov-19 0.06% 0.40%
1.97% 1.76% 0.76% 1.15% Dec-19 0.04% 0.03%
-1.05% -6.05% -0.57% -5.58% Jan-20 0.01% 0.37%
-9.30% -20.64% -12.12% -18.13% Feb-20 0.87% 4.26%
-13.40% -31.49% 1.55% -38.62% Mar-20 1.80% 9.92%
11.79% 4.49% 15.81% -10.07% Apr-20 1.39% 0.20%
3.64% 11.29% 2.62% -3.59% May-20 0.13% 1.27%
0.95% 5.59% -4.57% 10.37% Jun-20 0.01% 0.31%
4.62% 7.83% 9.18% -11.87% Jul-20 0.21% 0.61%
6.12% 2.29% 8.31% 22.66% Aug-20 0.37% 0.05%
-4.81% -3.24% -1.48% -1.77% Sep-20 0.23% 0.10%
-3.66% 15.18% -4.31% -0.69% Oct-20 0.13% 2.30%
9.86% 16.57% 2.41% 30.47% Nov-20 0.97% 2.75%
2.82% -4.08% 0.28% -0.99% Dec-20 0.08% 0.17%
-2.00% 18.90% 11.99% -6.49% Jan-21 0.04% 3.57%
1.72% 10.22% -3.58% 25.40% Feb-21 0.03% 1.04%
3.35% 3.81% -0.84% -0.18% Mar-21 0.11% 0.15%
4.35% -6.69% -0.69% -3.71% Apr-21 0.19% 0.45%
-0.34% 25.02% -3.39% 0.73% May-21 0.00% 6.26%
1.33% 1.38% -1.51% -10.16% Jun-21 0.02% 0.02%
1.38% -7.01% 3.47% -8.66% Jul-21 0.02% 0.49%
2.01% -7.49% 3.96% 0.46% Aug-21 0.04% 0.56%
-5.65% 7.78% -7.41% 4.48% Sep-21 0.32% 0.61%
6.02% 19.73% 8.22% -9.06% Oct-21 0.36% 3.89%
-1.72% 11.46% -2.93% -8.38% Nov-21 0.03% 1.31%
3.47% 7.89% 11.01% 7.07% Dec-21 0.12% 0.62%
-6.15% -3.15% -10.33% 0.67% Jan-22 0.38% 0.10%
-4.03% -13.94% -5.92% -0.31% Feb-22 0.16% 1.94%
2.69% -4.59% -2.76% -1.77% Mar-22 0.07% 0.21%
-9.69% -17.15% -5.00% 7.85% Apr-22 0.94% 2.94%
-0.89% -3.64% 3.01% -4.00% May-22 0.01% 0.13%
-9.28% -19.53% -8.39% -31.40% Jun-22 0.86% 3.81%
8.22% 31.10% -0.72% 8.88% Jul-22 0.68% 9.67%
-5.13% 2.85% -6.16% -3.19% Aug-22 0.26% 0.08%
-10.23% -26.67% -6.63% -10.58% Sep-22 1.05% 7.11%
7.10% 18.48% 1.36% 20.03% Oct-22 0.50% 3.42%
4.48% 3.07% 8.36% 3.35% Nov-22 0.20% 0.09%
-6.79% -16.35% 1.16% -7.99% Dec-22 0.46% 2.67%
5.28% 15.27% -0.20% 18.10% Jan-23 0.28% 2.33%
-3.50% -11.55% -8.46% -2.83% Feb-23 0.12% 1.33%
2.61% 10.08% -1.34% -9.81% Mar-23 0.07% 1.02%
0.57% -6.60% 8.20% -2.64% Apr-23 0.00% 0.44%
-0.64% 1.38% -8.10% 5.00% May-23 0.00% 0.02%
5.58% 25.19% 5.99% 29.97% Jun-23 0.31% 6.35%
2.22% -13.58% 1.23% -3.58% Jul-23 0.05% 1.84%
-2.66% -8.07% -8.02% -8.00% Aug-23 0.07% 0.65%
F
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
f(x) = 1.61606993130734 x + 0.00244004570948255
10.00%
0.00%
-15.00% -10.00% -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00%
-10.00%
-20.00%
20.00%
f(x) = 1.61606993130734 x + 0.00244004570948255
10.00%
0.00%
-15.00% -10.00% -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00%
-10.00%
-20.00%
-30.00%
-40.00%
ABT
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
x) = 0.674783660295966 x + 0.00286520237831543
5.00%
0.00%
-10.00% -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00%
-5.00%
-10.00%
-15.00%
DAL
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
x) = 1.29993961743411 x10.00%
− 0.00814639506245467
0.00%
10.00% -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00%
-10.00%
-20.00%
-30.00%
-40.00%
-50.00%
0.00%
10.00% -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00%
-10.00%
-20.00%
-30.00%
-40.00%
-50.00%
esviación al cuadrado Covarianza
Fecha
ABT DAL Sep-18 F ABT
0.48% 0.39% Oct-18 - 0.001842415 0.005415420
0.48% 1.01% Nov-18 - 0.000052507 0.000623554
0.10% 3.31% Dec-18 0.019727519 0.003235116
0.00% 0.03% Jan-19 0.009868404 0.000005728
0.36% 0.00% Feb-19 0.000105132 0.001241252
0.04% 0.16% Mar-19 - 0.000070032 0.000189275
0.02% 1.43% Apr-19 0.005513119 - 0.000415336
0.23% 1.57% May-19 0.006219906 0.003592263
0.92% 0.99% Jun-19 0.003942191 0.005749515
0.07% 0.44% Jul-19 - 0.000326610 0.000113053
0.07% 0.30% Aug-19 0.000872478 0.000693068
0.08% 0.02% Sep-19 - 0.000082726 - 0.000233759
0.01% 0.28% Oct-19 - 0.000819942 - 0.000110908
0.03% 0.15% Nov-19 0.001586977 0.000432436
0.01% 0.01% Dec-19 0.000346173 0.000149533
0.00% 0.31% Jan-20 0.000637418 0.000059838
1.47% 3.29% Feb-20 0.019195402 0.011270677
0.02% 14.91% Mar-20 0.042209425 - 0.002077599
2.50% 1.01% Apr-20 0.005298533 0.018648679
0.07% 0.13% May-20 0.004107074 0.000951866
0.21% 1.08% Jun-20 0.000530084 - 0.000433147
0.84% 1.41% Jul-20 0.003615648 0.004242157
0.69% 5.13% Aug-20 0.001398446 0.005079747
0.02% 0.03% Sep-20 0.001557818 0.000710007
0.19% 0.00% Oct-20 - 0.005549787 0.001575683
0.06% 9.29% Nov-20 0.016348714 0.002378725
0.00% 0.01% Dec-20 - 0.001152460 0.000079869
1.44% 0.42% Jan-21 - 0.003788763 - 0.002402433
0.13% 6.45% Feb-21 0.001756603 - 0.000615766
0.01% 0.00% Mar-21 0.001277776 - 0.000281813
0.00% 0.14% Apr-21 - 0.002909960 - 0.000300373
0.11% 0.01% May-21 - 0.000855202 0.000115883
0.02% 1.03% Jun-21 0.000183762 - 0.000200666
0.12% 0.75% Jul-21 - 0.000971019 0.000479761
0.16% 0.00% Aug-21 - 0.001503504 0.000795891
0.55% 0.20% Sep-21 - 0.004394695 0.004185271
0.68% 0.82% Oct-21 0.011885808 0.004950545
0.09% 0.70% Nov-21 - 0.001976064 0.000505840
1.21% 0.50% Dec-21 0.002737769 0.003822150
1.07% 0.00% Jan-22 0.001938971 0.006349626
0.35% 0.00% Feb-22 0.005618915 0.002386899
0.08% 0.03% Mar-22 - 0.001235451 - 0.000743661
0.25% 0.62% Apr-22 0.016614659 0.004839769
0.09% 0.16% May-22 0.000321971 - 0.000266517
0.70% 9.86% Jun-22 0.018129411 0.007788817
0.01% 0.79% Jul-22 0.025563852 - 0.000588300
0.38% 0.10% Aug-22 - 0.001465167 0.003162072
0.44% 1.12% Sep-22 0.027280134 0.006780875
0.02% 4.01% Oct-22 0.013116407 0.000966831
0.70% 0.11% Nov-22 0.001378463 0.003747129
0.01% 0.64% Dec-22 0.011095576 - 0.000789955
0.00% 3.28% Jan-23 0.008072366 - 0.000104762
0.72% 0.08% Feb-23 0.004044210 0.002962865
0.02% 0.96% Mar-23 0.002636024 - 0.000351070
0.67% 0.07% Apr-23 - 0.000378961 0.000470775
0.66% 0.25% May-23 - 0.000088706 0.000519969
0.36% 8.98% Jun-23 0.014063374 0.003344840
0.02% 0.13% Jul-23 - 0.003019520 0.000273130
0.64% 0.64% Aug-23 0.002147403 0.002134818
DAL
0.004895025
0.000898686
0.018303869
- 0.001278603
- 0.000122240
0.000361929
0.003638496
0.009364511
0.005984161
0.000281668
0.001482304
- 0.000110892
- 0.000606954
0.000988391
0.000226589
0.000587287
0.016864785
0.051754862
- 0.011880964
- 0.001306711
0.000983930
- 0.005483939
0.013857517
0.000849865
0.000253891
0.030059631
- 0.000279305
0.001299895
0.004365514
- 0.000060780
- 0.001613468
- 0.000024929
- 0.001352307
- 0.001198490
0.000092978
- 0.002527494
- 0.005456205
0.001444288
0.002452252
- 0.000412245
0.000125317
- 0.000475454
- 0.007607037
0.000354462
0.029148216
0.007298967
0.001635877
0.010821605
0.014212334
0.001504013
0.005421178
0.009565086
0.000992452
- 0.002565185
- 0.000151321
- 0.000320926
0.016727641
- 0.000796641
0.002130297
22.56%
0.003823689