PRONOSTICO

SEMANA DEMANDA 3 SEMANAS

1 745
2 773
3 815
4 880 777.67
5 954 822.67
6 1015 883.00
7 945 949.67
8 853 971.33
9 987 937.67
10 1015 928.33
11 884 951.67
12 939 962.00
PRONOSTICO
6 SEMANAS

863.67
897.00
910.33
939.00
961.50
949.83
 3.2028
X Y
PERIODO TRIMESTRE TRIMESTRE DEMANDA PRONOSTICO
I 1 80 67.5508
II 2 60 70.7536
2013
III 3 62 73.9564
IV 4 75 77.1592
I 5 100 80.362
II 6 80 83.5648
III 7 76 86.7676
2014 IV 8 90 89.9704
I 9 110 93.1732
II 10 90 96.376
III 11 95 99.5788
2015 IV 12 104 102.7816
I 13 105.9844
II 14 109.1872
III 15 112.39
2016 IV 16 115.5928

indice pronostico 1 trimestre 1.2030867064377

1.184 1.244 1.181 1.203

indice pronostico 2 trimestre

0.848 0.957 0.934 0.913
indice pronostico 3 trimestre
0.838 0.876 0.954 0.889

indice pronostico 4 trimestre

0.972 1.000 1.012 0.995
 64.348
INDICE
REAL/PRON.
1.1842938944 DEMANDA
0.8480133873 120

0.8383317739
0.9720162988 100 f(x)==0.534253169435881
R² 3.2027972027972 x + 64.3484848484848

1.2443692292
0.9573408899 80

0.8759029868
60
1.0003289971
1.1805969957 40
0.9338424504
0.9540183252 20
1.0118542619
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12

PRONOSTICO
AJUSTADO CON
PERIODO PRONOSTICO INDICE INDICE
I TRI 105.98 1.20 127.51
II TRI 109.19 0.91 99.70
2016
III TRI 112.39 0.89 99.96
IV TRI 115.59 0.99 114.98
ANDA

48484848

8 10 12 14