CONFIDENTIAL 1 CS/JUN 2023/STA104

UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA

TEST

COURSE : INTRODUCTION TO STATISTICS

COURSE CODE : STA104
EXAMINATION : JUNE 2023
TIME : 1 HOUR 30 MINUTES

SUGGESTED ANSWER SCHEME

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CONFIDENTIAL 2 CS/JUN 2023/STA104

QUESTION SUGGESTED SOLUTION QUESTION 1 MARKS

1(a) ✓✓

✓✓

✓✓
5

✓✓

There is a Strong negative relationship between number of

counters opened and average waiting time. ✓✓
1(b)

✓✓

✓✓
5
✓✓

✓✓

✓✓
1(c) 1
For every one counter open increase , the average waiting time
decreases by 3.1681 minutes✓✓
1(d) Customer do not have to wait , y=0

✓✓
8 counters ✓✓ 2
1(e) ✓✓

The number of counters opened influences 86.01% of the

average waiting time. The remaining 13.99% is due to other 2
factors.✓✓
1(f) ✓
1
minutes✓
Total Marks Question 1 = 16 Marks

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CONFIDENTIAL 3 CS/JUN 2023/STA104

QUESTION SUGGESTED SOLUTION QUESTION 2 MARKS

2(a)
Price relative index

✓✓

✓✓
4
✓✓

Flour had the largest increase in price. ✓✓

2(b) Paasche’s quantity Index

4
✓✓

✓✓

= ✓✓

Quantity of the food items has increased by 37.6627% in 2022

compared to 2020. ✓✓

Total Marks Question 2 = 8 Marks

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CONFIDENTIAL 4 CS/JUN 2023/STA104

QUESTION SUGGESTED SOLUTION QUESTION 3 MARKS

3(a) Cyclical variation – the movement repeats its pattern over a
period of time (2-10 years). The most common example of
cyclical variation is the business cycle which is usually caused by
the policies of the company. ✓✓
2
Seasonal variation – involve pattern of change which are
repeated from year to year. ✓✓
3(bi)
Number of television
Year Term Trend
orders, Y
✓ ✓ 3M
✓✓
2020 1 490 -
2 850 621.667 1.3673
3 525 645.000 0.8140
2021 1 560 661.667 0.8463
5
2 900 700.000 1.2857
3 640 703.333 0.9100
2022 1 570 743.333 0.7668
2 1020 780.000 1.3077
3 750 -

3(bii)
Year 1 2 3
2020 - 1.3673 0.8140 ✓✓
5
2021 0.8460 1.2857 0.9100 ✓✓
2022 0.7668 1.3077 - ✓✓
Mean 0.8066 1.3202 0.862 ✓
Total mean 2.9888
CF 1.0037 ✓
SF 0.8096 1.3251 0.8652
SI 80.96 132.51 86.52 ✓✓

Number of television orders in third term is decreases by 13.48% ✓✓ 1

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CONFIDENTIAL 5 CS/JUN 2023/STA104

3(biii)
a = 780 b= X = 3 ✓✓
3
Forecast Trend for the 2nd term 2023
T = a + bX
T = 780 + 26.3888 (3) = 859.1664 ✓✓

Forecast Y for the 2nd term 2023

Y = T x SF
Y =859.1664 x 1.3251 = 1138.4814 1138 ✓✓
Total Marks Question 3 = 16 Marks

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