32 min listen
Rationally Speaking #214 - Anthony Aguirre on "Predicting the future of science and tech, with Metaculus"
Rationally Speaking #214 - Anthony Aguirre on "Predicting the future of science and tech, with Metaculus"
ratings:
Length:
50 minutes
Released:
Aug 5, 2018
Format:
Podcast episode
Description
This episode features physicist Anthony Aguirre discussing Metaculus, the site he created to crowd-source accurate predictions about science and technology. For example, will SpaceX land on Mars by 2030? Anthony and Julia discuss details such as: why it's useful to have predictions on questions like these, how to measure Metaculus' accuracy, why Anthony chose not to run it like a traditional prediction market, and how to design incentives to reward good forecasters.
Released:
Aug 5, 2018
Format:
Podcast episode
Titles in the series (100)
Rationally Speaking #9 - When Smart People Endorse Pseudoscience: Why is it that smart people fall for notions that are barely more defensible than astrology, or criticize well established scientific notions. Plus Massimo and Julia's picks: itisonlyatheory.blogspot.com and "The Miracle Detective" by Rationally Speaking Podcast