The Guardian

A lesson from the US election: we'll never understand voters just by looking at polls | John Harris

If a country has so lost the ability to comprehend itself that its best minds have to depend on surveys, it clearly has a problemBiden wins: follow the latest election news and reaction
‘There are complex, sometimes contradictory factors that actually decide how people vote.’ Trump supporters praying at a protest in Phoenix, Arizona on Friday. Photograph: Gina Ferazzi/Los Angeles Times/REX/Shutterstock

As well as the celebrations triggered by Joe Biden’s eventual , one quieter sound can be heard in the US: that of opinion polling once again being read the last rites. Pollsters and analysts may have got the winning candidate right. But, perhaps because many Republican supporters preferred to keep their political preference quiet, the reduction of politics to maths did not predict the knife-edge results that materialised in so many US swing states, in Congress, and the fact that untold millions were in no mood to reject Donald Trump and what he stands

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