Foreign Policy Magazine

The Thucydides Trap

When one great power threatens to displace another, war is almost always the result—but it doesn’t have to be.

In April, chocolate cake had just been served at the Mar-a-Lago summit when President Donald Trump leaned over to tell Chinese President Xi Jinping that American missiles had been launched at Syrian air bases, according to Trump’s account of the evening. What the attack on Syria signaled about Trump’s readiness to attack North Korea was left to Xi’s imagination.

Welcome to dinner with the leaders who are now attempting to manage the world’s most dangerous geopolitical relationship.

The story is a small one. But as China challenges America’s predominance, misunderstandings about each other’s actions and intentions could lead them into a deadly

You’re reading a preview, subscribe to read more.

More from Foreign Policy Magazine

Foreign Policy Magazine14 min read
The True Believer
IT ALL BEGAN IN BEIJING. Narendra Modi was the chief minister of Gujarat when he visited in 2011 to pitch his state as a destination for Chinese investment. As India’s ambassador to China at the time, S. Jaishankar was tasked with helping to facilita
Foreign Policy Magazine1 min read
The Promise And Pitfalls Of Climate Policy
RISING GLOBAL temperatures and increasingly frequent and severe weather events make effective climate-related policy and investments ever more urgent. If unabated, severe and irreparable climate change could further destabilize food and water systems
Foreign Policy Magazine5 min readPolitical Ideologies
Why Asia’s Democratic Leaders Are So Popular
Prabowo Subianto secured a thumping victory in Indonesia’s presidential election following a hard-fought three-way campaign. Polls going into the Feb. 14 contest suggested his likely victory, but many analysts had predicted a second-round runoff. Ins

Related Books & Audiobooks