Nautilus

A Weather Man Who Reaches for Months, Not Days

If you want to know the weather tomorrow, meteorologists can tell you. If you’d like to know what it’ll be like in 50 years, climatologists can tell you that reasonably accurately, too. But if you want to know the weather six months from now?

That’s a far trickier matter. Between the reliability of short-term and long-term cycles falls a shadow: indeterminacies bigger than the path of a single storm or pressure system, seasonal variations that average out over years but don’t individually hew to the curve.

This is where Judah Cohen,

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