Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
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Weber-Shirk
School of Civil and
Environmental Engineering
Hydrology Hydrology
Hydrology Hydrology
Meteorology
Hydrogeology
Water supplies
Drinking water
Industry
Irrigation
Power generation
Hydropower
Cooling water
Dams
Reservoirs
Levees
Flood protection
Water intakes
Wastewater
Cooling water
Outfalls
Engineering Uses of
Surface Water Hydrology
Engineering Uses of
Surface Water Hydrology
Levees
Wastewater dilution
Dam failure
Limited data
Stream flows
US geological survey
Http://water.usgs.gov/public/realtime.Html
Http://www-atlas.usgs.gov
Http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc/
Precipitation
www.cdc.noaa.gov/usclimate/states.gast.Html
Sixmile
Creek
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/online/coop-precip.html
Fall Creek (Daily Discharge) Fall Creek (Daily Discharge)
0
00
00
00
00
000
000
'88'00'88'00'88'00'00'00'88'00
year
d
i
s
c
h
a
r
g
e
(
m
0
/
s
)
http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis-w/NY/
Snow melt and/or spring rain events!
Calendar year vs Water year?
(begins Oct. 1)
0
100
200
300
400
500
'21 '31 '41 '51 '61 '71 '81 '91 '01
year
d
i
s
c
h
a
r
g
e
(
m
3
/
s
)
Fall Creek Above Beebe Lake
(Peak Annual Discharge)
Fall Creek Above Beebe Lake
(Peak Annual Discharge)
7/8/1935
10/27/197
7
Forecasting Stream Flows Forecasting Stream Flows
1
1
]
1
Crops
Parking lot
Large dam
Construction of Levees
Potential harm Acceptable risk
Design Flood Exceedance Design Flood Exceedance
=______________________
(p = probability of exceedance in one year)
probability of safe performance for one year
probability of safe performance for two years
probability of safe performance for n years
(1 p)
n
p 0.01
(1 p)
(1 p)(1p)
1(1p)
n
probability of exceedance in n years
P
exceedance
1(10.01)
50
0.395 probability that 100 year flood exceeded at
least once in 50 years
Not (safe for 50 years)
0
100
200
300
400
500
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Empirical Exceedance Probability
D
i
s
c
h
a
r
g
e
(
m
3
/
s
)
Empirical Estimation of 10 Year
Flood
Empirical Estimation of 10 Year
Flood
Fall Creek Annual Peak Flow Record
2 year flood
Sort annual
max discharge
in decreasing
order
Plot vs.
Where N is the
number of
years in the
record
rank
N + 1
10 year flood
How often was data
collected?
Extreme Events Extreme Events
Added complications of
Infiltration
Storage
Evaporation
Runoff
Can we use Cascadilla Creek to predict Fall Creek?
f(terrain)
Local Rain Gage Records
(Point Rainfall)
Local Rain Gage Records
(Point Rainfall)
Spatial variation
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lub/wx/precip_freq/precip_index.htm
Ithaca - 20
Global record - 50
10-year 1-hour Rainfall 10-year 1-hour Rainfall
10-year 6-hour Rainfall 10-year 6-hour Rainfall
10-year 24-hour Rainfall 10-year 24-hour Rainfall
Global Extreme Events Global Extreme Events
4 in 8 minutes
150 in 7 days
Or estimated by hydrometeorologist
R 15.3D
0.486
Synthetic Storm Design Synthetic Storm Design
Time distribution
Create a synthetic
storm
Estimate the
infiltration,
depression storage,
and runoff
Estimate the
stream flow
We need models!
Methods to Predict Runoff Methods to Predict Runoff
Mechanistic description
Rational formula
Many others
Engineering (Empirical)
Hydrology
Engineering (Empirical)
Hydrology
C is a dimensionless coefficient
http://ceeserver.Cee.Cornell.Edu/mw24/cee332/scs_cn/runoff_coefficients.Htm
A = drainage area [L
2
]
Exampl
e
p. 359 in Chin
Rational Formula - Method to
Choose Rainfall Intensity
Rational Formula - Method to
Choose Rainfall Intensity
T
c
affects the shape of the outflow
hydrograph (flow record as a function of
time)
Time of Concentration (T
c
):
Kirpich
Time of Concentration (T
c
):
Kirpich
T
c
= time of concentration [min]
,
_
c
t
Watch those units!
Time of Concentration (T
c
):
Hatheway
Time of Concentration (T
c
):
Hatheway
T
c
= time of concentration [min]
,
_
S
nL
t
c
Rational Formula - Review Rational Formula - Review
Estimate t
c
Area = 126 mi
2
= 3.512 x 10
9
ft
2
= 326 km
2
L - 15 miles - 80,000 ft
t
c
= 274 min = 4.6 hours
t
c
3.35x10
6
L
3
h
_
,
0.385
NWS
map
Area
correction
Rational Formula - Fall Creek
10 Year Storm
Rational Formula - Fall Creek
10 Year Storm
Q
p
= CiA
Q
P
= 7300 ft
3
/s (200 m
3
/s)
,
_
,
_
2
2
2
5280
126
sec 3600
1
12
1 36 . 0
25 . 0
mi
ft
mi
hr
in
ft
hr
in
Q
p
Runoff
Coefficients
0
100
200
300
400
500
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Empirical Exceedance Probability
D
i
s
c
h
a
r
g
e
(
m
3
/
s
)
Rational Method Limitations Rational Method Limitations
Create a synthetic
storm
Estimate infiltration
and runoff
Soil-cover complex
Estimate the
streamflow
Rational method
Hydrographs
p
Q CiA =
Runoff As a Function of Rainfall Runoff As a Function of Rainfall
Accounts for
Interception
Depression storage
Infiltration
Soil type
Land use
Antecedent conditions
0 to 100 (actually %)
Land use
Crop type
Woods
Roads
Hydrologic condition
Empirical equation
if
then
else
2
200
P 2
CN
800
P 8
CN
- +
=
+ -
excess
p
0 2
CN
200
P
,
_
+
0 =
excess
p
rain that will become runoff
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Accumulatedrainfall(P)ininches
R
a
i
n
f
a
l
l
e
x
c
e
s
s
(
p
e
x
c
e
s
s
)
(
i
n
c
h
e
s
)
100
95
90
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
Parking lot
2
200
P 2
CN
800
P 8
CN
- +
=
+ -
excess
p
Soil-Cover Complex Method: Graph Soil-Cover Complex Method: Graph
Soil-cover Complex Method Soil-cover Complex Method
Hydrographs Hydrographs
Introduction
Assumptions
D
2
+ t
l
Q
p
4 8 4A
t
p
0.5
0.7
0.8
L
l
19000S
9
CN
1000
t
,
_
D
2
+ t
l
Q
p
4 8 4A
t
p
0.5
0.7
0.8
L
l
19000S
9
CN
1000
t
,
_
Peak flow
Time to peak
,
_
runoff 1"
runoff actual 484
p
p
t
A
Q
Addition of Hydrographs Addition of Hydrographs
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18
0.20
0 2 4 6 8 10
time (hr)
Q
/
Q
p
Q hr1
Q hr2
Q hr3
Q) hr4
Q hr5
Q hr6
Q
max
= 0.2(4200 cfs) = 24 m
3
/s
What are NRCS Limitations? What are NRCS Limitations?
No snow melt
No rain on snow
Rain gage
( )
( )
,
_
,
_
2
2
2
5280
126
sec 60
min 1
12
1
min 30
25 . 0
25 . 0
mi
ft
mi
in
ft in
Q
p
s m cfs Q
p
/ 1150 650 , 40
3
Peak flow in record was 450 m
3
/s. What is wrong?
Method not valid for storms with duration less than t
c
.
NRCS Unit Hydrograph Example NRCS Unit Hydrograph Example
D
2
+ t
l
Q
p
4 8 4A
t
p
0.5
0.7
0.8
L
l
19000S
9
CN
1000
t
,
_
(
m
3
/
s
)
F
l
o
w
(
m
3
/
s
)