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Dispersion which is otherwise known as variation is an enemy of Quality but it is inevitable and all pervasive.
Service rendered
MANAGEMENT SLEEPS
SALES GO DOWN.
When variations are there in the input, obviously the output will have variations.
Chance cause
Upper control Limit
Central Line
Lower control Limit
As long as these variations are within the allowable level, we attribute to 'Chance Cause'.
Assignable cause
Upper control Limit
Central Line
Lower control Limit
When they are beyond the limit allowable, we attribute to 'assignable cause'.
Actual Observation No
PARAMETER
Spec.
1. 2. 3.
6.3 OK 300
0.18 OK 320
0.17 OK 315
0.21 OK 300
24.
Paint Finish
Glossy
OK
OK
OK
OK
OK
b) Some causes which can be understood only by collection of data. Such data collection helps us to get a clear picture. Then it can be solved.
c) But there are certain persistent problems. What we see is only symptoms and the real cause is elusive and difficult to find out.
HELP!!!!
Many times our efforts are only 'fire fighting' and the assignable causes do not get altogether eliminated. They occur again and again
Such dispersion in quality are called persistent defects and call for orderly study
I WONT
TELL YOU.
Such verbal information need to be gathered and organised properly so that we can get a better picture and also collect data on them
WE GOT RID OF THE PROBLEM.THE MAN HAS BEEN POSTED TO THE NEW OFFICE.
The BOSS
However, when we call meetings to solve such problems we tend to listen to only a few. One who is the chief, or
who is vociferous
Who is popular gets their ideas listened to. Normally quiet people get ignored.
Best way will be to get the views of everyone and arrange them in a proper manner. Collect data. Based on the data proceed further.
To sum up basic quality improvement or problem solving calls for identifying the root cause of a problem. The Cause and Effect diagram is an effective way to organise and display various themes about what these root causes might be.
This was introduced by Dr. K. Ishikawa. He used it in Kawasaki Iron Works in 1943.
Materials
Work methods
Quality
Equipment
Measurement
Earlier it was used for research work. This is also known as Ishikawa Diagram
Since final diagram looks like a fish bone it is also called as fish bone diagram
Looking into its usefulness Japan Standards Institute recognised it as a statistical tool.
CAUSES
WORKERS MATERIALS
EFFECT
WOBBLE
INSPECTION
TOOLS
A Cause and Effect diagram gives a visual representation of factors that might contribute to an observed effect
DATA
It is normally prepared as a prelude to developing the data needed to establish causation empirically.
Even though it looks very simple, making a Cause and Effect diagram is not an easy task.
One who wants to make a Cause and Effect diagram should first understand the Cause/effect relationship.
One who solves a problem successfully, is the one who can make a useful Cause and Effect diagram.
WORKERS
MATERIALS
WOBBLE
INSPECTION
TOOLS
Please remember that there is no definite form or order for Cause & Effect diagram. They are made for your use and your help.
However there are the three types of Cause and Effect diagram which are very popular viz
a) Dispersion Analysis Type. b) Production Process Classification Type and c) Cause Enumeration Type
First gather materials needed like Flip Chart, OHP & transparencies or board for writing.
Call together everyone involved with the process. It may also include outside experts. In case of Quality Circle mainly members are needed. If they want they can call others.
Let us take the problem of "Defeat in Cricket Test Match" for analysis and make the Cause and Effect diagram in 'Dispersion Analysis Type`.
In the Flip chart, transparency or on the board draw an arrow in the middle as shown and make a box at the right hand corner and write down Defeat in Test Match.
FIELDING
OTHERS
Batting
Bowling
Others
Fielding
Four main sub causes were identified for the main cause bowling. They were spinners unable to exploit conditions, inexperienced bowlers, inadequate space attack and bowling lacked punch.
Bowling
Let us look into the sub cause inadequate pace attack. We have to ask the question, why was the pace attack inadequate? The answer comes not enough seamers in India. There were fitness problems in few seamers. These answers are the subsub causes
Bowling
Now we have to ask the question why are there not enough seamers in India? the answers comes Indian pitches do not help seamers and because there are very few pace academics. These are the sub sub sub causes.
Bowling
Next we should ask the question why are few seamers having fitness problem and note the sub-sub-sub causes.
Similarly we work out the subsub causes for rest of the sub causes spinners unable to exploit condition, inexperienced bowlers and bowling lacked punch.
Bowling
Bowling in net without proper warm up. Fitness problem to few seamers
Bowling
Bowling in net Most without proper spinners in a warm up. bad patch Fitness problem to few seamers Few bowlers lacked commitment
Let us go the next main cause batting. Due to restriction of space we will view only one cause at a time. Four main sub causes are identified for batting. They are lack of technique to play pace bowling, bad team selection, irresponsible shots, main batsmen exposed to new ball.
Batting
Irresponsible shots
Let us look into the main sub cause lack of technique. Ask the question why do batsmen lack technique to play fast bowlers. The answer comes that they could not get enough practice on fast wickets and they lack good back foot technique. These are the sub-sub causes.
Batting
Irresponsible shots
Next ask the question why do batsmen lack good back foot technique. The answer comes that there are different wickets back home. This is the subsub-sub cause.
Batting
Next find the sub-sub-sub causes for the sub-sub cause not enough practice on fast track. In the same way work out the subsub causes and the sub-sub-sub causes for the other sub causes namely, bad team selection, irresponsible shots, main batsmen exposed to new ball.
Batting
Batting
Opening batters could not see the new ball through Lack of concentration No specialist Unsure of his openers place in team Infighing in the team No proper instructions from Captain
In the same way work out for the other main causes fielding and others.
Fielding
Misfieding
Bad field placement
Fielding
Lack of practice
No fielders where batsmen plays his favorite shots Lack of strategy Batsmen not studied properly
Misfieding
No specialist fielders No Sp. Fielders at Sp. positions Wrong fielders at wrong postions Bad field Placement
Dropped catches
No specialist slip fielders
Others
Strategy
Bad captaincy
Others
No time to prepare
Lack of foresight
Strategy
No batsmen takes lead
Bad captaincy
Lack of strategy Ego problems
Inability
No game plan to play fast bowling
Immaturity
This helps to organise and relate the factors for the dispersion. This is very useful for solving the problem.
MAN
MATERIAL METHOD MACHINE PEOPLE
PROVISION
PROCEDURE
MEASUREMENT
PLACE
Some times causes will have variation i.e. may be occuring at a particular time. Hence word your questions properly. (Does it happen always? When it happens and why?)
The weak point of this system (Dispersion Analysis Type) is form of the diagram depends upon the group making it.
Another diagram for the same problem made by another group using the same method can vary. This can vary from group to group.
Remember to make it on what you know and not using wild imagination .at least not at this stage.
Another type of Cause and Effect diagram is " Production Process Classification Type". Here the process flow is followed.
Let us apply this system to the same problem " Defeat in the Cricket Test Match".
Selection
Strategic Planning
Application
Here we have selected the process as Selection, Practice & conditioning, Strategic planning & Application.
Like in dispersion method here also you can go step by step I.e. taking selection first and finding out main causes for it. Then by questioning find out the sub causes, subsub causes, sub-sub-sub causes and so on.
Deserving players not selected Regional politics Few players having fitness problems
Lack of foresight
SELECTION
Tracks do not help pacers
Similarly take practice and conditioning and find out the main causes, sub causes, sub-sub causes respectively.
Lack of professionals
No specialized coaching
No basic strategy
No professional consulted
No time to prepare
ego hassles
STRATEGIC PLANNING
Bad batting
No specialist openers Main batsmen exposed to new ball
Bad bowling
Irresponsible shots
No instruction from captain
APPLICATION
Lack of practice Batsmen not studied Dropped catches No specialist slip fielders Lack of practice Misfieding No specialist fielders Bad field placement Bowlers not consulted immature
Bad fielding
Bad Captaincy
This is a methodical way of doing it and not very difficult. The draw back in the system is 'similar' causes may need to be noted down in each process step here.
Third type is 'Cause Enumeration Type'. Here we write the problem i.e. defeat in 'Cricket Test Match' and do a brainstorming without any restriction.
Causes flowing in through the brainstorming will be about various aspects. Free flowing of various views enables you to get a large number of ideas.
Here once the brainstorming is over after eliminating superfluous and irrelevant causes, based on discussion we have to organise the remaining causes in an orderly manner.
That means arranging them as Main Cause, sub-causes, sub-sub causes and so an. The resultant diagram may look like the cause dispersion type but the method adopted is different.
This is a laborious process but the benefit is a large number of likely causes eliminate the probability of overlooking any major problem area.
Once a cause and effect diagram is made check up for its completeness
Show it to some one who knows about the process and get it reviewed.
Bowling
A good cause and effect diagram gives an excellent understanding of a complex problem in a simple way
Remember those who make a good cause and effect diagram normally solve a problem.
As said above it is a problem defining tool. Use it effectively to organise the various possible causes known to the group in an orderly and logical manner.
This will help us to have a clarity regarding the process and the factors which can and are affecting the process.
We have got to have a look at unit 24. I think some alterations would be required.
We should understand that they serve the purpose of indicating the areas which need checks, additions and alterations.
When we make a cause and effect diagram we won't be having a clear cut idea about the real culprit cause or causes.
They can be found out only on collection of data or by discussion based on our experience.
Collect data and on its basis assign importance to each factor objectively.
Based on our experience, knowledge and skill we should try to examine each factor.
Generally problems which can be solved on a routine basis in a process would have already been managed.
Generally persistent problems are those which are beyond such measures.
No effective and useful cause and effect diagram can be made at one step. Make it, discuss and revise it.
After looking at the C & E diagram I am of the opinion that we can reduce process time by half if..
Cause and effect diagram helps in keeping track of the issue and helps in quickening the process.
If Quality Circle members find anything unusual in the situation, should carefully follow the factor and depict them.
Cause & effect diagram ki vajah se maine bhi bhahut kuch seekh liya hai.
Don't forget that even a less educated person and persons with poor knowledge about the job can be benefited by this.
A cause and effect diagram also shows the reality of the situation.
I am going to make a Cause & effect diagram and check out where I went wrong
A cause and effect diagram can be used for any problem and in any situation.
To quote an example a set of fresh engineers from an Indian Company went to Japan for training.
There they found that the local people were not very friendly.
Instead of pacifying them, he took them to a meeting room and made them to do a brainstorming.
He put " Hostile attitude towards visitors" as effect in the box and made them to do a C & E on a cause enumeration basis.
He made them to organise the causes properly and asked them to work out an action plan to remove these causes.
This exercise not only helped the affected people to know the causes but also to become cheerful and take appropriate action to solve the problem.
Result was that within a short period they became very popular with the local people.
Cause and Effect diagram is an aid to present information in a systematic manner. They by themselves do not indicate the culprit cause to the effect.
FLOW DIAGRAM
HISTOGRAM
As pointed out this is a step in the systematic approach of problem solving. We have to take the help of other techniques in identifying the root causes.
Normally main causes will have 3 or 4 subcauses. If it is less then that we can safely assume that further study is needed to have a better understanding of the problem.
You may take the help of 'potential members', supervisors, department head and any other person who has got knowledge and experience in that area.
But for arranging any cause as a main cause we should follow certain procedures.
EFFECT
MAIN CAUSE
SUB-SUBSUB CAUSE
SUB-SUB CAUSE
SUB CAUSE
We can find a logical relationship through the sub-sub-sub causes to the final effect.
It is controllable.
In case we eliminate or reduce the intensity of it, corresponding result should be observable in the effect.
If a cause and effect Diagram is like this we can safely conclude that either the knowledge of the process is too shallow or no serious attempt has been made to make the diagram.
This shows rather a complicated process. This should not be a regular occurrence.
For example sometimes it can be due to material defect and another time due to environment.
M/C Operator
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
AM oo x
1 2
PM ox x
AM
PM
xx
PM AM PM o oooo xx oo
.
oxx
ooo
.
xx
..
ooo
..
x
.
xx ooo x x Blow hole Poor finish oo
..
x
ooo
B
2
o Surface scratch
Distorted
Others
Sometimes a data collected may give picture attributing the effect to a particular cause.
Based on that data we cannot conclude that it is the only cause for the problem. We should understand that a cause and effect diagram is a total analytical picture of an effect showing all possible causes.
Using the C-E diagram we should investigate our process to ensure that other causes too do not occur causing that effect. In other words do not come to a conclusion based on one time collected data.
Lets hurry up and make the C-E diagram. I want to go home soon.
Another pitfall we should be aware of is hasty action. Before we have full information drawing a cause and effect diagram is a futile effort.
Such an effort may mislead us and most of the time it will be a vague and general one.
There can be another problem also. With over enthusiasm without a proper understanding we may create a cause and effect diagram which is too complicated and cannot be used by anyone for solving the problem.
You can use it to find out reasons behind the causes in a systematic manner.
A detailed cause and effect diagram making exercise helps to have an in depth knowledge about the process.
Cause and effect diagram was first of its kind in statistical system where verbal information and not numerical data were used for problem analysis.
Today we have improvement over cause and effect diagram as cause and effect diagram with addition of cards (CEDAC).
Utility of this verbal based elementary statistical system can be considered responsible for the introduction of the New Seven Tools which are verbal data based (except for Matrix data analysis).
Affinity Diagram
Creative
Relational Diagram
Logical
P.D.P.C.
Arrow Diagram
SUMMARY
Cause and Effect Diagrams are:* Orderly arrangement of theories.
* Must be consistent with logical
causal relationships.
* Helpful in guiding further enquiry
and testing.
* Not a substitute for data.
Prepared by G. Vijaykumar