Documenti di Didattica
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Steve Meizinger
ISE Education
ISEoptions.com
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Required Reading
For the sake of simplicity, the examples that follow do not take into consideration commissions and other transaction fees, tax considerations, or margin requirements, which are factors that may significantly affect the economic consequences of a given strategy. An investor should review transaction costs, margin requirements and tax considerations with a broker and tax advisor before entering into any options strategy. Options involve risk and are not suitable for everyone. Prior to buying or selling an option, a person must receive a copy of CHARACTERISTICS AND RISKS OF STANDARDIZED OPTIONS. Copies have been provided for you today and may be obtained from your broker, one of the exchanges or The Options Clearing Corporation. A prospectus, which discusses the role of The Options Clearing Corporation, is also available, without charge, upon request at 1-888-OPTIONS or www.888options.com. Any strategies discussed, including examples using actual securities price data, are strictly for illustrative and educational purposes and are not to be construed as an endorsement or recommendation to buy or sell securities.
Cost of money- Interest rates less dividends Volatility- How much the asset varies during the length of the options contract
Volatility defined
Volatility is the amount of movement an underlying can exhibit, either up or down The official mathematical value of volatility is defined as the annualized deviation of stocks daily price changes
Types of Volatility
Volatility levels
Volatility generally increases during periods of falling stock prices Volatility generally decreases during periods of rising stock prices There are exceptions though, if a stock rises quickly, volatility may actually rise
Straddle
Example- One forecast: XYZ could be much higher or much lower in the future??
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Example
Stock is $22.19 Buy the 47 day 22.5 call for $1.70 and buy 47 day 22.5 put for $1.80, total debit $3.5 Implied volatility is 57%, this is the backward engineered from the trading price that is derived from the option exchanges
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Risk/Reward graph
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Profitability depends on how far the stock moves and implied volatility
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Breakeven at expiration
Straddle buyer purchases two rights, right to buy stock at $22.5 and the right to sell stock at $22.5 Upside breakeven point $22.5 + $3.5= $26.0 Downside breakeven point $22.5 - $3.5= $19
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P&L
5 3 1 0 -1 -3.5 -2.0 0 2 4
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Strangle
Another alternative strategy: Buy 47 day 25 strike call for .75 and buy 47 day 17.5 strike put for .50 Investor has the right to sell stock at 17.5 and the right to buy stock at 25 until expiration Strangle volatility purchased was an implied volatility of 58%
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Risk/reward graphs
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Profitability depends how far stock moves and the implied volatility at the time of sale of the strangle
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Risk/reward at expiry
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One concern: Implied volatility, the market forecast for future volatility is much higher than the historical volatility Economics may be too difficult? What if the volatility reverts back to 40%
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Example
Stock is $22.19 Buy the 47 day 25 call for $.75 and buy 47 day 17.5 put for $.50, total debit is $1.25
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Profitability depends on how far the underlying moves and the implied volatility when you exit the option The implied volatility purchased was approximately 58%
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Breakeven at expiration
Strangle buyer purchases two rights, right to buy stock at $25 and the right to sell stock at $17.5 Upside breakeven point is $25 + $1.25= 26.25 Downside breakeven point is $17.5 - $1.25= 16.25
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P&L 2.25 .25 0 -1.25 -1.25 -1.25 -1.25 -.25 0 1.75 3.75
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Case study
Stock up 7% Vol down 28% Original Price 1 Week later P&L
Straddle
3.5
3.2
-.30
Strangle
1.25
.90
-.35
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Straddles- higher cost, lower leverage, and the breakeven points are closer together Strangles- Lower cost, higher leverage, and the breakevens are further apart
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Summary
Investor must be predicting a large move in an underlying to enter into a long straddle or strangle Volatility can be a major factor for profitability of strangles and straddles, caution must be used as future volatility is difficult to forecast
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