HYPERGEOMETRIC

DISTRIBUTION
PREPARED BY :A.TUĞBA GÖRE
2000432033
 HYPERGEOMETRIC
DISTRIBUTION
BASİC CHARACTERİSTİCS

•It models that the total number of successes in

a size sample drawn without replacement from
a finite population.
•It differs from the binomial only in that the
population is finite and the sampling from the
population is without replacement.
•Trials are dependent
 HYPERGEOMETRIC
DISTRIBUTION

f ( X / A, B, n) =
( ) ⋅( )A
x
B
n− x
( ) A+ B
n

n= sample size
A+B=population size
A=successes in population
X=number of successes in sample
 HYPERGEOMETRIC
DISTRIBUTION
Mean , Variance and Standard Deviation

n ⋅ A⋅ B A + B − n
Var ( X ) = ⋅
( A + B ) A + B −1
2

n⋅A
µ = E( X ) =
A +B
 HYPERGEOMETRIC
DISTRIBUTION
APPROXİMATİONS
Binomial Approximation Requariments :
If A+B=N and n ≤0,05N , Binomial can be used instead of
hypergeometric distribution
Poisson Approximation Requariments:

If n ≤ 0,05 N n ≥ 20 P ≤0,05
Poisson can be used instead of hypergeometric distribution
 HYPERGEOMETRIC
DISTRIBUTION
Example 1 :A carton contains 24 light bulbs, three of which
are defective. What is the probability that, if a sample of six is
chosen at random from the carton of bulbs, x will be defective?

P( X = x) =
( ) ⋅( ) 3
x
21
6−x
( ) 24
6

P ( X = 0) =
( ) ⋅( ) 3
= 0,40316
0
21
6
( )
That is no
24
6 defective
 HYPERGEOMETRIC
DISTRIBUTION
(example continued)

P ( X = 3) =
( ) ⋅( ) 3
= 0,00988
3
21
3
( )
That is 3 will
24 be defective.
6

Example 2: Suppose that 7 balls are selected at random

without replacement from a box containing 5 red balls and 10 blue
balls .If X denotes the proportion of red balls in the sample,
what are the mean and the variance of X ?
 HYPERGEOMETRIC
DISTRIBUTION
A=5 red B=10 blue A+B =15 n=7

n⋅ A⋅B A + B −n
Var ( X ) = ⋅
( A + B) 2
A + B −1
7 ⋅ 5 ⋅ 10 15 − 7
= ⋅ = 0,8888
15 2
15 − 1
n⋅ A 7 ⋅5
E( X ) = = = 2,33
A+ B 15
 HYPERGEOMETRIC
DISTRIBUTION
Example4:Suppose that a shipment contains 5 defective items and
10 non defective items .If 7 items are selected at random without
replacement , what is the probability that at least 3 defective
items will be obtained?
N=15 (5 defective , 10 nondefective ) n=7
P ( X ≥ 3) = 1 − P ( X ≤ 2) = 1 −[ P (0) +P (1) +P ( 2)] =0,4267

P (0) =
( )5
0⋅( ) 10
=0,0186
7

( ) 15
7

P (1) =
( )5
1⋅( ) 10
=0,1631
6

( ) 15
7

P ( 2) =
( )5
2⋅( ) 10
=0,3916
5

( ) 15
7
 HYPERGEOMETRIC
DISTRIBUTION
Example 3 :If a random variable X has a hyper geometric distribution
with parameters A=8 , B=20 and n, for what value of n will Var(x) be
maximum ?
n⋅ A⋅ B A + B − n n ⋅ 8 ⋅ 20 8 + 20 − n
Var ( X ) = ⋅ = ⋅ =
( A + B) 2
A + B − 1 ( 8 + 20 ) 8 + 20 − 1
2

160n ( 28 − n )
= 2
⋅ =0 n=28 or n=0 for variance
28 27 to be maximum