Sei sulla pagina 1di 15

The Anatomy of a Stock Pitch

How to get through the Interview. . .

September 29, 2002

Agenda
Overview and Context Why is this important? How to prepare Two Approaches What to include

Putting it all together


Q&A
2

Why is this Important to You?

In a few weeks or a few months you will be sitting beside across the table from. . . You will be asked
So, what stocks do you like? What will be your answer?

How to prepare Watch the market


(WSJ, Bloomberg, CNBC)

Pick a sector you really like


(Automotive, Financial Services, Tech, Consumer Products)

Find out what the experts are saying


(4th floor Kresge trading room - Merrill Lynch/UBS Warburg research etc.)

Once you have your stock - Two Approaches

1. Top down approach


General to specific Start with the macroeconomic, move to sector, then stock specifics

Example: Stock I like is: Revlon: Cosmetic companies are defensive in the current economic environment, the sector is generally trading at a discount and Revlon is the best managed firm in the industry with a low multiple and high earnings quality Dell: Technology companies were the hardest hit in the recession, but I believe the sector will rebound in the next few quarters. Economic data indicates that commercial spending has increased and recent announcements have suggested a turnaround. Dell is currently best positioned to take advantage of the rebound as it has shifted its business in the past year to the corporate customer. The companys negative cash conversion cycles. . .
5

Once you have your stock - Two Approaches

2. Bottom up approach

Start with Stock fundamentals

Example:

Please note: these stock picks are fictitious 6

What to include Valuation Consensus earnings estimates, current price Determine relevant earnings multiples, DCF with caution, technical screens

What to include

Be brief

3 minutes is about all you want to talk

Have your facts straight

Memorize details about the firm book value, current price, 52-week range Accruals, goodwill impairment, off-balance sheet financing, recurring revenue, cash flow as % of earnings, charges, interest
8

Earnings/EBITDA Quality

Putting it all together

Organization:

General Organization

1) Name of Stock

2) Ticker

3) Latest Closing Price 4) 52-week High and Low

10

Business Summary or Strategy

4 Sentences:

Paint a vivid color to bring your stock to life Its your job to SELL Give them reasons to BUY

11

Financial Summary
- 2-3 Sentences
- Highlight trends e.g. Recently announced record 4th qtr earnings of $X, which beat Street expectations by y%. - No Accounting minutiae (lose the sale)

Catalyst
- The hook! - The core why someone should buy the stock NOW! - Should be something catchy, sexy and compelling
12

Supporting Data

P/E, EPS, Dividend Yield Only RELEVANT metrics (NO P/E for a Startup)

13

Prepare to Defend!
- Ideally 3 reasons to buy stock (just in case asked) Stick to your story , Defend it.

Don't let them get you rattled


Use data, evidence, catalysts, enthusiasm to win them over
14

Questions and Answers

15