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or policies of the
Asian Development Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data presented.
This presentation is delivered at the Asia and Pacific Forum on Poverty: Reforming Policies and Institutions for
Poverty Reduction, to be held at the Asian Development Bank, Manila, 5-9 February 2001.
Demographic Trends
Poverty, Vulnerability and Risks
Globalization: Increased Opportunities but
Increased Vulnerability
South East Asian Crisis
Transition Economies
Modernization =>process of social mobility,
migration, urbanization, and disintegration of
family and community networks; household
informal safety nets are no longer adequate
Demographic Trends 2000-2015
Total Population
Asia-Pacific and Developed Regions
2000000
1800000
1600000
1400000
Population
1200000
1000000
800000
600000
400000
200000
0
East Asia South Asia Central Asia Pacific Developed Regions
Areas
Demographic Trends 2000-2015
Population 1-14/1-19 - Children
Asia-Pacific and Developed Regions
.% total
70
population
60
50
40
Population (%)
30
20
10
0
East Asia South Asia Central Asia Pacific Developed Regions
Areas
Demographic Trends 2000-2015
Population 15-65/20-65
Asia-Pacific and Developed Regions
% total population
70
60
50
Population (%)
40
30
20
10
0
East
EastAsia
Asia South
SouthAsia
Asia Central
CentralAsia
Asia Pacific
Pacific Developed Regions
Areas
Demographic Trends 2000-2015
Population 65+ Elderly
Asia-Pacific and Developed Regions
% total population
70
60
50
Population (%)
40
30
20
10
0
East Asia South Asia Central Asia Pacific Developed Regions
Areas
Scale of Poverty in Asia
Asia and Pacific Population = 3.1 billion
900 million are poor
Almost 70% of the world’s poor are in Asia
Growing poverty impedes growth
(depressed domestic demand, lower
productivity in the long term)
Poverty more frequent in rural areas,
informal sector, women.
Vulnerability and Risks (I)
Lifecycle:
Hunger/child stunted development,
illness/injury, disability,
old age, death
Vulnerability and Risks (II)
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Killed Injured Affected Homeless
Asia and Pacific Africa Americas Europe
Poverty
Reduction
Social Protection
Table 2: Potential Social Protection Approaches by Economic Sector