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Ayo Ajayi
Population Council
Outline
SSA E K T U
------------------------------
Population Size (millions) 752 77 34 37 27
Births per 1000 Population 41 41 38 42 47
Deaths per 1000 Population 17 16 15 18 15
Annual Rate of Natural Increase 2.4 2.5 2.2 2.4 3.2
Total Fertility Rate 5.6 5.9 4.9 5.7 6.9
Population Doubling Time (yrs) 29
Contraceptive Prevalence Rate 21 6 32 20 18
Infant deaths per 1000 births 94 100 77 120 88
% Urban 34 15 36 32 12
% 15-49 with HIV/AIDS 7.4 4.4 6.7 7.0 7.1
% living below $2 per day 75 78 58 73 97
Source: PRD 2005 World Population Data Sheet
Maternal Mortality
84
67 66
39 37 35
32
26
10 11
20
5 5
1 1
Source: Save the Children and Population Reference Bureau, Healthy Mothers and Healthy Newborns: The Vital
Link (April 2002).
Skilled Care at Delivery and Maternal Deaths
Regional Comparisons, 1995
Source: PRB, using data from Maternal Mortality in 1995: Estimates Developed by WHO, UNICEF, and UNFPA,
2001.
Causes of Maternal Deaths
Miscarriages
and Stillbirths
15%
Induced
Abortions Live Births
22% 63%
Note: The percentages are based on a 1996 UN projection of 210 million pregnancies for 1999.
Source: Alan Guttmacher Institute, Sharing Responsibility: Women, Society, and Abortion Worldwide, 1999.
Contraceptive Methods, Sub-Saharan Africa
Married Women 15 to 49 Using Contraception, 2004
IUD
Condom
3%
8%
Other
Modern
Any Injectables 5%
20%
Method
Rhythm
No 27% 16%
Method Pill
73% 21%
Withdrawal
5%
Other
Female Traditional
Sterilization 11%
11%
Source: Population Reference Bureau, Family Planning Worldwide 2004 Data Sheet.
Note: Percentage may exceed 100 due to rounding
Contraceptive Shortfall, Developing Countries
Gap in Funding for Contraceptives and Condoms for AIDS Prevention
2
US$1.8 Billion
1.5
1
US$811 Million
US$739 Million
0.5
US$332 Million
US$154 Million
0
2000 2005 2010 2015
Cost of supplies Expected donor funding Actual donor funding in 2000: US$154 million
88
82 83
75
63 64
59
55
37
28 27
22
Cameroon Côte d'Ivoire Kenya 1998 Malawi 2000 Rwanda 2000 Uganda
1998 1998 2000/2001
Female Male
Note: The figure presents the percentage of respondents who reported symptoms suggestive of STIs in the last 12
months who sought care at a service provider with personnel trained in STI care.
Source: ORC Macro, Demographic and Health Surveys.
HIV/AIDS
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
1981 1986 1991 1996 2001
*North America, Europe (except Eastern Europe), Japan, Australia, and New Zealand.
**Eastern Europe, Central Asia, Middle East, and North Africa.
Source: UNAIDS, “Twenty Years of HIV/AIDS: Fact Sheet,” 2002, and unpublished data.
HIV/AIDS Demographics, Africa/Rest of the world
Children
Children
9%
3%
Men
38%
Women
30%
Men
Women
66%
53%
97 98 97
94
90 91
48
32
22
16
Source: Special tabulations of Demographic and Health Survey data for 1989-2000 by Principia International,
Inc., and published data from ORC Macro.
Early Marriage
80
70
60
50
marr-15
40
marr-18
30
20
10
0
Ug Ken Ethp Tz
Source: DHS data, www.measuredhs.com
What do we know about
married adolescent girls?
High levels of unprotected sex
Large age gaps with sexual partners
Are under pressure to become pregnant
Highly limited or even absent peer networks
Restricted social mobility/freedom of movement
Little access to modern media (TV, radio,
newspapers)
Limited educational attainment and no schooling
options
Social factors
Isolation
100%
18.3 13
20.8 27.2
Unmarried
80%
Married
60%
40% 81.7 87
79.2 72.8
20%
0%
South & East West Africa LAC Asia &
Africa Middle East
(est.)
70 60.8
59.8
60
50
41.4
Percentage
40 Married
30 Unmarried
16.4
20 13.2
11.1
10
0
South and East West Africa Latin America and
Africa Caribbean
Tanzania 39.3 na
50
43.2 Unmarried, Kisumu
0
HIV Prevalence HSV-2 Prevalence