La sociologia

del voto:
le identità
politiche
Dati: analisi CISE 2018
Analisi Monovariata: identificazione con i
partiti

Frequenze ass. Percentuali Cumulate

No 1317 40.93 40.93

Yes 1901 59.07 100
Total 3218 100
 Identificazione con un partito
Frequenze ass. Percentuali Cumulate

No party identification 1317 40.93 40.93

Pd 381 11.84 52.77
M5S 601 18.68 71.44
Fi 255 7.92 79.37
Lega 330 10.25 89.62
Fdi 105 3.26 92.88
Leu 64 1.99 94.87
+Eur 65 2.02 96.89
Other party 100 3.11 100
Total 3218 100
Identificazione ad un partito per età

  18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65+ TOTAL

No 47.3 43.4 41.04 38.4 36.82 40.93

Yes 52.7 56.6 58.96 61.6 63.18 59.07

TOTAL 100 100 100 100 100 100

 Percentuali Cumulate
0 5.64 5.64
1 3.3 8.94
Auto 2 4.42 13.36
identificazione 3
4
10.24
7.66
23.6
31.26
nell’asse sx-dx 5 28.74 59.99
(0 estrema 6 6.63 66.63
sinistra 10 7 9.4 76.03
estrema destra) 8 7.41 83.44
9 3.58 87.02
10 12.98 100
Total 100
 Istogramma auto
identificazione asse
sx-dx
   No Yes TOTAL
Vicinanza ad 0 1.34 4.30 5.64
1 1.25 1.93 3.18
un partito con 2 1.59 2.83 4.42
l’autoidentifica 3 3.89 6.35 10.2
zione nell’asse 4 3.99 3.67 7.66
sx-dx 5 15.55 13.22 28.77

(0 estrema 6 3.30 3.33 6.64

7 3.64 5.76 9.41
sinistra 8 2.27 5.14 7.41
10 estrema 9 1.02 2.55 3.58
destra) 10 2.96 10.04 13
TOTAL 40.84 59.16 100
 Autoidentificazione sx-dx per mobilitazione
cognitiva
  0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 TOTAL

Low 46.93 42.45 50.7 48.02 57.2 67.93 48.36 58.61 46.64 70.43 65.23 58.28

High 53.07 57.55 49.3 51.98 42.8 32.07 51.64 41.39 53.36 29.57 34.77 41.72

TOTAL 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Analisi bivariata: istruzione e
autocollocazione sx dx
Less Than Primary, Upper Secondary And
  Primary And Lower Post-Secondary Non- Tertiary Education TOTAL
Secondary Education Tertiary Education
0 4.56 6.809 6.114 5.635
1 2.671 2.953 6.332 3.3
2 4.3 3.61 6.987 4.421
3 8.469 11.73 12.23 10.24
4 6.84 7.055 12.01 7.659
5 30.1 28.79 24.02 28.74
6 5.993 7.219 7.205 6.631
7 9.772 9.68 7.424 9.402
8 5.407 9.598 8.297 7.41
9 4.691 3.117 1.092 3.58
10 17.2 9.434 8.297 12.98
TOTAL 100 100 100 100
Bivariata: classe sociale e autocollocazione
sx dx
Working Lower Upper Refuses To Dk/Refuse To
  Middle Class Upper Class TOTAL
Class Middle Class Middle Class Be Classified Be Classified

0 8.802 3.193 5.74 9.333 0 NA 1.37 5.635

1 2.453 3.079 2.492 12 18.18 NA 4.795 3.3
2 4.473 4.561 4.003 9.333 4.545 NA 2.055 4.421
3 6.638 13.23 10.95 8 0 NA 6.849 10.24
4 7.215 7.07 7.931 5.333 0 NA 14.38 7.659
5 35.21 25.09 27.57 20 9.091 NA 42.47 28.74
6 3.175 6.499 8.761 8 0 NA 4.11 6.631
7 6.494 9.122 12.39 0 0 NA 8.904 9.402
8 3.175 11.06 7.251 6 0 NA 9.589 7.41
9 3.896 2.623 3.927 8.667 0 NA 0 3.58
10 18.47 14.48 8.988 13.33 68.18 NA 5.479 12.98
TOTAL 100 100 100 100 100 NA 100 100
Bivariata: zona geografica e autocollocazione
sx dx
  Nord Zona Rossa Sud TOTAL
0 5.434 8.813 4.568 5.635
1 2.676 4.496 3.373 3.3
2 4.461 7.014 3.373 4.421
3 11.35 14.57 7.59 10.24
4 8.11 5.396 8.152 7.659
5 25.87 26.08 32.26 28.74
6 6.65 7.734 6.184 6.631
7 11.68 6.475 8.573 9.402
8 8.029 7.374 6.887 7.41
9 3.244 3.597 3.865 3.58
10 12.49 8.453 15.18 12.98
TOTAL 100 100 100 100
Bivariata: sesso e autocollocazione sx dx
  Male Female TOTAL
0 6.061 5.238 5.635
1 3.095 3.492 3.3
2 3.868 4.937 4.421
3 11.03 9.512 10.24
4 6.512 8.73 7.659
5 28.82 28.66 28.74
6 9.026 4.395 6.631
7 9.349 9.452 9.402
8 7.737 7.104 7.41
9 2.321 4.756 3.58
10 12.19 13.73 12.98
TOTAL 100 100 100
Bivariata: frequentazione chiesa e
autocollocazione sx dx
Several Times At Least Once A Few Times A Once A Year
  Once A Week Never TOTAL
A Week A Month Year Or Less
0 1.587 2.469 1.953 3.589 6.391 11.63 5.635
1 2.116 4.586 7.422 0.9699 0 5.205 3.3
2 4.233 4.938 1.953 3.783 3.759 5.759 4.421
3 11.64 8.466 11.33 10.67 6.015 11.52 10.24
4 9.524 9.877 5.078 5.432 7.895 9.081 7.659
5 30.16 23.1 29.69 30.84 24.06 30.68 28.74
6 2.116 11.99 9.766 6.402 7.143 3.433 6.631
7 5.291 10.41 13.67 11.54 12.03 5.205 9.402
8 5.291 7.231 5.078 7.759 12.78 6.645 7.41
9 5.82 5.115 0 4.559 5.263 1.55 3.58
10 22.22 11.82 14.06 14.45 14.66 9.302 12.98
TOTAL 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Regressione: età e autocollocazione sx dx
  18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65+ TOTAL
0 3.348 6.349 5.666 4.706 6.746 5.635
1 4.688 1.587 1.072 1.961 6.627 3.3
2 2.455 3.307 4.9 4.51 6.036 4.421
3 13.39 7.54 7.351 10.2 13.25 10.24
4 10.94 4.894 4.135 10.78 9.231 7.659
5 32.37 32.8 34.61 32.16 16.57 28.74
6 7.143 8.862 4.594 6.863 5.799 6.631
7 7.143 8.862 9.342 11.76 9.704 9.402
8 7.366 7.804 8.729 4.706 7.692 7.41
9 3.125 2.91 3.216 1.176 6.154 3.58
10 8.036 15.08 16.39 11.18 12.19 12.98
TOTAL 100 100 100 100 100 100
Bivariata: mobilitazione cognitiva e
autocollocazione sx dx
Low cognitive mobilization High cognitive mobilization
  TOTAL
(0-0.5) (0.51-1)
0 4.494 7.1 5.582
1 2.408 4.559 3.305
2 3.852 5.232 4.428
3 8.454 12.78 10.26
4 7.437 7.773 7.577
5 33.55 22.12 28.78
6 5.511 8.221 6.642
7 9.47 9.342 9.417
8 5.939 9.492 7.421
9 4.334 2.541 3.586
10 14.55 10.84 13
TOTAL 100 100 100
Bivariata: settore lavorativo e
autocollocazione sx dx
Public Private Never
  Agriculture Industry Other Not asked TOTAL
Services Services Worked
0 0 8.777 5.263 5.043 10.53 5.65 3.25 5.635
1 0 5.329 6.14 1.476 2.193 2.825 3.684 3.3
2 20.59 4.702 4.605 4.92 2.412 5.085 3.467 4.421
3 1.471 15.05 14.47 8.856 11.4 7.345 8.342 10.24
4 0 4.702 5.263 8.856 5.702 12.43 9.426 7.659
5 19.12 20.38 29.82 27.43 33.77 30.51 30.12 28.74
6 0 4.389 6.798 6.642 6.798 6.78 7.692 6.631
7 2.941 13.17 5.702 9.594 9.43 13.56 9.426 9.402
8 14.71 9.718 7.018 8.856 3.728 1.13 8.017 7.41
9 8.824 0 2.632 3.321 2.851 7.345 4.767 3.58
10 32.35 13.79 12.28 15.01 11.18 7.345 11.81 12.98
TOTAL 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Bivariata: grandezza città e autocollocazione
sx dx
Rural Area Or A Small Or Middle The Suburbs Of A A Large Town Or
  TOTAL
Village Sized Town Large Town Or City City
0 1.416 5.457 3.562 10.77 5.635
1 4.248 2.919 2.545 3.835 3.3
2 3.363 4.505 4.071 5.31 4.421
3 12.57 11.61 6.616 7.227 10.24
4 8.142 9.01 5.089 5.605 7.659
5 33.63 26.08 32.57 28.61 28.74
6 3.717 8.439 9.16 3.392 6.631
7 11.68 9.772 7.125 7.965 9.402
8 8.142 8.185 3.817 7.08 7.41
9 0.885 2.475 8.142 5.752 3.58
10 12.21 11.55 17.3 14.45 12.98
TOTAL 100 100 100 100 100
 maingeoZona Rossa -0.618*** (0.139)
maingeoSud 0.204 (0.107)
genderFemale 0.081 (0.096)
age_class30-44 0.595*** (0.163)
age_class45-54 0.374* (0.173)
age_class55-64 -0.150 (0.181)
age_class65+ -0.225 (0.168)
education2. Upper Secondary And Post-Secondary Non-
-0.782*** (0.171)
Tertiary Education
education3. Tertiary Education -1.571*** (0.239)
cogmob2High cognitive mobilization (0.51-1) 0.344* (0.173)
clasself2. Lower Middle Class 0.353* (0.138)

Regressione clasself3. Middle Class

clasself4. Upper Middle Class
0.221 (0.133)
-0.082 (0.252)

Multipla
clasself5. Upper Class 2.771*** (0.596)
clasself88. Dk/Refuse To Be Classified -0.052 (0.251)
townsize2. A Small Or Middle Sized Town -0.016 (0.134)
townsize3. The Suburbs Of A Large Town Or City 0.251 (0.179)
townsize4. A Large Town Or City -0.121 (0.159)
Constant 5.466*** (0.216)

Observations 3,207
R 2
0.052
Adjusted R 2
0.047
Residual Std. Error 2.682 (df = 3188)
F Statistic 9.773*** (df = 18; 3188)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
Regressione: Partito Democratico
Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto al PD

gender 0.271* (0.131)
age_class 0.258*** (0.049)
townsize -0.050 (0.066)
church -0.187*** (0.041)
education 0.723*** (0.100)
clasself 0.232*** (0.054)
Constant 0.601 (0.414)

Observations 2,938
R2 0.042
Adjusted R2 0.040
Residual Std. Error 3.522 (df = 2931)
F Statistic 21.263*** (df = 6; 2931)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto al PD

gender 0.303* (0.121)
age_class 0.158*** (0.046)
townsize -0.014 (0.061)
church -0.316*** (0.038)
education 0.419*** (0.093)
clasself 0.219*** (0.050)
lrself_10 -0.487*** (0.022)
Constant 4.514*** (0.421)

Observations 2,938
R2 0.182
Adjusted R2 0.180
Residual Std. Error 3.256 (df = 2930)
F Statistic 92.901*** (df = 7; 2930)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di votare PD

gender 0.161 (0.098)

age_class -0.090* (0.038)
townsize 0.037 (0.050)
church -0.204*** (0.031)
education 0.391*** (0.076)
clasself 0.182*** (0.041)
lrself_10 -0.198*** (0.022)
pidpart1. Pd 5.429*** (0.168)
pidpart2. M5S -1.582*** (0.135)
pidpart3. Fi -0.538** (0.196)
pidpart4. Lega -1.181*** (0.176)
pidpart5. Fdi -1.247*** (0.281)
pidpart6. Leu 0.619 (0.347)
pidpart7. +Eur 2.640*** (0.343)
pidpart66. Other party -1.324*** (0.281)
Constant 3.342*** (0.352)

Observations 2,934
R2 0.473
Adjusted R2 0.470
Residual Std. Error 2.618 (df = 2918)
F Statistic 174.447*** (df = 15; 2918)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
Regressione: Movimento 5 Stelle
Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto M5S

gender -0.887*** (0.145)
age_class -0.469*** (0.054)
townsize 0.089 (0.073)
church -0.136** (0.046)
education 0.265* (0.110)
clasself -0.109 (0.059)
Constant 6.977*** (0.456)

Observations 2,947
R2 0.051
Adjusted R2 0.049
Residual Std. Error 3.909 (df = 2940)
F Statistic 26.286*** (df = 6; 2940)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto M5S

gender -0.895*** (0.145)
age_class -0.457*** (0.055)
townsize 0.091 (0.073)
church -0.126** (0.046)
education 0.289** (0.112)
clasself -0.111 (0.059)
lrself_10 0.041 (0.026)
Constant 6.652*** (0.502)

Observations 2,942
R2 0.052
Adjusted R2 0.049
Residual Std. Error 3.909 (df = 2934)
F Statistic 22.780*** (df = 7; 2934)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto M5S

gender -0.526*** (0.109)
age_class -0.207*** (0.043)
townsize -0.010 (0.055)
church -0.110** (0.035)
education 0.349*** (0.085)
clasself -0.055 (0.045)
lrself_10 0.143*** (0.024)
pidpart1. Pd -0.712*** (0.186)
pidpart2. M5S 5.959*** (0.153)
pidpart3. Fi -1.268*** (0.216)
pidpart4. Lega -1.453*** (0.198)
pidpart5. Fdi -1.577*** (0.314)
pidpart6. Leu -1.291*** (0.390)
pidpart7. +Eur -1.385*** (0.383)
pidpart66. Other party -0.235 (0.314)
Constant 4.022*** (0.391)

Observations 2,938
R2 0.470
Adjusted R2 0.468
Residual Std. Error 2.926 (df = 2922)
F Statistic 172.906*** (df = 15; 2922)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
Regressione: Forza Italia
Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto FI

gender 0.159 (0.134)

age_class -0.240*** (0.050)
townsize 0.067 (0.068)
church -0.479*** (0.042)
education -0.440*** (0.102)
clasself -0.068 (0.055)
Constant 6.277*** (0.424)

Observations 2,977
R2 0.050
Adjusted R2 0.048
Residual Std. Error 3.634 (df = 2970)
F Statistic 26.131*** (df = 6; 2970)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto FI

gender 0.145 (0.113)

age_class -0.083 (0.043)
townsize 0.020 (0.057)
church -0.276*** (0.036)
education 0.007 (0.087)
clasself -0.052 (0.047)
lrself_10 0.717*** (0.020)
Constant 0.413 (0.393)

Observations 2,972
R2 0.330
Adjusted R2 0.328
Residual Std. Error 3.054 (df = 2964)
F Statistic 208.484*** (df = 7; 2964)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto FI

gender -0.139 (0.099)

age_class -0.202*** (0.039)
townsize 0.047 (0.050)
church -0.282*** (0.032)
education -0.004 (0.076)
clasself -0.067 (0.041)
lrself_10 0.508*** (0.022)
pidpart1. Pd 0.174 (0.169)
pidpart2. M5S -1.191*** (0.136)
pidpart3. Fi 5.156*** (0.197)
pidpart4. Lega 1.811*** (0.180)
pidpart5. Fdi 0.971*** (0.288)
pidpart6. Leu 0.226 (0.351)
pidpart7. +Eur 0.314 (0.347)
pidpart66. Other party -0.315 (0.289)
Constant 1.929*** (0.357)

Observations 2,968
R2 0.495
Adjusted R2 0.492
Residual Std. Error 2.657 (df = 2952)
F Statistic 192.809*** (df = 15; 2952)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
Regressione: lega Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto LEGA

gender -0.123 (0.142)

age_class 0.022 (0.053)
townsize -0.121 (0.072)
church -0.226*** (0.045)
education -0.278* (0.108)
clasself -0.119* (0.058)
Constant 5.335*** (0.452)

Observations 2,951
R2 0.016
Adjusted R2 0.014
Residual Std. Error 3.839 (df = 2944)
F Statistic 8.072*** (df = 6; 2944)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto LEGA

gender -0.138 (0.117)

age_class 0.204*** (0.044)
townsize -0.174** (0.059)
church -0.013 (0.037)
education 0.222* (0.090)
clasself -0.091 (0.047)
lrself_10 0.799*** (0.021)
Constant -1.180** (0.409)

Observations 2,946
R2 0.339
Adjusted R2 0.337
Residual Std. Error 3.150 (df = 2938)
F Statistic 215.062*** (df = 7; 2938)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile Dipendente

Probabilità di voto LEGA

gender -0.127 (0.104)

age_class 0.122** (0.040)
townsize -0.092 (0.052)
church -0.109** (0.033)
education 0.072 (0.080)
clasself -0.114** (0.042)
lrself_10 0.570*** (0.023)
pidpart1. Pd 0.219 (0.175)
pidpart2. M5S -0.040 (0.143)
pidpart3. Fi 1.136*** (0.205)
pidpart4. Lega 5.428*** (0.193)
pidpart5. Fdi 1.941*** (0.303)
pidpart6. Leu -0.011 (0.367)
pidpart7. +Eur 0.775* (0.362)
pidpart66. Other party 1.411*** (0.301)
Constant 0.019 (0.375)

Observations 2,942
R2 0.489
Adjusted R2 0.486
Residual Std. Error 2.774 (df = 2926)
F Statistic 186.680*** (df = 15; 2926)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
Regressione: Fratelli d’Italia
Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto FdI

gender -0.168 (0.125)

age_class 0.129** (0.047)
townsize -0.059 (0.063)
church -0.251*** (0.039)
education 0.064 (0.096)
clasself -0.042 (0.052)
Constant 3.578*** (0.394)

Observations 2,959
R2 0.019
Adjusted R2 0.017
Residual Std. Error 3.370 (df = 2952)
F Statistic 9.433*** (df = 6; 2952)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto FdI

gender -0.215* (0.106)
age_class 0.276*** (0.040)
townsize -0.084 (0.054)
church -0.081* (0.034)
education 0.462*** (0.082)
clasself -0.018 (0.044)
lrself_10 0.646*** (0.019)
Constant -1.661*** (0.369)

Observations 2,954
R2 0.291
Adjusted R2 0.290
Residual Std. Error 2.865 (df = 2946)
F Statistic 172.901*** (df = 7; 2946)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto FdI

gender -0.276** (0.100)
age_class 0.175*** (0.039)
townsize -0.096 (0.051)
church -0.092** (0.032)
education 0.298*** (0.078)
clasself -0.045 (0.041)
lrself_10 0.514*** (0.022)
pidpart1. Pd 0.349* (0.169)
pidpart2. M5S -0.564*** (0.139)
pidpart3. Fi 0.929*** (0.199)
pidpart4. Lega 1.309*** (0.181)
pidpart5. Fdi 5.615*** (0.311)
pidpart6. Leu 0.027 (0.355)
pidpart7. +Eur 0.362 (0.350)
pidpart66. Other party 1.219*** (0.292)
Constant -0.489 (0.360)

Observations 2,950
R2 0.382
Adjusted R2 0.378
Residual Std. Error 2.682 (df = 2934)
F Statistic 120.673*** (df = 15; 2934)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
Regressione: Liberi e Uguali Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto LeU

gender 0.102 (0.112)

age_class 0.045 (0.042)
townsize 0.052 (0.057)
church 0.035 (0.035)
education 0.751*** (0.085)
clasself 0.063 (0.045)
Constant 0.149 (0.356)

Observations 2,905
R2 0.033
Adjusted R2 0.031
Residual Std. Error 2.987 (df = 2898)
F Statistic 16.657*** (df = 6; 2898)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto LeU

gender 0.102 (0.106)

age_class -0.039 (0.040)
townsize 0.090 (0.054)
church -0.058 (0.034)
education 0.520*** (0.082)
clasself 0.053 (0.043)
lrself_10 -0.343*** (0.019)
Constant 2.986*** (0.371)

Observations 2,900
R2 0.131
Adjusted R2 0.128
Residual Std. Error 2.829 (df = 2892)
F Statistic 62.008*** (df = 7; 2892)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto LeU

gender 0.060 (0.100)

age_class -0.112** (0.039)
Townsize 0.086 (0.051)
Church -0.074* (0.032)
Education 0.415*** (0.077)
Clasself 0.019 (0.040)
lrself_10 -0.190*** (0.022)
pidpart1. Pd 0.947*** (0.168)
pidpart2. M5S -0.512*** (0.138)
pidpart3. Fi -0.243 (0.197)
pidpart4. Lega -0.889*** (0.178)
pidpart5. Fdi -0.943** (0.287)
pidpart6. Leu 5.741*** (0.370)
pidpart7. +Eur 4.074*** (0.350)
pidpart66. Other party -0.269 (0.284)
Constant 2.727*** (0.360)

Observations 2,896
R2 0.249
Adjusted R2 0.245
Residual Std. Error 2.635 (df = 2880)
F Statistic 63.629*** (df = 15; 2880)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
Regressione: +Europa
Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto piueur

gender 0.459*** (0.114)
age_class 0.133** (0.043)
townsize -0.055 (0.058)
church 0.011 (0.036)
education 0.607*** (0.087)
clasself 0.105* (0.047)
Constant -0.075 (0.362)

Observations 2,906
R2 0.025
Adjusted R2 0.023
Residual Std. Error 3.050 (df = 2899)
F Statistic 12.615*** (df = 6; 2899)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto piueur

gender 0.462*** (0.108)
age_class 0.049 (0.041)
townsize -0.025 (0.055)
church -0.070* (0.034)
education 0.369*** (0.084)
clasself 0.101* (0.045)
lrself_10 -0.341*** (0.019)
Constant 2.703*** (0.377)

Observations 2,898
R2 0.118
Adjusted R2 0.116
Residual Std. Error 2.896 (df = 2890)
F Statistic 55.154*** (df = 7; 2890)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità di voto piueur

gender 0.318** (0.098)
age_class -0.078* (0.039)
townsize -0.027 (0.050)
church -0.045 (0.032)
education 0.357*** (0.076)
clasself 0.041 (0.041)
lrself_10 -0.124*** (0.022)
pidpart1. Pd 2.465*** (0.167)
pidpart2. M5S -0.966*** (0.135)
pidpart3. Fi -0.313 (0.192)
pidpart4. Lega -0.947*** (0.176)
pidpart5. Fdi -1.274*** (0.295)
pidpart6. Leu 1.888*** (0.349)
pidpart7. +Eur 6.270*** (0.340)
pidpart66. Other party -0.885** (0.280)
Constant 2.123*** (0.351)

Observations 2,894
R2 0.294
Adjusted R2 0.291
Residual Std. Error 2.595 (df = 2878)
F Statistic 80.068*** (df = 15; 2878)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
Regressione: Astensionismo Variabile dipendente

Probabilità ast

gender 0.315* (0.125)
age_class -0.470*** (0.047)
townsize 0.180** (0.063)
church -0.126** (0.040)
education -0.803*** (0.096)
clasself -0.065 (0.049)
Constant 5.914*** (0.400)

Observations 3,210
R2 0.045
Adjusted R2 0.043
Residual Std. Error 3.525 (df = 3203)
F Statistic 25.057*** (df = 6; 3203)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità ast

gender 0.312* (0.125)
age_class -0.487*** (0.048)
townsize 0.184** (0.063)
church -0.138*** (0.040)
education -0.847*** (0.097)
clasself -0.062 (0.049)
lrself_10 -0.061** (0.023)
Constant 6.409*** (0.441)

Observations 3,202
R2 0.047
Adjusted R2 0.045
Residual Std. Error 3.522 (df = 3194)
F Statistic 22.612*** (df = 7; 3194)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001
 Variabile dipendente

Probabilità ast

gender 0.107 (0.120)

age_class -0.403*** (0.047)
townsize 0.173** (0.060)
church -0.116** (0.039)
education -0.647*** (0.094)
clasself -0.048 (0.047)
lrself_10 -0.040 (0.027)
pidpart1. Pd -2.241*** (0.209)
pidpart2. M5S -2.325*** (0.167)
pidpart3. Fi -1.655*** (0.241)
pidpart4. Lega -2.306*** (0.221)
pidpart5. Fdi -2.277*** (0.356)
pidpart6. Leu -1.902*** (0.441)
pidpart7. +Eur -3.092*** (0.436)
pidpart66. Other party -2.381*** (0.351)
Constant 7.227*** (0.436)

Observations 3,198
R2 0.141
Adjusted R2 0.137
Residual Std. Error 3.350 (df = 3182)
F Statistic 34.718*** (df = 15; 3182)

Note: p<0.05; p<0.01; p<0.001