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AND ECONOMICS
Chapter 1
Statistics, Data, &
Statistical Thinking
CONTENTS
• Economics • Engineering
• Forecasting • Construction
• Demographics • Materials
• Sports • Business
• Individual & Team • Consumer Preferences
Performance • Financial Trends
STATISTICS: TWO
PROCESSES
Describing sets of data
and
Drawing conclusions
(making estimates, decisions,
predictions, etc. about sets of data
based on sampling)
STATISTICAL METHODS
Statistical
Methods
Descriptive Inferential
Statistics Statistics
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
1. Involves
• Collecting Data
• Presenting Data $
• Characterizing Data 50
2. Purpose
• Describe Data
25
0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
X = 30.5 S2 = 113
INFERENTIAL STATISTICS
1. Involves
• Estimation Population?
• Hypothesis
Testing
2. Purpose
• Make
decisions
about
population
characteristics
1.3
Fundamental Elements
of Statistics
FUNDAMENTAL
ELEMENTS
1. Experimental unit • P in Population
• Object upon which we collect data & Parameter
2. Population • S in Sample
• All items of interest & Statistic
3. Variable
• Characteristic of an individual
experimental unit
4. Sample
• Subset of the units of a population
FUNDAMENTAL
ELEMENTS
1. Statistical Inference
• Estimate or prediction or generalization about a
population based on information contained in a
sample
2. Measure of Reliability
• Statement (usually qualified) about the degree
of uncertainty associated with a statistical
inference
FOUR ELEMENTS OF
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICAL
PROBLEMS
1. The population or sample of interest
2. One or more variables (characteristics of the
population or sample units) that are to be
investigated
3. Tables, graphs, or numerical summary tools
4. Identification of patterns in the data
FIVE ELEMENTS OF
INFERENTIAL STATISTICAL
PROBLEMS
1. The population of interest
2. One or more variables (characteristics of the
population units) that are to be investigated
3. The sample of population units
4. The inference about the population based on
information contained in the sample
5. A measure of reliability for the inference
1.4
Processes
PROCESS
A process is a series of actions or operations that
transforms inputs to outputs. A process produces or
generates output over time.
Types of Data
TYPES OF DATA
Types of
Data
Quantitative Qualitative
Data Data
QUANTITATIVE DATA
Measured on a numeric scale.
• Number of defective
4
items in a lot. 943
• Salaries of CEOs of
oil companies. 21 52
• Ages of employees at
a company. 120 12
8
71 3
QUALITATIVE DATA
Classified into categories.
• College major of each
student in a class.
• Gender of each employee
at a company.
• Method of payment
(cash, check, credit card).
$ Credit
1.6
Collecting Data
OBTAINING DATA
2. Need Statistical
Understanding
• Assumptions
• Limitations
KEY IDEAS
Types of Statistical Applications
Descriptive
1. Identify population and sample (collection
of experimental units)
2. Identify variable(s)
3. Collect data
4. Describe data
KEY IDEAS
Types of Statistical Applications
Inferential
1. Identify population (collection of all
experimental units)
2. Identify variable(s)
3. Collect sample data (subset of population)
4. Inference about population based on sample
5. Measure of reliability for inference
KEY IDEAS
Types of Data
Data-Collection Methods
1. Observational
2. Published source
3. Survey
4. Designed experiment
KEY IDEAS
1. Selection bias
2. Nonresponse bias
3. Measurement error