Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Distributions
Dr. Hanan Hammouri
1
Discrete Uniform Distribution
•Conditions
to use it.
Used if we have equally likely outcomes
consecutive integers
Definition
A random variable of a, a+1,…, b where
these values are consecutive integers then
for x=a ,a+1,…,b
2
Discrete Uniform Distribution
3
Discrete Uniform Distribution
•
Example
99/12
4
Discrete Uniform Distribution
5
Binomial Distribution
Definition
6
Binomial Distribution
7
Binomial Distribution
8
Binomial Distribution
9
Binomial Distribution
Example
10
Binomial Distribution
Example
11
Binomial Distribution
Example
12
Binomial Distribution
You’re a telemarketer selling service
contracts for a certain store. You’ve
sold 20 in your last 100 calls (p = .20).
If you call 12 people tonight, what’s
the probability of
A. No sales?
B. Exactly 2 sales?
C. At most 2 sales?
D. At least 2 sales?
13
Binomial Distribution
n = 12, p = .20
A. p(0) = .0687
B. p(2) = .2835
C. p(at most 2) = p(0) + p(1) + p(2)
= .0687 + .2062 + .2835
= .5584
D. p(at least 2) = p(2) + p(3)...+ p(12)
= 1 – [p(0) + p(1)]
= 1 – .0687 – .2062
= .7251
14
Hypergeometric Distribution
Definition
15
Hypergeometric Distribution
16
Hypergeometric Distribution
Example
17
Hypergeometric Distribution
Example
18
Hypergeometric Distribution
Example
• Find the expected value and variance:
• N=300
• K=100
• n=4 then p=100/300=1/3
• E(X)=4/3
• Var(X)=8/9*296/299=.88
19
Poisson Distribution
1. When to use: Number of events that occur in an interval
• events per unit
— Time, Length, Area, Space
2. Examples
• Number of customers arriving in 20 minutes
• Number of strikes per year in the U.S.
• Number of defects per lot (group) of DVD’s
• Number of machines that break down in a day
• Number of units sold in a week
• Number of people arriving at a bank teller per hour
• Number of telephone calls to customer support per
hour
20
Poisson Distribution
Definition
A variable follows a Poisson distribution if the following
conditions are met:
• Data are counts of events (nonnegative integers with no
upper bound).
• All events are independent.
• mean rate does not change over the period of interest.
And should be known.
21
Poisson Distribution
22
Poisson Distribution
Example
23
Poisson Distribution
Example
24
Poisson Distribution Example
Customers arrive at a rate of 72 per hour. What is
the probability of 4 customers arriving in 3
minutes?
72 Per Hr.
1.2 Per Min.
3.6 Per 3 Min. Interval
-
e
x
p( x)
x!
3.6
4 -3.6
e
p(4) .1912
4! 25
Poisson Distribution Solution
72 Per Hr. = 1.2 Per Min. = 3.6 Per 3 Min. Interval
-
e
x
p ( x)
x!
3.6
4 -3.6
e
p (4) .1912
4!
26