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and Research Design

An Introduction to Statistics
chapter one

© Copyright 2016 by Macmillan Education. All rights reserved.


In This Chapter

• The Two Branches of Statistics


• How to Transform Observations into
Variables
• Variables and Research

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• Introduction to Hypothesis Testing
Two Branches of Statistics

Descriptive Inferential
statistics statistics
• Organize, • Use sample
summarize, data to make

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and general
communicate estimates
numerical about the larger
information population
Samples and Populations

• A population is a collection of all possible


members of a defined group.
– Could be any size

• A sample is a set of observations drawn from

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a subset of the population of interest.
– A portion of the population

• Sample results are used to estimate the


population.
Distinguishing Between a Population and
a Sample
• Population of the world
– Population of United States or sample from
the world
• Population of our school or sample from our
country

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– Population of our class or sample from our school
Variables

• Observations that
can take on a range
of values.

• An example:

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Reaction time in the
Stroop Task
– The time to say the
colors compared to
the time to say the
word
Stroop Demonstration

• Look at the following words and say each


word as quickly as you can:

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RED
WHITE

GREEN

BROWN

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Stroop Demonstration, cont.

• Now look at the following words and say


the color of the font, not what the word
says, as quickly as you can.

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RED
WHITE

GREEN

BROWN

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Stroop Test

• Why is the Stroop test hard?


– It seems we have a hard time inhibiting our
reading of the word!

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Types of Variables

• Discrete
– Variables that can only take on specific values;
no other values can exist between these
numbers (e.g., whole numbers)
• How many letters are in your name?

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• Continuous
– Variables that can take on a full range of values;
an infinite number of potential values exists
• How tall are you?
More Classification of Variables

• Discrete observations
– Nominal: Category or name
– Ordinal: Used for observations that have data
rankings

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• Continuous observations
– Interval: Used with numbers that are equally
spaced
– Ratio: Like interval, but has a meaningful zero
point
Examples of Variables

• Nominal: Name of cookies


• Ordinal: Ranking of favorite cookies
• Interval: Temperature of cookies
• Ratio: How many cookies are left?

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• What kind of data does our Stroop test
give us? Interval or ratio?
Quantifying Our Observations
• There are four types of variables that researchers can use
to quantify their observations. Two of them, nominal and
ordinal, are always discrete. Interval variables can be
discrete or continuous; ratio variables are almost always
continuous. (Interval variables and ratio variables are
often referred to as “scale variables”)

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Discrete Continuous
Nominal Always Never
Ordinal Always Never
Interval Sometimes Sometimes
Ratio Seldom Almost Always
Variables and Research
• Independent
– Variable that you manipulate or categorize; has at
least two levels

• Dependent
– Variable that you measure; it is related to or caused

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by changes in independent variable

• Confounding
– Variable that you try to control or randomize away
– Confounds your other measures!
Reliability and Validity

• A reliable measure is consistent.


– Measure your height today and then again
tomorrow.

• A valid measure is one that measures what

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it was intended to measure.
– A measuring tape should accurately measure
height.

• A good variable is both reliable and valid.


Rorschach Personality Test

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Hypothesis Testing

• The process of drawing conclusions about


whether a relation between variables is
supported or not supported by the
evidence.

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Assessing Variables

• Operational definition
– Specifies how to measure or detect variable of
interest
– Depression:
• Diminished interest in activities

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• Significant weight loss/gain
• Fatigue (loss of energy)
• Feelings of worthlessness
• Recurrent thoughts of death or suicide
Operationalized Variables
The Independent Variable... Predicts... the Dependent Variable

Continent ______________________________________________ who uses banking machines the fastest.

Amount of willpower ______________________________________ level of cigarette smoking.

Level of caring by administrators ____________________________ how bad the parking problem is.

Conceptual Variable Operationalized Variable

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Continent North America versus Europe

Who uses banking machines the fastest _______________________________________________________

_______________________________________________________
Amount of willpower

_______________________________________________________
Level of cigarette smoking

_______________________________________________________
Level of caring by administrators

Ask students to rate the problem on a scale ranging from 1 (no problem)
How bad the parking problem is
to 5 (worst problem on campus).
Conducting Experiments to Control
for Confounding Variables
• Research can be approached in several
ways, including experiments and
correlational research.
– Experiments are preferred because

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experimental results are easier to interpret.
– Correlational studies are used when it is
unethical or impractical to randomize.
Types of Research Designs

Experiments: Studies in
which participants are

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randomly assigned to a
condition or level of one or
more independent variables
Experiments and Causality

• Using experiments, researchers can


– Use random assignment
– Control confounding variables
– Infer cause-effect relation between variables

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• Random assignment is the hallmark of
experimental research.
Self-Selected into or Randomly Assigned to One of Two Groups: Video Game Players
vs. Non-Video Game Players

This figure visually


clarifies the
difference between
self-selection and
random assignment.

The design of the

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first study does not
answer the question
“Does playing video
games improve
laparoscopic surgical
skills?”
One Goal, Two Strategies

• Between-Groups Designs
– Different people complete the tasks, and
comparisons are made between groups.

• Within-Groups Designs

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– The same participants do things more than
once, and comparisons are made over time.
Other Research Designs

• Not all research can be done through


experimentation.
– Unethical or impractical to randomly assign
participants to conditions.

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• Correlational studies do not manipulate
either variable.
– Variables are assessed as they exist.
Types of Research Designs

Correlations: Studies
which assess variables as
they exists; association

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between two or more
variables
Correlation Between Aggression and Playing
Video Games

This graph depicts a


relation between
aggression and
hours spent playing
video games for a
study of 10 fictional
participants.

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The more one plays
video games, the
higher one’s level of
aggression tends to
be.

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