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Neal Shah
Tanay Shah
Hypothesis driven problem solving
Agenda
2 Sample Case
2
Hypothesis driven problem solving
Case Interview Roadmap: The Flow of a Case Interview
Hypothesis
Hypothesis Information
Information
Introduction
Introduction Solution
Solution
Development
Development Gathering
Gathering
Transition Statements Between the Phases Will Help Your Interviewer Understand You
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
Remember Minto1 – The Pyramid Principle
• Structured communication is a very important part of case interviews.
• Combined with strong logical reasoning will prove your abilities for a case
1
Minto, Barbara. The Minto Pyramid Principle: Logic in Writing, Thinking and Problem Solving.
Minto International, London 1996.
Hypothesis driven problem solving
The Importance of Mutually Exclusive Collectively Exhaustive
Example
Making a Meal:
• Select meal
Mutually Any points overlap? • Buy ingredients
Exclusive
• Prepare
Watch Types:
MECE • Analog
• Digital
• Automatic
• Wind Up
Collectively All possibilities covered? Reasons to acquire a competitor:
Exhaustive • Complimentary customer base
• Superior technology
• Digestible size
Being MECE Builds Logic Into your Response, and Helps Drive Logical Communication
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
MECE Exercise
2. Philadelphia 8. Seattle
3. Amazon 9. Santiago
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
Build Out Your Issue Tree
• The next step is to build a MECE Issue Tree
Breakdown the issue into logical categories and begin asking questions 7
Hypothesis driven problem solving
Finish the Case By Tying Together Findings with Logic
Inductive Logic
You
You must
must move
move into
into the
the
credit card industry
credit card industry
There
There is
is aa great
great deal
deal of
of
synergy between
synergy between youryour ItIt will
will improve
improve your
your ItIt will
will improve
improve your
your
current
current business
business and
and the
the company’s performance
company’s performance competitive
competitive position
position
credit card business
credit card business
Your
Your present
present ownership
ownership structure
structure
The
The business
business faces
faces an
an increasing
increasing A
Adifferent
different ownership
ownership structure
structure is
is
will not enable you to respond
will not enable you to respond
threat
threat from
from abroad
abroad needed
needed
effectively
effectively to
to this
this threat
threat
8
Always close with reviewing the situation, complication, question, hypothesis, and highlights
that led to the answer.
Hypothesis driven problem solving
Case Interview Roadmap: The Flow of a Case Interview
• State Hypothesis
• State MECE Logic
• State Solution
• Situation Breakdown • Then prepare
• Complicati • State Desire to
to provide a
on Begin Filling in
• Question brief revisit of
Information Gaps
the case
Hypothesis
Hypothesis Information
Information
Introduction
Introduction Solution
Solution
Development
Development Gathering
Gathering
• Develop hypothesis
Activities: • Interviewer • Create a MECE • Fill in the gaps in • Restate Critical
Provides Issue Tree Information Points of Issue
Introductory • Formulate a • State Solution
Information about Response to the • Be Succinct and
the Case Problem Crisp
• Ask Clarifying
Questions
Transition Statements Between the Phases Will Help Your Interviewer Understand You
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
Sample Case
Practice Makes Perfect
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
Drug Co. has hired xxx Consulting Company
Situation Complication
• Drug Co. is a privately held retail drug • Private equity company recently
store chain located in the Northeast purchased Drug Co. and is exploring
• Drug Co. has 40 locations options to create value; would like to
• Drug Co.’s business model is to be exit within 3-5 years
located in smaller towns where • Drug Co. lags against its chief
competition may be limited competitor, Walgreen’s, in terms of
• Drug Co. also differentiates itself by operating margin (5.7% versus 2.5%)
offering compounding service
• We are hired to identify problem(s)
and recommend solution(s)
Key Questions
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
Hypothesis tree
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
• Marginalization
• Lack of features in the lower priced segment – high cost due to better quality – indifference of the rural
segment regarding quality
• Distribution network
• Low end – losing out on aspirational value, high end – losing out on the “coolness” quotient.
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
Walgreen's is more profitable than Drug Co.
5.7 2.5
100%
21.0
21.3
80
60
40 73.0 76.5
20 EBIT
SGA
COGS
0
Walgreens Drug Co.
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
General merchandise has the best margin
Product Mix
80
50.0
60 60.0 15%
40
50.0
20 Compound
30.0 39%
Prescription
General merchandise
0
Walgreens Drug Co.
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
Walgreen's sells more per store
10,000,000
8,000,000
27%
6,000,000
4,000,000 8,184,199
6,450,500
2,000,000
0
Walgreens Drug Co
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
Walgreen's sells more per square foot
800
600 42%
400
677
476
200
0
Walgreens Drug Co
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
Drug Co. has hired xxx Consulting Company
Situation Complication
• Drug Co. is a privately held retail drug • Private equity company recently purchased
store chain located in the Northeast Drug Co. and is exploring options to create
• Drug Co. has 40 locations value; would like to exit within 3-5 years
• Drug Co.’s business model is to be • Drug Co. lags against its chief competitor,
located in smaller towns where Walgreen’s, in terms of operating margin
competition may be limited (5.7% versus 2.5%)
• Drug Co. also differentiates itself by
offering compounding service
• We are hired to identify problem(s) and
recommend solution(s)
Key Questions
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
Important Points
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Hypothesis driven problem solving
Important Points to Remember
3
Learning and Understanding Frameworks only Provides You with Basic Business
Knowledge. This is only a baseline. Never directly reference a framework.
4
Effective Communication of your Methodical Approach and Answer to the Case
will Differentiate You.
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