associated with returns from an investment. • In other words, is the chance of not meeting one’s investment goals because of uncertainty on returns over time. Types of risk • Market/Price risk: refers to the change in an asset’s price due to changes in market conditions; either demand/supply conditions and/or sentiments. All market traded asset instruments have exposure to this risk. • Inflation risk: refers to the loss of purchasing power resulting from inflationary conditions. In a highly inflationary environments, future investment returns would be worth much less, given the loss in the purchasing power. Cont.. • Interest rate risk: refers to the changes in asset values due to changes in nominal interest rates. Here the risk is that a change in interest rates can change the cost of funds of financing. • Default/Credit risk: refers to the changes in financial integrity of the counterparty or the issuer of the asset. Default risk is relevant because of possible anticipatory losses. As a result, a financial instrument can go down very substantially in price (close to worthless) even though the issuer has not technically declared bankruptcy. Cont.. • Liquidity risk: refers to risk that arises from illiquid markets while one can not dispose off an asset quickly. The only way to quickly sell the assets would be by taking a big discount on the price. • Currency/Exchange rate risk: refers to changes in investment income as a result of changes in exchange rates. Such risk arises every time someone engages in a foreign currency denominated transactions/assets. Even if the income is unchanged in foreign currency terms, the amount could vary in domestic currency terms if exchange rates change. Cont..
• Political risk: refers to the risk faced by international
investors. Most political risk is of a regulatory nature. It refers to risks such as expropriation/nationalization, imposition of exchange controls that disallow foreigners to withdraw their funds, the imposition of unfavourable tax or ownership requirements etc. political risk therefore refers to the diminution in the value of foreign held assets as a result of unfavourable regulatory change overseas. Risk Management
• Risk management refers to the process/technique
of reducing the risks faced in an investment. • In other words, risk management is defined as the logical development and implementation of a plan to deal with potential losses. • Risk management benefits all types of organizations facing potential losses, including among others, businesses, nonprofit organizations, individuals and families. • What makes risk management challenging is risk-return trade-off, which means, that risk and return are generally positively correlated. The following graph shows the relationship between risk-return trade-off.
Return (%)
Risk (%) Cont..
• Hence, risk management is recognized as
being concerned with both positive and negative aspects of risk. Avoid negative consequences Risk management Achieve positive consequences Cont..
• Risk management practices to avoid negative
consequences means to avoid financial distress and to have sufficient capital. • On the other hand, risk management practices are to achieve positive consequences where risk is treated as opportunity, not only to avoid financial distress but also to meet the firm’s business objectives such as increasing the value of shareholders by improving their financial performances. Cont..
• Among the shareholder’s value objectives that are
expected to be meet by improving risk management sophistications include among others, protection against unforeseen losses, earnings stability and maximize earnings potential. • Therefore, risk management strategy which reflects a balanced approach for business performance and negative management can lead the organization of sustainable value and greater business confidence. Cont..
• Thus, the survival and success of any
organization depends on the efficiency in which they can manage its risks. Hence, risk management is one of the critical factors in providing better returns to the shareholders. Thank You All
Foundational Theories and Techniques for Risk Management, A Guide for Professional Risk Managers in Financial Services - Part II - Financial Instruments