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Analysis
Studying information about the past
performance & the the expected future
performance of companies, industries &
Economy for investment purpose.
Economic Analysis
Company Analysis
Industry Analysis
Which Country to Invest
Analyzing in which Country to invest the
money is a crucial decision.
John Templeton invested in USA at the
time of world war 2
Buffet invested in china in 1980.
MNC’s started investing in India from
1995
Choosing the country of investment
results in opportunity lost
Which Country to Invest
Imagine if you were a investor in which
country would you invest India, Sri
lanka, and why
Which Country to Invest
Properties INDIA SRI LANKA
Population 118 Crore people 20 Crore people
GDP real growth +7.29%per year +5.96%per year
Inflation rate +7.642%per year +16.32%per year
GDP by sector agriculture (18%), agriculture: 12.8%;
industry (22%), services industry: 29.2%;
(60%) services: 58%
Ease of doing 133 105
Business
Public debt 58% of GDP 82.9% of GDP
Foreign reserves $282.84 billion $5.2 billion
DETERMINANTS
GDP growth rate
Inflation
Investment Rate
Savings Rate
Government Revenue & Expenditure
Infrastructure
Economic Stability
Political Stability
Population of the country
Resources
Budget Proposals
Taxation policy
Monsoon and Agriculture
ECONOMIC CYCLE
RECOVERY BOOM
DEPRESSION RECESSION
INVESTMENT
INFORMATION
Surveys of Government
Industry Reports
Business Analytics
Research by Individual Economist, Analyst
Share Research Companies Reports.
View point of CEOs, Business persons
Key Actions of companies
TECHNIQUES OF ECONOMIC
FORECASTING
Surveys
Indicators
Diffusion
Index
Economic Model Building
ECONOMIC
FORECASTING
Surveys of Government, business, Industry
Indicators
Leading – Predicts before event, activity in stock
market
Coincidental – Predicts at happening of event,
personal income and industrial production
Lagging - indicating after event Eg, GDP
Growth rate, Employment
ECONOMIC
FORECASTING
Economic Model Building
Equations are formed to study the
relationship between the overall
economy & the respective industry
For E.g: If GDP grows at 7% then
service sector grows at 14%... Car sales
grows at 21%.
This helps to select the sector of
investment.
Assignments
Which countries are called as Tiger
Economics.
What’s BRIC, which countries are
included in it. Who coined this.
Do economic analysis on China, India,
USA. Get their GDP, Growth rate,
Interest Rate, Inflation level form
internet.