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AGRICULTURAL CRISES
Agricultural crises is also known as farm crises. A
Farm Crisis describes of agricultural recession,
low crop prices and low farm incomes.
In this case, a conflict between the new level
of value and prices for agricultural goods and
the old rent relations arises, not to be soon
resolved. During agrarian crises, as prices for
agricultural commodities decline, the usual
source for the payment of rent – a supplemental
profit-disappears.
Karnataka is a drought-prone region with
large proportion of wastelands, high
outstanding agricultural credit from scheduled
banks, and high density of marginal and small
farmers. Agricultural distress is acute in
Karnataka’s northern dry regions, while the
incidence of suicides has been very high
since 1997. Aside from indebtness, farmers’
distress is acute in Karnataka can be
attributed to lack of proper resources, poor
extension services, frequent failure of
monsoon and droughts resulting in crops
losses, and absence of institutions where
farmers could seek counselling.
Hit by the sever drought prevailing in majority
of taluks in the state, Karnataka’s gross state
domestic products(GSDP) is projected to grow
at 9.6% during 2018-19, a dip of 80 basis points,
as compared to 10.4% in 2017-18 according to
Economic Survey for 2018-19 tabled in the state
legislature on Friday.
AGRARIAN CRISIS CLEAR &PRESNT DANGER FOR
INDIAN ECONOMY
India’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the second quarter
(Q2) has laid bare the deepening distress in its villages. Farm incomes
haven’t risen even through the government has announced a hike in
minimum support prices. The country’s agricultural output, measured
a gross value added, grew at a sedate pace of 2.8%, far slower than
the 5.3% in the June quarter. This was on top of a low base of 2.6%
growth last year.
Economists said that the GDP deflator for agriculture is negative
for the first time in many years. In other words, farmers are earning
less than what they were before. Indeed, if the recent marches to New
Delhi by thousands of famers are any indication, the farm sector has
already sent up emergency flares.
What is notable is that even allied activities are growing
slower. This does not bode well for rural demand in the
coming months. For a government that will face the litmus
test of its policies through a national election within 6
months, the farm sector’s woes are unsettling. Although
agriculture contributes less than one-third of the output of
the entire economy, rural centers are key demand areas.
Consumption demand from the rural economy also needs to
hold up for the overall growth rate to remain above 7%.
An extension of the troubles of the Indian economy has also been
visible on the expenditure side. Pride final consumption
expenditure side. Private final consumption has been the strongest
engine of growth and, incipient signs of a slowdown that was
followed by distress in the financial sector, will hurt economy.
To balance this gloom was a bright spark in gross fixed capital
formation. This grew at a brisk pace of 12.5%, but on a low base of
6.1% a year ago. Gross fixed capital formation has been growing
faster and faster every quarter over the last 5yrs, which is a sign of
traction in investment growth. Juxtaposing the not-so-bad 7.4%
growth in manufacturing gives hope on the employment front.
Even as the debate over revising past GDP growth rates continues,
the government and the markets should be really worried about
the impact of rural distress on the pace and direction of economic
growth.
FARMERS’ SUICIDES