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hello!
Angeline Barron
Justine Wilma Dagdagan
Dianne Creus Ronato
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Presentation outline
I. What is Game Theory?
II. Identifying a Pure Strategy
III. Mixed Strategy Games
IV. Larger Mixed Strategy Games
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1.
What is game theory?
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two or more decision makers, they are called
and they compete as adversaries against each
other.
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Two manufacturing companies of a particular product who
compete for market share: &
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Increase Quantity Extend
Advertising, Discount, b2 Warranty, b3
b1
Increase 4 3 2
Advertising, a1
Quantity Discount, -1 4 1
a2
Extend Warranty, 5 -2 0
a3
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Increase Quantity Extend Minimum
Advertising, Discount, b2 Warranty, b3
b1
Increase 4 3 2 2
Advertising, a1
Quantity Discount, -1 4 1 -1
a2
Extend Warranty, 5 -2 0 -2
a3
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Maximum of row
minimums
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3.
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Mixed strategy
No saddle point or
maximin ≠ minimax
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Ex: Football teams
Let Team A (Offense Team) trying to gain the yardage
a1 = running play
a2 = passing play
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15
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Team a Offensive team
Let
p = probability Team A selects running play
(1-p) = the probability selects passing play
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Solving for p!
🏃🏃🏃 1p + 15(1-p) = 6p
Running play probability
1p + 15 - 15p = 6p
20p = 15
p = 15/20 or 0.75
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Value of the game
EV(Yardage) = 1p + 15(1-p)
= 1(0.75) + 15 (0.25)
= 0.75 + 3.75
= 4.5 yards per play
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Team b’s optimal probabilities
Let
q = probability Team A selects running play
(1-q) = the probability selects passing play
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Solving for q!
🏃🏃🏃 Running play probability
1q + 6(1-q) = 15q
1q+ 6 – 6q = 15p
20p = 6
p = 6/20 or 0.30
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4.
2x2 Matrix
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Process in Solving Larger Mixed Strategy Game
(two-person, zero-sum game)
Solve for optimal mixed strategy
05 probabilities.
Player A1 0 -1 2
Player A2 5 4 -3
Player A3 2 3 -4
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2) Compute for the row minimums and
column maximums.
Player A1 0 -1 2 -1
Player A2 5 4 -3 -3
Player A3 2 3 -4 -4
Maximum 5 4 2
2 = -1
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3) Look for a DOMINATED STRATEGY.
Player A1 0 -1 2
Player A2 5 4 -3
Player A3 2 3 -4
Player A1 0 -1 2
Player A2 5 4 -3
ROW A1 : -1 < 0
ROW A2 : 4<5
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5) Solve for optimal mixed strategy
probabilities.
p = probability that Player A selects strategy A1.
Player B2 Player B3
(1 - p) = probability that Player A selects strategy A2
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Thank You!
Any questions?
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