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Chapter 9
Public finance
“ The task of economic stabilization requires
keeping the economy from straying too far
above or below the path of steady high
employment. One way lies inflation, and the
other lies recession. Flexible and vigilant
fiscal and monetary policy will allow us to
hold the narrow middle course.” (US
president John F. Kennedy 1962)
The concept of public finance
Public finance is a study of income and expenditure
of the government at the central, state, and local
levels.
Government has to perform certain functions in a
country such as to supply certain public or collective
goods which individuals cannot or do not singly
perform. And this is the responsibility of the
government to provide those goods for which it
needs revenue.
The concept of public finance
In the narrow sense, public finance is defined only
as the study of income and expenditure of the
government.
But the broader view is that public finance does not
deal only with the income and expenditure of the
government but also the sources of income and the
way of expenditure of various government
corporations, public companies, and quasi
governmental ventures.
The concept of public finance
Public finance is composed of the following
constituents:
1. Public expenditure: wages and salaries; subsidies
and transfers; expenditure on goods and services
such as infrastructures like road, electricity,
telecom, and human capital accumulation like
health and education; interest expenditure etc.
2. Public revenue: Different sources of government
revenue with major focus on tax revenue.
3. Public debt: Often public revenue falls short of
expenditure and government has to borrow from
internal and external sources.
The concept of public finance
Public finance is composed of the following
constituents:
4. Public financial administration: As Walter Bagehot
remarks money cannot manage itself, an efficient,
energetic and scientific management is required to
look after the public expenditure, public revenue
and public debt. What are the authorities,
institutions, agencies to look after the
management, control, and scrutinizing work
created by government? How do they keep check
on the use and misuse of fund? Answer to all
these questions relate public financial
administration.
The concept of public finance
Price level
Aggregate Supply
Aggregate Demand
Output (GDP)
Y YF
Markets may tolerate equilibrium output (Y)
less than full employment output (YF)
How does government work?
With policy:
Macroeconomic policy
Fiscal policy
Monetary policy
Infrastructure investment
Microeconomic policy
Social investment and labour policy
Industrial policy
Competition policy
Government budgeting
Elements of budget:
Close to reality: despite being an estimate, it
should be based on reality primarily on the basis
of the experience of the previous year.
Simple and obvious: Since this is a public
document, all who are interested should easily get
the required information after looking on it.
Flexibility: Not only income and expenditure
estimates are there but also the policies and
programs of the government. Thus, should have
the quality of flexibility.
Government budgeting
Elements of budget:
Single fund: A single fund of the
government should be established there for
all revenues and expenditures.
Extensive: Should be in detail about each
item of revenue and expenditure.
Publicity: it is made public and all the
stakeholders are free to comment on this.
Annularity: Prepared for one fiscal year.
Government budgeting
Principles of budget:
Balanced budget principle: Classical
economists opine that government budget
should be balanced that means expenditure
(G) should be equal to revenue (T). If not
followed, either government has to borrow
internally or externally or has to increase
the tax. Supporters of balanced budget
argue that unbalanced budget creates
disturbances in economy.
Government budgeting
Principles of budget:
Principle of unbalanced budget: A budget deficit is
incurred when expenditures exceed taxes and
other revenues for a year. And a budget surplus
occurs when all taxes and other revenues exceed
expenditures for a year. Though unbalanced
means both surplus or deficit budget, a number of
economists refer to deficit budget as unbalanced
budget. Keynes has supported this principle
arguing that along with the higher government
expenditure, there will be multiplier effect in the
economy.
Government budgeting
Budget
cycle
Evaluation Execution
Auditing Accounting
Fiscal policy
MPC
1
income, output, Y
Graphing the equilibrium
condition
AE
planned AE
expenditure =Y
45º
income, output, Y
The equilibrium value of
income
AE
planned AE
expenditure =Y
AE =C +I +G
income, output, Y
Equilibrium
income
An increase in government
purchases
AE
At Y1, AE =C +I +G2
there is now an
unplanned drop AE =C +I +G1
in inventory…
G
…so firms
increase output,
and income
Y
rises toward a
new equilibrium. AE1 = Y AE2 =
Y1 Y2
The government purchases
multiplier
Definition: the increase in income resulting
from a $1 increase in G.
In this model, the govt Y 1
purchases multiplier equals G
1 MPC
further Y
further C
further Y
So the final impact on income is much bigger
than the initial G.
The IS curve
Def: a graph of all combinations of r and Y that
result in goods market equilibrium
i.e. actual expenditure (output)
= planned expenditure
The equation for the IS curve is:
Y C (Y T ) I (r ) G
Deriving the IS curve
AE AE =Y AE =C +I (r )+G
2
r I AE =C +I (r1 )+G
AE I
Y Y1 Y2 Y
r
r1
r2
IS
Y1 Y2 Y
Why the IS curve is negatively
sloped
A fall in the interest rate motivates firms to
increase investment spending, which drives
up total planned spending (AE).
The horizontal Y1 Y2 Y
r
distance of the
r1
IS shift equals
Y
1
G Y
1MPC IS1 IS2
Y1 Y2 Y
Money supply
r
The supply of interest M P s
rate
real money
balances
is fixed:
M P s
M P
M/P
M P real money
balances
Money demand
r
People interest M P s
either hold: rate
Money
Bonds
Demand for
real money
balances: L (r )
M P d
L(r ) M/P
M P real money
balances
The LM curve
Now let‟s put Y back into the money demand
function: M P d
L(r ,Y )
Note: In Blanchard: M
d
d 1Y d2i
YLi
P
The LM curve is a graph of all combinations of r and
Y that equate the supply and demand for real money
balances.
The equation for the LM curve is: M P L(r ,Y )
Deriving the LM curve
(a) The market for
(b) The LM curve
real money balances
r r
LM
r2 r2
L (r , Y2 )
r1 r1
L (r , Y1 )
M1 M/P Y1 Y2 Y
P
How M shifts the LM curve
(a) The market for
(b) The LM curve
real money balances
r r LM2
LM1
r2 r2
r1 r1
L (r , Y1 )
M2 M1 M/P Y1 Y
P P
Why the LM curve is upward
sloping
An increase in income raises money demand.
Equilibrium
interest rate
IS
Equilibrium
level of
income
Y
Income and Output
Fiscal Expansion
r
LM
r2 B
r1
A
G IS2
1 c
IS1
Y1 Y2 Y
LM2
A
r1
r2 B
IS
Y1 Y2 Y
slide 73
Fiscal-monetary mix: summary
3. Theory of Liquidity Preference
basic model of interest rate determination
takes money supply & price level as exogenous
an increase in the money supply lowers the interest
rate
4. LM curve
comes from liquidity preference theory when
money demand depends positively on income
shows all combinations of r and Y that equate
demand for real money balances with supply
slide 74
Fiscal-monetary mix: summary
5. IS-LM model
Intersection of IS and LM curves shows the unique
point (Y, r ) that satisfies equilibrium in both the goods
and money markets.
slide 75
Deficit financing
Budget deficit is the annual difference between
government outlays and receipts (G-T).
The government budget constraint identifies
financing options open to the government:
G= T+∆B +∆MB
Where,
G=Total government expenditure.
T=Total government revenue from taxes, charges, and
sales.
∆B=Change in public debt
∆BM= Change in monetary base (Reserve money)
slide 76
Deficit financing
G-T= ∆B +∆MB
The idea is that if the government spends more than
the revenue either it should borrow or create base
money or do both. If the government is in surplus, it
will either retire debt or contract the monetary
expansion.
Borrowing from the domestic sector can have also
crowding out, the idea that increase in government
purchases ultimately cause reductions in private
consumption or investment.
Monetary expansion to finance the government
deficit can have inflationary implications.
slide 77
Deficit financing
Government borrowing can be made raising
through internal debt or external debt.
Budget deficit financing identity:
Budget deficit=Domestic borrowing+ foreign
borrowing+ printing money + +arrears
slide 78
Deficit financing
In other words, government deficit can be
financed through following sources:
1. Withdrawal of past accumulated cash
balances by the government
2. Borrowing from public
3. Borrowing from central bank and other
banks
4. Issuing new currency
5. External loan
6. Forced savings
slide 79
Deficit financing
Why there is the need of deficit financing? (Role of deficit
financing):
To augment rate of net investment (particularly in
developing countries, private sector is not proactive to
take investment initiative because of the various
constraints, thus there is the large role of the
government and has to )
Development of economic and social overheads
To control economic depression
Reconstruction of the economy
Augment community savings
Incentive to private investment
Utilization of the natural resources
War financing
slide 80
Effects of deficit financing
Inflation: expansion of money supply and expansion of
credit leads to inflation.
Crowding out of the private investment: Excessive
reliance on public borrowing creates distortion on
investment of the private sector and may also cause
high interest, additional disincentive for investment.
Balance of payments difficulties: As monetary income
of the people rise, and also because of the rise in
government expenditure, imports may rise causing an
adverse effect on balance of payments.
Increases debt servicing: Causing high government
expenditure and pushes country towards vicious circle
of debt and deficit. And also challenges long term debt
sustainability.
slide 81
Effects of deficit financing
Arrears: Past accumulated debt if can
not be repaid because of the increased
deficit, it causes inefficiency and loss of
creditability.
Rises tax burden to finance debt
service, which creates distortions in the
behavior of economic agents.
slide 82
Public debt management
Public debt management, which is also
called sovereign debt management is the
process of establishing and executing a
strategy for managing the government's
debt in order to raise the required amount of
funding, achieve its risk and cost objectives,
and to meet any other sovereign debt
management goals the government may
have set, such as developing an and
maintaining efficient market for
government securities.
slide 83
Public debt management
Public debt management, which is also
called sovereign debt management is the
process of establishing and executing a
strategy for managing the government's
debt in order to raise the required amount of
funding, achieve its risk and cost objectives,
and to meet any other sovereign debt
management goals the government may
have set, such as developing an and
maintaining efficient market for
government securities.
slide 84
Internal debt management
Objectives:
To influence the size and maturity of debt
To influence the appropriate pattern of debt
To affect the type of holders of debt
To achieve short term stabilization of bond
prices
To limit debt service cost
To create capital market
To give priority to domestic over foreign
issues on domestic market
To give priority to public sector borrowing
slide 85
External debt management
Key elements:
Policy guidelines on appropriate level, terms
and purpose for foreign borrowing.
Reorganization of the existing stock of
external debt so as to maintain an optimum
level of debt structure.
Monitoring the operations relating to loan
commitments, disbursements, and debt
servicing on all loans.
Accurately recording and maintaining loan
by loan information.
slide 86
External debt management
Key elements:
Preparing projections of debt and debt
service levels to facilitate domestic cost
budgeting and foreign exchange
management.
Liaison with various creditors, keeping them
informed of macroeconomic developments.
Regular portfolio review on a sector and/or
creditor basis
slide 87
Note for you
The rest of the slides are additional notes,
therefore, are optional for you. If you are
interested, you can go through them to
widen your understanding. But don’t be
overstressed looking at them and don’t
complain to your parents!
IMF Guidelines for Public debt
management
1. Objectives and coordination
Objectives: The main objective of public debt
management is to ensure that the government's
financing needs and its payment obligations are
met at the lowest possible cost over the medium to
long run, consistent with a prudent degree of risk.
Scope: Debt management should encompass the
main financial obligations over which the central
government exercises control.
Coordination with monetary and fiscal policies
slide 89
IMF Guidelines for Public debt
management
1. Objectives and coordination
Objectives: The main objective of public debt
management is to ensure that the government's
financing needs and its payment obligations are
met at the lowest possible cost over the medium to
long run, consistent with a prudent degree of risk.
Scope: Debt management should encompass the
main financial obligations over which the central
government exercises control.
Coordination with monetary and fiscal policies
slide 90
IMF Guidelines for Public debt
management
2. Transparency and Accountability
Clarity of roles, responsibilities and
objectives of financial agencies responsible
for debt management
Open process for formulating and reporting
of debt management policies
Public availability of information on debt
management policies
Accountability and assurances of integrity by
agencies responsible for debt management
slide 91
IMF Guidelines for Public debt
management
3. Institutional Framework
Governance
Management of internal operations
Public availability of information on debt
management policies
Accountability and assurances of integrity by
agencies responsible for debt management
slide 92
IMF Guidelines for Public debt
management
4. Debt Management Strategy
The risks inherent in the structure of the
government's debt should be carefully monitored
and evaluated. These risks should be mitigated to
the extent feasible by modifying the debt structure,
taking into account the cost of doing so.
In order to help guide borrowing decisions and
reduce the government's risk, debt managers
should consider the financial and other risk
characteristics of the government's cash flows.
Debt managers should carefully assess and
manage the risks associated with foreign-currency
and short-term or floating rate debt.
slide 93
IMF Guidelines for Public debt
management
5. Risk Management Framework
A framework should be developed to enable
debt managers to identify and manage the
trade-offs between expected cost and risk in
the government debt portfolio.
To assess risk, debt managers should
regularly conduct stress tests of the debt
portfolio on the basis of the economic and
financial shocks to which the government--
and the country more generally--are
potentially exposed.
slide 94
IMF Guidelines for Public debt
management
6. Development and Maintenance of an Efficient
Market for Government Securities
Portfolio diversification and instruments: The
government should strive to achieve a broad
investor base for its domestic and foreign
obligations, with due regard to cost and risk,
and should treat investors equitably.
Primary market : Debt management operations
in the primary market should be transparent
and predictable. To the extent possible, debt
issuance should use market-based
mechanisms, including competitive auctions
and syndications.
slide 95
IMF Guidelines for Public debt
management
6. Development and Maintenance of an
Efficient Market for Government
Securities
Portfolio diversification and instruments: The
government should Secondary market:
Governments and central banks should
promote the development of resilient secondary
markets that can function effectively under a
wide range of market conditions.
The systems used to settle and clear financial
market transactions involving government
securities should reflect sound practices.
slide 96