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Risk
Risk is the result of variation in actual return of stock as
compared with the expected return. This variation is due to many
factors. These factors include stock specific factors and economy
specific factors. Hence, these are divided into two components.
(a) Systematic Risk
(b) Unsystematic Risk
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Systematic risk
Systematic risk is the risk of overall economy. Every stock
share this risk. This risk is due to economic policies, inflation,
tax rate, foreign exchange results, political stability, supply of
money, terrorism and other factors which are beyond the
control of any company. Every one is exposed to this type of
risk and cannot avoid it as long as it is working in that
economy.
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Unsystematic Risk
Unsystematic risk is company specific risk. It is due to the
policies of the company. It sales, cost of production, labor
cost, strike of the labor, raw material availability, advertising,
salesmanship, the plant capacity and its ability to mange
micro factors. The managerial skill contribute a lot towards
this risk. The management with superior managerial capability
can avoid this risk.
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Beta
Measures a stock’s market risk, and shows a stock’s
volatility relative to the market.
Indicates how risky a stock is if the stock is held in a well-
diversified portfolio
If beta = 1.0, the security is just as risky as the average stock.
If beta > 1.0, the security is riskier than average.
If beta < 1.0, the security is less risky than average.
Most stocks have betas in the range of 0.5 to 1.5
.
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Beta of a Stock
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Market Stock
= 6 +(8 – 6) *(1.5)
= 9
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Beta of a Portfolio:
The beta of a portfolio is the weighted average of each of the
stock’s betas
Sakina has Rs. 35,000 invested in a stock which has a beta of 0.8
and Rs. 40,000 in a stock with a beta of 1.4. If these are only
two investment in h portfolio what is his portfolio beta
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Investment Beta
Rs. 35,000 0.8
40,000 1.4
Total 75,000
Portfolio Beta = (35,000/75,000)(0.8) + (40,000/75,000)(1.4)
= 1.12.
Capital Asset Pricing Model