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Management
November 27, 2018
Faisal Sarwar
Deputy Director
State Bank of Pakistan
THE ECONOMIC CYCLE
Lending Cycle
Return Cycle
2
PRESENTATION OUTLINE
Section - 1 :
Overview of Treasury Management
Section - 2:
Comprehensive overview of Money Market
Section - 3:
Comprehensive overview of Foreign Exchange
Section - 4:
Types of inherent Risk associated with Treasury will
partially be covered in section 1,2,3
TREASURY STRUCTURE
Country Treasurer
Position Clerk
Funding Gapping IR Swaps Securities
5
Treasury Management Includes
• Firm’s Collection
• Disbursements
• Concentration
• Investment & Funding activities
6
TREASURY DEPT FUNCTIONS
7
Treasury Management Objectives
LOAA MCBMM
• Liquidity management
• Optimizing cash resources
• Access to short term financing
• Access to medium to long term financing
• Managing Risks
• Coordinating Financial Functions
• Banking relationship management
• Management of interest rate exposures
• Management of foreign currency exposures
8
ROLE OF TREASURY
– Risk Management
– Market Risks
– Regulatory Risks
– Balance Sheet Risks
– Balance Sheet Management
– Liquidity Management
– Product Development
– Profitability
9
Treasury Division – Heart of the bank
Responsibilities
– Managing Asset & Liabilities of the bank – ‘The
Balance Sheet Management’. Thereby enhancing the
risk-adjusted return on equity
TRADE BRANCHES
CORPORATE
RISK TREASURY BANKING
Financial
Consumer Banking
Institutions Group
10
Treasury Management
12
Treasury Management
• Assets & Liabilities Management
• Alco Charter (Assets & Liability Committee)
» The ALCO’s specific responsibility are:
• Risk Management
Market Risk Oversight
Regulatory/Operating Risk Oversight.
• Liquidity & Funding Management
• Investment Decisions
• Regulatory Compliance
• Product Pricing
• Fund Transfer Pricing
• New Product Approvals
13
NEED FOR TREASURY DEPARTMENT
– Globalization
• Daily FX Market Turnover in Excess of USD 5.5 Trillion.
• Technological Developments
• Open Market Economies / Deregulation
14
Major Participants
15
Brokerage house
16
Brokers
17
Functionality….
Lending to Branches
Borrower Borrowing
Funding
Excess
Spread
Branch
Liquidity
TREASURY Investment
Front Office
Treasury
Reserve
Depositor Back Office
Requirement
Functions
• Branches Receive Deposits
• Branches Lend To Customers
• Branches Remit Excess liquidity to try at an average rate (Pool Rate)
• Try maintenance reserve with SBP.
• Invest in MM Instruments
• Invest in Govt. Securities
• Invest in Debt Securities
• Capital Market
• Fund FCY Trade Nostro Account
• Lend to Other Branch
Organizational Set Up
19
Organizational Set Up
• Front Office
– Deal analysis
– Pricing analysis
– Deal execution
– Managing cash flows
• Middle office
– Monitoring of limits on counterparties & dealers
– Monitoring of limit on amount & tenor
– Compliance to laws
– Validation of deals
• Back office
– Book keeping
– Deal validation, confirmation
– Execution & Settlement
– Reconciliation
20
MARKET MECANISM
• Arbitrage
• Process of buying something in one market and then selling it in
another market for a risk free profit (offsetting position).
• Lock profit, no risk & no investment.
• Hedging
– Reduce the risk of an investment by making offsetting investment in
forward.
– Cover or protect risk arising from potential market
– Transfer Risk
• Speculator
– Betting on future price movement.
– Risk taking investor, highly liquidity
21
Common Treasury Terms
• Overnight
• Tom-next
• Spot-next
• Mine, yours & squares
• Long, short & square
• Bid, Offer & Spread
• Deal Ticket ( Globus)
• Dealing System
– Reuters
– Bloomberg
• Basis point (100 basis =1%)
• Banking book
• Trading Book
• Eurocurrency
22
Common Treasury Terms
• Following
• Preceding
• End of month
• Day count conversion methods
– A/A
• Sterling Bond, EUR Bond
– A/365
• GBP, Pakistan rupees, Singapore Dollar etc
– Domestic
» Yen, Canadian dollar, Australian, new Zealand dollar
– A/360
• USD & EURO
– 30/360
• European Bond market
– 30/365
23
Financial Market
• Markets for trading financial instruments
including money, bonds, stocks, and derivative
are referred to as Financial Markets.
• Developed financial markets can play a key role of
intermediating between the lenders (savers) and
the borrowers (investors).
• It reduce information asymmetries and allow
central banks to implement and achieve
objectives of monetary and exchange rate
policies.
Financial Markets
• Money and Bond Market
• Money market refers to the market wherein business entities borrow or
lend in local currency from each other in different tenors. Bond or Debt
Market facilitates the trading of government and private debt/bond
trading. Government and/or private businesses can raise debt from the
public through bond market.
• Foreign Exchange Market
• As the name signifies this market helps in bringing the
buyer and seller of FX in touch with each other. Importer
needs to buy FX and Exporter wants to sell its FX proceeds.
Both can use the FX market for their respective needs.
• Equity / Stock Market
• Trading of stocks or shares of listed business/companies
25
Financial Markets
• Derivatives Market
• Derivatives are Financial Instruments/Contracts whose
values depend upon the value of any other cash market
instrument like Equity, Bond or Foreign Exchange.
Technically there can be any underlying instrument,
however most common are stocks, FX, Bonds, Interest
Rate etc.
• Commodities Market
• Financial Institutions actively trade in commodities
like Gold, Silver and other precious metals and also
Food commodities like Grains, coffee, etc.
• Real Estate Market
Money Market
27
Money Market
• The money market is the financial market for short-term borrowing and
lending. It provides short term liquid funding (readily cashable) for the
financial system
• The money market is a wholesale market for low risk, highly liquid, short-
term & long term debt instruments.
• On the asset side, in addition to loans banks have part of their assets
invested in marketable securities.
28
M.M Objective….
• Managing liquidity and interest risk.
29
Purpose of Money Market
• The need for financial institutions to indulge in money market
transactions arises primarily from the statutory reserve and liquidity
requirements imposed by the State Bank.
Statutory Liquidity
Statutory Cash Reserve Requirement
Requirement
1. Treasury Bills
A/C with SBP 2. PIBs Not More Than 15% of DTL
Rate of Return = 0% 3. Reverse Repos - Repos
Opportunity Cost = Av. Weekly 4. Other Approved Assets i.e. NIT,
O/N Rate Cash in Vault, Foreign Currency Held,
Excess in CRR etc.
30
Major Players in Money Market
• Central Bank & Government
• Primary Dealer/ Market Makers
• Bank
• Non-bank Financial Institution
• Money Market Funds & Corporate
• Money Market Brokers
PRIMARY DEALERS
– The PDs are Price makers, quoting two-way prices reflective of market
sentiment and actively participating in trading of all marketable securities.
32
Primary Dealers For The Year 2018-19
1. Habib Bank Limited
2. United Bank Limited
3. Allied Bank Limited
4. MCB Bank Limited
5. National Bank Limited
6. Bank Alfalah Limited
7. Pak Oman Investment Company Limited
8. JS Bank Limited
9. Faysal Bank Limited
10. Standard Chartered Bank (Pakistan) Limited
11. Citibank NA (Pakistan Operations)
33
Non Primary Dealer vs Primary Dealer
WITHOUT PD WITH PD
No long term Yield curve available Long term yield curve will be in
place
35
Money Market Instruments(MMIs)/Transactions
• Call/Term lending/borrowing
• Clean lending/borrowing
• Outright Sale/Purchase Treasury Bill and Bond
• Repo/ Reverse Repo (Repurchase Agreement)
• Certificate of Deposit (CD) /CoI
• Term Deposit Receipt (TDR)
• Commercial Paper
• Providing KIBOR as a benchmark for term lending to the corporate sector
36
MM Transactions-Tenors
• Overnight and Weekend Money
• Term Money
• Intra –Day Money
37
Factors influencing MM Market
– Demand for risk-free fixed-income securities in general—For example,
a "flight to safety" caused by concerns about default or liquidity risk in
other financial markets may cause investors to shift to T-bills to avoid risk.
– Supply of T-bills by the government--for example, federal budget
surpluses reduce the supply of some Treasury securities issues
– Economic conditions may influence rates--for example, T-bill rates
typically rise during periods of business expansion and fall during
recessions.
– Monetary policy actions by the Central Bank--SBP actions that affect
the Discount rate likely will influence interest rates for other close
substitutes, including short-term T-bills.
– Inflation and inflation expectations also are factors in
determining interest rates--for example, periods of relatively high (low)
rates of inflation usually are associated with relatively high (low) interest
rates on T-bills
38
Call & Clean Transaction
• Call Money
– Call transactions consist of non-collateralized lending
and borrowing of Funds.
– Transaction between Banks
• Clean Money
– Clean funds are similar to call funds in the sense that
this is unsecured lending/ borrowing of funds. The
only difference is that this sort of borrowing is done
by investment banks and leasing companies.
– Transaction between banks & NBFI/DFI
39
Example
40
Screen Shot
Outright Purchase/Sale of Securities
• Purchase of government securities i.e. Treasury Bills and
Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIBs) for portfolio management.
42
Market Treasury Bills
• 3, 6 and 12 months maturity, zero coupon
instruments priced at discount.
• Issued by Govt. to finance current expenditure.
• Sold by SBP through auctions.
• Risk free, highly liquid and reserve eligible.
• Pricing of T-Bills;
Assume a 6 month T-Bill with a par value of Rs. 100 and a yield of 6.48% is
to be sold in an auction. Its price would be calculated in the following
manner:
Price (P) = 100/(1+i*n/365)
=100/(1+6.48%*181/365)
=96.89
43
Repurchase Agreement -Repo
44
Reverse Repo
45
Repo Transactions
• Overnight Repo:
– When the term of a loan is one day it is called an
overnight Repo.
• Term Repo:
– A Loan for more than one day is called a Term
Repo
46
Example Of Repo
47
Example Of Repo Cont….
• P1
= (365/Deal Rate*Bill Maturity Days+365)*100
• P2
=(First Price*Deal Rate/365)*Repo Days + F.Price
48
Example Of Repo
• P1 Price Calculation
• P1 =100/ ( (1+ (11% * 182/365))
• = 94.80
• P2 Price Calculation
• P2 = 94.80* (( 1+ (11% * 30 /365))
• =95.66
49
Price Calculation of Repo Securities
50
PKRV-REVALUATION RATES FOR TREASURY BILLS*
(APPLICABLE FOR 31-08-2015)
Tenor BMA C&M ICON ICSL IONE JSCM MCPL SCPL AVG
RATE
0-7 days 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.2 6.2 6.35 6.18 6.26
8-15 days 6.2 6.2 6.19 6.2 6.19 6.2 6.2 6.19 6.2
16-30days 6.18 6.2 6.21 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.19 6.2
31-60days 6.18 6.18 6.17 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.18 6.19 6.19
61-90days 6.2 6.18 6.17 6.2 6.18 6.18 6.17 6.19 6.18
91-120days 6.2 6.19 6.17 6.18 6.2 6.18 6.19 6.2 6.19
121-180days 6.2 6.19 6.17 6.2 6.2 6.17 6.19 6.2 6.19
181-270days 6.2 6.2 6.17 6.2 6.21 6.2 6.2 6.21 6.2
271-365days 6.2 6.2 6.19 6.2 6.21 6.21 6.2 6.21 6.2
10years 9.18 9.11 9.16 9.29 9.21 9.2 9.1 9.17 9.17
51
15years 10.45 10.4 10.5 10.47 10.4 10.6 10.4 10.46 10.45