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• trend could be attributed to the fact that investors were afraid of the
possibility of coalition government causing the policy paralysis
• CPI data from 1958 does not give any particular pattern in terms of
increase or decrease before and after the elections, but mostly inflation
decreases pre-election year
DEPICTION OF INFLUENCE
• from the given graph, we could clearly see that:
• The budget deficit which grew in the year 2011-12 went
down again near the year of elections i.e. 2014-15
• Exchange rate changes saw its lowest in the year 2014-
15
• Inflation which was highest in 2012-13 also saw a
downfall by 2014-15
• Similarly we see the Sensex changes plummeting in the
year 2014-15 which is a steep fall from the previous
year 2013-14
Thus, we can conclude that election do play a major role
in influencing the economy.
ELECTIONS IN INDIA
• 1980- Policy changes such as trade liberalization, devaluation and delicensing of investments to improve growth without disruption
• 1984-1st phase of shift in policy toward freer markets as key to poverty eradication and growth
• 1989- Because of BOP crisis, government was not able to import also to inflation
• 1996- Policy measures in areas like industrial delicensing, foreign investment, trade policy, financial and capital markets
• 1998- Asian crisis was the reason for many economic changes in India
• 2014-
IMPACT OF BLACK MONEY ON INDIAN ECONOMY
• In Ancient times the ways to generate money as well as its usage was
very transparent i.e. everyone knew the sources of money and its
application, which may be referred as WHITE MONEY. So, in the
past, White Money was in use but now the colour of Indian money has
changed to Black.
• Black Money acts as a major hurdle in the growth of Indian Economy.
• One of the major reasons of sluggish growth of Indian Economy is the
rampant prevalence of Black money
• According to National Institute of Public Finance and Policy (NIPFP)
defines- “Black Money is the aggregate of incomes which are taxable
but not reported to authorities.”
IMPACT OF BLACK MONEY ON INDIAN ECONOMY
in addition to wealth earned through illegal means, the term black money would also include legal
income that is concealed from public authorities:
To evade payment of taxes (income tax, excise duty, sales tax, stamp duty, etc)
To evade compliance with other laws and administrative procedures. Generation of Black
Money It is generated through main two activities or means – Illegal means and Legal means
It is earned through Illegal means such as drug trafficking, weapons trading, terrorism, selling
counterfeit or stolen goods etc.
IMPACT OF BLACK MONEY ON INDIAN ECONOMY
• Along with reforming political parties our policy makers need to realise
the true cost of campaigning in India.
• With an average population of 22 lakhs in each parliamentary constituency current
expenditure limits allow a candidate to only spend INR 3 rupees to persuade a
voter. As a result, while candidates on paper seem to conduct campaigns within
prescribed expenditure limits, it is rarely the case in practice.
• The suggestion for India is that it needs to tread the path of UK’s Transparency
Policies and try to reform the legislation with a view to revamp the electoral
policies of India
THE STATE FUNDING POLICY OF JAPAN,
CANADA AND SWEDEN
• Public funding refers to funds or resources provided by the
State/Government to political parties and/or candidates.
• Indirect public funding refers to resources with a monetary value that the
Government provides to political parties
• Direct state funding of political parties is practised in 86 per cent of the
European countries, 71 per cent in Africa, 63 per cent in the Americas and 58
per cent in Asia. Its supporters say that public finance can help protect the
political process from direct, quid pro quo kickbacks or corruption and create
a level playing field for parties, candidates with less resources and new
entrants.
SWEDEN’S SIMULTANEOUS ELECTION POLICY
• It is not too well known that elections to Sweden’s county and municipal councils
occur simultaneously with the general elections (elections to Riksdag), every four
years. The next general elections in Sweden is due this September.
• The electoral system in Sweden is proportional, which means that the parties are
given a number of representatives in the elected assembly that is proportional to
their share of the vote.
SUGGESTION FOR INDIA
• The need of the hour is to synchronise state and central elections.
Holding elections together to the Lok Sabha and the state legislatures will bring the
following benefits:
• Better utilization of security forces: For holding elections hundreds of central police
forces in addition to state police have to be deployed. Not only this costs huge amount of
money but the security forces also are diverted from their core mandate of ensuring
internal security in the country. If elections are held simultaneously to the Lok Sabha and
the state legislatures it will free up the security forces to devote to their core duties for the
rest of the period.
OTHER SUGGESTED REFORMS
Auditing
• The ECI needs to be empowered to conduct regular audits to confirm the parties’
compliance with their internal constitutional documents, and the organisation of
internal elections. In fact, in 2011, the Law Ministry had already prepared a
Political Parties (Registration and Regulation of Affairs) Bill. Section 6 of
the Political Parties Bill required all political parties to form an executive
committee to oversee the implementation of democratic norms and intra party
elections at all levels. However, after being drafted, the Political Parties Bill
saw little to no subsequent debate.
Giving teeth to the ECI
• As things currently stand, the election commission has limited powers to take
action against candidates or their political parties.
• The corner stone of electoral governance in India, the Model Code of Conduct is
technically not legally binding and any compliance by parties or candidates is only
voluntary.
• Need of the hour is granting greater regulatory power to the ECI
• Along with granting greater regulatory power, it would be necessary to ensure greater
independence.
• This can be granted by granting the other commissioners the same constitutional
protections granted to the CEC under Article 324.
• As recommended by the 1990 Goswami Committee and the 255th Law Commission
Report, appointments of all the Election Commissioners (including the CEC) should
be made by the President in consultation with a three-member collegium - of the
Prime Minister, the Leader of the Opposition and the Chief Justice of India.
CONCLUSION
Thus, we saw how our elections play a very important role in our economy. We saw how
demonetisation could not help much in the growth of our economy. We the looked into the
frame of other democracies to find the solution to prevailing problems. But I believe that
these reforms are just a few in the line of numerous reforms to make our economy an ideal
economy. We need strong laws and even more powerful amendments in our constitution.
We can’t expect that to happen in a year or so but for whatever it takes, we need to
gradually move towards the change. For this change promises us a better economy, a better
democracy and thus a better tomorrow.
THANK YOU