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Presented to the
University of Wisconsin -
Madison Physics Colloquium
On November 14, 1997
Outline
Modeling of chaotic data
Probability of chaos
Examples of strange attractors
Properties of strange attractors
Attractor dimension
Lyapunov exponent
Simplest chaotic flow
Chaotic surrogate models
Aesthetics
Acknowledgments
Collaborators
G. Rowlands (physics) U. Warwick
C. A. Pickover (biology) IBM Watson
W. D. Dechert (economics) U. Houston
D. J. Aks (psychology) UW-Whitewater
Former Students
C. Watts - Auburn Univ
D. E. Newman - ORNL
B. Meloon - Cornell Univ
Current Students
K. A. Mirus
D. J. Albers
Typical Experimental Data
5
-5
0 Time 500
Determinism
Solution of
model equations
Solution of model equations
-20
0 Time 200
How common is chaos?
1
Logistic Map
Lyapunov Exponent
-1
-2 A 4
A 2-D Example (Hénon Map)
2
2
xn+1 = 1 + axn + bxn-1
-2
-4 a 1
The Hénon Attractor
xn+1 = 1 - 1.4xn2 + 0.3xn-1
Mandelbrot Set
xn+1 = xn2 - yn2 + a
yn+1 = 2xnyn + b
zn+1 = zn2 + c
b
Mandelbrot Images
General 2-D Quadratic Map
100 %
1%
0.1%
0.1 1.0 amax 10
Probability of Chaotic Solutions
100%
Iterated maps
10%
0.1%
1 Dimension 10
Neural Net Architecture
tanh
% Chaotic in Neural Networks
Types of Attractors
Fixed Point Limit Cycle
Spiral Radial
0.5
1 System Dimension 10
Lyapunov Exponent
10
Lyapunov Exponent
0.1
0.01
1 System Dimension 10
Simplest Chaotic Flow
dx/dt = y
dy/dt = z
2
dz/dt = -x + y - Az
2.0168 < A < 2.0577
x Ax x x 0
2
Simplest Chaotic Flow
Attractor
Simplest Conservative Chaotic Flow
... .
x + x - x = - 0.01
2
Chaotic Surrogate Models
xn+1 = .671 - .416xn - 1.014xn2 + 1.738xnxn-1 +.836xn-1 -.814xn-12
Data
Model