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ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS
POINT ESTIMATION
is the process of finding a simple
value, called point estimate,
from a random sample of a
population, to approximate a
population parameter.
Therefore,
the point estimate of the μ is the
x and
the point estimate of the σ2 is s2.
Example:
Observatio x
μ = Σx ns
N 1 6
= 28 2 2
5 3 8
4 9
μ =
5.6 5 3
Σx = 28
Sample Sample
Mean
(6, 2) 4
(6, 8) 7
(6, 9) 7.5
(6, 3) 4.5
μ =
Sample Sample
Mean
(6, 2, 8) 5.3
(6, 2, 9) 5.7
(6, 2, 8, 9) 6.25
(6, 2, 8, 3) 4.75
μ =
POINT AND INTERVAL ESTIMATION
Each sample mean is a point
estimate of the population mean,
but they are still different from
the population mean.
Confidence Interval is a range
of values within which the
population mean is most likely to
be located.
POINT AND INTERVAL ESTIMATION
In approximating the population
mean by determining a
confidence interval, we use
confidence levels.
Confidence levels refer to the
probability that the confidence
interval contains the true
population parameter.
Confidence levels of 90%, 95%
and 99% are usually chosen.
POINT AND INTERVAL ESTIMATION
if: α =
0
.
0
5 95
%
μ
EXAMPLE:
The mean score of a random sample
of 49 Grade 11 students who took
the first periodic test is calculated to
be 78.
The population variance is known to
be 0.16.
a. Find the 95% confidence interval
for the mean of the entire Grade
11 students.
STEP 1:
Find the value of zα/2
STEP 2:
Substitute the valuesx of , σ and
zα/2
ANSWER:
77.89 < μ < 78.11
Lower confidence limit = 77.89
Upper confidence limit = 78.11
INTERPRETATION:
The researcher is 95% confident that
the sample mean (78) differs from
the μ by no more than 0.112; and
that the μ is between x 77.89 and
INTERVAL ESTIMATE OF POPULATION
MEAN WITH KNOWN VARIANCE
Confidence Interval can also be
written as:
x x
( - E or:
, +E)
-xE < μ < x + E
Alternative Formula
in determining the margin
of error:
upper confidence limit- lower
E= confidence limit
2
COMMON CONFIDENCE LEVELS
WITH THEIR CORRESPONDING
RELIABILITY FACTOR
(1-α)100%
Confidence Zα/2
Level
99% 2.575
95% 1.96
90% 1.645
EXERCISE2:
The mean and standard deviation
of the scores of a random sample
of 45 Grade 10 students who took
the final test are calculated to be
76 and 12.5 respectively.
a. Find the 95% confidence interval
for the mean of the entire Grade
10 students.
b. Find the lower and upper
EXERCISE3:
The mean and standard deviation
of the blood sugar level of
randomly selected 50 patients in a
hospital are 130 mg/dl and 4.6
mg/dl, respectively.
a. Find the 90% confidence interval
for the mean of all patients in the
said hospital.
b. Find the lower and upper
SAMPLE SIZE FOR ESTIMATING POPULATION MEAN
E
EXERCISES:
Find the minimum sample size required
to estimate an unknown population
mean using the following given data:
a. Confidence level = 95%
Margin of error = 75
σ = 250
b. Confidence level = 90%
Margin of error = 0.891
σ2 = 9
TEST YOURSELF:
A researcher wants to estimate the daily
expenses of college students. He wants
a 99% confidence level and a 40 margin
of error. How many students must he
randomly select if in the previous survey
σ = 99.50?