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SONGY Dilemma

LOAN DEFAULTS CHANGE IN MARKET


The rise in vacancies impacted
Leasing and valuation tests were hard to secondary markets especially hard,
achieve, resulting in technical “non- many of which were within Songy’s
monetary” loan defaults. portfolio.

VICTIM OF FRAUD RECESSION


The firm was unable to access $4 million in much Decrease in travel had a large
needed capital after some of their investors who impact on the hotel sector
had also invested with the infamous Allen Stanford,
had their accounts frozen when Stanford’s Ponzi
scheme was uncovered
SONGY case study

“With balloon payments on their loans due,


Songy had to DECIDE on WHAT TO DO
with three of their current portfolio’s most
challenged assets.”
Recourse provisions on some loans continued to expose the firm to some of those
CRITICAL ill-fated deals that had LOST ALL INVESTED EQUITY. Meanwhile, the buildings still
under the firm’s control were struggling to recover from the recession requiring
significant capital to survive until the real estate markets stabilized
ASSETS

5433 WESTHEIMER
OFFICE/HOTEL/RETAIL
DALLAS HILTON GARDEN INN THE CARPENTER BUILDING
As of 2011, the firm had EXHAUSTED most of its equity capital
and their lenders were calling for more long-term solutions demanding lower leverage capital structures.

Songy would have the capital to buy time by refinancing until the
properties stabilized. Yet even if they could find the capital,
David wondered,
IF the ASSETS WORTH SAVING AT THIS POINT?
Computation suggests that if Dallas Hilton Garden would be held for another two years with additional capex
of 0.3 annually, the additional equity investment of 2.0 to pay down the loan today is completely justified at
a net DCF of positive 5.4 after the asset is expected to be valued at 27.1 with 8.5% Exit Cap in 2013.
Computation above shows that if Songy would employ additional Capex of 4.0 to stabilize the office building
and 0.5 to aloft hotel for the next two years, or a total of 4.5 annually, the Office and Hotel would be valued at
10.7 and 36.3 respectively, yielding a net discounted cashflow of positive 4.1 at the end of the term.
Holding the carpenter building beyond 2010 would effect in additional losses on the part of Songy as shown in
above table for 2011 to 2013 at negative values or a net DCF of negative 6.0. It therefore shows that the asset
would not likely recover within the next two years.
Table above shows the actual residual value of each asset in 2010 and the corresponding
projected value in 2013 based on the net DCF.

It is apparent that Dallas Hilton Garden and Westheimer has the potential to recover its
equity after two years while the Carpenter Building would continue in further exhausting its
already negative equity.
IN A NUTSHELL…
Residual Value of critical assets, Dallas Hilton Garden and 5433 Westheimer,
are at a negative for 2010. It is therefore, not recommended to give up these
assets at this point in time.
If additional capitalization would be employed on Dallas and Westheimer,
these assets would yield favorably in 2013 at 5.4 and 4.1, that is, higher by
8.4 and 14.9, respectively, compared to 2010.
On the other hand, Carpenter Building would prospectively incur higher
losses if retained for at least two years by an additional -1.6.
Hence, to reduce the effect of loss, it is recommended to give up the
carpenter building as early as 2010.

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