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8.1 Measuring the Costs of
Public Projects
8.4 Conclusion
PREPARED BY
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8.1
Measuring the Costs of Public Projects
The Example
TABLE 8-1
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8.1
Measuring the Costs of Public Projects
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8.1
Measuring the Costs of Public Projects
Imperfect Markets
Economic costs are only those costs associated with diverting the resource
from its next best use.
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8.1
Measuring the Costs of Public Projects
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8.1
Measuring the Costs of Public Projects
TABLE 8-2
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8.2
Measuring the Benefits of Public Projects
Suppose we can show that the time that individuals save from driving
faster is spent at work.
This theoretical proposition runs into some problems in practice:
Individuals can’t freely trade off leisure and hours of work; jobs
may come with hours restrictions.
There may be nonmonetary aspects of the job.
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8.2
Measuring the Benefits of Public Projects
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8.2
Measuring the Benefits of Public Projects
APPLICATION
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8.2
Measuring the Benefits of Public Projects
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8.2
Measuring the Benefits of Public Projects
EM P I R I C A L E V I D E N C E
VALUING TIME SAVINGS
The problem is that treatments and controls may differ in ways that lead to
bias. Suppose that homes built closer to the city are smaller, or that they have
smaller yards. This would lead their value to be lower.
In Boston, for example, the town of Everett is only 4 miles from downtown
Boston, while Lexington is 11 miles away. Yet the average home price in
Everett is $322,923, while the average home price in Lexington is about 2.3
times higher at $746,804.
In such cases, we can try to control for these other attribute differences using
cross-sectional regression analysis with control variables. Indeed, in this
context there is a name for such a strategy: hedonic market analysis.
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8.2
Measuring the Benefits of Public Projects
We could claim that virtually any government expenditure has some odds
of saving a life.
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8.2
Measuring the Benefits of Public Projects
APPLICATION
Valuing Life
The sticky ethical problem of valuing life arises in many instances in public policy,
as shown by these examples:
1. In 1993, consumer groups demanded that General Motors recall about 5
million pickup trucks it had manufactured between 1973 and 1987. This
recall would cost $1 billion and would, according to government
calculations, save at most 32 more lives (since the trucks were slowly
falling out of use). Using these estimates, the cost per life saved by the
recall would have been $1 billion/32 = $31.25 million.
2. In October 1999, a commuter train crash at London’s Paddington Station
killed 31 people and prompted calls by an outraged public for more
investment in rail safety measures. At best ($3 billion to save three lives per
year for 50 years), this would mean spending $20 million per life saved; at
worst ($9 billion to save one life per year for 30 years), it would mean $300
million per life saved.
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8.2
Measuring the Benefits of Public Projects
Contingent Valuation
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8.2
Measuring the Benefits of Public Projects
Revealed Preference
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8.2
Measuring the Benefits of Public Projects
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8.2
Measuring the Benefits of Public Projects
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
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8.3
Putting It All Together
TABLE 8-4
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8.3
Putting It All Together
Distributional Concerns
The costs and benefits of a public project do not necessarily accrue to
the same individuals.
Uncertainty
The costs and benefits of public projects are often highly uncertain.
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8.4
Conclusion
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