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Earned Value Analysis (EVA)
What Is It ?
Why Do I Need It ?
How Do I Do It?
2
Todays Situation
3
Theres Room For Improvement
4
Source:The Standish Group
How to answer the question:
Have we done what we said wed do?
% complete estimating
% of Budget spent
% of work done
% of time elapsed
subjective, incomplete
draws false conclusions
5
Enter Earned Value Analysis
Earned Value Analysis is:
an industry standard way to:
measure a projects progress,
forecast its completion date and final cost, and
provide schedule and budget variances along the
way.
6
Whats more Important?
7
EVA Integrates All Three
8
Earned Value needed because...
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Earned Value needed because...
10
OK, So What Is This Stuff?
11
Examples of informal Earned Value Analysis
Cost Comparisons
Budget vs. Actual
12
Hows this project doing?
120000
100000
80000
Projected
60000
Actual
40000
20000
0
Jan-03 Feb-03 Mar-03 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 Oct-03 Nov-03 Dec-03
13
Lets Take A Look Under The Hood
14
How am I gonna eat this elephant?
15
Proper Work Breakdown
Structure (WBS) Design
One WBS per program
Deliverable-oriented
Work not in the WBS is out-of-scope
Each descending level represents more detail
Full (and accurate) definition is key
Defined deliverable(s)
Timeframe for delivery of product
Total cost (direct and indirect) to deliver product
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WBS Units are Work Packages
18
Control Account Plans
20
Some New Terms
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Earned Value Definitions
22
BCWS - Budgeted Cost of Work Scheduled
120000
100000
80000
60000 BCWS
40000
20000
Nov-03
Jan-03
Jun-03
Jul-03
Feb-03
Mar-03
Apr-03
May-03
Aug-03
Sep-03
Dec-03
Oct-03
23
Earned Value Definitions (cont.)
24
ACWP - Actual Cost of Work Performed
120000
100000
80000
56000 BCWP
60000
ACWP
49000
40000
20000
Nov-03
Jan-03
Jun-03
Jul-03
Feb-03
Mar-03
Apr-03
May-03
Aug-03
Sep-03
Dec-03
Oct-03
25
Earned Value Definitions (cont.)
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BCWP - Budgeted Cost of Work Performed
120000
100000
80000
55000 BCWP
60000
49000 BCWS
40000
20000
Nov-03
Jan-03
Jun-03
Jul-03
Feb-03
Mar-03
Apr-03
May-03
Aug-03
Sep-03
Dec-03
Oct-03
27
The Whole Story
120000
100000
80000
56000 BCWS
60000 BCWP
55000
49000 ACWP
40000
20000
Nov-03
Jan-03
Jun-03
Jul-03
Feb-03
Apr-03
May-03
Aug-03
Sep-03
Dec-03
Mar-03
Oct-03
28
Some Derived Metrics
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Some More Derived Metrics
SPI: BCWP/BCWS
49,000/55,000 = 0.891
CPI: BCWP/ACWP
49,000/56000 = 0.875
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Making Projections
Once a project is 10% complete, the
overrun at completion will not be less
than the current overrun.
120000
103865
100000 102000
90882
80000
BCWS
60000 BCWP
ACWP
40000
20000
Nov-03
Jan-03
Jun-03
Jul-03
Feb-03
Apr-03
May-03
Aug-03
Sep-03
Dec-03
Mar-03
Oct-03
34
Estimate to Complete
140000
120000 116,571
100000 102000
BCWS
80000
BCWP
60000
ACWP
40000
20000
0 03
03
04
3
4
3
03
3
-0
-0
l-0
-0
v-
n-
n-
p-
ar
ar
ay
Ju
No
Ja
Ja
Se
M
M
M
35
A New Criteria
36
Value of Earned Value
37
Requirements of Earned Value
38
Shortcomings of Earned Value
39
Earned Value Resources
http://www.pmi.org/
http://www.acq.osd.mil/pm/
40
Earned Value Analysis
Questions/Discussion
41