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Session IV (Products)
April 15, 2010
Bond basics
What are bonds
Bond valuation
Yield Curve and Term structure of interest rates
Interest Rate products and Risk Management
Futures and Forwards
Swaps
Options
Advanced topics?
In its broadest sense, a bond is any debt instrument that promises a fixed income stream to the holder
Fixed income securities are often classified according to maturity, as follows:
Less than one year – Bills or “Paper”
1 year < Maturity < 7 years – Notes
< 7 years – Bonds
A typical bond has the following characteristics:
A fixed face or par value, paid to the holder of the bond, at maturity
A fixed coupon, which specifies the interest payable over the life of the bond
Coupons are usually paid either annually or semi-annually
A fixed maturity date
Note:
The coupon rate, the maturity date, par value are all set (fixed) at the time the bond was originally sold The coupon rate will reflect the
required rates of interest at the time of bond issue.
After issue, interest rates, and required rates of return will change. Because everything is fixed except the required rate of return and
the bond price, as rates change, so too will bond prices!
Conversely
Setting FV to 1, provides the present value of 1 dollar in the future, and is called the discount factor
Discount factors are of critical importance to finance-it is possible to determine the value of any investment
by applying the appropriate discount factors. For an FI security consisting of known cash flows (Ci), at
various times (Ti)
We will understand its use an application in the relatively simple case (nevertheless important one) of bond
valuation
Bond Valuation
A Coupon Bond’s Present Value (PV)/price has Two Components:
Present Value of the Coupon Interest Payments
Present Value of the Future Redemption Value
For a bond with annualized coupon C, m times a year, with N=txM payments due, the value is
The standard bond pricing formula assumes a ‘flat yield’, i.e. a single interest rate applicable to
all cash flows. With this assumption
Yield To Maturity (YTM)- rate of return anticipated on a bond if it is held until the maturity date. Or alternatively
put – it’s the IRR (internal rate of return) on a bond
YTM takes into account the current market price, par value, coupon rate and time to maturity. It is also assumed
that all coupons are reinvested at the same rate
When bond investors speak of ‘yield’, they are referring to Yield to maturity
Note that when coupon rate equals the yield the price becomes ‘Par’
When the coupon rate is higher than the yield, the bond is ‘at discount’, and in reverse ‘at a premium’
As the bond approaches maturity, the bond gets closer to par as you’d expect. This is called ‘pulling to par effect’
There are three factors that affect the price volatility of a bond
Yield to maturity
Time to maturity
Size of coupon
We will look at each of these in turn.
The graph below shows how the price of a 25 year, 10% coupon bond changes as the
bond’s YTM varies from 1% to 30%
Note that the graph is not linear – instead it is said to be convex to the origin
P rice /Y ie ld R e lationship
350
300
Price per $100 of Face
250
200
Value
150
100
50
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29
P e rce nt YT M
© COPYRIGHT 2010 SAPIENT CORPORATION | CONFIDENTIAL 12
Other Factors Affecting Bond Prices: Term to Maturity
Low coupon bonds have greater price volatility than high coupon bonds
High coupons act like a stabilizing device, since a greater proportion of the
bond’s total cash flows occur closer to today & are therefore less affected by a
change in YTM
The greatest price volatility is found with stripped bonds (no coupon payments)
Should a lender invest in short-term bonds and have to worry about the rates at which to
reinvest when short-term bond matures? Or should the lender buy long-term bonds and run
the risk of an uncertain liquidating value if selling is necessary before maturity?
Borrowers are faced with the choice of whether to borrow short-term or long-term. Short-
term borrowing runs the risk that refinancing may be at higher rates. Long-term financing
runs the risk that a high rate may be locked in.
A study of the yield-curve and term-structure of interest rates can help borrowers and
lenders in making the right decision.
A graphical depiction of the relationship between the yield on bonds of the same credit quality, but different
maturities is known as the yield curve.
Term structure of interest rates may be defined as the relation between yield to maturity of zero coupon
securities of the same credit quality and maturities of those zero-coupon securities.
Yield-to-maturity on zero-coupon securities for different maturities is also the spot rate for that maturity.
Therefore, term structure of interest rate may also be defined as the pattern of spot rates for different
maturities.
The yield on Treasury securities is a benchmark for determining the yield curve on non-Treasury
securities. Consequently, all market participants are interested in the relationship between yield and
maturity for Treasury securities.
The graphical depiction of the relationship between the yield on Treasury securities
for different maturities is known as the yield curve. While a yield curve is typically
constructed on the basis of observed yields and maturities, the term structure of
interest rates is the relationship between the yield on zero-coupon Treasury securities
and their maturities.
Therefore, to construct term structure of interest rates, we need the yield on zero-
coupon Treasury securities for different maturities.
Zero-coupon Treasuries are issued with maturities of six-months and one-year, but
there are no zero-coupon Treasury securities with maturity more than one-year.
Thus, we cannot construct such term structure solely from market observed yields.
Rather, it is essential to construct term structure from theoretical consideration applied
to yields of actually traded Treasury debt securities.
Such a curve is called “Theoretical Spot Rate Curve”
More risky bonds (e.g. rated Corporate Bonds) will have their own yield curve and it will plot at higher YTM
at every term to maturity because of the default risk that they carry
The difference between the YTM on a 10-year corporate bond (say BBB)and a 10-year US Govt bond is
called a yield spread and represents a default-risk premium investors demand for investing in more risky
securities.
Side bar: All publicly traded bonds are assigned a “risk rating” by a rating agency, such as Dominion Bond
Rating Service (DBRS), Standard & Poors (S&P), Moodys, Fitch, etc.
Bonds are categorized as:
Investment grade – top four rating categories (AAA, AA, A & BBB)
Junk or high yield – everything below investment grade (BB, B, CCC, CC, D, Suspended)
© COPYRIGHT 2010 SAPIENT CORPORATION | CONFIDENTIAL 18
Term Structure of Interest Rates
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Corporate bonds, monthly data Aaa-Rate
Corporate bonds, monthly data Baa-Rate
10-year maturity Treasury bonds, monthly data
Banks with high credit ratings (Aa/AA or above) borrow money from each other at the LIBOR
rates. These yield curves are typically a little higher than government curves. They are the most
important and widely used in the financial markets, and are known variously as the LIBOR curve
or the swap curve.
LIBOR rates are widely used as a reference rate for :-
Forward rate agreements
Short term interest rate futures contracts
Interest rate swaps
Floating rate notes
Syndicated loans
Besides the government curve and the LIBOR curve, there are corporate (company) curves.
These are constructed from the yields of bonds issued by corporations.
A market in which commodities are bought and sold for cash and immediate
delivery.
The spot market refers to instruments that are traded and settle within two
business days* of the transaction.
The spot rate refers to the current market rate
Also called the cash market or physical market
A forward contract
Delivery of a security/ commodity at some future date
Delivery price is determined at the time of contract
It is defined such that it has no initial monetary value
Define the grade and quantity of goods to be delivered
Time and place of delivery are also defined
Futures Forward
Amount Standardized Negotiated
Delivery Date Standardized Negotiated
Counter-party Clearinghouse Bank
Collateral Margin Acct. Negotiated
Market Auction Market Dealer Market
Costs Brokerage and Bid-ask spread
exchange fees
Liquidity Very liquid Highly illiquid
Regulation Government Self-regulated
Location Central exchange Worldwide
Defining features
$ one million face
Delivery of a T-bill maturing in 3 months
Price is quoted as the 100 – expected discount rate on the 3 month T-bill on
maturity
Invoice price on delivery
$1,000,000 [ 1 – (settlement discount on last trading day) X (days to maturity /360)]
Defining features
One million principal value
3 month maturity
Price quoted in terms of IMM index for 3-month EDs (100.00 – yield)
Cash Settled
Price of ED based on random selection of 20 banks from a predetermined list
Defining features
The contract requires delivery of $100,000 face value of bonds with at least 15
years to call (i.e. if the bonds are callable) or 15 years to maturity
Future price is quoted as a percentage of the face with a tick of 1/32
Invoice Price on delivery = Future Price * 100,000 * Conversion Factor + AI
Position day: notice of delivery by short, 2 days prior to delivery date
Intention day: short must state precisely which bond will be used for delivery, 1
day before delivery
Parallelism
Futures and Cash markets highly correlated. Similar factors influence each
market
Example: The imminent war in Iraq causes both current and future prices to
increase
Or like monsoon in India
Convergence
Futures and Cash prices tend to converge at the expiration of the futures contract
Due to the fact that carrying costs decrease as the futures contract draws closer
to expiration
Buy two related futures contracts, one short and one long
Consists of both a long and short position in different contracts of the same or
related commodities
Takes advantage of the relative movements between two (or more) underlying
contracts
Eliminates sensitivity to absolute price changes
Assumption: The two contracts are highly correlated. (i.e. price increases affect
both commodities)
All swaps involve exchange of a series of periodic payments between two parties, usually through an
intermediary which is normally a large international financial institution which runs a “swap book”
The two major types are interest rate swaps (also known as coupon swaps) and currency swaps.
The two are combined to give a cross-currency interest rate swap
Other less common structures are equity swaps, commodity swaps
Liability swaps exchange one kind of liability for another
Why would a firm want to exchange one kind of liability or asset for another?
Capital market imperfection or factors like differences in investor attitudes, informational
asymmetries, differing financial norms, peculiarities of national regulatory and tax structures and
so forth explain why investors and borrowers use swaps.
Swaps enable users to exploit these imperfections to reduce funding costs or increase return
while obtaining a preferred structure in terms of currency, interest rate basis etc.
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The Notional Principal; The Fixed Rate; Floating Rate Trade Date, Effective
Date, Reset Dates and Payment Dates (each floating rate payment has three
dates associated with it as shown below
The setting/reset date is the date on which the floating rate applicable for the
next payment is set
Accrual date is the date from which the next floating payment starts to accrue
The discount rates used in the valuation reflect the riskiness of the cash flows. Note that: [r(n) is
the discount rate at date n]:
b = Σ C × e-r(s) s + Q × e-r(T) T
where Q is the notional principal underlying the interest rate swap, C is the fixed payment and
the summation goes from s=1 to s=T the termination date of the swap
b* = C* × e-r(t1) t1 + Q × e-r(t1) t1
where the floating rate bond, b* must have, after the payment at time t1 value equal to the
notional principal , Q , and C* is the floating rate payment due at time t1
Example: Financial institution pays 6-month LIBOR and receives 8% per annum (with semiannual
compounding) on a notional principal of $100 Million. The swap has a remaining life of 1.25 years. The
relevant discount rates are 10%, 10.5%, and 11% for 3 months, 9 months, and 15 months. The 6
month LIBOR rate at the last payment date was 10.2% (and the reset frequency is 3 months).
Note For s= 3/12 = 0.25; r = 0.10 For s = 9/12 = 0.75; r=0.105 For s = 1.25; r = 0.11
t1 = 3 months = 0.25
Call Option – right to BUY the underlying asset at a specific price called as strike
price on or before the specified date called as expiration date for a price the option
premium or option price
You want to protect the value of your new car against any damages. Hence
you buy an insurance for a fixed period and in return pay a premium to the
insurance provider for protecting the value of your new car e.g. for a $25,000
car you pay $1500 for a year
Put Option – right to SELL the underlying asset at a specific price called as strike
price on or before the specified date called as expiration date for a price, the option
premium or option price
Out of Money
$90
Share Price
$60
20
10
30 40 50 60 65 Share price ($)
0
-5 70 80 90
Risk: Premium
Reward: Unlimited
Break Even: Strike Price + Premium
Motivation: When share prices are expected to rise (Bullish)
Profit ($)
5 65 70 80 90
0
30 40 50 60 Share price ($)
-10
-20
Sell $60 Call at $5
-30
Risk: Unlimited
Reward: Premium
Break Even: Strike Price + Premium
Motivation: When share prices are expected to remain flat (neutral
outlook)
© COPYRIGHT 2010 SAPIENT CORPORATION | CONFIDENTIAL 49
Long Put – Buy a Put
30 Profit ($)
Buy $60 Put at $7
20
10
53 Share price ($)
0
30 40 50 60 70 80 90
-7
Risk: Premium
Reward: Limited (Strike price – Share price) Insurance policy
Break Even: Strike Price - Premium
Motivation: When share prices are expected to fall (bearish) or want to use
it has a protective strategy in bearish markets
-20
-30
Risk: Limited (Strike price – Share price)
Reward: Premium
Break Even: Strike Price - Premium
Motivation: Share price are expected to remain flat/bullish or purchase at
a pre-determined price lower than the market price
© COPYRIGHT 2010 SAPIENT CORPORATION | CONFIDENTIAL 51
Covered Calls
Short Call
Strike Price
Share Price
Stock Purchase Price
Long stock
Long stock
Long Put
$80 TV
TV
TV
TV = Opportunity value that
$75 option may become more
valuable in future
IV
$70
Non Quantifiable
Liquidity
Market sentiment
Corporate Actions
Market news
Supply and demand
Quantifiable
Underlying price
Strike Price
Expiration Date
Volatility
Risk Free Interest Rate
Dividends
Consider two call options which only differ only by strike prices. Which call
would have an higher premium, the one with a lower strike price or higher?
E.g. would XYZ $100 May Call be more valued that XYZ $120 May Call?
Further, what is the impact of the underlying share price on the option price?
Call Put
Strike Price – +
Share Price + –
Payoff for call = share price – strike price
Payoff for put = strike price – share price
© COPYRIGHT 2010 SAPIENT CORPORATION | CONFIDENTIAL 57
Expiration Date
Consider two options which differ only by the expiration date? Which option would
be more valuable? The one maturing earlier or later? E.g. would XYZ $100 May
Call be more valued that XYZ $100 June Call?
Call Put
Expiration
Date + +
Option Decay
Consider two options XYZ.com and ABC. XYZ has a lot of fluctuations in its
share price compared to ABC. All factors similar which option would be more
priced? XYZ.com or ABC
Call Put
Share Price + +
Call Put
Interest rates + –
Only true if other factors remain constant especially the share prices
Interest rate increases normally would be followed by decrease in share
prices causing call option prices to reduce
Call Put
Dividends – +
Call Put
Strike Price – +
Share Price + –
Volatility + +
Expiration + +
Dividend – +
Interest rate + –
S1 = Buy Call
S1 = Sell Call
S2 = Sell Call
S1 = Buy Call
S3 = Buy Call Strike
Strip Strap
Strangle
S2 = Buy Call
S1 = Buy Put
Volatility Vega
Dividends
How much does an option premium change in value as the underlying stock
price changes?
Delta (∆ ): The rate of change of the option price with respect to the
underlying stock price i.e. ratio of change in option price to change in stock
price
Long Short
How does the options delta change in value as the underlying stock price
changes?
Gamma: The rate of change of the option delta with respect to the
underlying share price
6
δ
5 Gamma=
Value
U
4
3
Second derivate
2 of the portfolio
value with respect
20 21 22 23 24 25 26
to the underlyer
Underlying
price
© COPYRIGHT 2010 SAPIENT CORPORATION | CONFIDENTIAL 72
Gamma neutral
How does the option value change as the underlying stock becomes more or
less volatile?
Vega: The rate of change of the option price with respect to the underlying
stock’s volatility
Indicator of the option’s sensitivity to underlying volatility
5
P
Value
4 Vega =
V
3
2
5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Implied Volatility
© COPYRIGHT 2010 SAPIENT CORPORATION | CONFIDENTIAL 75
Vega characteristics
Option premium rises with increasing volatility and falls with decreasing
volatility
Positive Vega for buyers and negative Vega for writers
High Vega indicates higher changes to portfolio value for small changes in
underlying volatility
Vega for underlying stock = 0
Vega neutral by adding option position = –V Portfolio / V Hedge
Represented as dollar amount the option is expected to change for a 1%
increase in volatility e.g. $$$/1% an option with a Vega of 0.2 would gain
(lose) $0.20 in value for each 1% increase (decrease) in volatility
Theta
How much does the passage of time affect the option value?
Theta: The rate of change of the option price with respect to the time
Indicator of the option’s sensitivity to passage of time
As expiration approaches, time value of option decreases. Theta measure
this option time decay
Rho
Rho is the rate of change of the value of the option with respect to the
interest rate
Exotic options are non-standard products whose pay-off is dependant on the path
realized by the underlying asset
All Exotic options are customized as per client requirements (also called structured
products) and hence are always OTC products
Carries significant credit risk apart from the usual market risk that any options portfolio
shall always carry
Barrier Options
Barrier option will knock in or knock out depending on whether the barrier has
been hit during the life of the option and the type of the option.
A knock-out option ceases to exist when the price reaches a certain barrier
A knock-in option comes into existence only when the underlying price reaches a
certain barrier
Barrier Options
Payoff depends on the average price of the underlying asset during at least some
part of the life of the option
Now, the average can be looked at in two respects:
Fixed Strike, Average Price:
Payoff from an average price Call option is max (0, Save – X)
Payoff from an average price Put option is max (0, X – Save ),
Average Strike:
Payoff from an average strike Call is max (0, ST – Save )
Payoff from an average strike Put is max (0, Save - ST)