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1. Introduction :
- Problem Solving Techniques, - Quality Gap - Why ?
2. Variation :
- Why variation Reduction, Sources of Variation, Methods of Variation
Reduction, Measurement of Variations, Variation Reduction Road Map, Design
of Experiments,
3. The Seven DOE ( SHAININ ) Techniques :
- Multi - Vari : To home-in on Red X Family
- Component Search : Easy, Sure shot clue generating Technique
- Paired Comparison : The Detective Method
- Variable Search : The Rolls Royce of Variation Reduction.
- Full Factorial : Quantification Technique for Main & Interaction Effects.
- B vs C : Validation Technique.
- Scatter Plot : Optimization of Realistic Tolerances
4. Post DOE Disciplines :
- Positrol = To control important variables
- Process certification : control of qualify peripherals
- Operator Certification : Training
- Pre-control : To maintain Zero Defect and 100 % yields.
5. Dart Chart :
- Mapping of process improvement
6. Six Sigma :
- Concept & understanding
7. Case studies.
PROBLEM SOLVING TECHNIQUES
* BASIC 7 TOOLS
* NEW 7 TOOLS
Problem
50
40 IIII IIII IIII IIII III
30
20
IIII II
10
Total 0
1st Qtr
Y SCATTER DIAGRAM
THE BASIC
7 TOOLS Positive Correlation X
GRAPHS & CHARTS
OF Q.C. 100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr
STRATIFICATION
THE BASIC 7 TOOLS OF Q.C.
1. Plan, Do Study/check, Act (PDSA/PDCA)
2. Pareto Charts
3. Frequency Distribution / Histograms
4. Brainstorming
5. Cause & Effect Diagrams (Ishikawa)
6. Cause & Effect Diagrams With The
Addition Of Cards (CEDAC)
7. Control Charts
* ALL ARE KINDERGARTEN TOOLS WITH MINIMAL PROBLEM SOLVING POWER
THE 7 MANAGEMENT TOOLS FOR QUALITY
1. Affinity Diagram
2. Interrelationship Diagram
3. Tree Diagram
4. Matrix Diagram
5. Matrix data analysis / Star Plot
6. Process Decision Program Chart(PDPC)
7. Arrow Diagram
All Are Management Tools - Not Applicable For Problem
Solving Or Quantum Leap Quality Improvements
THE 10 POWERFUL QUALITY TOOLS
1. TOM PETERS :
AMERICAN MANAGEMENT IS
OUT OF TOUCH WITH :
ITS CUSTOMERS,
ITS EMPLOYEES,
ITS SUPPLIERS.
REASONS FOR GAP
2. WESTERN MANAGEMENT IS MIRED IN :
* Generalities : NATO ( No Action Talk Only )
* Poor Management Styles : Vertical Management,
Micro Management, Taylorism, Bossism,
Low Expectations, Little Push For Innovations
& Continuous Improvements.
* Poor Quality Systems : ( i.e., ISO-9000 Series )
* Adverse Relations with Suppliers.
* Direct Labour Focus.
* Support Services-Quagmire of Ineffectiveness.
* Employees as Pairs of Hands.
REASONS FOR GAP
3. WEAK TOOLS :
* The 7 Tools of Q.C.
* The 7 Management Tools for Quality.
( New 7 Tools )
* S.P.C.
What is Quality ?
100%
A Common View :
Satisfaction
If Product is within
Customer
Specifications -
1) Customer Satisfied
2) Ease of Production
3) No Loss
LSL USL
Conformance to Specifications /
Standards
What is Quality ?
Quality Loss in Rs.
Japanese View :
Regardless of Specifications
any departure from Target
Value is a Cost -
1) Cost of Inspection, Re-
Test and Re-work
2) Cost of Increasing
Customer Dissatisfaction
Expected Unexpected
True Process
Capability
Variation is the cause of inconsistency
Variation is reason that components do
not always fit together.
Variations is the reason that quality
levels of same product ,produced on
the same machine using parts / materials
from same suppliers are different.
Our goal is to manage Variation
To manage Variation we must understand it.
Where from variation comes ?
Variation can come from different procedures
* Customer Dissatisfaction
* Poor Quality
SPECIFICATION LIMITS Vs. TARGET VALUES
Poor Instructions
1. Range
- Difference between Maximum
and Minimum Value
2. Standard Deviation
- Average deviation from the mean
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation is a statistical measure of
spread or variation that is present in the group
data.
The mathematics involved in calculating the
standard deviation are complicated,
compared to calculating the average. The
important thing is that, despite this apparent
complexity, the standard deviation is just a
form of average. It measures the average
deviation from the mean.
Variation
XD
Bias X=D
Zero
A. Degree of Bias B. Degree of Precision
Bias Precision
High Low
X D X=D
X D X=D
Precision progressively
higher from top to
bottom as are Cp and
XD X=D
Cpk ( which are always
equal )
Bias Precision
X=D X=D
Low High
A. Degree of Bias B. Degree of Precision C. Degree of Accuracy
Bias Precision Accuracy
High Low Low
X D X=D X D
Range /
precision,
X D X=D X D
bias,
accuracy
Cp, Cpk
all
XD X=D XD improve
from top
to bottom
Bias Precision Accuracy
X=D X=D X=D
Low High High
2.Relationship between Control Limits &
Spec. Limits
Control Limit Specification Limit
Inherent to the Process External to the process
Calculated from the Given by Customer
data gathered during the ( may be Internal
process Customer ) on Drawing,
Operation Sheet or other
Specification
Used to judge whether Used to judge
a process is in Statistical acceptability of individual
Control product
Measurement Of Variation
Cp & Cpk
Cpk = PROCESS CAPABILITY INDEX
D - X X -D
K = or
S/2 S/2
OR
What is the
significance of
Better Process with wider
- 5 +5
safety margin.
Inspection can be reduced
Spec Width (S)
Cp = Process Width (P)
20
Possibility of squeezing
Cp = = 1.66 tolerance
12
PROCESS CAPABILITY
Cp - MEASURE OF VARIATION
E. (Upper Spec Limit = 40, Lower Spec Limit = 20
Process Width Defined as + 3 Sigma Limits = 10 )
20 40 What is the
significance of
* Important milestone in a march
towards variation reduction.
* Process width is half the
-6 +6 Specification width
Spec Width (S)
Cp = Process Width (P) * Minimum standard for own as
well as for suppliers for KEY
Cp =
20
= 2.0 Characteristics/ Parameters
10
PROCESS CAPABILITY
Cp - MEASURE OF VARIATION
F. (Upper Spec Limit = 40, Lower Spec Limit = 20
Process Width Defined as + 3 Sigma Limits = 2.5 )
20 40
What is the
significance of
Ideal with accompanying
- 24 + 24 Cost Reductions
Spec Width (S)
Open up tolerances
Cp = Process Width (P) No need to inspect
20
Cp = = 8.0
2.5
Variation
Measuring variation does nothing to
reduce it
Causes of variation should be analysed
before a systematic attack on variation is
mounted.
Variation is widespread like an epidemic
New Quality Mission is to Inoculate
products & processes against variation.
METHODS OF VARIATION DETECTION
AND REDUCTION
* Classical
* Taguchi
* Shainin
Shainin diagnostic tools can diagnose & greatly
reduce variations leading to zero defects beyond the
milestones of Cpk = 2 to near zero variability these
tools are :-
Simple to understand, no mathematics involved
Logical : based on common sense
Practical : easy to implement in production, design
& with suppliers
Universal in scope : applicable in wide range of
industries - big & small, process intensive as well
as assembly intensive.
Statistically powerful : in terms of accuracy
Excellent in terms of results : factorial improvements
Design of Experiments
CHARACTERISTICS CLASSICAL TAGUCHI SHAININ
Technique * Fractional Factorial, * Orthogonal arrays * Multi-Vari, Variable Search, Full
evolutionary Optimization Factorials
(EVOP)
Effectiveness * Moderate (20% to 200% * Low to Moderate (20% to * Extremely powerful (100% to
improvement) 100% improvement 500% improvement )
* Retrogression possible * Retrogression likely * No retrogression
Cost * Moderate * High * Low
* Average of 50 experiments * Average of 50 to 100 * Average of 20 experiments
experiments
Complexity * Moderate * High * Low
* Full ANOVA required * Inner and outer array * Experiments can be understood
multiplication, ANOVA by line operators
Statistical Validity * Low * Poor * High
* Higher order interaction * No randomization * Every variable tested with all
effects confounded with * Even 2nd order interaction levels of every other variable
main effects effects confounded with * Excellent separation and
* To a lesser extent,even main effects quantification of main and
2nd order interaction interaction effects
effects confused
Applicability * Requires hardware * Primary use as a substitute for * Requires hardware
* Main use in Production * Monte Carlo analysis * Can be used as early as prototype
& engineering run stage
Ease of Implementation * Moderate * Difficult * Easy
* Engineering & Statistical * Engineers not likely to use * Even line workers can conduct
knowledge required technique experiments
Variation Reduction Roadmap
Based on Dorian Shainin Philosophy Dont let the
engineers do the guessing, let the parts do the talking
Addition of DOE to the expert technical knowledge of
the engineer is an unbeatable combination for solving
any chronic quality problem.
Clues can be generated with each DOE tool, each
progressively more positive, until the number one
culprit cause Red X is captured, reduced &
controlled.
Second most important cause is called Pink X
Third most important cause is called Pale Pink X
Variation Reduction Roadmap 20 - 1000 Variables
VARIABLES 5 - 20
SEARCH Variables
FULL
4 or less
FACTORIALS
Variables
B vs C Validation
SCATTER
PLOTS Optimization
S.P.C.
PRECONTROL Maintenance
MULTI - VARI CHART
OBJECTIVE :
- Reduces a large no.of unrelated
unmanageable causes to a family of smaller
and related causes, such as :
time- to-time,
shift to shift
part-to-part,
within part,
machine-to-machine,
operator to operator etc.
MULTI - VARI CHART cont..
WHERE APPLICABLE :
- Determines how a Product / Process is
running - a quick snapshot - without massive,
historical data that is of very limited use.
WHEN APPLICABLE :
- Batch-to-Batch variation
- Lot-to-Lot variation
MULTI - VARI CHART
METHODOLOGY cont...
C. TEMPORAL :
Within-Piece Variation
1 2 3 4 5 27 28 29 30 31 55 56 57 58 59
Piece-to-Piece Variation
1 2 3 4 5 27 28 29 30 31 55 56 57 58 59
Time-to-Time Variation
DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS
Product , Process in :
* Design
* Manufacturing
* Suppliers
* Customers
DOE - BENEFITS
Quality Improvements : From 2:1 to over 10,000:1
From AQLs to PPMs to PPBs to Zero Defects
and towards Zero Variation.
A move from Problem Solving in Production to
Problem Prevention in Product & Process Design.
Enhanced Field Reliability, Enhanced Customer
Satisfaction & Customer Loyalty.
Elimination of Scrap & Rework.
Drastic Reductions in Inspections & Test.
Reductions in Cost of Poor Quality.
Increased M/C up-time, Yields.
DOE - BENEFITS --CONT.
Reductions in Manufacturing Cycle Time.
Reductions in Design Cycle Time.
Improved Employee Morale.
Improved Supplier Performance.
Benefits to Customer.
Ability to Leap Frog Japanese.
Improved Bottom Line Performance.
Profitability, Return on Investment,
Improvement in Market Share.
PAIRED COMPARISON
OBJECTIVE :
Provides clues to the Red X by determining a repetitive
difference between pairs of differently performing products.
WHERE APPLICABLE :
Where there are matched sets of differently performing
assemblies (Labeled Good & Bad) that cannot be
disassembled.
WHEN APPLICABLE :
At prototype, engineering pilot run, production pilot run,
production or field.
SAMPLE SIZE :
4 to 8 pairs of Good & Bad product.
PAIRED COMPARISON
APPLICATION :
1. When
- Components or sub- assemblies in units cannot be
disassembled or reassembled (unlike components
search).
- There are several good and a few mad units that can
be paired.
- Suitable parameter can be found to distinguish good
from bad
2. Assembly work, process or in test equipment where
there are similar units, work stations or instruments
respectively
3. Failure analysis
PAIRED COMPARISON
No. Pair Observed Differences
1 1-Good Note Differences : Visual, Dimensional,
1-Bad Chemical, Electrical, Mechanical, etc....
Observation Techniques : Eye, Ruler,
X-Ray, Catscan, Scanning Electron
Microscope, Test-to-Destruction etc...
2 1-Good
1-Bad
3 1-Good Continue Until the Observed Differences
1-Bad Show a Pattern of Repeatability -
Repetitive Difference.
COMPONENTS SEARCH
OBJECTIVE :
From Hundreds or Thousands of Components /
Sub-Assemblies, Homes in on the
Red X, Capturing the Magnitude of
All Important Main Effects
and
Interaction Effects.
COMPONENTS SEARCH cont...
* WHERE APPLICABLE :
Where there are 2 differently performing
assemblies (labeled good & bad )
with interchangeable components.
* WHEN APPLICABLE :
At Prototype, Engineering Pilot Run,
Production Pilot Run, Production or Field.
* SAMPLE SIZE :
2 Assemblies
PRE- REQUISITES TO COMPONENTS SEARCH
STAGE OBJECTIVE
1 To determine if Red X, Pink X,
Ball Park are among the causes being
considered. It also assures
repeatability of the disassembly
& reassembly process
STAGE OBJECTIVE
3 To verify the important
Capping causes are truly important
Run & that the unimportant
causes are truly unimportant
WHEN APPLICABLE :
C. Run 2 experiments :
- one with all factors at best levels
- one with all factors at worst levels.
STAGE : 1 cont...
F. Stage 1 is over when :
a) All 3 Best levels are better than
all 3 Worst levels (in rank order)
* If all 3 Best levels are worse than all 3
Worst levels in rank order, just change
the headings of Best to Worst and
Worst to Best.
STAGE : 1 cont...
STAGE : 2 cont...
Possible results :
a) Results of AWRB & ABRW experiment fall
inside Best level & Worst level control
limits respectively, then factor A along
with all its associated interaction effects
is unimportant and therefore can be
eliminated from further study.
STAGES OF VARIABLE SEARCH
STAGE : 2 cont...
APPLICATION :
When there are 4 or fewer variables
PRINCIPLE :
Every one of the chosen Variables / factors is tested
with all levels (generally 2) of every other variable /
factor.All possible combinations of factors & levels are
tested, allowing for systematic separation
and quantification of all main effects as well
as interaction effects. Sequence of testing
should be in random order.
FULL FACTORIALS
No. of
No. of Possible
Combinations = { No. of
Levels }Variables
22 = 4
23 = 8 No. of
Experiments
to be
24 = 16 Performed
25 = 32
26 = 64
FULL FACTORIAL
Procedure for 24 Factorial :
1. Select the four factors to be investigated - A,B,C,& D
2. Determine two levels for each. The first level(-) is
usually the Current Level. The second level(+) is
assumed to produce better results - the Better Level.
3. Draw a matrix showing 16 combinations (cells) by
which each factor is tested with each level of every
other factor.
4. Randomise the the sequence of testing of each
combination (cell)
5. Run an experiment with each combination in the
sequence indicated by the random order table and
record the output in each cell.
FULL FACTORIAL cont ...
Procedure for 24 Factorial : cont.
6. Repeat steps 4 & 5 using another random order for the
second test sequences.
7. Calculate the average of the two readings in each cell.
8. For the 32 sets of readings, add all the average readings
in those cells where is A is (-) & average cell reading
where is (+). The difference between A (-) & A(+) is due
to factor A alone, because all other factors B,C & D
balance one another.Similarly add all average cell
readings where B is (-) & B is (+) the difference is due to
factor B alone. Likewise calculate the difference due to
factor C & factor D.
9. Construct an Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) table.
FULL FACTORIAL
Procedure for constructing ANOVA table
1. In cell group column enter the cell numbers from the
matrix drawn for full factorial .
2. In factor column enter the appropriate the (-) & (+)
signs for the factor A,B,C, & D from corresponding
cells. The (-) & (+) signs merely indicate the levels of
the factors used
3. In the output column enter the average of the outputs
recorded in each cell.
FULL FACTORIAL
Procedure for constructing ANOVA table cont ...
4. In the 2 factor interactions column multiply algebraically
the signs of A & B and record the product sign in the AB
column for each cell. Similarly do it for factor A & C,
B & C, A & D, B & D, C & D.
5. Repeat the algebraic multiplication of A,B & C ;
A,B & D; up to A,B,C & D and record the signs the
appropriate 3 factor or 4 factor interaction column
6. Repeat steps 4 & 5 for all cells.
7. In column A, add all outputs of A(-) & all the outputs of
A (+). Note the difference between in these two, in the last
row labeled main & interaction effects contribution with
the appropriate (+) or (-) sign.
FULL FACTORIAL
Procedure for constructing ANOVA table cont ...
8. Similarly add the (+) & (-) outputs for each column B, C,
D, AB, AC, up to ABC, BCD & ABCD & note the
differences in the last row as in step 7.
9. The last row displays in precise quantified form
contribution of each main factor as well as 2 factor,
3 factor & 4 factor interaction to the total variation.
10.The highest number indicates the Red X , the second
highest indicates the Pink X and third highest indicates
the Pale pink X.
Why Random Order ?
* Reliability evaluations
* Customer preferences
* The Tukey Test is independent of sample size for good & bad,
but a minimum of 6 to 8 good & 6 to 8 bad is recommended.
* The top end count should be all bad if the bottom end count
is all good or visa-versa. A good, or a bad end count at both
ends reduces confidence to zero.
4 Distributions of B & C Processes
C = Current Process; B = Better (?) Process
C B
Null Hypothesis
(No Difference)
C
Worst x Better Red X B
-3 +3
C B x1 - 3 x1 x1 + 3 x2 x2 + 3
x2 - 3
Pink X
C B
x1 - 3 x1 x2 x2 + 3 Super Red X
x1 - 3 x1 x1 + 3 x2 - 3 x2 x2 + 3
3 Bs & 3 Cs : Risk = 0.05
mB - mC
k = s Smaller
K=1.6 c K = 2.9 c K = 3.3 c
C B C B C B C B
Improvement will be detected :50 % of the time 90 % of the time 95 % of the time
B vs C cont...
When nB = nC OR nB : n C 3:4
Then B is Better than C when :
0.10 6 90 %
0.05 7 95 %
0.01 10 99 %
0.001 13 99.9 %
B vs C sample sizes and , Risks
Risk : Risk of Rejecting the Null Hypothesis (No Difference)
Risk of Accepting Null Hypothesis when improvements exists
Consequences Nos.of Values of k (Desired Minimum):
of a wrong Randomised Assume Assume
Decision Samples B = C C = 1.5B
Risk Risk
Risk Confidence B C 0.50 0.10 0.05 0.50 0.10 0.05
0.001 0.999 2 (43) 3.0 4.0 4.3 3.9 5.1 5.5
3 16 2.5 3.6 3.9 3.2 4.5 5.0
Supercritical
4 10 2.3 3.4 3.8 2.9 4.3 4.8
of Wrong Decision
WHERE APPLICABLE :
Follows the earlier tools
WHEN APPLICABLE
In pilot run of product / process
SAMPLE SIZE :
30
VARIOUS SCATTER DIAGRAMS
Y Y
(A)
(B)
Positive Correlation X
Unclear Positive X
Correlation
Y Y
(C) (D)
Y Y
(E) (F)
Correlation through X
Stratification
REALISTIC TOLERANCES
Y
LINE OF
REGRESSION
Hi
95 % OF TOTAL EFFECT
Customer Requirement
OF MFG.FACTORS
OTHER THAN X
30 RANDOM TIME
SEQUENCE EXAMPLES
OF UNITS MADE TO
THE CURRENT
TOLERANCE
Lo
Cp=2
Preferred
Tolerance
Flux Density Solder Technician Specific Gravity Flux Container Once a day
Meter
B. IR SOLDERING
Measurement
Specification / Parameter
Who How Where When
Pre-Heat Temperature
IR-Solder Temperature
Solder Time
Solder Paste - Viscosity
Solder Board Position
Operator Certification
* Operators are frequently blamed for poor
quality when the real culprit is management.
Objective :
To remove as many Noise Factors (e.g.
Poor Maintenance, Poor Management /
Supervision, Poor Environmental Control,
Poor Metrology, Poor Operator Discipline
etc..) as possible in order to increase
the Signal - to - Noise Ratio in any DOE
study and give it a chance to succeed.
Process Certification
Categories of Peripherals that can
contribute to Poor Quality
Management / Supervision Inadequacies
Violation of Good Manufacturing Practices
Plant / Equipment Inattention
Environmental Neglect
Human Shortcomings
Process Certification
Purpose :
Purpose of Process Certification is reduce
these uncontrollable factors that their
collective Noise is much less than the Purity
of the Signal required for a DOE study.
AIM
OPERATIONAL
EXCELLENCE
BUSINESS WITHOUT
OBSTACLES
( Hassle Free )
Two pillars of Six Sigma
Improvement Holding
in Process the
Capability Gains
Variation Process
Reduction Control
Sigma is a
Statistical Unit of
Measurement of
Variation
5.3 0.5
4.6 1.0
3.9 2.0
3.5 3.0
3.2 4.0
3.0 5.0
2.3 10
1.9 15
1.6 20
1.4 25
1.2 30
1.0 37
0.9 40
0.8 45
0.7 50
0.6 55
0.51 60
0.43 65
0.36 70
0.29 75
0.22 80
0.05 95
0.00 100
SIX SIGMA GOAL
Cp = Specification Width = + 6 = 12 = 2
Process Width + 3 6