Economic analysis, is a methodology developed for evaluating investment projects
Used primarily for evaluating public
projects useful for economic development SCBA is divided into four sections
1. Rationale for SCBA
2. UNIDO approach 3. SCBA by financial institutions 4. Public sector investment decisions in India 1.Rationale for SCBA
In SCBA the focus is on the special costs
and Benefits of the project. The principle sources of discrepancy are: 1.1 Market imperfections 1.2 Externalities 1.3 Taxes and subsidies 1.4 Concern for saving 1.5 Concern for redistribution 1.1 Market imperfections
The common imperfections found in developing countries
are: 1.Rationing:- Rationing of a commodity means control over its price and distribution. The price paid by a consumer under rationing is often significantly less than the price that prevail in the competitive market. 2. Prescription of minimum wage rates :- Minimum wages paid to a laborer under minimum wage rates are more than the wages paid under competitive labour market. 3. Foreign exchange regulation:- The official rate of foreign exchange in most of the developing countries under close regulation of foreign exchange, typically less than the rate that would prevail in the absence of foreign exchange regulation. 1.2 Externalities
A project may have a beneficial external effects.
For example, it may create certain infrastructural
Facilities like roads which benefit the neighbouring areas.
Such benefits are considered in SCBA , though they are
ignored in assessing the Monetary benefits to the project sponsors because they do no receive any monetary compensation from those who enjoy the external benefit created by the Project. e.g. Rohtang tunnel 1.3 Taxes and Subsidies
From the private point of view, taxes are
definite monetary costs and subsidies are definite monetary gains. 1.4 Concern for saving A rupee of benefits saved in deemed more valuable than a rupee of benefits consumed.
A higher valuation is placed on savings
and a lower valuation is put on consumption. 1.5 Concern for redistribution
A rupee of benefit going to a poor
section is considered more valuable than a rupee of benefit going to an affluent section.
e.g. Public distribution system
2. UNIDO Approach
UNIDO approach was first articulated in
the guidelines for project evaluation which provides a comprehensive framework for SCBA in developing countries. UNIDO approach is based largely on the latter publication though at places we will draw on the former publication too. UNIDO involves five stages
2.1 Calculation of the financial profitability of the
project measured at market places. 2.2 Obtaining the net benefit of the project measured in terms of economic prices. 2.3 Adjustment for the impact of the project on savings and investments. 2.4 Adjustment for the impact of the project on income and distribution. 2.5 Adjustment for the impact of the project on merit goods and demerit goods whose social values differ from their economic values. 2.2 Net benefit in terms of economic prizes (shadow prices)
Shadow pricing : Basic issues
Choice of Numeraire: the unit of account in which the value
of inputs or outputs is expressed (interms of consumption or
investment) Concept of tradability: good is tradeable or not? For
tradeable goods, international price is the opportunity cost to
the country Sources of shadow prices: three sources;
Increase or decrease in the total consumption: willingness to pay
Increase or decrease in the total production: cost of production Increase or decrease in the total import or export: foreign
exchange rate Treatment of Taxes 2.3 Impact of the project on savings and investments. 2.4 Impact of the project on income and distribution.
Income distribution should be in favor of
low-income consumers 2.5 Impact of the project on merit goods and demerit goods
Merit goods: for which social value
exceeds economic value. E.g. production of oil reduces dependence on imports Demit goods: for which social value is less than economic value. E.g. alcoholic products 3. SCBA by financial institutions
The leading financial institutions like IDBI, IFCI and ICICI
appraise projects from financial point of view IDBI considers following three aspects: Economic rate of return: simply a internal rate of return of the stream of social costs and benefits Effective rate of protection: it is the extent to which a project is sheltered value added at domestic price value added at world price --------------------------------------------------------------------------- value added at world price
Domestic resource cost
Value added at domestic prices ------------------------------------------ Value added at world prices 4. Public sector investment decisions in India
Public sector commands a predominant position
in many industries: coal, crude oil, refining, steel, power, fertilizers etc. Initiatives to improve the quality of investment decisions: 1965: Bureau of Public Enterprises
1965: Manual of feasibility studies for public
sector projects by Planning Commission 1972: Project Appraisal Division (PAD), Planning Commission 1972: Public Investment Board (PIB) Steps in Public Investment Decision Making
Planning commission prepares five years plan
Administrative ministers develop sectoral plans Public sector enterprises prepare feasibility report Scrutiny of feasibility report by administrative ministry PAD carries out detailed appraisal Recommendation to PIB whether to accept, reject or redesign the project If PIB clears the report, it is sent to the cabinet for further approval Cabinet generally approves the report sent by PIB