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Models Using Big Data Approaches to

Improve Credit Ratings / Scorings in


Retail Business
Infobox

by Tim Decker (0616)

12.08.2016

Topical Research Issues: Entrepreneurship

MScGMG 2014

Agenda
Big data
Credit scores
Bringing the two together
Benefits
Challenges
Conclusion

12.08.2016

Big Data Credit Scoring

Big data

Volume

Velocity

Structured data

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Big Data Credit Scoring

Variety

Semistructured data

Big
data

Unstructured
data

Credit scores
Yes/no indicator AND pricing
Looks for similarities between loan applicants
Multivariate regression analysis
Threshold decision

12.08.2016

Prediction: pays
back

Prediction: doesnt
pay back

Reality: pays back

correct

False negatives
(lost revenues)

Reality: doesnt pay


back

False positives
(lost principal
amount)

correct

Big Data Credit Scoring

Bringing the two together

Credit bureau
data

Transactional
data

Big data

12.08.2016

Big Data Credit Scoring

Benefits
More
information

Readily
available

No causality
needed

Digitalization

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Big Data Credit Scoring

Challenges
Transparency

Privacy
concerns

Data
security

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Big Data Credit Scoring

Data
accuracy

Implemen
-tation

Conclusion
To make use of the benefits..
you have to deal with the challenges
Transparency in moderation
Be ready to invest big
ANDconsider the limitations

Empirical evidence is questionable or missing


Legal situation is complex yet outdated

12.08.2016

Big Data Credit Scoring

Thank you for your attention!

Backup

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Big Data Credit Scoring

10

Credit scores
Information is valuable
10
9
8
7
6
number of defaults

random distribution
with scoring
perfect information

4
3
2
1
0
0

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
number of loans given

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Big Data Credit Scoring

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