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Topic 7: 1 of 5

Financial Statement Analysis

LB5212: Accounting and Finance for Managers

Learning objectives

Know why we undertake financial statement


analysis
Understand the key sources of data for analysis
within the published financial report
Be able to carry out and interpret a vertical
analysis
Be able to carry out and interpret a horizontal
analysis
Be able to prepare and interpret a trend analysis

Introduction

Financial analysis adds further meaning to the reported


numbers, allowing users to make a better assessment of a firms
profitability
liquidity
efficiency
capital structure and
market performance

To conduct any analysis we require information. One public


source of information of companies are the financial statements.

Comparing Figures:
It is essential in financial analysis to compare figures with:
the equivalent figures from previous years
other figures in the financial statements
industry averages

Start your analysis with the


financial statements and
report

The users of financial reports can broadly be


categorised as:
Resource providers (e.g. creditors, lenders,
shareholders, employees)
Recipients of goods and services (i.e.
customers, debtors)
Parties performing an overview or regulatory
function (e.g. tax office, corporate regulator,
statistical bureau, ASIC)
Internal management - to assist in their
decision-making capacity

Why do we analyse
financial statements?

Why are we doing the analysis?


Answering this question guides the type of analysis
conducted and the type of information required
Whilst analyses of various forms assist in identifying the
good and the bad they do not offer solutions on
how to overcome problems, and they do not tell us how
the business got to the point we are observing.
Further contextual research is required to answer
these questions.
Analysis has no meaning in itself, it acquires meaning
when it is carried out and interpreted in the context of
the business, and its operating and strategic
environments

Context / Environment /
Industry
Initial
look

Types of
Revenues/expenses
Types of
Assets/Liabilities

Deeper
look

Vertical Analysis
Horizontal Analysis
Trend Analysis

Deeper
Again

Profitability
Liquidity
Capital Structure
Market Performance
Asset Efficiency

Financial statements
include all of the
following:
Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Statement of Cash Flows

Independent Auditors report

Directors Declaration

Notes to the Financial Statements

Independent Auditors
Report and Directors
Declaration

Independent Auditors Report

Audit conducted in accordance with Australian Auditing Standards

Opinion based on their audit process that the financial statements are in
accordance with:

The Corporations Act, including:

Giving a true and fair view of the companys performance and


position.

Compliance with Australian Accounting Standards and the


Corporations Regulations.

Other mandatory professional reporting requirements.


Directors Declaration
That the Financial Statements are in accordance with Corporations Act
including:

Giving a true and fair view of the companys performance and


position.

Compliance with AASBs and Corporations Regulations.

That there are reasonable grounds to believe the company will be


able to meet maturing debts as they fall due i.e. it was solvent at the

Notes to the statements

Look at the notes to company financials.


The notes provide a greater level of detail
and are required by the AASBs.
The level of detail would not be feasible
within the statements themselves, but this
detail is essential in facilitating meaningful
analysis and conclusions.

Seek meaningful context


and comparisons

Figures on their own are not very meaningful.

Identify the businesss nature, and understand


the operating environment and strategic context
of the business.

To make figures meaningful it is essential to


compare figures with:
the equivalent figures from previous years,
other figures in the financial statements,
industry figures, and
trends that occur over time.

Remember

A single number could mean


anything
Two figures gives us a
comparison
Three gives us a TREND!
insight)

(greater

Three main methods of


analysis
1.

Horizontal analysis and Trend analysis (short and


longer time series)

2.

Vertical (common size) analysis

3.

Ratio analysis
An expression of one item in the financial statements
relative to another item in the financial statements
The ratio comparison can be between two different
statements, or within one statement

1 Horizontal Analysis
Eves Enterprises
Income Statement for years ending 30 June
20X4

20X3

20X2

($ M)

($ M)

($ M)

Sales revenue

800

350

200

Less Cost of goods sold

352

147

80

Gross Profit

448

203

120

Less Expenses

217

142

103

Wages

90

70

60

Rent

22

16

10

Other expenses

20

12

Advertising

64

28

16

Depreciation expense

10

Administration expense

11

231

62

17

EBIT

LB5212: Accounting and Finance


for Managers

What
can you
make of
these
figures
?

13

Horizontal Analysis

Compares reported numbers in the current period


with equivalent numbers for a preceding
period/s.

Frequently expressed as
a monetary value or
as a percentage

Essentially it looks at the change in monetary


value of an item from one year to the next.

The change in monetary values can also be


expressed as a % of the original i.e. the $ change
from 20X3 20X4 is expressed as a % of 20X3
figure to see what % change has taken place
LB5212: Accounting and Finance
for Managers

14

Horizontal analysis
Freds Enterprises - Income Statement for years ending 30 June

Where change % =
(Yr 2 Yr 1)/Yr 1 x
100
or
(2013-2012)/2012
Sales revenue
x 100

Horizontal Analysis
2014

2013

2012

2014
2013
Change

($ M)

($ M)

($ M)

($ M)

2013
2012
Change

2014
2013
Change

2013
2012
Change

($ M)

800

350

200

450

150

128.6

75.0

Less Cost of goods sold

352

147

80

205

67

139.5

83.8

Gross Profit

448

203

120

245

83

120.7

69.2

Less Expenses

217

142

103

76

39

53.6

37.4

Wages

90

70

60

20

10

28.6

16.7

Rent

22

16

10

37.8

60.0

Other expenses

20

12

66.7

100.0

Advertising

64

28

16

36

12

128.6

75.0

Depreciation expense

10

25.0

33.3

Administration expense

11

50.0

50.0

231

62

17

169

45

275.1

261.8

EBIT

Horizontal Analysis
contd

Compare changes over the periods to see what changes


are occurring.

Ideally REVENUE should be increasing at a greater %


than the various expenses including COGS.

Look at the increase in Revenue, COGS and GP What do


you notice (all three are increasing year on year in $
terms - but which are increasing at a faster rate look
at the % change).

With increases in Revenue, you would expect some


increase in Expenses, depending on how much are fixed
or variable however, the rate of increase in expenses
must be less than the rate of increase in revenue,
otherwise profit will erode over time as more growth
occurs.

An example of a trend

TLS 5 year share price, Yahoo Finance 13/03/15

Compare this trend with others by


plotting them on the same chart.

Freds Enterprises - Income Statement for years ending 30 June

Vertical analysis
2014

2013

2012

2014

2013

2012

($ M)

($ M)

($ M)

Sales revenue

800

350

200

100.0

100.0

100.0

Less Cost of goods sold

352

147

80

44.0

42.0

40.0

Gross Profit

448

203

120

56.0

58.0

60.0

Less Expenses

217

142

103

27.2

40.4

51.5

Wages

90

70

60

11.3

20.0

30.0

Rent

22

16

10

2.8

4.6

5.0

Other expenses

20

12

2.5

3.4

3.0

Advertising

64

28

16

8.0

8.0

8.0

Depreciation expense

10

1.3

2.3

3.0

Administration expense

11

1.4

2.1

2.5

231

62

17

28.8

17.6

8.5

EBIT

Vertical Analysis

Highlights changes of a single variable over time in the Income


Statement as a % of sales, in the Balance Sheet as a % of total
assets

Can be very useful to monitor variables of interest e.g. gross


profit, inventory levels, advertising expense

Also useful to look at the changes of expense items e.g. wages, to


see their proportion to the anchor figure such as sales. Ask how
much of each sales dollar is spent on wages and salaries costs?

Frequently used together with horizontal analysis as they


complement each other

Compare businesses in the same industry, but which differ in size


(common size analysis ) results are compared relative to their
own performance e.g. small retailer vs large retailer

Eves Enterprises - Income Statement for years ending 30 June

Vertical analysis

Where % =
Each item/ Sales Rev

20X4

20X3

20X2

20X4

20X3

20X2

($ M)

($ M)

($ M)

Sales revenue

800

350

200

100.0

100.0

100.0

Less Cost of goods sold

352

147

80

44.0

42.0

40.0

Gross Profit

448

203

120

56.0

58.0

60.0

Less Expenses

217

142

103

27.2

40.4

51.5

Wages

90

70

60

11.3

20.0

30.0

Rent

22

16

10

2.8

4.6

5.0

Other expenses

20

12

2.5

3.4

3.0

Advertising

64

28

16

8.0

8.0

8.0

Depreciation expense

10

1.3

2.3

3.0

Administration expense

11

1.4

2.1

2.5

231

62

17

28.8

17.6

8.5

EBIT

LB5212: Accounting and Finance for


Managers

20

Vertical Analysis
example contd

Sales is 100% (the base, or anchor point)

Over the 3 years the COGS as a % of sales has


increased from 40 44% resulting in a decreasing
ability of GP to cover operating costs

However, the proportion that total expenses makes up


of Sales has decreased from 51.5% 27.2% which
shows that relative to Sales expenses have been
controlled

Look at Advertising 5% for all three years and thus


the business is spending the same proportion on
Advertising

Now look at wages actually decreasing as a % of


sales as are all the
other expenses including
LB5212: Accounting and Finance
Depreciation
for Managers

21

Ratio analysis

Ratio analysis is as flexible and varied as are the


questions you ask of the data.
The only rule is to explore until you have
exhausted all avenues of analysis and data.
Ratios are illustrated throughout the course
material at relevant parts of topics.
Note the summary of ratio formulae in Table 10.1.

Topic 7: 2 of 5
Financial Statement Analysis
Ratios - liquidity

LB5212: Accounting and Finance for Managers

Learning Objectives

Explain the Liquidity concept and be able to


describe and calculate the ratios that measure it

Understand the interrelationships between ratios

Appreciate the limitations of ratio analysis

Liquidity Ratios

The concept of liquidity relates to the ability of the


business to pay its obligations on time

Ideally the businesss operating cash flow will


enable it to meet its operating obligations each
day as a result, much of the liquidity analysis
focusses on cash and cash generating activities

Sometimes a major planned event may call for


extra funds such as would occur if a long term
loan matured and had to be repaid, or re-financed.

Liquidity Ratios
A) Current ratio
B) Quick or Acid test ratio
C) Cash ratio
D) Cash flow to sales ratio
E) Cash flow to Total debt

Liquidity is about cash


recall the operating cash
cycle
Purchase
of goods
on credit

Payment
to
suppliers
Creditors
Turnover

Sale of
goods on
credit

Cash
received
from debtors
Debtors
turnover

Inventory
turnover

Operating cash cycle


Inventory Turnover (days)
+ Debtors Turnover (days)
- Creditors Turnover (days)
= Operating Cash Cycle

A)

Current ratio
Current Assets
Current Liabilities

A businesss liquidity is its ability to meet its shortterm obligations


An arbitrary ratio of 1.5:1 is sometimes argued to
be considered a minimum, however this is a lazy
way of looking at the issue, because for some
business models 1.5 will be too high, and for others
it will be too low
DONT rely on rules of thumb in assessing the
meaning of ratios, assess them intellectually in the
context of the actual business

B)

Quick or Acid Test ratio


Current Assets less Inventory
Current Liabilities

An arbitrary benchmark ratio for the minimum


quick asset ratio is around $0.80 of current
assets, for every $1 of current liabilities however
this is a lazy way of looking at the issue,
because for some business models 1.5 will be too
high, and for others it will be too low
Again, dont rely on arbitrary rules, assess the
ratio in context

BEWARE!!

If a company
has anything
less than a 2:1
current ratio
they are in a
BAD place and
will be unable
to pay their
Wow!! Way to
debts!!! generalise!!

What is true for


one company
wont
necessarily be
true for
another
company.
USE YOUR
BRAIN

C)

Cash ratio

Cash + Marketable Securities (i.e. near cash)


Current Liabilities

A more stringent ratio looking at cash and near


cash in relation to current liabilities

Criticisms of these three


ratios

They are static ratios based on balance sheet


data we need to look at the firms liquidity
throughout the period.

Internal mangers do this via cash budgets

External users get financial reports when the


figures are already out of date i.e time lag from
closing date to distribution and at year end

D) Cashflow to Sales
ratio
Cashflow from operating activities
Sales

This indicates the ability of the firm to convert


Sales into Cash flow

Higher is better

E)

Cashflow to Debt ratio

Cashflow from operating activities


Total Debt
OR Cash = NP after tax + non-cash charges (e.g.
Depreciation)
This is a ratio that has successfully been used as
a predictor of corporate bankruptcy
Numerator = Profit plus add back non-cash
expenses. This amount is an indicator of the
firms ability to repay the debt from its operations
after meeting all costs
The greater the ratio the quicker the firm would
be able to repay the principal amount.
If ratio = 0.10 it means that the firm would take
10 years to repay the principal amount from

Exercise time
Questions 1 & 2, Week 7

35

Topic 7: 3 of 5
Financial Statement Analysis
Ratios - efficiency
LB5212: Accounting and Finance for Managers

Learning Objectives

Explain the Asset Efficiency concept


and be able to describe and calculate the
ratios that measure it

Understand the interrelationships between


ratios

Appreciate the limitations of ratio analysis

Efficiency Ratio and Net Working


Capital

We need to understand why mangers


want to control Net Working Capital
first..
You may need to go over last weeks materials again

Efficiency ratios

Asset efficiency relates to the ability of a firms


assets to generate income the more income
generated from assets, the greater is the
efficiency of that asset group

Efficiency (activity) ratios measure how efficiently


the available business resources have been used

Many of these ratios can also be viewed as an


indicator of managements ability or efficiency in
managing the underlying asset (e.g. inventory) or
liability (creditor)

Efficiency Ratios
A) Asset turnover
B) Days Inventory
C) Days Debtors
D) Days Creditors

A)

Asset turnover ratio


Sales (Revenue) * 100
Average total assets

[Where Av. total assets = opening assets + closing assets]


2

Measures a firms overall efficiency in generating sales per dollar


of investments in assets

Why use Average Total Assets? Static start and end of year
figures, so use the mid point provided the environment is
reasonably stable.

If you have only one balance sheet, then you cannot average, so
use the end of year figure

B1) Number of Days of


Inventory
Days to sell inventory =
Average Stock
Cost of average days sales
[Where: Cost of average days sales = COGS
p.a. / 365]
Average Stock = Average Stock * 365
COGS / 365
Cost of Goods Sold
Example: (142+166)/2 x 365 = 103days
544

B2) Inventory Turnover


Example: (142+166)/2 x 365 = 103days
544
Since Inventory held averages103 days, we must
order it
every (365 / 103) = 3.54 times per annum
Thus stock is turned over 3.54 times per year
Can also be calculated using:
COGS / Average Stock =
166)/2)
= 3.54 times

544 / ((142 +

B)

Inventory efficiency

Interpretation
Average period of time it takes for a firm to
sell its inventory will depend on industry

Notice that slower turnover, means


correspondingly higher number of days held

If average stock doesnt reflect stock levels,


e.g in the case of highly seasonal industries,
then adjust calculation appropriately but
this is more for internal users, since data are
not available for external users

If COGS not available we would have to use


Sales, but this mis-matches, because
Inventory is at Cost, and Sales are at markedup selling price.

C1) Number of Days of


Debtors
Days to collect debtors = Average Debtors
Average Days Sales
(ideally credit Sales, but this figure is not
available externally)
[Where: Average days (credit) sales = Sales /
365]
Average Trade Debtors * 365
Sales (credit if possible)
Example:
days

= ((45+55)/2) * 365) / 500 = 36.5

C2) Debtors Turnover


Example: = ((45+55)/2) * 365) / 500 = 36.5 days
Thus Debtors turn on average 365 / 36.5 = 10 times p.a.
or
Debtors (Accounts Receivable) Turnover
= Sales / Trade Debtors
= 500 / 50 = 10 times

C)

Debtors efficiency

If the average collection period increases over time (i.e.


the receivables turnover decreases), it means that the
level of average receivables is increasing at a faster
rate than the level of sales

This might be intended as a marketing strategy - increase


sales by relaxing credit terms OR might be inefficiency in
credit screening and collection policies

Whilst profit from sales may increase - there is the possibility of


greater bad debts plus costs of holding these accounts (you are
financing your customer)
It also has the potential to impact on the firms liquidity - may
need to obtain further operating financing. Need to balance your
receipts from debtors and your payments to creditors.

D) Number of Days of
Creditors
Accounts Payable Days
Trade creditors / Purchases (credit if possible)*365
60/500*365 = 43.8 days
or
365 / 8.33 = 43.8 days

Accounts Payable Turnover


Purchases (credit ideally) / Trade creditors (Average)
500 / 60 = 8.33 times

The operating cash cycle


Purchase of
goods on
credit

Sale of
goods on
credit

Payment
for goods

Credito
rs
Turnove
r

Stock turnover

Cash received
from debtors
Debtor
s
turnov
er

Operating cash cycle


Stock Turnover (days)
+ Debtors Turnover (days)
- Creditors Turnover (days)
= Operating Cash Cycle

Exercise time
Questions 3 - 5, Week 7

50

Topic 7: 4 of 5
Financial Statement Analysis
Ratios - profitability

LB5212: Accounting and Finance for Managers

Learning Objectives

Explain the concept of Profitability and be able


to describe and calculate the ratios that
measure it
Understand the interrelationships between ratios
Appreciate the limitations of ratio analysis

Profitability Ratios

Profit is not the same concept as profitability

Profit is measured in absolute $ terms at a POINT in time


Profitability refers to the firms performance throughout the
reporting period thus over a PERIOD of time

Profitability relates a businesss profit to the resources


(assets or equity) available to generate that profit and
the effectiveness in converting income into profit

Thus comparing one business with another may show


one generating lower profit ($ terms) but having greater
profitability meaning it uses its assets better

Assists to assess the businesss degree of success in


creating wealth for its owners

Profitability Ratios
A) Return on Equity (ROE)
B) Return on Assets (ROA)
C) Gross Profit margin
D) Net profit margin
E) Expense Ratios

A) Return on Equity
(ROE)
Profit available for distribution * 100
Average Equity
Generally stated as % (sometimes as a decimal)
Relates profit attributable to owners to their investment
Usual to exclude extraordinary items & Preference Dividend
Should show trend upwards over time
Will be compared with other investments
Reflects businesss profitability, efficiency and capital
structure

B) Return on Assets
(ROA)
EBIT * 100
Average Total Assets
Compares the businesss EBIT profits to the assets
available to generate them
Looks at the generation of profit i.e.
generate sales from the assets at its disposal
convert sales into profits (revenue less
expenses)

NOTE: EBIT = Earnings before interest and tax

C)

Gross Profit Margin


Gross Profit * 100
Sales or Revenue

Reflects the proportion of sales dollars that remains as gross


profit after accounting for the cost of the item sold (COGS)

Gross profit has to then be able to cover all operating


expenses and leave enough for a profit, and ultimately a
return to shareholders

Why are management interested in this ratio? It is a


strategically determined KPI should never be left to
chance, but should be determined as part of strategy, and
monitored continuously

C)

Gross Profit Margin

The following factors can lead to a change in the GP ratio


Increase in Avg Selling Prices - Volumes constant
Increase in volumes - Avg Selling Price constant
A decrease in the production / purchasing costs
Combination of above

Most of the details of these choices are only known


internally
REMEMBER: Gross Profit Margin is a KPI within a
business, and is set as part of their positioning strategy
relative to competitors

D) Net Profit Margin

EBIT * 100
Sales or Revenue
Indicates what percentage of sales dollars
remains as profits after all expenses, but before
interest and tax.
Why do we remove these from the calculation?
Due to variations in capital structures & taxation
allowances within an industry, inter-firm
comparisons are only meaningful if they use EBIT
i.e. before interest and tax is deducted
EBIT is a performance benchmark for most
business, it is close to the cash profit of a
business
NOTE: EBIT = Earnings before interest and tax

E)

Expense ratios

Expense

(choose whichever expense you are interested n)

Revenue

Profits are a function of revenue and expenses

This ratio looks at the proportion a particular expense or


category or total expenses consume out of each revenue
dollar

This ratio ties in very closely with efficiency i.e. minimise


expenses and maximise revenue to generate highest possible
profits

Used extensively in service orientated firms where there is no


COGS and hence no GP Margin e.g. Banks

Remember to also use vertical analysis when understanding


expenses

Exercise time
Questions 6 - 9, Week 7

61

Topic 7: 5 of 5
Financial Statement Analysis
Ratios capital structure

LB5212: Accounting and Finance for Managers

Learning Objectives

Explain Capital Structure and describe and


calculate the ratios that measure it

Understand the interrelationships between ratios

Appreciate the limitations of ratio analysis

Capital Structure or
Solvency Ratios

Shows how the business is financing its assets


Solvency/Gearing (leverage) ratios

help to assess the degree of financing provided by


owners versus outsiders
this relationship affects the level of business risk

Capital structure ratios or gearing ratios are useful when


assessing a firms long-term viability i.e. solvency
TA/TL
Businesses set specific Debt /Equity targets which they
maintain and need to keep in mind when issuing further
debt or equity
May also be used by financiers to control risk levels e.g.
bank covenants

Remember.

How we finance the business matters!!

Debt comes at a cost (interest) and must be paid back


in regular payment
If we fail to make these payments we may face
bankruptcy

Equity also comes at a cost however it is delayed


We do not need to repay immediately
However shareholder expect
And increase in share value, and/or
Dividends
Equity comes with obligations attached to it

Capital Structure Ratios


A) Debt to equity
B) Debt ratio
C) Equity ratio
D) Interest cover

Capital Structure Ratios


(contd)
A) Debt to equity ratio:
Total Liabilities * 100
Total Equity

B) Debt ratio:
Total Liabilities * 100
Total Assets

C) Equity ratio:
Total Equity * 100

Note that the Debt ratio plus the Equity ratio must always add
toTotal
total ofAssets
1.00
These three ratios are alternative measures of the same thing
gearing

Example of Capital Structure


Ratios

Relate this discussion to


gearing concept

Notice the amount of the assets that are funded


by debt for this to be positive gearing the
ROA on those assets must be higher than the
cost of the debt

Since a large portion of the assets are funded by


debt (70%), the financial risk of the balance
sheet is relatively high

Debt providers might set a debt covenant that


prohibits the business from letting its debt ratio
exceed e.g. 75%. They put a ceiling on financial

D) Interest Coverage
Ratio
EBIT
Net Interest

This ratio measures financial risk i.e. the number of times


a firms existing EBIT covers the its net interest expense
Net interest is calculated as Interest Cost Interest
Income (if any)
As an arbitrary figure this ratio should preferably not be
below three times
If interest rates are high, then higher coverage is preferred

Exercise time
Questions 10 & 11, Week 7

71

Next Week

Assignments Due
One assignment per group
No Business cover sheet required you sign the plagiarism
declaration upon submitting
ONE file no separate excel files
Peer review forms due at the same time
These are anonymous
Only those people who complete this part as per the task
requirements will be awarded the relevant marks
Take it serisously

Wk 8: Cost Behaviour and CPV


analysis

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