Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Index
section
section
section
section
Disclaimers
Puerto Rico
Capital
Markets
Our Goals
and Vision
Puerto Rico
Debt Issuers
section
section
section
Debt Issuer
Facts
Conclusions
Credits
Section 1: Disclaimers
Disclaimer
Bonistas del Patio, Inc. and each of their respective officers, directors, employees, agents, attorneys, advisors,
members, partners or affiliates (collectively, Bonistas) make no representation or warranty, express or implied,
to any third party with respect to the information contained herein and all such persons expressly disclaim any
such representations or warranties.
Bonistas does not owe or accept any duty or responsibility to any reader or recipient of this presentation, whether
in contract or tort, and shall not be liable for or in respect of any loss, damage (including, without limitation,
consequential damages or lost profits) or expense of whatsoever nature of such third party that may be caused
by, or alleged to be caused by, the use of this presentation or that is otherwise consequent upon the gaining of
access to this document by such third party.
This document does not constitute an audit conducted in accordance with Generally Accepted Auditing
Standards, an examination of internal controls or other attestation or review services in accordance with
standards established by the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants or any other organization.
Accordingly, Bonistas do not express an opinion or any other form of assurance on any financial or other
information contained herein.
Information in this presentation does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice. A professional
advisor should be consulted before implementing any of the options presented. No content should be construed
as legal or tax advice. Always consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your specific legal or tax situation.
4
Disclaimer
Information presented in this document has been compiled from publicly available data that is believed to be
factual and up to date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy and it should not be regarded as a complete
analysis of the subjects discussed. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of authors as of the date
thereof and are subject to change. Any statements and assumptions contained in this document, whether
forward-looking or historical, are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties,
estimates and other assumptions made in this document.
Nothing in this document should be considered as an express or implied commitment to do or take, or to refrain
from taking, any action by Bonistas or an admission of any fact or future event. Nothing in this document shall be
considered a solicitation, recommendation or advice to any person to participate, pursue or support a particular
course of action or transaction, to purchase or sell any security, or to make any investment decision.
By accepting this document, the recipient shall be deemed to have acknowledged and agreed to the terms of
these limitations.
This document may contain capitalized terms that are not defined herein, or may contain terms that are
discussed in other documents. You should make no assumptions about the meaning of capitalized terms that are
not defined, and you should consult with advisors on the meanings of the terms should clarification be required.
Initial Phase
Developed Phase
40
Funds
Common
Stock
36
In billions $
32
28
24
$9.28 billion
$5.22 billion
UP TO $15 BILLION IN LOCAL
GOVERNMENT BONDS ARE CURRENTLY
HELD BY
PUERTO RICAN INVESTORS
Corporate
Debt
& Preferred
Stock
$25.1 billion
20
Government
Bonds
16
12
8
1
2
$2.98 billion
AFICA Bonds
8990 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
13 14 15
Section 3:
Our Goals and Vision
Approximately
22%
of all Government debt
is held by local Puerto
10
Approximately 22% of
the total debt of Puerto
Rico is in local hands.
Local bondholders holda
stake that is
comparable to that held
by the Venture Funds.
We have earned our
place at the negotiating
table!
11
12
Section 5:
Issuers Facts
13
14
15
Proposed Scenario
16
COFINA
a lock-box in Banco
Popular de Puerto Rico
and are not considered
available resources of
the Commonwealth for the
purposes of the priority of
payments established
under the PR Constitution.
17
Seniors
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Subordinates
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Totals
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Principal Due
Interest Due
Projected Revenue
Excess (Shortage)
10,603,329
226,704,649
226,704,649
226,704,649
226,704,649
4,763,725
447,585,234
466,885,571
465,337,996
470,525,393
15,367,054
674,289,883
693,590,220
692,042,645
697,230,042
2,772,519,844
38,295,000
18,745,000
47,950,000
79,765,000
38,295,000
18,745,000
47,950,000
79,765,000
184,755,000
Seniors
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Subordinates
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Totals
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Principal Due
Interest Due
696,000,000
724,000,000
753,000,000
783,000,000
815,000,000
3,771,000,000
PROPOSED SCENARIO
10,603,329
226,704,649
226,704,649
226,704,649
226,704,649
4,763,725
447,585,234
466,885,571
465,337,996
470,525,393
15,367,054
674,289,883
693,590,220
692,042,645
697,230,042
2,772,519,844
15,615,032
44,864,695
47,207,270
42,204,873
149,891,870
Interest on Principal
Deferral
1,914,750
937,250
2,397,500
3,988,250
1,914,750
937,250
2,397,500
3,988,250
9,237,750
50,080,532
61,735,195
90,362,270
113,993,373
316,171,370
Source: Bloomberg
18
PRHTA
Debt is insured.
19
Source: Bloomberg
20
21
Current Scenario
Principal
Due
-
Years
2016
Projected
Revenue
Interest Due
-
Excess
(Shortage)
2017 86,125,000
224,508,617
358,000,000
86,190,328
2018 90,905,000
219,662,673
358,000,000
86,256,272
2019 66,235,000
215,379,098
358,000,000
115,209,847
2020 69,645,000
211,658,159
358,000,000
115,520,786
Proposed Scenario
312,910,00
0
871,208,547
Years
Principal
1,432,000,00
0
403,177,233
Interest
2016
Excess
(Shortage)
After Interest
Payment
Interest on
Principal
Deferral
-
2017
224,508,617
4,306,250 168,009,078
2018
219,662,673
4,545,250 172,616,022
Source: Bloomberg
22
23
Source: Bloomberg
24
25
Proposal Summary:
No maturities are scheduled for 5 years an action plan
must be implemented to reduce the unfunded liability
estimated to be north of $45 Billion for all Government
ERS.
Years
Principal Due
Projected
Revenue
Interest Due
Excess (Shortage)
2016
13,876,583
(97,136,078)
2017
166,518,990
486,952,432
320,433,442
2018
166,518,990
486,952,432
320,433,442
2019
166,518,990
486,952,432
320,433,442
2020
166,518,990
486,952,432
320,433,442
26
27
Years
2018
2019
2020
Excess
(Shortage)
2016
2017
Projected
Income
Interest Due
5,110,756
5,110,756)
43,970,000
83,258,463
270,000,000 142,771,538
45,215,000
80,917,850
320,000,000 193,867,150
47,580,000
78,464,038
343,000,000 216,955,963
48,890,000
75,912,269
344,000,000 219,197,731
Proposed Scenario
185,655,00
1,277,000,0
0
323,663,375 00
767,681,625
Years
2016
2017
Principal
2020
Excess
(Shortage)
After Interest
Payment
Interest on
Principal
Deferral
Interest
5,110,756
83,258,463
2,198,500
184,543,038
80,917,850
2,260,750
236,821,400
78,464,038
2,379,000
262,156,963
75,912,269
2,444,500
265,643,231
323,663,375 9,282,750
2018
Source: Bloomberg
2019
949,164,631
28
29
Principal Due
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Projected
Income
Interest Due
(1,422,845)
29,435,00056,431,239
(85,866,239)
30,450,00055,310,425
(85,760,425)
31,590,00054,067,112
(85,657,112)
32,855,00052,720,277
(85,575,277)
124,330,000
1,422,845
Excess
(Shortage)
219,951,899
- (344,281,899
)
Source: Bloomberg
30
31
Source: Bloomberg
32
Source: Bloomberg
34
35
Section 6:
Conclusions
CONCLUSIONS
A thorough analysis of each credits revenue sources tells us:
The Puerto Rico Fiscal Crisis is one of liquidity only to meet principal maturities.
Current and projected revenue allow for full interest payments without sacrificing any
essential services.
Only 3 issuers present cash flow problems: GDB, PFC, PRHTA. .
We have honored our commitments, now is Puerto Ricos turn to honor theirs ..
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CONCLUSIONS
The facts are clear:
Bondholders should not have to suffer the consequences of many years of fiscal
mismanagement.
It is Governments responsibility to provide transparency by presenting
Its audited financial statements and other essential information.
Local bondholders pay the taxes that allow the Government to fund essential services
and pay its debt.
In order to ask bondholders for a voluntary restructuring, the Government must be
willing to curb unnecessary government spending.
We have honored our commitments, we insist Puerto Ricos Government must honor
theirs.
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PROPOSAL
To allow government time to undertake necessary reforms and a governmental
restructuring, Bonistas del Patio is willing to voluntarily accept the following proposal:
A five (5) year principal payment moratorium and deferral on all governmental issuers analyzed
in this presentation. This would significantly reduce the Commonwealths fixed principal payment
obligations by approximately $5.8 billion during such five (5) year period.
Interest payments on all obligations must continue to be paid. This allows for approximately
$2,055,120 million per year to continue flowing into our economy .
Bonistas del Patios members may be willing to consider haircuts on certain credits, if and
only:
Government provides updated audited financial statements and operating information for all
credit classes and an unequivocal inability to pay is determined.
Government is willing to restructure all expenses, not only debt service .
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39
Section 7:
Credits
Firm Overview
Birling Capital is a boutique corporate advisory &
consulting firm that offers broad corporate finance &
advisory services to institutional, government, corporate,
middle-market companies, family corporations and their
owners, in identifying and resolving corporate finance
related issues as part of a holistic approach both assets
and liabilities sides with integrated business, personal,
family needs and objectives.
Francisco Rodriguez-Castro, President & CEO
Mr. Rodriguez-Castro is Managing Partner of Birling Capital since its creation and manages all aspects of its practice.
Mr. Rodriguez-Castro with over 25 years of experience has been a key executive in government, global, multinational
and public companies as well as a key corporate advisor to multiple entities in a diverse array of market segments.
He has participated in structuring over $10 billion in Municipal Finance, Corporate, Commercial, Asset Based, AFICA
and Mergers and Acquisitions transactions.
Mr. Rodrguez Castro has been Managing Director at UBS, President & CEO of the Economic Development Bank and
held senior lending positions in the corporate banking sector. He is also a key leader in promoting the private sectors
participation in the formulation of public policy of the country supporting the governments in its efforts to achieve
and maintain sustained economic development for Puerto Rico. In addition to his management roles he was the
founder of the Private Sector Coalition a not for profit association.
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Firm Overview
Select Advisory Group (SAG), one of the top
independent Registered Investment Advisors in Puerto
Rico, according to AUM. An Independently owned firm
that offers comprehensive Wealth Management
solutions exclusively to entities and individuals of High
Net Worth and Ultra High Net Worth.
Luis De Jesus - Aponte is the Founder and Head of Select Advisory Group (SAG), one of the top
independent Registered Investment Advisors in Puerto Rico, according to AUM. An Independently
owned firm that offers comprehensive Wealth Management solutions exclusively to entities and
individuals of High Net Worth and Ultra High Net Worth.
Prior to founding SAG, he worked for global firms such as PricewaterhouseCoopers LLC, Ernst & Young
LLC and Arthur Andersen LLC, where he worked at the Tax Department on corporate matters and
provided services to international assignment executives, developing substantial experience in
Federal and Puerto Rico Tax Compliance.
Luis is a Certified Public Accountant, graduated from the University of Puerto Rico Business School.
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