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Unit 9
Other Choosing Techniques
Dr. J. Michael Bennett, P. Eng., PMP,
UOIT,
Version 2014-I-01
Change Record
2014-I-01 Initial Creation
Text Chapter 9
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Course Outline
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
1-3
Engineering Economics
General Economics
1.
Microeconomics
2.
Macroeconomics
3.
Money and the Bank of
Canada
Engineering Estimation
Interest and Equivalence
Present Worth Analysis
Annual Cash Flow
Rate of Return Analysis
Picking the Best Choice
Other Choosing Techniques
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Learning Objectives
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Example 9.1
Ron is a 20-year old UOIT student who
smokes a carton of ciggies a week. If he
stops smoking and places this money in a
savings account which earns 5%
compounded semi-annually, what is his
future worth at 65 if a carton costs $85?
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Answer
Semi-savings = 85x26 = 2,210
FW = (F/A, 2.5%, 90) = 2210(329.2)
= $727, 532 (at least)
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Example 9-2
Two machines have a life of 5 years. A costs
$1000 and will earn $300 annually. B costs
$1350 and will earn $300, the first year,
$350 the second and so on. At 7%, which
machine should be selected?
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Solution
Incremental B-A
PWcosts = 1350 1000 = 350
PWbenefits = (0-0) + 50(P/G, 7%, 5) = 382
B/C = 382/350 = 1.09
Note that direct calculation gives the wrong
answer.
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Example 9.3
Here are 6 mutually exclusive alternatives.
They have a 20 year life. At 6%, using B/C
ratio, which would you pick?
A
B
C
D
E
F
Cost 4K 2K 6K 1K 9K 10K
PW 7.3K 4.7K 8.7K 1.3K 9K 9.5K
B/C 1.8 2.4 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.95
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Solution
Discard F (B/C < 1)
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Solution
B-D
Cost
1K
Benefit 3.4K
B/C
3.4
1) Chose B over D
2) Chose A over B
3) Chose A over C
4) Chose A over E
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A-B
2K
2.6K
1.3
C-A
2K
1.4K
0.7
E-A
5K
1.7K
0.34
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Example 9.4
A firm is trying to decide which of 2 scales it
should buy. If both have a 6-year life, which
should be selected at 8%, using PB?
Choice
A
B
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Cost
2K
3K
UAB
450
600
Salvage
100
700
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Solution
Ignore Salvage and interest rate
PBA = cost/UAB = 2000/450 = 4.4 years
PBB = 3000/600 = 5 years
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Example 9-5
Consider a project that may be constructed to full
capacity now or may be built in 2 stages.
Assume 40 year life at 8%, no SV.
Costs
2-Stage
first stage now
100,000
2nd stage n years out
120,000
Full capacity
do it now
140,000
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Solution
Full Cap = 140,000
2-Stage
PW = 100000 + 120000(P/F, 8%, n)
n=05
n=10
n=20
n=40
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PW = 182,700
PW = 155,600
PW = 125,700
PW = 111,900
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Summary
Future Worth Analysis
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Summary, contd.
Payback Period Analysis
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Summary, contd.
Sensitivity Analysis
Break-Even Analysis
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